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Forex Forum Archive for 06/22/2016

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Sydney ACC 23:57 GMT June 22, 2016
UK and Europe face Mutual Assured Destruction if they botch Brexit
Reply   
Whatever the result of Britain's referendum on the EU we can be sure of one thing: there will not be a global financial crisis the next day.

Nothing dreadful will suddenly happen. The US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan, and the Olympian fraternity of money printers will stand with the Bank of England, ready to flood the international system with liquidity.

Link to full story

Mtl JP 23:56 GMT June 22, 2016
Polls are telling us nothing clear about this referendum outcome.

50-50 odds tell you exactly the same thing as if or when you knew nothing. Luckily a state of perfect balance of nothing in dynamic Nature does not last long.
-
Referendum voting starts at 2:00am ET on Thursday, June 23
polls close at 5:00pm ET.
earliest estimated results begin at 7:30pm ET
latest expected by 2:00am ET on Friday, June 24.
media projections of result likely to start between 10:00pm ET and 12:00am ET
then there is the most critical and peski question of the actual voting: who and how does the counting

IF have an "in" to the peski question and r willing to offer some hints: tiavm.

HK [email protected] 23:30 GMT June 22, 2016
Polls are telling us nothing clear about this referendum outcome.
Reply   

Can't use them even for guessing.

In fact the only general idea to conclude; No Beckman or other celebrities, no Jo Cox event and no nothing is swaying significantly the people to any side.

50/50, is what we get more or less from those polls and that's all.

But BREXIT voters are zealots feeling they fight for their freedom, and it can give them the advantage, at least through their high participation.

Hard to believe any BREXIT voter ever changed his mind.

KL KL 21:56 GMT June 22, 2016
Short Aud/usd
Reply   
Dooommmsh.... Selling AUD/USD relentlessly... .7521.... no need to think cover lower obviously or short more higher.....Funny Morning bizness?? who cares....signal to attak have begun...Brexit!! brexit!! brexit....LOL

DFM DLTm imvho and DYOR....

Ldn Cashman 21:48 GMT June 22, 2016
EU Referendum - 23rd June...what it may mean to your trading..

50 percent of the British public totally snubbed. Conservatives will be dead.

Ldn Cashman 21:46 GMT June 22, 2016
EU Referendum - 23rd June...what it may mean to your trading..

So when Cameron said he will accept the will of the people he was lying ? He's rather good at that. There will be riots.

dc CB 21:25 GMT June 22, 2016
EU Referendum - 23rd June...what it may mean to your trading..

in reality it will Only effect trading. Even if the "Vote" is Leave, it's just a Vote. I will take Parlimentary action to actually Leave and that will never happen. They'll simply say, "it's not in YOUR best interests", so you can stuff it.

GVI Trading Room john 21:07 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

New polls
YouGov
Remain 51%
Leave 49%

Daily Mail
Remain 48%
Leave 42%

Source: TTN

dc CB 20:58 GMT June 22, 2016
PreView of the coming US Elections
Reply   
According to Fox, Pagliano’s sworn testimony with conservative organization Judicial Watch lasted for roughly 90 minutes, during which the IT expert repeatedly read a carefully worded statement off of an index card while refusing to answer questions. Pagliano’s deposition on Wednesday was originally scheduled to occur more than two weeks ago, but was postponed when his lawyers notified the court that the former State Department employee would be pleading the Fifth.

Which he did. Repeatedly.

Hillary Clinton's IT Aide Pleads The Fifth Over 125 Times

dc CB 20:56 GMT June 22, 2016
Yellen

Why she is in Charge of Your Money.

Yellen: " growth has been disappointing. I'm not sure of the reason."

GVI Trading Room john 20:05 GMT June 22, 2016
Thursday Trading

Market Sentiment Indicators
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one rate hike by yearend are 51% from 61% late Tuesday.

Spot EURUSD: 1.1308
20-day avg: 1.1267
Pivot Point: 1.1296

Brexit finally at hand. Its looking like this will be a nail-biter. It should fade as a market by the start of the new week. Fed Chair Yellen continues to signal that Fed policy is on hold.

GVI Trading Room john 20:02 GMT June 22, 2016
Thursday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
23-Jun THURSDAY
All Day flash PMIs
ALL Day- UK Brexit Vote
24-Jun FRIDAY
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
14:00 US- prelim Univ of Mich


Trading Themes --
  • The U.K. Brexit vote is Thursday. The first set of results are expected early Friday morning local time in the U.K. Late polls are showing the vote in a dead heat. Many political experts have been expecting last minute deciders to favor "Stay". Conventional wisdom is that a heavy turnout tends to favor the "stay" side.

  • Some analysts are saying the expected last minute swing to the status quo might not be happening. Results are expected early in the day Friday.

  • Global Flash PMI data for June are slated for Thursday, along with the Brexit vote. Friday will see the Brexit Referendum vote results and later, the key German IFO survey for June. Several pieces of U.S. data are due as well.

  • Round two of Fed Chair Yellen's semiannual Congressional testimony made no waves. She simply confirmed that the U.S. economy is likely to remain in a slow patch for an extended period of time.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


GVI Forex Blog 19:42 GMT June 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

GVI Forex Blog 19:30 GMT June 22, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

nw kw 19:24 GMT June 22, 2016
Yellen

xauusd 15m chart invert to bund has rang,s. on brake out .

GVI Forex Blog 19:14 GMT June 22, 2016
EU Referendum - 23rd June...what it may mean to your trading..
Reply   

We are fast approaching the actual voting for the UK’s EU Referendum on this Thursday the 23rd of June and I thought it would be timely to give you a guide on what to look out for on the night & shortly thereafter

EU Referendum - 23rd June...what it may mean to your trading..

GVI Trading Room john 18:03 GMT June 22, 2016
Sterling slips after poll gives Brexit camp 1-point lead -- Reuters.com
Reply   
Sterling slipped on Wednesday after an opinion poll gave the "Leave" campaign a one-point lead over those who want to keep Britain in the European Union, less than 15 hours before voting in a membership referendum begins.

The Opinium survey of around 3,000 people, conducted between June 20 and 22, put support for "Leave" at 45 percent and "Remain" at 44 percent...

Sterling slips after poll gives Brexit camp 1-point lead -- Reuters.com

hk ab 17:57 GMT June 22, 2016
gold
Reply   
sq all now, enough for profit and prepare the fight tmr.

hk ab 17:43 GMT June 22, 2016
gold
Reply   
perfect again....

The ONE and only ONE stuff........

Exit the lower entry and keep the upper entry.

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 17:28 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

13:00 (UK) Latest Brexit poll: 41% for remain, 43% for leave - TNS online poll
- poll was conducted between June 16-22, with 2,300 respondents

**NOTE: The last TNS poll (06/14) found 40% for 'Remain', 47% for 'Leave'

- Source TradeTheNews.com

hk ab 17:12 GMT June 22, 2016
gold
Reply   
told ya....... sharks and yellen smack gold everyday.

hk ab 17:09 GMT June 22, 2016
gold
Reply   
sold more 1269

hk ab 17:02 GMT June 22, 2016
gold
Reply   
smacking the gold everyday is Yellen's job.....

dc CB 17:01 GMT June 22, 2016
Yellen

Questioner: What exactly do you do all day?

Yellen:
We are working hard.
We are looking into that.
We are planning to study that.
Not at this time.
I'll have to get back to you on that.
I don't have the details on that.

nw kw 16:54 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

LMAX will add staff overnight in London and in Hong Kong, Mr. Mercer said, on expectations of results coming piecemeal starting after midnight Thursday

HK [email protected] 16:51 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit


Probably many will rush to buy houses in London after Brexit, so prices will not be affected too much.

PAR 16:49 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

If I wanted to buy a house in London I would vote LEAVE .

HK [email protected] 16:46 GMT June 22, 2016
Brexit will turn to a stunning victory.
Reply   

As mentioned several posts ago, the bankers-made market, shows: "BREMAIN", courtesy clue of the predators-bankers.

Livingston nh 16:41 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

This probably belongs on Political Forum

England has always been the balance in Europe back to the Tudors - Germany is the upstart -- EU vs Russia is not a good bet

Take the long view

no fan of England as my forebears were Irish BUT reality is what it is - the Irish and Greeks voted their BUMS out but the New Bums sold them out - MAYBE the English are different

nw kw 16:38 GMT June 22, 2016
Yellen

Yellen: U.S. Treasury Bonds 'Are A Pretty Safe Investment'

hk ab 16:37 GMT June 22, 2016
gold
Reply   
see the shark fins in gold? LOL.....

Livingston nh 16:31 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

cb - Agree - i'm shocked that EUR has survived longer than any multi-national scrip, especially in Europe (source of all major conflict for 400 years)

dc CB 16:28 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

nh
if Leave wins the Euro is ultimately Toast...in the long run.
Because if Leave wins -- it will show that The Riggers(of all MarkITs) will have somehow manged to become impotent.
The ultimate Loss of Hand.
imho.

Livingston nh 16:24 GMT June 22, 2016
STOX
Reply   
Internals are still positive BUT Monday's Gap looms below - a close below 2070 sets the tone for SUMMER

hk ab 16:18 GMT June 22, 2016
gold
Reply   
enter 1 more 1267.7

hk ab 16:13 GMT June 22, 2016
gold
Reply   
shark sold with me.....

Livingston nh 16:08 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

BY the time NY opens on Friday most of the "damage" will be done - so who has more to lose if BREXIT is the result? -- EUR trade zone scrip may suffer more than UK Pound as things adjust

hk ab 16:05 GMT June 22, 2016
e/j
Reply   
close to the confirmation of a s/t bottom.....

Livingston nh 15:57 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

Bullet Voting - 2fer1 - Scotland wants to stay in EU BUT SNP wants to be shed of England -- a vote for Brexit = a vote for Scotland // watch what they do not what they say

hk ab 15:57 GMT June 22, 2016
gold
Reply   
I could soon be the only one.........
exit 1/2 1267......

rest same stop 1273.5

nw kw 15:56 GMT June 22, 2016
gold

bund support gave out pondering 1.7, big risk on /out usd good to eur.

nw kw 15:51 GMT June 22, 2016
gold

see bond support/ pivot lutsgo.

dc CB 15:50 GMT June 22, 2016
Brexit

Italy‘s anti-establishment 5-Star movement, buoyed by big gains in local elections, has pressed demands for a referendum on whether to keep the euro, something that would add to a wave of plebiscites shaking politics across Europe.

French Front National leader Marine Le Pen made the remarks yesterday in a discussion on France’s TF1 television where she praised Britain’s referendum and said France — as well as a host of other European nations — wanted a say on their future too.

The French presidential hopeful — who is presently surging in the polls ahead of the 2017 election — told the channel: “What I’m asking for is a referendum in France. Every EU member should be able to have its say in a referendum”

nw kw 15:48 GMT June 22, 2016
gold

pre flight to bond before hand still a play /aud 2 way move.

hk ab 15:46 GMT June 22, 2016
gold

even with the gbp dive and gold doesn't respond, no help......

a trip to 1200 should be necessary if it can't have some meaningful move by tmr.

nw kw 15:44 GMT June 22, 2016
gold

entertain some people bond out look pl, might spike. gl.

hk ab 15:36 GMT June 22, 2016
gold

to entertain some people, this time, stop is placed 1273.5

Livingston nh 15:36 GMT June 22, 2016
Brexit

Tomorrow's REFERENDUM is the most meaningful survey - you can bet the event // Nobody knows what either outcome holds for UK and EU on D-Day+1

hk ab 15:35 GMT June 22, 2016
gold
Reply   
who dare to short gold now?.......
Maybe I sell 1 to test the mkt.....

hk ab 15:34 GMT June 22, 2016
Brexit
Reply   
can someone tell, which survey are the more "crucial" for the mkt?

GVI Trading Room john 15:33 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

I heard this poll was taken before MP Jo Cox was murdered. I cannot confirm this...

GVI Trading Room john 15:32 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Opinium Poll
45% leave
44% stay

Source:TTN

hk ab 15:01 GMT June 22, 2016
gold
Reply   
unusally narrowing in hourly and daily.....

dc CB 14:54 GMT June 22, 2016
Yellen

Yellen using her tried and true technique of eating up the time by bumbling around and never really answering the question

Beat The Clock Yellen.

If/When this all blows up, just imagine her in the hot seat trying to bumble her answers

HK [email protected] 14:46 GMT June 22, 2016
He should be praying everyday now for the miracle.......
Reply   

This is the coming miracle, which will save face fot "THE ONE".

PIMCO: sterling could hit 30 year-low vs dollar after a Brexit vote

PIMCO: sterling could hit 30 year-low vs dollar after a Brexit vote

PAR 14:40 GMT June 22, 2016
Yellen

She s now talking about the " Weak US Labor Market " .

dc CB 14:37 GMT June 22, 2016
Yellen
Reply   
she faces one hostile Chairman and one Semi A$$ kissing Chairwoman.

This will be a TESTY session as Republican members hate the FED and the Democrats defend FED/Obama.

House members are not as restrained as the Senate

Live link

hk ab 14:35 GMT June 22, 2016
gbp
Reply   
reshort again above 1.47.....to rescue Wfakhoury..... 1.4235 magnet.

He should be praying everyday now for the miracle.......

GVI Trading Room john 14:31 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -0.900 vs. -1.900 exp vs. -0.960 prev.
Gasoline: +0.600 vs. -0.460 exp vs. 2.610 prev.
Distillates:+0.200 vs. +0.440 exp vs. +2.600 prev.
Cap/Util: 91.3% vs. 90.70% prev.




Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 14:28 GMT June 22, 2016
Watch you back boyz!!!

It appears that David Cameron may have fibbed a bit when he said that one of the most contentious issues behind the Brexit campaign, namely the treatment of Turkish EU membership, won't be a topic for "decades" and that Turkey won't join the EU until the year 3000.

As AFP reports, “The EU will open new membership talks with Turkey as planned in a few days, EU diplomatic sources said Wednesday, just as Ankara’s accession becomes a hot-button issue in Britain’s vote on its future in the bloc." Citing a source, who asked not to be named, AFP said that EU member states will meet June 30 to agree to open a new negotiating chapter with Turkey.

In Surprise Twist, EU Will Resume Turkey EU Membership Talks Just Days After Brexit Referendum

PAR 14:20 GMT June 22, 2016
VIETNAM REVISITED
Reply   
B-52 Bombers Pounding Islamic State at Faster Pace, General Says

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-06-22/b-52-bombers-pounding-islamic-state-at-faster-pace-general-says

GVI Trading Room john 14:18 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Prepared text unchanged

Yellen Webcast

PAR 14:13 GMT June 22, 2016
RISK ON
Reply   
Lagarde and Yellen Cheerleading the markets higher .

HK [email protected] 14:10 GMT June 22, 2016
Watch you back boyz!!!
Reply   
Brexit referendum contagion spreads across Europe
The Brexit referendum contagion is spreading.

In Italy, the anti-establishment 5-Star movement yesterday called for a referendum on the Euro.

"We want a consultative referendum on the euro. The euro as it is today does not work. We either have alternative currencies or a 'Euro 2'," Luigi Di Maio, a vice president of the lower house of parliament, said during a talk show on Tuesday night........................

///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

David Cameron accused of 'lying and colluding with the EU' as Brexit contagion spreads across Europe with France, Italy and Holland all calling for referendums.

Half Cameron’s Business Advisory Group fail to sign pro-EU letter
Almost half of David Cameron's most senior business advisers have not signed his pro-EU campaign's letter calling for an In vote in the referendum.

Nine of the 20 members of his Business Advisory Group, which provides the Prime Minister with "high level advice" on "critical business and economic issues facing the UK", have not added their names.

They include executives from the bank Santander, financial services company Legal and General, the accountants Ernst & Young and property firm Land Securities.

Eurosceptics said the failure to sign up Mr Cameron’s own business experts backed up their case that Britain would “thrive” if the country votes to leave the EU on Thursday.

Spokesmen for a number of executives said they had not endorsed the letter because their companies were not taking a formal stance on the referendum.

The letter, organised by Britain Stronger In Europe and published in The Times on Wednesday, was signed by some 1,285 business leaders including executives on 51 FTSE companies.

Read Ben Riley-Smith's full story here

David Cameron accused of 'lying and colluding with the EU' as Brexit contagion spreads across Europe with France, Italy and Holland all calling for referendums

GVI Forex Blog 14:07 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Existing Home Sales In Line
Reply   

U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln) May 2016

Most significant housing statistic. Data much in line with forecasts.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Existing Home Sales In Line

GVI Trading Room john 14:01 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Existing Homes sales in line with estimates

GVI Trading Room john 14:01 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln) May 2016

U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
5.530 vs. 5.530 exp. vs 5.450 (r 5.43) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 13:58 GMT June 22, 2016
BREXIT
Reply   
Europe is afraid that a Brexit could turn the UK into a fiscal paradise .

GVI Forex Blog 13:53 GMT June 22, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 22 June 2016
Reply   


June 21, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, June 22, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: JP- flash PMI
  • Europe: EZ- flash PMI
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, flash PMI, Lead Indicator, New Homes Sales, Natural Gas

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
23-Jun THURSDAY
All Day flash PMIs
24-Jun FRIDAY
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
14:00 US- prelim Univ of Mich

GVI Data Calendar for 22 June 2016

GVI Trading Room john 13:51 GMT June 22, 2016
Wednesday Trading

June 22 Testimony - Chair Janet L. Yellen
Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
Before the Committee on Financial Services, U.S. House of Representatives, Washington, D.C.
10:00 a.m. ET

SaaR KaL 13:37 GMT June 22, 2016
Equity Longs
Reply   
TSLA Long
236.5371 212.4084
242.5693 206.3762
248.6015 200.3440


IMO these are good for a week +
to long with dips

TSLA
AME
CELG
CSCO
GILD
ICE
KMX
KR
LLTC
MRK
NDAQ
NFLX
REGN
SLM
V
WFM

nw kw 13:28 GMT June 22, 2016
BREXIT

GBP risk hiding in aud unwinding and eur to gbp?some jpy risk on for jpy trading against world to this year. u/j 108.

PAR 13:15 GMT June 22, 2016
BREXIT
Reply   
Short GBP at 1.4710 . Brexit or no Brexit the financial situation of the UK is far from good . Plenty of debt .

Even with a remain UK will have to solve its own financial problems .

Cape May jb 13:12 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

Its looking to me like those speculating/hedging about a leave vote must be lifting their positions. The outcome for Brexit will be binary. You either get out or you don't. I would not want to be short GBP on a remain vote.

SaaR KaL 12:54 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

=========Breaking News=======
I just shorted at 1.4730

Singapore SC 12:48 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

News in cable?

haifa ac 12:48 GMT June 22, 2016
One analyst FOR BRexit
Reply   
Gilad Alper, an Israeli analyst writes
Brits MUST vote for Brexit and blow up the Union. It will bring a positive change in Britain economy, will accelerate the dissolving of the EURO which will bring much needed blessing to the Europeans who are withering under the union
Will the international commerce of England be hurt? No. because the EURO is a Cartel that protects local producers from global competition. Strict regulations encumbers competitive imports.
The moment Britain leaves and if they exercise free trade-- British customers will enjoy a drop of about 8% reduction in general prices
Will EURO impose high taxes on Britain as punishment? irrational because Britain is the most important market for the EURO (bigger than USA). European exporters will not allow such taxation
Why then do so many business cry against BRexit?--It has to do with the nature of the EURO-- a non-competitive alliance where the big businesses enjoy a larger market share and small business are suffocated
It is obvious that small businesses are FOR BRexit and they are the ones who hire most new labor
Some British industry (Pharma, Security, some cars) will get hurt but other sections of the British economy will get a big push.
The EURO is 23% of world economy but that means that 77% will be the engine that will propel British economy if the government allows free trade
Finally, do not forget that 400 million people are withering under a failing European economy with 45% unemployment in Spain, 29% in Italy 25% in France and those youngsters have little where to go.
http://www.bizportal.co.il/marketopionion/news/article/430562


One economist opinion. GO KNOW.

GVI Forex Blog 12:43 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Retail Sales Better
Reply   

Retail Sales (May) 2016

Canada: Retail Sales expectations

BREAKING NEWS: Canada Retail Sales Better

GVI Trading Room john 12:32 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Canada: Retail Sales (May) 2016

Canada Charts






NEWS ALERT
Retail Sales
Headline: +0.90% vs. +0.90% exp. vs. -1.00% (r -0.80%) prev.
X-Autos: +1.30% vs. +0.60% exp. vs. -0.30% (r -0.10%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

London AzaForex 12:23 GMT June 22, 2016
Day trading strategies by AzaForex
Reply   
Sell USDCAD
Entry: 1.2760 Target: 1.2660 Stop:

Day trading strategies on the currency pair USDCAD 22-06-2016 by AzaForex forex broker
Foreign exchange trading follow these basic steps.
The dollar didn't do anything special that would raise their quotes in the Forex market against the Canadian dollar. The pair, recently made an attempt to break out of the downtrend, but the bears were stronger and were able not only to return the price to previous levels, but also to start a new descending movement. In fact, if the price moving below the support level 1.2760 will be a great chance to earn about 100 points, as no obstacle to the fall of the dollar are not near.

The price is below a simple moving average 200 MA and 20 MA indicating bearish trend.
The MACD trend indicator is below zero level now, indicating bearish movement.

If the support level is broken you can use the following recommendation:
• Chart timeframe: H4
• The trade recommendation: Sell
• The level of entry into short position 1.2760
• The level of profit and close the position: 1.2660 (100 pips)


Forex currency pair GBPUSD
Possible bullish movement in the breakout of the resistance level 1.4800

Forex currency pair EURUSD
Possible bullish movement in the breakout of the resistance level 1.1190

GOLD
Possible bearish movement in the breakdown of the support level 1276

Forex currency pair USDJPY
Possible bearish movement in the breakdown of the support level 103.50

Cape May jb 11:30 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

PAR- I agree with you on asymmetry. Stay by definition is no change. Exit implies a lot of uncertainty. Nevertheless, If stay wins a number of leave hedges will have to be unwound. So either way we should see some large price swings. At least the markets know this is coming.

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 11:28 GMT June 22, 2016
Brexit Central
Reply   
We are opening our GVI Trading Room to everyone to cover the period through the Brexit results. If you want access, send me an EMAIL

Livingston nh 11:27 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

I'm not sure the money issue is one sided - upside for the Pound on REMAIN seems limited, it will likely decline in either event // stox might get a relief rally on REMAIN; EUR bump for a couple of weeks but Greece and immigration pop back on the radar

Brexit will make money move around but the initial reaction in EU and UK stox, corp bonds and real estate might get hit - so more money lost

PAR 11:14 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

Assymetrical. More money is to be made on LEAVE than on REMAIN.

NY JM 11:09 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

nh, this is what markets are saying so shock would be no Brexit even though it is a risk.

Livingston nh 11:06 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

2 things I would note - the polite term in elections for change is "inertia rules" because voters are basically sheep - it takes a lot of energy to change that dynamic (its why revolutions never start w/ a majority backing)

The number of UN-Decided is never as high as the polls suggest, especially in a Brexit type election (aka change)
_______
REMAIN is the Default Position

Sydney ACC 10:40 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

Remember the apocalyptic predictions regarding Y2k.



Mtl JP 10:34 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

could matter enormously who counts the votes as
brexit referendum win = 50%+1 votes cast

The Brexit vote: Everything you need to know about the referendum

HK [email protected] 10:25 GMT June 22, 2016
Markets play it to the tune of "BREMAIN".
Reply   


But markets are bankers made.

Bankers are very generous to give us such a free clue.

Mtl JP 10:14 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

now... here is a bit more lucid trading strategy: how about the potential for bargains from

FTSE 100 could see £350bn wiped off in Brexit aftermath, warns UBS

Mtl JP 10:11 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

betting on polls is not exactly the brightest thing to do

In the last six polls published by members of the British Polling Council before Wednesday, the Remain side has averaged 45.5 per cent support. The Leave campaign follows less than two points behind at 43.8 per cent. On average, 10 per cent of voters remain undecided.

GVI Trading Room john 09:53 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit

UK Ladbrokes on CNBC. the big money bets on Brexit favor STAY. The larger number of bets favor LEAVE. Average STAY bet is GBP 450, Average LEAVE bet is GBP 75. Odds on STAY currently are 76%.

Draw your own conclusions.

kl fs 09:25 GMT June 22, 2016
brexit
Reply   
brexit countdown
we are going to have a super boring 24 hours with limited range
yawn...

SaaR KaL 09:10 GMT June 22, 2016
EURGBP a good buy
Reply   
0.8019 0.7575
0.8130 0.7464

GVI Trading Room 09:07 GMT June 22, 2016
Sterling and euro firm ahead of Brexit vote -- Reuters.com
Reply   
LONDON, June 22 Sterling and the euro inched higher on the last day of campaigning before Britain's referendum on EU membership, the pound trading just off its highest this year after a swing in polls towards the "In" camp this week.

Most analysts still see the vote as too close to call and the mood remains shaky among financial investors...

Sterling and euro firm ahead of Brexit vote -- Reuters.com


GVI Trading Room john 09:02 GMT June 22, 2016
Wednesday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
22-Jun WEDNESDAY
12:30 CA- Retail Sales
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
14:00 US- Yellen Testimony
14:30 US- Crude Oil
23-Jun THURSDAY
All Day flash PMIs
24-Jun FRIDAY
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
14:00 US- prelim Univ of Mich


Trading Themes --
  • Chair Yellen will do round two of her testimony before the House rather than the Senate today. I don't see any need for the Chair to "clarify" anything she said Tuesday. Yellen's prepared text will not change and she will face a long list of questioners.

  • On Tuesday, Fed Chair Yellen made a subtle, but significant change in her policy outlook. She said the FOMC is waiting to see "whether", not "when" to change rates. The Fed has moved back to a cautious policy posture from an aggressive tightening view. In any case keep a close eye on the monthly trade data.

  • The U.K. Brexit vote is Thursday. The first set of results are expected early Friday morning local time in the U.K. Late polls are showing the vote in a dead heat. Many political experts have been expecting last minute deciders to favor "Stay". The conventional wisdom is that a heavy turnout tends to favor the "stay" side. The key German IFo Survey and global Flash PMI data for June are slated for Friday.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


PAR 08:55 GMT June 22, 2016
Tesla - SolarCity
Reply   
Consequences of low interest rates.

Combining two cash draining companies into one bigger cash draining company . A brilliant idea induced by crazy monetary policies .

GVI Trading Room john 08:44 GMT June 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

Cautious trade heading into the Brexit vote tomorrow.

SaaR KaL 08:44 GMT June 22, 2016
USDJPY Very bullish

Will start Long EURAUD soon
1.5264 1.5027
1.5323 1.4968

GVI Forex Blog 08:43 GMT June 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

SaaR KaL 08:21 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Buying USDCAD
1.3067 1.2595
1.3185 1.2477

HK Kwun 07:57 GMT June 22, 2016
below 1267 is still a sell

Sell Gold
Entry: 1268 Target: Stop: 1278

should be below 1278

HK Kwun 07:56 GMT June 22, 2016
below 1267 is still a sell
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1268 Target: Stop: 1278

sell again,

SaaR KaL 07:55 GMT June 22, 2016
USDJPY Very bullish
Reply   
USDJPY Next Level is 108 from here

PAR 07:16 GMT June 22, 2016
RISK ON
Reply   
After yesterday EU debate markets playing BREMAIN theme . Dovish Yellen implies no US rate hike this year .

TINA is the word .

Hong Kong 03:47 GMT June 22, 2016
AceTrader Jun 22: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY
Reply   
22 Jun 2016 02:09GMT

USD/JPY - ...... Although dlr ratcheted higher to 105.05 in New York following comments by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen, price retreated to 104.62 ahead of Asian opening on Wednesday and then lower to 104.43 in Tokyo morning due to broad-based buying in yen on risk aversion.

Today's focus for the greenback will be on another speech from Fed's Chair Yellen at 14:00GMT, other than that, investors should also pay attention to the release of U.S.'s Monthly Home Price and Existing Homes Sales in New York morning.

At present, offers are reported at 104.70-80 and then 104.90-00 with stops above there.
On the downside, bids are noted at 104.30-20 and more at 104.10-00 with stops below 103.90.

Beijing Laowen 02:51 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

JP, looks USDCAD is preparing for an upswing. Your view? Cheers.

HK Kwun 02:28 GMT June 22, 2016
Sell after break 1277

Sell Gold
Entry: 1274 Target: Stop: 1284

lowest was 1264, already said sure win trade, criticize people is much easier than post real trade, buy gold? hahah

Jkt Abel 01:59 GMT June 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Next time she can wear pink with very glossy lipstick and super curly eyelashes, then they have something to report on

HK [email protected] 01:52 GMT June 22, 2016
Wot!!! No more poles???
Reply   

Biased polls, foreign meddling, threat from Soros and Co., masking propaganda.

But a simple fact per my suggestion, the murder of Jo Cox, had no effect on the voters.

People will relate to the facts they have to decide upon.

The result are not easy to predict because of heavy masking propaganda by the big money.

But as Brexit returns to a positive monentum, it will take over.

Mtl JP 00:12 GMT June 22, 2016
Wednesday Trading
Reply   
I am biased
euro s heading 100-ish pips south.
maybe more than -100
your risk parameters application strongly suggested

 




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Mon 27 May 2019
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AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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