nw kw 23:53 GMT June 9, 2016
eurusd
sell aud starting gl.
Tallinn viies 22:07 GMT June 9, 2016
eurusd
Reply
By Joe Carroll, Alix Steel and Jennifer A. Dlouhy
(Bloomberg) --
Continental Resources Inc. has begun finishing oil wells as U.S. prices have almost doubled to about $50 a barrel since touching a 12-year low earlier this year.
Crude has risen enough in the past four months for Continental to dispatch fracking crews to unfinished wells in the Bakken shale region, where the Oklahoma City-based driller is the largest operator, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Harold Hamm said in interviews with Bloomberg News and Bloomberg TV in New York on Thursday. Those wells had been left uncompleted as swooning crude prices last year forced explorers to halt projects to conserve shrinking cash flows.
GVI Trading Room 22:03 GMT June 9, 2016
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Tallinn viies 21:53 GMT June 9, 2016
eurusd
Reply
people talking about fear....
I do not see any fear around. sp500 at alltime highs or almost.
crude up almost 100% within 4 months and people are talking about fear :)
joke.
only guys who smell fear are bond guys. all the world yields could soon be negative. is it 10 trln with negative yields or 20 trln already?. US yields next ? so crab as many US bonds and as you can is name of the game
GVI Trading Room john 20:50 GMT June 9, 2016
Friday Trading
Big week for central bank decisions in the week ahead with the BOJ, Fed, BOE and SNB announcing their policies. I don't see any of them changing rates.
GVI Trading Room john 20:17 GMT June 9, 2016
Friday Trading
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
10-Jun FRIDAY
00:00 CN- Holiday
12:30 CA- Employment
12:30 US- Productivity
14:00 US- University of Michigan
13-Jun MONDAY
No Major Data
14-Jun TUESDAY
08:30 GB- CPI
12:30 US- Retail Sales
15-Jun WEDNESDAY
00:30 AU- Employment
08:30 GB- Employment
13:15 US- Industrial Production
14:30 US- Crude
18:00 US- Fed Decision
16-Jun THURSDAY
03:00 JP- BOJ Decision
07:30 CH- SNB Decision
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
11:00 GB- BOE Decision
12:30 US- CPI
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
17-Jun FRIDAY
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales
12:30 US- Housing Starts & Permits
Trading Themes --
- Markets reacted early Thursday to comments by ECB President Draghi which reiterated what he said after the last ECB decision that its now up to governments to play their part and stimulate growth via fiscal means. Global equity and Fixed Income markets also reacted to growing concerns by several high profile equity fund managers who expressed worry about the current level of equity valuations.
- I expect Draghi's comments to become the common theme from central bankers who have realized that their continuous ultra-low interest rate policies have been having unintended adverse effects on their economies and that the time has come for a Keynesian fiscal stimulus.
- Markets reacted strongly early to the decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to keep rates steady at 2.25%. Many had been expecting a rate cut. Nevertheless, the policy statement noted that the New ZZealand currency is too strong and that another rate cut is possible.
- This remains a very light week for major U.S. data. Fed officials are now into their quiet period ahead of the next Fed meeting on Wednesday, June 15.
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com
GVI Trading Room john 20:13 GMT June 9, 2016
Friday Trading
Reply
Market Sentiment Indicators
Our statistics say the EURUSD trading bias remains to the upside. 1.1350 pivot point is our immediate focus.
20-day avg 1.1232
Pivot Point 1.1350
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Indicator is higher ( = lower odds for a rate hike this year). The two are diverging with EURUSD neutrality rising to 1.1460. Odds for one rate hike by yearend down to a post NFP low of 77%.
dc CB 19:58 GMT June 9, 2016
CandyLand
Reply
there is a childs boardgame of that name where the only bad thing that can happen to a player is Tooth Decay...30 Years of it.
the 10th Circle of Hell???
DOW 18000 go go go go for the NUZ...
dc CB 17:08 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
30Y 2.475%; WI. 2.482%
Indirects at 64.9%, just shy of record
Because Yellen is going to hike?????
GVI Trading Room john 16:21 GMT June 9, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Atlanta Fed GDPNOw forecast 2.50% for 2Q16 same as June 3
-- TTN
HK Kwun 15:25 GMT June 9, 2016
Bearish on USD
Buy Gold
Entry: 1257 Target: Stop: 1247
my timing is perfect, TP at 1269, bye
london red 15:17 GMT June 9, 2016
eur
kiwi just started to underprerform on this bounce seen elsewhere. if stays under 7165 can move lower. significantly lower is risk off broadens.
london red 15:12 GMT June 9, 2016
eur
11295/113 frontrun so risk is its compromised. fade 11339/41 and 58 stop 63.
tokyo joyya 15:07 GMT June 9, 2016
eur
JP which is better nzdusd audnzd gbpnzd eurnzd or nzdjpy?
tokyo joyya 15:03 GMT June 9, 2016
eur
Sell
Entry: nzd Target: Stop:
i think short nzdjpy from 76 and short other other nzd pairs keep adding for 23june target for nzdjpy 60 and below...
hk ab 14:55 GMT June 9, 2016
eur
Reply
will eur has a move like chf few years ago when brexit announce?
Livingston nh 14:42 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
SPX filled the open gaps from tues and weds - Monday gap still open - if filled before Fed day look for the NFP low (b4 stox saw prospect of more free money)
John's post yesterday was timely - BIS has stirred the pot for some FX commentators re USD shortage (J. Snider has been on about this for some time) -- waiting to see if Folks put the Fed hoarding in the cross hairs (Let my money go!)
HK RF@ 14:31 GMT June 9, 2016
Banks will have to store some of their cash if the form of physical gold.
Reply
Neg. interest rates are eating into their profits.
So an attempt to store Euro in bills may not be a good idea, as the 500e-bill will soon be out of production.
And who guarantees the ECB will/can deliver the banks billions in physical cash to avoid Neg. interest rates?
No place is mentioned bank is obliged to give you cash, if they don't have, so they don't have; Get another I.O.U-paper.
Physical gold, has the advantage of smaller volume easy to deal with, and will not go on fire, and no negative interest on it.
If one worries of fluctuations, just hedge it, or manipulate it.
And above all a hedge against possible bank crisis.
nw kw 14:24 GMT June 9, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
low yields how bad .0? long xgbp
london red 14:21 GMT June 9, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
uk gilts at record low yields. as far as finance is concerned, brexit yay or ney will make no diff.
2wks to referendum. some gbp sold for hedging purposes to cover those 2 wk options.
nw kw 14:18 GMT June 9, 2016
e/j
but its not right usanzd not playing ball
london red 14:16 GMT June 9, 2016
e/j
kiwi
nw kw 14:14 GMT June 9, 2016
e/j
looks sell eurgbp shorted .78
nw kw 14:11 GMT June 9, 2016
e/j
you still give stop to bank?
hk ab 14:09 GMT June 9, 2016
e/j
Reply
long again 120.48, same stop as the first entry. double up.
nw kw 14:05 GMT June 9, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
ill qit might insult sand boy?
nw kw 14:03 GMT June 9, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
aud roles started short
nw kw 13:53 GMT June 9, 2016
ECB
so gold sees bond finally
nw kw 13:49 GMT June 9, 2016
ECB
drager well supplied from O thy are under one thc leader
nw kw 13:46 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
I just stick my head in sand and call me self proo but not infront of banks.
PAR 13:45 GMT June 9, 2016
ECB
Reply
Too much drugs are killing the patient . See Prince .
nw kw 13:44 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
see it did pan out breant to wt.i ill keep it vage from bank/ spread killer
nw kw 13:37 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
usacad under 1.27ish keeps usa tariffs off cad lumber so yous it for cad will pivot around it last old range
nw kw 13:33 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
1.11 and tow weeks for bretsters will you keep eurs or run// might run for weekend.
HK Kevin 13:31 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
I don't think eur will be going back to 1.11. Red's previous advice on short term trade for 1.1380/1.14 is fine.
nw kw 13:29 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
US Treasurys rise ahead of 30-year sale; 10-year German bund yield hits new low
Investors also kept a close one the 10-year German bund yields, which hit a new record low earlier in the session, according to Reuters, and were last trading at 0.043 percent.
HK Kevin 13:28 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
Joyya, do wu see an inverse h&s pattern in the weekly chart. GO long at market for monthly trade with 100 pips stop. Need a weekly close above 1.0480 to relieve downside momentum.
nw kw 13:27 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
and swiss market just under last support , likes to lead to something going hit market,,, pos jpy for audjpy can hold last support if jpy gets hit
nw kw 13:12 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
gold not up but xaud top rang 91so aud can drop get eur going but is usa thin day ahead?
nw kw 13:09 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
nh - beat me but 30y usa had specks players building so you see ware going
nw kw 13:04 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
just euraud aren't separating yet pat usa move
nw kw 13:02 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
bund stalling in 10 to 10 usa// stop runner day?
tokyo joyya 13:01 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
looks to eurusd going back to 1.11/1.1 this will support gbp...
nw kw 13:00 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
open interest in 30y claiming ap 3 munts but I miss read it invers charts. so can it still move softer to 170.
nw kw 12:57 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
this chart 30y 167.53 that's up more than most days, cant see why now for not bad usa econ,
Livingston nh 12:43 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
Way back in mid-May while the Fed was trying to revive June meeting the 2 yr /10 yr treasury spread was tightening as the 2 yr yield rose // ah, but June is dead again and July is on life support -- the spread is now tightening on a lower 10 yr yield -- Things stay like this and you can pull the plug on July (DNR)
GVI Trading Room john 12:32 GMT June 9, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Jobless Claims remain low and in line.
PAR 12:29 GMT June 9, 2016
DAX
Reply
DAX collapsing after Dragh s speech . Herr Fritz is very upset and becoming extremely angry with what is happening at the ECB in Franfurt . Why should the ECB buy VW bonds ?
tokyo joyya 12:14 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
is it audnzd 1.00199 is all time low?TIA
GVI Trading Room john 11:52 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
Market Sentiment Indicators
Our statistics say the EURUSD trading bias remains to the upside. 1.1386 pivot point worth watching. Look out for divergence.
20-day avg 1.1232
Pivot Point 1.1386
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Indicator higher (odds for a rate hike this year). EURUSD neutrality at 1.1450. Odds for one rate hike by yearend now 80%.
GVI Trading Room john 11:43 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
Note yield on U.S. 10-yr decisively below 1.700%. This is not the direction rates should be headed if the FED is tightening. I wonder if U.S. treasuries are in demand from foreign central banks looking for a positive yield. Presumably this could become USD positive.
GVI Trading Room john 11:38 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
Risk-Off
DAX -120
DJ -48
SP -6.8
US 1.679% -2.3
DE 0.0450% -1.1
GB 1.224% -1.2
JP -0.122% -1.3
EUR crosses weaker except vs AUD
WTI $50.83 -0.40
Mtl JP 11:30 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
red 11:17 thks for that call as I was Q-ing is there a precise price point that needs to hold else... woosh ?
-
Mtl JP 11:26 GMT June 9, 2016
How To Read Brexit Polls
10:33 John / Peter Kellner, expert on UK polling, expects decisive victory in end for remain camp.
so what is trade Bottom Line:
buy FTSE 100 Index currently around 6,251.80
and BoD
-
alternately fine pick US companies with large exposure in UK
(Ford comes to mind, but there is load of others)
london red 11:17 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
long euro 11295-113. Stop 11240. Look for 114 again.
PAR 10:42 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
Short Dax , short CAC , short Euro Stoxx , short FTSE MIB ,
short IBEX .
Following Soros ?
Mtl JP 10:22 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
US 10-YR 1.6798 %
Bund 10-Yr 0.046 %
Japan 10 Year -0.136 %
all yielding less today than yesterday
Bund, u ll note, is eurozone�s sovereign debt benchmark
HK Kwun 10:18 GMT June 9, 2016
Bearish on USD
Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: 1257 Target: Stop: 1247
so buy Gold
Mtl JP 10:09 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
PAR 09:56 / RECESSION + other politicians (say HRC) = war(s)
HK Kevin 09:57 GMT June 9, 2016
long aud!
EUR/USD unable to break 1.1420 yesterday indicates for today's weakness. The pair may see 1.1310-1.1330 in US trading time.
PAR 09:56 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
When politician cannot control central bankers gone insane than we need other politicians .
A European Donald Trump is in the making .
Mtl JP 09:46 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
Trading Themes --
... time has come for a Keyensian fiscal stimulus.
= RECESSION
Kenesian-minded politicians are known for enacting crazy "fiscal stimuli" when they seize the "combat recession" theme.
Get ready for new massive trading opportunities.
Example: when Justin "pretty hair" Trudeau announced massive infrastructure spending stocks in cement companies flew towards the moon.
PAR 09:42 GMT June 9, 2016
DRAGHI
When Draghi after five years of yelling cannot deliver what he promised it is time for him to go . His economic insights are outdated and he is corrupting all the European economic system .
He is to central banking the equivalent of what Martin Shkreli was to the pharmaceutical industry .
Manipulating market prices should never be tolerated .
Would you keep a footbal coach who loses every match for five years ?
tokyo joyya 09:21 GMT June 9, 2016
long aud!
usd taking of usdchf usdcad up eurusd down...hope soon gbp take of..gold oil down...
GVI Trading Room john 09:20 GMT June 9, 2016
Thursday Trading
Reply
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
9-Jun THURSDAY
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
10-Jun FRIDAY
00:00 CN- Holiday
12:30 CA- Employment
12:30 US- Productivity
14:00 US- University of Michigan
Trading Themes --
- Markets are reacting today to comments by ECB President Draghi which reiterated what he said after the last ECB decision that its now up to governments to play their part and stimulate growth via fiscal means.
- I expect this to be a growing theme from central banks who appear to have realized that continuous ultra-low interest rates are having unintended adverse effects on their economies and that the time has come for a Keyensian fiscal stimulus.
- Markets reacted unusually strongly late Wednesday and early Thursday to a decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to keep rates steady at 2.25%. Some were expecting a rate cut. The NZD traded higher on the decision. Nevertheless, the policy statement noted that the currency is too strong and that another rate cut is possible.
- This remains a very light week for major U.S. data. Fed officials are now into their quiet period ahead of the next Fed meeting on Wednesday, June 15.
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com
Mtl JP 09:18 GMT June 9, 2016
DRAGHI
PAR 08:22 impeach Draghi... what would that achieve / rectify the "lost � trillions in interest" ? don't u know folks like him have immunity ?
why not preach Buy Gold get rid of euros instead ?
hk ab 09:08 GMT June 9, 2016
e/j
Reply
Play the fire here, long the butter e/j here stops all 100 pips, will add if 120.50 under seen and not close below hourly
GVI Trading Room john 08:32 GMT June 9, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
UK trade data improves
PAR 08:22 GMT June 9, 2016
DRAGHI
After always repeating " I will do whatever it takes " Draghi now admits his policies are not working without structural reforms from the European governments .
As a consequence of Draghi s policies savers lost � trillions in interest and the confidence in European capital markets has disappaired completely . Draghi s policies have done more harm than good .
Impeach Draghi
London M 07:42 GMT June 9, 2016
LONG GBP-YEN
Reply
Buy GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:
LONG GBP-YEN AT 153.80
ADD GBP- USD AT 1.4460
PAR 07:32 GMT June 9, 2016
DRAGHI
Reply
European stocks sharply lower as Draghi again delivers a speech full of economic nonsense .
PAR 07:28 GMT June 9, 2016
German Bunds
Reply
Yield on 10 year Bunds approaching ZERO .
tokyo joyya 07:22 GMT June 9, 2016
BUY GBP-USD
long gbpjpy 154.3 gbpusd 1.4485
London M 06:56 GMT June 9, 2016
BUY GBP-USD
Reply
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.4515 Target: Stop:
LONG GBP-USD AT 14515
tokyo joyya 06:52 GMT June 9, 2016
sell audusd
everything go down but after 23june...
bali sja 04:43 GMT June 9, 2016
sell audusd
Reply
audusd is not a buy now
should go down to 0.7380, stop above 0.7530
bali sja 04:42 GMT June 9, 2016
sell audusd
Reply
audusd is not a buy now
should go down to 0.7380, stop above 0.7530
HK RF@ 04:36 GMT June 9, 2016
Commerzbank considers hoarding billions to avoid ECB charges - sources
Reply
Commerzbank, one of Germany's biggest lenders, is examining the possibility of hoarding billions of euros in vaults rather than paying a penalty charge for parking it with the European Central Bank, according to sources familiar with the matter.
Such a move by a bank part-owned by the German government would represent one of the most substantial protests yet against the ECB's ultra-low rates, which have been criticised by politicians including Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble.
Although no decision has yet been taken, the lender has held discussions on the matter with German authorities, said two officials, who asked not to be named because of the sensitivity of the matter.
A spokesman for Commerzbank said it was not storing cash "at the moment" and declined to comment on whether it might do so in the future.
The ECB declined to comment.
Commerzbank's examination of storage alternatives to the ECB comes at a time of growing frustration among European lenders with the ECB charge on deposits.
Were it to store cash on a significant scale, it would become the first major European bank to take such a step. If other lenders were to follow suit, it could render the ECB penalty charge policy increasingly ineffective.
The ECB imposes a so-called negative rate equivalent to 4 euros annually on each 1,000 euros ($1,137) lenders deposit with the central bank. This is designed to encourage banks to lend money, rather than park it.
MORE
tokyo joyya 03:02 GMT June 9, 2016
long aud!
Reply
Buy AUDNZD
Entry: 1.05 Target: open Stop: 100pips
today hit my stop....now buy fresh one heavly...happy trade
HK RF@ 00:49 GMT June 9, 2016
Gold targets 1303, to form a double top? OR...
Reply
At this moment gold is somehow O.B. and may even Ret. back to 1245.
But 1303 appears on the radar.
Strong Res. at 1330(if seen), with general target at about 1500, or even 1555:(
Recently, Peter Kellner, former President of YouGov appeared on the program Worldwide Exchange on CNBC to discuss the polling of U
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