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Forex Forum Archive for 06/19/2016

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HK [email protected] 23:58 GMT June 19, 2016
Foreign intervention. US money to influence referendum results.

Wall Street's biggest banks, including Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan and Morgan Stanley, reportedly have donated hundreds of thousands of dollars to Britain Stronger in Europe, the leading campaign to remain. A survey by BritishAmerican Business found that 70 percent of its members thought a Brexit would damage their operations or future investments.

Wonkblog ‘Brexit’ could send shock waves across U.S. and global economy

NYC CT 23:56 GMT June 19, 2016

Look at FT comments below the tracker. Clearly biased for remain.

Sydney ACC 23:41 GMT June 19, 2016

FT Poll Tracker shows vote split 44 all with 12% undecided.


London SFH 20:19 GMT June 19, 2016
Cable up a big figure from Fridays at 14460...polls are neck and neck...monday will be interesting!

GVI Trading Room john 20:03 GMT June 19, 2016
Cameron Accuses Pro-Brexit Campaign of Trying to Deceive Voters
"Prime Minister David Cameron entered the final week of campaigning ahead of the U.K.’s referendum on European Union membership with an accusation that his opponents are trying to deceive people into voting to leave...

Cameron Accuses Pro-Brexit Campaign of Trying to Deceive Voters

GVI Trading Room john 19:58 GMT June 19, 2016
Monday Trading


No Major Data
09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
14:00 US- Yellen Testimony
12:30 CA- Retail Sales
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
14:00 US- Yellen Testimony
14:30 US- Crude Oil
All Day flash PMIs 24-Jun FRIDAY
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
14:00 US- prelim Univ of Mich

Trading Themes --
  • In addition to the upcoming Brexit vote the wek ahead will see the key German ZEW and IFo Surveys. Flash PMI data for June are slated as well.

  • Markets are taking a cautious stance into the Brexit vote Thursday. The vote should be close. The latest polls have been showing the "Stay" vote closing in on "Leave". Many political experts are expecting last minute deciders to favor "Stay".

  • The dovishness of the latest U.S. Federal Reserve policy decision last week surprised markets after its unexpected dovish turn. Fed Funds futures odds on a rate hike in July are now a scant 6% and they only price in 40% odds on one hike by year-end.

  • The German Bund closed last week at -0.020%, +2.0bp on profit-taking. Fixed Income traders nvestors within the Eurozone last week were buying German paper and selling lower quality EZ debt. Flight to safety demand is due to worry a U.K. exit vote could undermine the entire EU experiment. The U.S. 10-yr was 1.607% +3.5bp.

John M. Bland, MBA

GVI Trading Room john 16:32 GMT June 19, 2016

Brexit (The Observer)
Remain 44%
Leave 44%

Source: TTn

London AzaForex 15:03 GMT June 19, 2016
Strategies on GOLD by AzaForex

Sell Gold
Entry: 1276 Target: 1264 Stop:

Day trading strategies on GOLD 17-06-2016 by AzaForex forex broker
The rate of Gold yesterday drastically changed after fresh news. During last days it was possible to observe a growing trend. Gold was growing every day, and it seemed that it would never end. But yesterday everything changed. Within minutes, the mood of traders and investors have taken completely the opposite direction. Such abrupt changes in rates in the Forex market rarely stops without future movement. Therefore, you can count on a further reduction in rates, at a penetration level of support. If the bearish sentiment in the stock market will continue, we will open a short position.

On the bearish sentiment indicates that the average out of the MACD histogram.
The MACD trend indicator is below zero level now, indicating bearish movement.

If the support level is broken you can use the following recommendation:
• Chart timeframe: H4
• The trade recommendation: Sell
• The level of entry into short position 1276
• The level of profit and close the position: 1264 (1200 pips)

Livingston nh 13:47 GMT June 19, 2016
Too Much To Handle: Fed And Brexit?

Yellen can expect a Crossfire in Congress - Dems will be after her for Econ outlook, bank coddling and senior savings deprivation (incl pension funds) - Repubs will be critical of Fed in general, populist themes (quasi Trump doctrine)

Her wonky expert approach won't play well in an election year that has the Great Unwashed rising w/ pitchforks in both parties

Livingston nh 13:36 GMT June 19, 2016
Too Much To Handle: Fed And Brexit?

There is another unknown for UK after Brexit vote - the Chilcot Report (finally) is expected - this should be just a mere retrospective without consequence (like the US 9/11 Commission) BUT there could be a political split in Labor similar to the Brexit split in Conservatives

Combine Leave vote together w/ the do-gooder Vindictive EU, Cameron, Blair and Corbyn w/ a dash of SNP for a pungent Political Stew

Mtl JP 13:28 GMT June 19, 2016

IF who votes how is more important than who counts the votes

Full list of individual polls

GVI Trading Room john 11:42 GMT June 19, 2016
Brexit Poll (Survation)
Remain 45%
Leave 42%

Source: TTN

GVI Trading Room john 11:37 GMT June 19, 2016
Too Much To Handle: Fed And Brexit?

John M. Bland, MBA

Finally The Brexit Vote
This week on Thursday, June 23, the U.K. will finally hold its referendum on whether it should leave the EU ("BREXIT"). The vote is non-binding, but if it passes it is expected to put into motion actions to eventually exit the U.K. from the EU. If it passes, it could also see the Cameron Government fall and possibly trigger national elections.

Too Much To Handle: Fed And Brexit?

nw kw 05:47 GMT June 19, 2016
Truth OR Dare

one yaker called bond market tax haven, referred to its going to stay cheap.
levering biggest increase is in ruble, ramped up fast to pre eu spat. so china can use ussr?

dc CB 03:08 GMT June 19, 2016
Grave threats: Brexit would turn UK into minor trading post: French minister

so let's ....
becauz here in Colorado

every F&**n one of us is armed to the Teeth. e need BIG Safes to keep our guns away from our 5 Year Olds.

plus we can smoke POT

hahahahahahaha U British Tools

HK [email protected] 01:36 GMT June 19, 2016
Grave threats: Brexit would turn UK into minor trading post: French minister

Grave threats? Hmmm

France's economy minister, probably wants Britain out.

Add 2 percent to supporters of Brexit.

Brexit: locked-done-deal!!!

dc CB 01:22 GMT June 19, 2016
Grave threats: Brexit would turn UK into minor trading post: French minister

funny that you have moved from the UK er er England erer to a US state of--Colorado---Where it is ILLEGAL to collect Rainwater in a barrel attached to a downspout on YOUR HOUSE. Becauz in the WAY back...there was a Claim on the Water Rights>

Good Luck with that....OOOOO yeah U can Smoke Pot legally in er er er erer ererere What did you say 'bout Rainwater...ooooooooooo nother Toke


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AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
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