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Forex Forum Archive for 06/17/2016

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Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 20:40 GMT June 17, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

see above

disconnect or something else?

10

dc CB 20:39 GMT June 17, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

UfDa

30

dc CB 20:36 GMT June 17, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

a bit too sweet?
cavity prone. one big tooth pull?

Suga

dc CB 20:32 GMT June 17, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

Confused or Unconcerned or an Opportunity

EC

dc CB 20:30 GMT June 17, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

Sides
Hedging?

BP COT

london red 20:11 GMT June 17, 2016
JPMorgan sees lead for leave of 3-5 percent in Brexit vote: poll analysis

leave hold the lead in the polls but after the slippage factor that will side with remain, they still have some work to do. if we get a 10pt lead across a couple of polls then you can pretty much take it to the bank.

GVI Forex Blog 20:04 GMT June 17, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

GVI Forex Blog 19:56 GMT June 17, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

Livingston nh 19:48 GMT June 17, 2016
JPMorgan sees lead for leave of 3-5 percent in Brexit vote: poll analysis

If Brexit succeeds it might be an "event" to change the markets which have been in a rut for the past three years -- every time a little move folks see a recession or an improvement, neither of which occurs because things never change

HK [email protected] 19:41 GMT June 17, 2016
JPMorgan sees lead for leave of 3-5 percent in Brexit vote: poll analysis
Reply   

JPMorgan (JPM.N) said on Friday it saw a lead for the "Out" campaign in Britain's European Union referendum, according to an analysis of opinion polls.

"Our attempt to clean up the polls for methodological issues suggests a lead for leave in the 3-5 percent range at the time of writing," researchers said in a note.

"The swing toward leave appears to have accelerated as we moved into the period when we would expect status quo bias to show," they added, while warning that it was "now unlikely" that polls would offer clear guidance on the outcome.

JPMorgan sees lead

GVI Trading Room john 19:39 GMT June 17, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details


Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details






Livingston nh 19:34 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

John - Roach was on BBRG this morning warning about the Ivory Tower economists - the easiest Target is NIRP // Yellen jumps from theory to theory (the neutral rate is currently popular) but most of these economists are groupthinkers (see the low level of dissent and "go along" on the FOMC) and the theories break down easily enough in the real world because it is hardly science //IMO a serious economist would suffer the fate of early European scientists who challenged the religious tenets of the elite - it would be nice if somebody would call these guys out

Bullard has apparently withdrawn from the DOTS game

dc CB 19:21 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

not ever getting into his record of Public "Service" ---

How Larry Summers lost Harvard $1.8 billion

dc CB 19:17 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

"" someone with serious economics credentials"""""

That is a Great Joke, John.

GVI Trading Room john 19:14 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

nh- I wonder if might have been the Summers WP article last Tuesday that turned the Fed? Fear that someone with serious economics credentials was calling them out?

dc CB 19:07 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

nh

if you're in your late 50's on up, and have slowly stewed in quiet resentment as Bernanke/Yellen siphon off your nest-egg thru ZIRP for 7 years, and then come out again saying....not yet, toooooo soon....maybe in 2018...and then only by a smidge.

Unlike the -where the F*#K did that come from- Financial "Crisis", there has been plenty of time to realize just what is going on.

As the saying goes "follow the money"

GVI Trading Room john 19:00 GMT June 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

A couple of second-tier polls out in the past hour show leave in the lead. One was taken after the murder of the MP.

source: TTM

dc CB 18:57 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

First, the “Brexit” referendum is part of a global phenomenon: populist revolts against established political parties, predominantly by older, poorer, or less-educated voters angry enough to tear down existing institutions and defy “establishment” politicians and economic experts........


This leads to the third, and most worrying, implication of the British vote. If Brexit wins in a country as stable and politically phlegmatic as Britain, financial markets and businesses around the world will be shaken out of their complacency about populist insurgencies in the rest of Europe and the US.

The Scariest "Brexit's Impact On The World" Report Yet

Livingston nh 18:56 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

"the strength of the populist parties increases the risk that governments do stupid things" -- the elites have set a high bar for excessive stupidity and the folks who vote for populism, nativism, isolationism and even racism believe that ANY change would be an improvement

dc CB 18:48 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

For the next warning bell, look to the city where Draghi was born. After topping the first round of local elections in Rome, the anti-establishment Five Star Movement’s Virginia Raggi could become mayor in a run-off on Sunday. That would spell trouble for Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, whose reforms have been praised by the ECB chief. Renzi also faces a referendum this year on constitutional changes that has become a make-or-break vote on his agenda.

Mainstream political leaders elsewhere are feeling the heat. Spain goes to the polls on June 26 for the second time in six months. The Netherlands, France and Germany have elections scheduled for 2017, and all have seen euro-skeptic parties gaining ground. The backlash against integration extends outside the euro area -- the U.K. will hold a plebiscite on June 23 on whether to stay in the EU, with opinion polls showing the vote is too close to call.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Add to that the Swiss:

Switzerland Withdraws Application To Join EU: Only "Lunatics May Want To Join Now"

dc CB 18:43 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

just before the Bexit vote...unless it's postponed.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

also there was a Bloomberg story this morning

Draghi’s Euro-Saving Pledge Runs Into Risk of Populist Backlash

about an election in Italy...I read it about 10AM, when I went back to try an link it here, it had been pulled...404 Page not Found.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

ECB’s crisis response bolstering opposition to EU integration

Central bank may find government support lacking as votes loom

Mario Draghi’s homeland is about to give him a taste of whether his mission to save the euro is beyond his control.

Local elections in Italy on June 19 will prefigure votes in Europe over the next 18 months that could see populist politicians translate their increasing support into real power. That may prove as big a threat to the single currency as the financial challenges the European Central Bank president has faced down over the four years since he pledged to do “whatever it takes.”

With inflation in the euro area set to gain traction by the end of this year, Draghi can claim that his single-minded focus on price stability by finding ever-more inventive ways to print money is finally starting to pay off. Yet instead of backing him with structural reforms, governments are focused on a row of elections in their largest economies that could set the tone for the future of the European Union, and a British referendum that could splinter it.

“The burden on the ECB to keep the European economy on an even keel will increase as the strength of the populist parties increases the risk that governments do stupid things,” said Daniel Gros, director at the Centre for European Policy Studies in Brussels. This includes “spending more on populist things and thus increasing their debt; not investing, which is what Draghi wants them to do; or also passing legislation which reduces labor market flexibility -- especially of course the integration of immigrants.”
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Curious??? Brexit IS bigger than Britian isn't it...


GVI Trading Room john 18:23 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

FWIW Chair Yellen testifies on Tuesday and Wednesday (14:00 GMT) of next week on policy and the economy. Maybe we will get more on the current thinking of the Fed on future policy, but there is no telling what will be on the minds of our esteemed elected officials!

dc CB 17:28 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

TW3

Sad

SaaR KaL 17:27 GMT June 17, 2016
US equity

Housing USA is great for another 2 years
^hgx Index above 290 is where you should start moving out...or leasing your house at good prices
after that...it should loss more then 1/2 the price

dc CB 17:26 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

TW3

SaaR KaL 17:22 GMT June 17, 2016
US equity
Reply   
I still believe US equity is bullish for another year
NDX below 4300 is ok to buy (If you are a long term trader)

should worry above 5000 into 2018

SaaR KaL 17:15 GMT June 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

heading to lower then 30 IMO

SaaR KaL 17:14 GMT June 17, 2016
Conspiracy theory

Good reason not to be a politician...The same analogy cloud of Mobs...they do the same to their own families
a cluster of the population of scam bags...zero respect to politicians ...they are a human race liability IMO

GVI Trading Room john 17:04 GMT June 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

third straight week of increases. Crude a bit weaker.

GVI Trading Room john 17:03 GMT June 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 424 vs 414 (+10) prev
US (oil): 337 vs. 328 (+9) prev

Canada 69 vs. 65 (+4 ) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 16:53 GMT June 17, 2016
gbp

watch the hourly close, it will get played out in nxt few mins.

hk ab 16:50 GMT June 17, 2016
gbp
Reply   
GBPUSD 14243................

our gvi master sifu Mr. W gives a very very good suggestion.......to have your stops eaten.......

So, if one listens and sell now at 1.43...............How far can this be carried? and for how long? LOL

SaaR KaL 16:48 GMT June 17, 2016
cable

It is Bullish red
You know cable better then anyone else here

london red 16:43 GMT June 17, 2016
cable

straddle is just over 8 figs so lets say its where it is going into vote, you are looking at 135/150 roughly.
as long at 14296-14302 holds can still have another crack at 14330. if goes up again shud break. a double tap caveat but in such case then watch that sup i mentioned

SaaR KaL 16:38 GMT June 17, 2016
USDJPY Very bullish
Reply   
USD/JPY(Close)
Expected
109.9471 2 months
123.5104 Next year
I suggest you study these levels over the weekend

SaaR KaL 16:34 GMT June 17, 2016
cable

I doubt goes below 1.39 Red
You believe Politicians have anything to do with productivity??
They are the liability of productivity

london red 16:30 GMT June 17, 2016
cable

further on the wknd polls, nobody wants to be exposed to a binary result. long or short, youll get a small gap after the wknd on the polls. and thats why naked shorts have been covering. youl find going into the vote, hardly any naked positioning, size will start to build probably from the early afternoon when the priviledged few get an indication of the way the voting is going.

london red 16:27 GMT June 17, 2016
cable

no but some believe the death of the MP will see a sympathy swing to remain. i v much doubt it will have much effect, the majority of people voting brexit have quite strong views which arent going to change. if it was the other way then possibly, since its difficult to be passionate about staying in the EU, the remain argument has always been about driving home how bad brexit would be rather than underline the positives of remaining. With the EU the way it is today, its hard. Worse is that they dont want to change and if Britain votes remain, they are unlikely to see this as a near miss, but are likely to take it as a green light for furthering integration and increasing the size of the EU.

SaaR KaL 16:20 GMT June 17, 2016
cable

GBPCAD wants more then 1.91 in the coming 2 months

GVI Trading Room john 16:18 GMT June 17, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

Equities Mixed
Flight to safety trade in bonds eases
EUR crosses mixed. Brexit worries in EURUSD and GBP lighten

UK PO 16:11 GMT June 17, 2016
cable

Inside info on the polls?

london red 16:11 GMT June 17, 2016
cable

if clears 14330 stops will run and will see more covering thru to 14410 maybe.

LONDON SFH 16:10 GMT June 17, 2016
cable

Looks like short covering on cable-perhaps a bit more to come-nyk close might be 1.4350 ..back to fun and games with that on monday

SaaR KaL 15:46 GMT June 17, 2016
USDCAD till 1.36 +

Oil Shorts till lower then 30

SaaR KaL 15:45 GMT June 17, 2016
gold

I am short Gold for tgt 1100 in general

hk ab 15:38 GMT June 17, 2016
gold
Reply   
two gold fishes were caught within 24 hours....

hk ab 15:38 GMT June 17, 2016
eur/jpy
Reply   
be ready to catch fishes again 116.50-116.00 area.....

SaaR KaL 15:36 GMT June 17, 2016
Friday Trading

Will buy eurusd below 1.1050 only
Possibly 1.08
TGT 1.16

GVI Forex Blog 15:10 GMT June 17, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 20 June 2016
Reply   

June 17, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, June 20, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- 2-yr Auction

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

20-Jun MONDAY
No Major Data
21-Jun TUESDAY
09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
14:00 US- Yellen Testimony
22-Jun WEDNESDAY
12:30 CA- Retail Sales
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
14:00 US- Yellen Testimony
14:30 US- Crude Oil
23-Jun THURSDAY
All Day flash PMIs
24-Jun FRIDAY
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
14:00 US- prelim Univ of Mich

GVI Data Calendar for 20 June 2016

dc CB 15:09 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

It's called an ERAD, or Electronic Recovery and Access to Data machine, and OHP began using 16 of them last month.

Here's how it works. If a trooper suspects a person may have money tied to some type of crime, the highway patrol can scan and seize money from prepaid cards. OHP stresses troopers do not do this during all traffic stops, only situations where they believe there is probable cause.

"We're gonna look for different factors in the way that you're acting,” Oklahoma Highway Patrol Lt. John Vincent said. “We're gonna look for if there's a difference in your story. If there's someway that we can prove that you're falsifying information to us about your business."

OHP Uses New Device To Seize Money During Traffic Stops

dc CB 15:07 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

it's also extremely easy to Relieve you of those bank held funds.

dc CB 15:07 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers

it's also extremely easy to Relieve you of those bank held funds.

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 15:02 GMT June 17, 2016
Friday Trading

GVI Trading Room
GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 15:01 GMT 06/17/2016 - My Profile
EURUSD 1.13 failure has it back to the "50" level. There is some support at 1.1240. If it holds then 1.1220 support would be safe. EURGBP selling seems to be behind the EURUSD retreat as GBPUSD trades bid.

PAR 14:59 GMT June 17, 2016
L. Summers
Reply   

It's easier to buy an assault rifle than to open a checking account
When our grandchildren read about America in the second decade of the 21st century, they will find much that surprises them. Here is something that astonishes me and will most certainly astonish them: it is far easier to buy an assault rifle than to open a small checking account in the United States.

Buying an assault rifle is easy. You need not show formal identification, submit to a record check, experience any delay, provide a valid address, or permit a record to be kept of your purchase. If you buy in the "shadow gun system" at a gun show, there are no requirements at all.

Opening even the most basic banking account is far more arduous. The process begins with a rigorous ID check. You must provide an address which will be checked out as will the source of the Funds deposited in your account. Depending on how risky you appear there may be long delays and the bank may insist on visiting your domicile. If you are not opening an account for an individual but for a small business the process is far more involved. An elaborate regulatory system monitors "the shadows" so you can't store your money in a nonbank financial institution without being monitored.

london red 14:57 GMT June 17, 2016
Conspiracy theory

euro. if they can keep it below 73-77, may test 33-44 band.

HK Kwun 14:56 GMT June 17, 2016
Give me back the money

Sell Gold
Entry: 1284 Target: Stop: 1294

being monitor again? just kiss my stop and return

dc CB 14:54 GMT June 17, 2016
SToX in trouble?
Reply   
Roll out Bullard. Does he have the Magic to pull off another Bullard Bounce...for a Third time..
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

The U.S. economy, stuck in a slow-growth pattern that is likely to persist for the forseeable future, may need no more than a single additional rate hike for as long as 2.5 years, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said on Friday.

St. Louis Fed's Bullard says U.S. may only need single rate hike for now

PAR 14:50 GMT June 17, 2016
AAP
Reply   
AAPL down more than 2 % . Problems in China .

UK JY 14:49 GMT June 17, 2016
Conspiracy theory

Brexit campaigning resumes on Sunday.

eurusd and gbpusd could not get to 1.13 and hold above 1.43

No one wants a big position over this weekend

HK [email protected] 14:05 GMT June 17, 2016
Conspiracy theory



Suspected killer of British lawmaker had ties to neo-Nazi group, watchdog says

Suspected killer of British lawmaker had ties to neo-Nazi group, watchdog says

SaaR KaL 14:02 GMT June 17, 2016
USDCAD till 1.36 +

GBPJPY Bullish to above 156 IMO...I think heading to 162
and More into 200 next year
EURJPY Bullish as well
to 127
140 Next year
I guess in general Long GBPJPY, EURJPY USDCAD
Short Gold, Oil
For now

SaaR KaL 13:57 GMT June 17, 2016
USDCAD till 1.36 +
Reply   
Longing here

london red 13:46 GMT June 17, 2016
Conspiracy theory

euro 1yd 113s ex today

LONDON SFH 13:44 GMT June 17, 2016
Conspiracy theory

definately an odd profile for someone to take that kind of action....convenient timing too

Paris ib 13:37 GMT June 17, 2016
Conspiracy theory

"The killer of Jo Cox was reportedly known to be mentally ill and taking meds, those who knew him said he was apolitical, and at least one witnesses quoted as saying the killer shouted "Britain First" says he said nothing of the sort."

The Higher the Stakes the Bigger the Lies

PAR 13:18 GMT June 17, 2016
DRAGHI NIRP
Reply   
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/citi-warns-negative-interest-rates-rudolf-von-havenstein-reichsbank-hyperinflation-120426995.html


DRAGHI = VON HAVENSTEIN

Draghi creating political chaos .

Unfortunately, there isn't a whole lot of precedent for negative interest rate policy. In fact, some warn that they theory is just flat out wrong.

"Negative interest rates don't do what they're theoretically supposed to do," DoubleLine Funds’ Jeff Gundlach said on Tuesday, citing Japan today. He added that negative interest rates "aren't leading to higher economic growth."

Livingston nh 13:02 GMT June 17, 2016
Friday Trading

STOX OPtion expiration should muddy signals but yesterday's "rally" was on neg a/d and more down than up volume - might be Tuesday before a move towards a break of the range either side -- buying August VIX and spx 2040 puts

FX and interest rates volatility into Thurs should settle down w/o an "event" -- CNY might replace GBP on the worry screen after Friday

GVI Forex Blog 12:51 GMT June 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI Mixed
Reply   

Canada: Bank of Canada Core and Consumer Prices May 2016

Canada: Headline CPI and BOC Core CPI mixed.

BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI Mixed

GVI Forex Blog 12:45 GMT June 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Housing Starts/Permits Mixed
Reply   

U.S. House Starts & Permits (000) May 2016 Housing Starts/Permits. Starts and Permits mixed. Overall data still soft.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Housing Starts/Permits Mixed

GVI Trading Room john 12:33 GMT June 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Canada: Bank of Canada Core and Consumer Prices May 2016

Canada Data Charts





NEWS ALERT
Bank of Canada Core
yy: 2.10% vs. 2.10% exp. vs. +2.20% prev.
Headline
mm: +0.40% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.
yy: +1.50% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +1.50% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading Room john 12:31 GMT June 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. House Starts & Permits (000) May 2016
U.S. Data Charts



NEWS ALERT
Starts: 1.164 vs. 1.150 exp. vs. 1.072 (r 1.167 ) prev.
Permits: 1.138 vs. 1.145 exp. vs. 1.116 (r ) prev.


New Residential Construction



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading Room john 12:21 GMT June 17, 2016
Friday Trading

Mixed U.S. housing data seen on the open. This industry can be a big job producer. BOTH permits and starts are important. Permits a good leading indicator, but it is important that those permits get translated into actual buildings.

london red 12:21 GMT June 17, 2016
EURUSD

for now mkts continuing light risk on bias but see it closing between 113 and 112. you could fade a 11295-96 with tight stop over 11312 or alternatively hope for a break of 113 and fade that 11341-59 stop over 65. dont really want to be holding thru wknd as will be fresh polls. some sup 11237-41 17-21 and 11194-11202

Belgrade Knez 11:58 GMT June 17, 2016
EURUSD
Reply   

london red

can you share your view about EURUSD please?

thank you.

PAR 11:46 GMT June 17, 2016
Stocks Rise With Commodities as Falling Brexit Risk Boosts Pound --Bloomberg.com

Looks like US stock are going to open lower as investors doubt strength of US economy .

Amman wfakhoury 11:38 GMT June 17, 2016
GBPUSD 14243

14300 is a good level to sell add sell if rise tp 14245.

HK [email protected] 10:47 GMT June 17, 2016
After the murder of the MP, common sense is needed.
Reply   


We have enough homegrown crazy people; UK made.
So we don't need more crazy coming in from the EU.

Vote Brexit! hehehe

london red 10:35 GMT June 17, 2016
GBPUSD 14243

He knows if UK leaves then there will be pretty much no heavy puncher to balance against the Franco German alliance. Second, leaving could be the trigger for the collapse of the EU. A small chance, but its possible. He probably thinks that however. In which case the life support Greece is on will be pulled and things would get much worse before they got better. Probably the best thing for them all considered, but would result in pain for a lot of people in the short term. But getting back their drachma is the only way forward for them, unless they want to be suspended for the next 100 years.

HK [email protected] 10:03 GMT June 17, 2016
Get an advice from Yanis the armchair socialist.
Reply   

He wants Britain in to sink with the EU-Greko boat.

Brexit: EU like ‘Hotel California’, says Varoufakis

The European Union is like The Eagles’ Hotel California; you can check out but you can never leave, former Greek finance minister Yanis Varoufakis told an audience which included President Higgins at the Dalkey Book Festival on Thursday night.
Speaking with economist David McWilliams, Mr Varoufakis, whose seven months as minister in 2015 spanned the worst crisis in the history of the eurozone, said he was campaigning for the “Remain” side in next week’s Brexit referendum because he believed Britain needed to be a part of the EU in order to challenge the status quo.
“A vote for Brexit won’t restore the sovereignty the British people need,” he said. “By voting to leave, you’re not getting out of the mess, you’re making the mess worse.”
However, he was highly critical of British Treasury predictions of economic disaster if Britain does vote to leave, describing them as “scaremongering on steroids”.

Brexit: EU like ‘Hotel California’, says Varoufakis

Amman wfakhoury 10:02 GMT June 17, 2016
GBPUSD 14243

Amman wfakhoury 09:43 GMT 06/17/2016
14243 is strong mag level price up or down will return to it.

Trade accordingly
-----------------------------
First touch 14243

Amman wfakhoury 09:54 GMT June 17, 2016
GBPUSD 14243

Market doing well with my mag levels during this time of BRexit

london red 09:51 GMT June 17, 2016
GBPUSD 14243

cable. topside lvls 14320/30 stops abv. 14410-15 stops abv. sup 14190-95 plus band 14244/53/58.
bit of a relief risk rally triggered by events yesterday. but you would do well to remember that while most global mkts are corelated and move to a degree in tandem, the fact that mkts are more risk on doesnt necessarily mean that the uk public will be switching to remain.

Amman wfakhoury 09:43 GMT June 17, 2016
GBPUSD 14243
Reply   
14243 is strong mag level price up or down will return to it.

Trade accordingly


The only one in the world who confirms the next level


HK [email protected] 09:28 GMT June 17, 2016
According to analysts Brexit chances reduced.
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:




In sympathy with the murdered MP many will turn to "STAY".

Trust the expert which want you to fail!



HK [email protected] 09:17 GMT June 17, 2016
CRAP:A lot of chatter amongst some Brexiteers
Reply   


K.I.S. This guy had just a long history of mental problems.



LONDON SFH 09:11 GMT June 17, 2016
Conspiracy theory
Reply   
A lot of chatter amongst some Brexiteers that the tragic death of MP Jo Cox was a 'hit' ordered by the powers who want the Remain vote...personally I don't believe it-but it appears to be getting people pretty heated..

bali sja 09:11 GMT June 17, 2016
cable
Reply   
cable will trade 1.4540 next week before the poll

GVI Trading Room john 08:52 GMT June 17, 2016
Stocks Rise With Commodities as Falling Brexit Risk Boosts Pound --Bloomberg.com
Reply   
Global stocks rebounded from a four-week low, commodities rallied and the pound strengthened after the murder of a U.K. lawmaker prompted speculation Britons will be less inclined to vote to leave the European Union. Sovereign bonds fell as demand for haven assets cooled.

Stocks Rise With Commodities as Falling Brexit Risk Boosts Pound --Bloomberg.com


Moscow 08:46 GMT June 17, 2016
Friday Trading

At TouchTrades.com you can find the daily analysis of the Forex trading markets. Very useful, I always use it while trading

bali sja 08:31 GMT June 17, 2016
EUROPE RUSSIA

PAR, prostitution booming is the next byproduct of all that stupidity

Mtl JP 08:31 GMT June 17, 2016
EUROPE RUSSIA

solution .... to what "problem" again ?

PAR 08:23 GMT June 17, 2016
EUROPE RUSSIA
Reply   
Europe is specialised in " Shooting itself in the foot " .

War games near the Russian border make nosense .

Trade is the solution .

GVI Trading Room john 08:15 GMT June 17, 2016
Friday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
17-Jun FRIDAY
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 US- Housing Starts & Permits

20-Jun MONDAY
No Major Data
21-Jun TUESDAY
09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
14:00 US- Yellen Testimony
22-Jun WEDNESDAY
12:30 CA- Retail Sales
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
14:00 US- Yellen Testimony
14:30 US- Crude Oil
23-Jun THURSDAY
All Day flash PMIs 24-Jun FRIDAY
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
14:00 US- prelim Univ of Mich


Trading Themes --
  • It appears markets are taking a cautious stance into the Brexit vote next Thursday. The vote is expected to be close. Most recent polls have been showing the "Leave" vote gathering momentum. Many political experts expect last minute deciders to favor "Stay".

  • The dovishness of the latest U.S. Federal Reserve policy decision this week surprised markets after its unexpected dovish turn. Fed Funds futures odds on a rate hike in July are now a scant 6% and they only price in 40% odds on one hike by year-end.

  • The German 10-yr yield today is -0.020%, +2.0bp on profit-taking. This week, investors within the Eurozone were buying German paper and selling lower quality EZ debt. Flight to safety demand is due to worry a U.K. exit vote could undermine the entire EU experiment. The U.S. 10-yr is 1.607% +3.5bp.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


PAR 08:07 GMT June 17, 2016
EUROPE - RSSIAN SANCTIONS
Reply   
If Europe wants to grow again it should start to lift the stupid sanctions against Russia which were a disaster for the European agricultural sectors leading to farmers protest all over Europe .

Building a free tarde zone from " Lisbon to Vladivostok " , including Russia and Ukraine would do much more to boost European growth than NIRP and other IMF STUPIDITIES .

Lagarde better stays in Washington than testing the roomservice of the superluxury hotels all over Europe.

bali sja 07:45 GMT June 17, 2016
DRAGHI NIRP

it is not that Britain has no problems on its own, but Brexit is much better choice for the Brits, why be part of some crazy and stupid mismanagement in whole Europe?

bali sja 07:42 GMT June 17, 2016
DRAGHI NIRP

yes i like the political impact more
adding to that is the blatant acceptance of refugees with little to no skills/education needed you have a complete recipe for disaster in whole Europe, social problems and unrest guaranteed coming next onto your own TVs just like HBO movies

PAR 07:36 GMT June 17, 2016
DRAGHI NIRP
Reply   
Negative interest rate policy destroying European PENSIONS and SAVINGS .

Like in the 1930 s crazy monetary and fiscal policies are leading to political instability .

The IMF instead of being helpful is doing more damage .
It looks like Lagarde wants to destroy Europe instead of help .

Under Pressure, Europe Is Losing Its Ability to Cooperate, IMF Says

Political tensions from refugee crisis and growing euroskepticism hampering efforts to boost growth

http://www.wsj.com/articles/europe-under-pressure-losing-ability-to-cooperate-says-imf-1466091921




hk ab 07:32 GMT June 17, 2016
e/j
Reply   
take 1/2 fast for 40 pips. rest for later addition.

Now can add more 116.50-116 region if SEEN.

But doubt that can be seen again LOL

hk ab 07:28 GMT June 17, 2016
e/j
Reply   
117 in again......

HK [email protected] 05:28 GMT June 17, 2016
BREXIT now done deal. Gold on daily key reversal.




So call it outside reversal(image of the last few days attached)

DEFINITION of 'Outside Reversal'
A price chart pattern in which a security's high and low prices for the day exceed those of the previous trading session. The outside reversal pattern is called by candlestick chartists and analysts a "bearish engulfing" pattern if the second bar is a down candlestick, and a "bullish engulfing" pattern if the second bar is an up candlestick.

Hope this to clarify the matter.



Read more: Outside Reversal Definition - Investopedia http://www.investopedia.com/terms/o/outsidereversal.asp#ixzz4BoMyEBkK
Follow us: Investopedia on Facebook

hk ab 04:28 GMT June 17, 2016
BREXIT now done deal. Gold on daily key reversal.

RF, Gold was not key-day reversal yesterday fwiw.

hk ab 04:27 GMT June 17, 2016
e/j
Reply   
Hm..... after the sweet moves. Now, see how deep it can go.........I expect 117 is the initial reloading region and nothing under 116 can be seen......

RIP to that PM.

HK Kwun 04:04 GMT June 17, 2016
Give me back the money
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1284 Target: Stop: 1294

sell now

Hong Kong 03:26 GMT June 17, 2016
AceTrader Jun 17: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views EUR/USD
Reply   
17 Jun 2016 03:10GMT

EUR/USD - ...... Euro is currently trading roughly where it was exactly 24 hours ago, however, the volatile swings in Thursday's New York session had whipped both euro bulls and bears.

Although euro met renewed selling right at European open at 1.1295 and fell in selloff in tandem with cable, decline accelerated after tripping stops below 1.1189 and hit a 2-week low of 1.1131, rally in cable shortly after European close triggered a wave of broad-based short covering rally in euro esp vs usd, yen and chf, price climbed to 1.1251 before easing but then rose again in tandem with cable to 1.1272 at Asian open.

Although yesterday's rally from 1.131 confirms recent decline has made a low there, there is market chatter of heavy offers at 1.1290/00, suggesting euro is susceptible to another stong retreat later today, so be nimble and be quick.

Bids are reported at 1.1225-05 area whilst offers are tipped at 1.1290/00 with fairly larges stops above 1.1310.

HK Kwun 02:03 GMT June 17, 2016
above 1300 is no man zone

Buy Gold
Entry: 1309 Target: Stop: 1298

this is nonsense, suddenly dropped 40, stopped

tokyo joyya 00:22 GMT June 17, 2016
Friday Trading

gbp and eur non stop now....

GVI Trading Room 00:09 GMT June 17, 2016
Friday Trading

19:48 [USD/JPY] (JP) Japan Fin Min Aso again declines to comment on fx levels; sees one sided and speculative moves in fx
- Important for FX to be stable; Abrupt moves are not desirable.
- Very concerned about one-sided, abrupt, and speculative FX moves,
- Will act to halt speculative FX moves.

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Sydney FT 00:07 GMT June 17, 2016
Friday Trading

Stop city, BOJ? crazy

 




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