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Forex Forum Archive for 06/13/2016

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Tallinn viies 22:34 GMT June 13, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
ORB POLL FOR THE TELEGRAPH SHOW 48 PCT OF BRITONS WOULD VOTE TO REMAIN IN EU, 49 PCT VOTE TO LEAVE

Ldn Cashman 21:24 GMT June 13, 2016
Tomorrow's front page-The Sun
Reply   
"Be Leave in Britain"- Murdoch's mass newspaper urging readers to vote Leave. This newspaper has swung a few election results in the past. https://www.thesun.co.uk/

GVI Trading Room john 21:05 GMT June 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Brexit Poll
46% leave
39% stay
Times Poll (prev was about even)

-- TTN

GVI Trading Room john 20:24 GMT June 13, 2016
Tuesday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
14-Jun TUESDAY
08:30 GB- CPI
12:30 US- Retail Sales
15-Jun WEDNESDAY
00:30 AU- Employment
08:30 GB- Employment
13:15 US- Industrial Production
14:30 US- Crude
18:00 US- Fed Decision
16-Jun THURSDAY
03:00 JP- BOJ Decision
07:30 CH- SNB Decision
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
11:00 GB- BOE Decision
12:30 US- CPI
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
17-Jun FRIDAY
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales
12:30 US- Housing Starts & Permits


Trading Themes --
  • The top focus for traders Tuesday will be the latest U.S. Retail Sales Report. The U.S. economy is driven by the consumer, so this is a key release. Dealers will want to look beyond the headline figures to the core and retail Sales ex-autos and gas for a better evaluation of the underlying strength of the economy. U.K. CPI data are awaited as well.

  • Monday was a choppy session for forex trading with participants waiting for the better part of the day for the results of the latest Brexit Poll which came in 53% in favor of "leave" vs. 47% for "stay". Momentum recently has turned in favor of the leave camp, but betting odds still favor "stay". The U.K. Brexit vote takes place next week on Thursday June 23.

  • Late last week saw a move out of some of the lower quality EZ debt. This is due to worry on how a U.K. exit vote could undermine EU unity. German, Japan and US government paper are preferred since they are generally seen as safer. On this score, increased demand for gold makes sense.

  • This a big week for central bank decisions with the BOJ, FED, BOE and SNB all announcing their policies. I don't see any of them changing rates.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


GVI Forex Blog 19:38 GMT June 13, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

london red 19:10 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading

gods works:


[url]http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3639497/Goldman-Sachs-paid-prostitutes-luxury-trips-lavish-parties-bid-win-800m-investment-Colonel-Gaddafi-s-Libyan-officials-court-hears.html[/url]

london red 18:14 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading

euro. 11324/26 fade stop over 63. initial take 11280. retail sales up tomorrow so may not go to far dwn prior to.

dc CB 17:36 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading

The only solution is New Highs in US SToX by the end of the week.
LOL

dc CB 17:29 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading



This is the problem, trying to hide behind all the other BS

Angela!!!!!!!

dc CB 17:16 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading

Funny that the Big Discussion in Europe is Brexit

In the US it's ---Shud we call the Orlando shooter a Muslim or a Domestic terrorist; is this jihad or a hate crime; Trump V Obama/Clinton.

it gets dicey

good luck trading off Yellen

dc CB 17:10 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading

UK Establishment Loses The Mainstream Media: "Why I Am Voting To Leave The EU" ZeroHedge

===================================
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard in the Telegraph

Brexit vote is about the supremacy of Parliament and nothing else: Why I am voting to leave the EU

GVI Trading Room john 16:47 GMT June 13, 2016
eurusd

It sure was!

LONDON SFH 16:34 GMT June 13, 2016
eurusd

wow-that was a very fast 100 pip blip and down within seconds about 10 minutes ago...

london red 16:28 GMT June 13, 2016
eurusd

will repeat as it still makes good sense:
use blips higher to sell cable. plenty still needing to hedge and polls are swinging in favour of leave which means buying dips is skewed with risk. as i said last year, the result will be leave, they just dont know it yet.

GVI Trading Room john 16:27 GMT June 13, 2016
eurusd

53% leave and 47% stay
ICM/Guardian

--TTN

Tallinn viies 16:24 GMT June 13, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
Guardian website reports Leave have 6-point lead

GVI Trading Room john 16:14 GMT June 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Refresh Page to update chart

Equites: Risk-Off
10-yr prices up /yields down
EUR mostly up on its crosses

We are now on perpetual Brexit poll watch
Fed Wednesday Fed Funds 0% odds on a rate hike

GVI Forex Blog 16:09 GMT June 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Mtl JP 15:52 GMT June 13, 2016
eurusd

SFH 15:42 any word on WHO (and how) will be counting the votes ?
tia

LONDON SFH 15:51 GMT June 13, 2016
eurusd

Your welcome John-hope you and Jay are on form-cable continues to be entertaining!

HK Kwun 15:50 GMT June 13, 2016
1280 new support

Buy Gold
Entry: 1281 Target: Stop: 1271

already said 1280 is new support

GVI Trading Room john 15:49 GMT June 13, 2016
eurusd

SFH -- many thanks my friend!

LONDON SFH 15:42 GMT June 13, 2016
eurusd

"The overall figures by phone are Remain 45% (+3), Leave 50% (+5), DK 5% (-7%)
Our online poll over the weekend shows Remain on 44% (nc), Leave on 49% (+2) and DKs on 7% (-2), also translating into a 53% vs 47% Leave lead"

hk ab 15:39 GMT June 13, 2016
e/j
Reply   
wait to long e/j at the 119 line for another 100 pips.....

Thanks BOJ.....

Tallinn viies 14:27 GMT June 13, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
apparntly what boosted GBP was rumour the poll puts remin 5pts in lead

LONDON SFH 14:12 GMT June 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

looking at cable last 30 mins it coulkd have been leaked,,,

GVI Trading Room john 14:09 GMT June 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
ICM says there was never a scheduled release time for its latest Brexit Poll today. It should be out within a couple of hours.

--TTN

dc CB 14:05 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading

BitCoin at $704

GVI Forex Blog 13:46 GMT June 13, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 14 June 2016
Reply   

June 13, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, June 14, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- CPI, EZ- Industrial Production
  • North America: US- Retail Sales, Business Inventories, API Crude

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
14-Jun TUESDAY
08:30 GB- CPI
12:30 US- Retail Sales
15-Jun WEDNESDAY
00:30 AU- Employment
08:30 GB- Employment
13:15 US- Industrial Production
14:30 US- Crude
18:00 US- Fed Decision
16-Jun THURSDAY
03:00 JP- BOJ Decision
07:30 CH- SNB Decision
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
11:00 GB- BOE Decision
12:30 US- CPI
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
17-Jun FRIDAY
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales
12:30 US- Housing Starts & Permits

GVI Data Calendar for 14 June 2016

LONDON SFH 13:43 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading

Their website is down....

UK JY 13:37 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading

Latest ICM Brexit poll is due out soon.

GVI Trading Room john 13:35 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading

Markets trading like a Strong "stay" poll must be out???

Singapore SC 13:34 GMT June 13, 2016
Betting odds indicate 'Out' campaign making up ground fast -- Reuters.com

Is there a new poll out for remain??????>???

Mtl JP 13:20 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading

what potential for chicken janet to have fun with Fed blather-swallowers !
lets see her sense of humor

GVI Trading Room john 13:15 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading

odds for a Fed rate hike Wednesday now 0%
July 27 odds 16%.

Mtl JP 13:08 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading



SFH 11:46 / 1.41 current support BUT 1.4262-ish needed to mitigate trip to 1.3850-sh

GVI Trading Room 13:06 GMT June 13, 2016
Betting odds indicate 'Out' campaign making up ground fast -- Reuters.com

09:03 [GBP/USD] Cable and Euro move lower on twitter speculation the latest ICM Brexit poll will show leave camp continues to gain momentum

- Source TradeTheNews.com

London AzaForex 12:34 GMT June 13, 2016
Trading recommendations on the currency pair USDJPY 13-06-2
Reply   


Sell USDJPY
Entry: 105.50 Target: 104.00 Stop:

Have you heard about forex you could be making money online easily.
The dollar looks weaker in the Forex market against the Japanese yen. Now the pair has approached a strong support level from which price has bounced several times. But we hope that the bears manage to break the level of protection and lower quotes even lower, because below this level no protection there. The nearest support level more than 150 points. Of course, the bulls have a chance, as before, from level to raise the price, but if they are not strong enough to do it, and the game will include traders working on the slide.

GVI 12:22 GMT June 13, 2016
Betting odds indicate 'Out' campaign making up ground fast -- Reuters.com
Reply   
The chances that Britain will vote to leave the European Union increased sharply on Monday to 36 percent, the highest level since the June 23 referendum was announced by Prime Minister David Cameron four months ago, according to betting odds...

Betting odds indicate 'Out' campaign making up ground fast -- Reuters.com

LONDON SFH 11:46 GMT June 13, 2016
gbp

I think we have more or less seen the bottom of cable till the referendun-I think the Government here will pull out the stops to make sense of staying or nonsense of leaving and that if the polls should be closer to 50/50 cable will be at 1.4500 on polling day before votes are cast...

GVI Trading Room john 11:04 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading

JP- scroll down and look at the table. 10-yr bond yields tell it all!

Mtl JP 10:44 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading

re trading themes and ..."Japan ... government paper are preferred since they are generally seen as safer"...

Fitch Affirms Japan at 'A'; Outlook Revised to Negative - RTRS

Mtl JP 10:35 GMT June 13, 2016
UPDATE 2-Brexit jitters drive sterling volatility to record high, pound slides

worry. fear. jitters....
fortunately not everyone sees brexit in that same "diapers full of _" light, some see opportunity:

Opinion: 4 powerful reasons to get into British markets now, before the Brexit vote

Mtl JP 09:43 GMT June 13, 2016
1280 new support

I like that you have a stop
that is prudent

UK CT 09:41 GMT June 13, 2016
gbp

ABS = anything but sterling day

HK Kwun 09:30 GMT June 13, 2016
1280 new support

Buy Gold
Entry: 1281 Target: Stop: 1271

so you think Gold will fall?

Mtl JP 09:22 GMT June 13, 2016
1280 new support



Kwun 07:50 / eurdlr and gold/usd relationship currently divergent
one will run towards the other
currently I am thinking the mauve will ran after the green line

tokyo joyya 09:12 GMT June 13, 2016
gbp
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

is it gbp gona stop or just going down down down......

GVI Trading Room john 09:03 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

13-Jun MONDAY
No Major Data
14-Jun TUESDAY
08:30 GB- CPI
12:30 US- Retail Sales
15-Jun WEDNESDAY
00:30 AU- Employment
08:30 GB- Employment
13:15 US- Industrial Production
14:30 US- Crude
18:00 US- Fed Decision
16-Jun THURSDAY
03:00 JP- BOJ Decision
07:30 CH- SNB Decision
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
11:00 GB- BOE Decision
12:30 US- CPI
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
17-Jun FRIDAY
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales
12:30 US- Housing Starts & Permits


Trading Themes --
  • Markets are jittery heading into the U.K. Brexit vote next week on Thursday June 23. Worry about the uncertainty the vote presents has seen investors reducing their exposure to equities the GBP and EUR.

  • Late last week saw a move out of some of the lower quality EZ debt. This is due to worry on how a U.K. exit vote could undermine EU unity. Logically German, Japan and US government paper are preferred since they are generally seen as safer. On this score, increased demand for gold would make sense as well.

  • As for forex, the USD and JPY are logical refuges well. Gold demand has also picked up. By the same token, the EUR and GBP will be avoided.

  • This a big week for central bank decisions with the BOJ, FED, BOE and SNB all announcing their policies. I don't see any of them changing rates.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


GVI Trading Room john 08:56 GMT June 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

You might have to refresh page to update chart

Risk Off early in Europe. Curiously the FTSE is positive.
Note the disparities in interest rates
GBP weaker and JPY stronger

GVI Forex Blog 08:51 GMT June 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Ldn Cashman 08:37 GMT June 13, 2016
Brexit odds
Reply   
The odds of Brexit sliding this morning. Earlier on Betfair was about 2.25/1 currently 1.8/1. Heading towards evens at long last.2 weeks ago was 5/1

HK Kwun 07:50 GMT June 13, 2016
1280 new support
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1281 Target: Stop: 1271

buy now, risk off

hk ab 06:44 GMT June 13, 2016
e/j
Reply   
after good attack at 120 line, now it's limbo long at 119 line..... s/l same, 100 pips.

Hong Kong HK 01:42 GMT June 13, 2016
AceTrader Jun 13: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply   
13 Jun 2016 01:28

USD/JPY - ....... Despite a brief gain to 107.01 at New Zealand open, price retreated ahead of Asian open and fell to 106.38 as intra-day decline in Nikkei triggered broad-based buying in yen (N225 index is currently down 2.65% to 16163).

As investors are cautious ahead of this week's central bank meetings as well as Britain's June 23 referendum on whether to remain in the European Union, and are no economic data from U.S. today, suggesting choppy trading with downside bias would be seen but May's 18-month trough at 105.55 should remain intact.

At present, offers are noted at 106.80-90 n more at 107.00-10 with stops above 107.30, whilst bids are reported at 106.30-20 and then 106.10-00 with stops below there.

dc CB 01:05 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday

another notices the Train Schedule rule for trading

Want To Make Money Trading FX? Just Wake Up At 3AM

dc CB 01:02 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday



time for the CBs of the world to seek vengance......first Gold, Silver then Unleash The Kraken

dc CB 00:58 GMT June 13, 2016
Monday

BitCoin hits $675... all time high a mere $300 away.

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 00:09 GMT June 13, 2016
Brexit Polls

The Opinium Poll, commissioned by the Brexit-backing Bruges Group think tank, is further evidence that the Leave camp is gaining support and delivers the biggest margin of victory for Brexit so far, after giving voters the option of a choice of free trade agreements with the EU.

It found 52 per cent chose to leave the EU, with only 33 per cent choosing to keep the status quo.

End of EU rule FINALLY in sight: Leave camp take 19-POINT lead as Britons flock to Brexit

NYC YIPPEEFX 00:01 GMT June 13, 2016
Good to be back
Reply   
These levels are just too juicy not to trade:

Long GBPJPY at 151.00 S/L 150.25 T/P 153.50
Long EURJPY at 119.90 S/L 118.25 T/P 122.75

 




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