wallstreet PiPiT 21:54 GMT July 1, 2016
gold
ab , hello .
GVI Trading Room john 20:17 GMT July 1, 2016
Monday Trading
Reply
Market Sentiment Indicators
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one rate hike by year end are +5% (= rate cut) from -5% late Thursday.
Spot EURUSD: 1.1128
20-day avg: 1.1236
Pivot Point: 1.1124
WIDE DIVERGENCE persists as Brexit fallout remains in play. Markets are trying to close the gap. 5% odds now on one rate hike by year end.
dc CB 19:18 GMT July 1, 2016
4th Reading In Light of all that's happened in June
Reply
The Last Election
read it in the way-back...lin the 90's. Never thought?
I'd call it Prescient Non-Fiction
The Last Election
by Pete Davies
3.67 � Rating Details � 24 Ratings � 4 Reviews
Paperback
Published 1987 by Vintage (first published 1986)
"The Last Election" is a distopian, political novel set in some unspecified future in London. Some critics have called it satire, others a thriller. In this future England, the Money Party reigns over the political scene, and they control pretty much everything, including the media. The Money Party tells everyone, "We're doing very well" - positive messages tend to keep the population from dwelling on the negative. The Money Party strongly supports the service sector b/c in this future state, people have been replaced by machines or by outsourcing because it is cheaper to do so. Money is not tied to goods but exchanges hands electronically. Disappointing to the Money Party, the population is largely jobless and therefore has copious amounts of freetime. The young cannot find jobs and are on welfare. They spend their time in dance clubs, doing drugs and drinking. There are 13 million OAP's (old age pensioners) collecting money from the government. The global economy is pumping less oil b/c there's too much of it, so the price has gone down. Therefore, there is less money to spend on public works like roads and hospitals.
The main characters are Wally Wasted, a bitter but beloved television personality w/ weak moral fiber; Grief, a very popular and rich nightclub owner and drug distributor; Bludge, a good cop; Milla, a closet People Party supporter and creative ad woman working for the Money Party; Moses, a chemist and designer of drugs; Crinkly, re-election campaign manager of the Money Party
B/c those with jobs are so lucky to have them, our characters often find themselves stuck w/ jobs that lean towards the immoral. Moses' job is to create ever-cheaper drugs for all the oldies; because he is driven by the desire to medicate to forget or to escape his life, these drugs often have a secondary aim: to get people high. In our story, Moses creates a new drug to devastating effects; b/c of the spin the government takes on this drug, our protagonists are finally triggered to do something drastic about their society and the direction it is headed
The Last Election
hk ab 19:18 GMT July 1, 2016
gold
Reply
day hi close......
Libertyville S.D. 19:13 GMT July 1, 2016
Carney
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
We can't figure it out yet. I think that some major changes is coming and I am excited to it.
Libertyville S.D. 19:12 GMT July 1, 2016
gbp
EURAUD
Entry: Target: Stop:
I am hoping for the best about it. I don't know yet if Brexit brings good or bad thing in the market in the long term.
hk ab 19:04 GMT July 1, 2016
gold
Reply
PPT must have an early long weekend......
hk ab 17:52 GMT July 1, 2016
gbp
Reply
If both gbp/jpy and gbp/usd close under 136 and 1.3250 respectively, I think it's the sign of 2nd leg downside.......
Like wise, 2nd leg up side for jpy and gold......
nw kw 17:49 GMT July 1, 2016
gb/jp
gold spread has aud strength gives new week can get soft aud, positioning reversal
nw kw 17:46 GMT July 1, 2016
gb/jp
new month china can cut mxn hiked aud hot plate.
hk ab 17:40 GMT July 1, 2016
gb/jp
Reply
danger is next Monday open, when ppl found gb/jp close under 136.......
Mkt will chase previous bottom to test.
nw kw 17:22 GMT July 1, 2016
gb/jp
some are peeking top of hourly time frame
nw kw 17:01 GMT July 1, 2016
gb/jp
out fast but aud might gap new week.
nw kw 16:44 GMT July 1, 2016
gb/jp
gov. trading lined gbpaud for bit see if can hold,gl.
hk ab 16:29 GMT July 1, 2016
gb/jp
Reply
stop moved? the bangster may need to chase till 135.70.....
hk ab 16:17 GMT July 1, 2016
gbp
Reply
wonder if mkt will take out stop at 1.3250 and 136.....
GVI Trading Room john 16:09 GMT July 1, 2016
Amazing Trader Beta Test Update
Do yourself a favor and try it out. It will cost you nothing and you might learn something very useful!
GVI Trading Room john 16:07 GMT July 1, 2016
Amazing Trader Beta Test Update
This is a call for traders to be part of our Amazing Trader program beta test.
What is the Amazing Trader and why should you want to be part of the beta test?
Amazing Trader is a unique approach to trading that utilizes proprietary technology to deliver our exclusive trading levels directly to your platform in real-time. It is designed for those who are looking to improve their trading performance. Obviously we cannot guarantee you will make money with us, but we can provide a structure to trading that we hope will put the odds in your favor. �
Amazing Trading Description
Beta Test: Your only obligation for being part of the beta test is to give us feedback and suggestions during our testing stage. The beta test includes the following:
Amazing Trader trading levels delivered in real-time to your MT4 charts
Access to our live trading sessions
Access to our private trading room
Send me an EMAILto reserve your spot in our beta test.
Regards,
Jay Meisler
:
�
GVI Trading Room john 16:07 GMT July 1, 2016
Friday Trading
I find Jay's levels to be remarkable. Now we are back to the 1.1155 area.
nw kw 15:59 GMT July 1, 2016
gbp
ab see spread go for long eurgbp strongest in market for now can it run well see,
GVI Trading Room john 15:57 GMT July 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Atlanta Fed
2Q16 GDP forecast 2.6% from 2.7% on June 29..
TTN
hk ab 15:27 GMT July 1, 2016
gbp
Reply
who pulls the trigger?
eur/gbp? gbp/jp? Xau/GBP?
hk ab 15:25 GMT July 1, 2016
gbp
Reply
the truth unveil......
hk ab 15:09 GMT July 1, 2016
gold
Reply
should have shorted more heavily on gold......
GVI Trading Room john 15:06 GMT July 1, 2016
Friday Trading
Earlier
"See if 1.1130 can hold, if not then 1.1115-19 at risk.
Key intra-day res is restored at 1.1155"
They just took it down to 1.1112
hk ab 15:05 GMT July 1, 2016
gold
Reply
will be surprised if PPT doesn't come out and smack the gold down.
That will be miracle.
hk ab 15:02 GMT July 1, 2016
gold
Reply
time to fast eat the stop at 1326.....
hk ab 15:01 GMT July 1, 2016
XAU/EUR
Reply
hit again and now closed 1198.6
hk ab 14:50 GMT July 1, 2016
xau/eur
Reply
net placed at 1202 again. same stop same play.
also put buy gbp/jpy net at 136.
hk ab 14:45 GMT July 1, 2016
xau/eur
Reply
good job.... close all 1200.5
hk ab 14:43 GMT July 1, 2016
XAU/EUR
Reply
short big 1202, s/l 1206.
GVI Forex Blog 14:25 GMT July 1, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 4 July 2016
Reply
July 1, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, July 4, 2016. Trading News Calendar
- Far East: No Major Data
- Europe: GB- Construction PMI
- North America: CA- Markit PMI
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
4-Jul MONDAY
00:00 US- Holiday
08:28 GB- Construction PMI
13:30 CA- Markit PMI
5-Jul TUESDAY
04:30 AU- Reserve Bank of Australia
All Day Service PMIs
6-Jul WEDNESDAY
US- Service PMIs
18:00 US- Policy Minutes
7-Jul THURSDAY
12:15 US- ADP Jobs
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Weekly Crude
8-Jul FRIDAY
00:30 GB- Trade
12:30 US/CA- Employment
18:00 US- Policy Minutes
GVI Data Calendar for 4 July 2016
Hk Ab 13:56 GMT July 1, 2016
Gold
Reply
Now can sell any blips to 1340
Livingston nh 13:54 GMT July 1, 2016
Carney
Thanks John -- as in all things economic I see the context (interest rates, dem vs Eur, global trade/growth, inflation) as dangerously different -- we shall see
Hk Ab 13:49 GMT July 1, 2016
Xaueur
Reply
Next big order 1208
hk ab 13:32 GMT July 1, 2016
XAU/USD
Reply
close 1336, focus on XAU/EUR.
hk ab 13:27 GMT July 1, 2016
XAU/EUR
Reply
hesitating to short XAU/EUR 1197.
hk ab 13:21 GMT July 1, 2016
gold
Reply
It's not there yet.....
hk ab 13:20 GMT July 1, 2016
gbp/jp
Reply
short 136.70 small one.
hk ab 13:17 GMT July 1, 2016
gold
Reply
short again 1336.6
hk ab 13:12 GMT July 1, 2016
gold
Reply
short again 1335.5
HK RF@ 13:03 GMT July 1, 2016
REVEALED: Merkel NEEDS free trade deal with UK or 750,000 German jobs could face the axe
Reply
This is a piece worth reading.
ANGELA Merkel will have to agree to a free trade deal with an independent United Kingdom because 750,000 jobs rely on cross-Channel exports, a senior economics analyst has warned.
By NICK GUTTERIDGE
PUBLISHED: 05:32, Fri, Jul 1, 2016 - UPDATED: 08:10, Fri, Jul 1, 2016
Marc Biese urged German politicians to �think� about the vast economic benefits of close ties with Britain as the cavernous trade deficit between the two countries was laid bare.
He further highlighted the growing split between Berlin and Paris over how to deal with post-Brexit Britain, accusing the �hardline� French government of trying to scupper talks in its own interests - something which would deeply damage the German economy.
Germany exports to the UK are more than double the value of those heading in the other direction, with British customers acting as a lifeline for �crucial� industries including car manufacturing on which its economies relies.
Figures from the German government show last year the country sold 89 billion euros (�73.5bn) worth of products to customers on our shores, whilst British industries exported just 38 billion euros (�314bn) in reply.
Mr Biese, who is the chief political analyst for the broadsheet Sueddeutsche Zeitung newspaper, said as many as 750,000 jobs could be on the line if Merkel pursues a policy of punishment towards post-Brexit UK.
In an article for the paper he warned it would be a �huge mistake� for European leaders to take an emotional response and attempt to kick Britain out of the bloc without a free trade deal.
..................................................
..................................................
It has also emerged that Britain is already beginning the groundwork for new free trade deals with emerging economies across the globe.
New Zealand has offered the Government the help of its expert negotiators whilst a number of countries including Australia, South Korea, Canada, India and Mexico ready to start talks.
LINK
hk ab 13:02 GMT July 1, 2016
gold
Reply
cover 1/2 mega short 1334.5
rest stop at 1338 bid.
GVI Trading Room john 13:02 GMT July 1, 2016
Carney
nh- do you recall, I believe it was in the early 90's, when the GBP "devalued" and against conventional wisdom, it provided the economy with a strong stimulus?
I think that is what he is thinking now. With inflation not an issue, after being tin the "stay" camp, he is going to make the case for Brexit.
Singapore SGFXTrader 12:59 GMT July 1, 2016
Cable
I agree with you. Short covering to take place soon!
hk ab 12:55 GMT July 1, 2016
gold
Reply
short 1336, first entry, have more bombs upside.
Livingston nh 12:51 GMT July 1, 2016
Carney
Reply
Does anybody take Carney suggestion of easing seriously? What level of GBP if he follows thru?
tokyo joyya 12:30 GMT July 1, 2016
short!
Reply
Sell S&P
Entry: 2100 Target: open Stop: later
long from 2000 closed 2100.....now going short.....
Sydney ACC 12:05 GMT July 1, 2016
Yet another take on BREXIT
If either Labor or Liberal have a clear majority can't see any impact on the currency.
Biggest differences in policies relate to negative gearing and Labor running slight;y larger deficits over the next three years.
If, however, neither has a majority in the House of Representatives AUD will likely gap lower on Monday morning. If Labor goes into a formal coalition with Greens then that will be bad.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:45 GMT July 1, 2016
Amazing Trader Beta Test Update
Reply
This is a call for traders to be part of our Amazing Trader program beta test.
What is the Amazing Trader and why should you want to be part of the beta test?
Amazing Trader is a unique approach to trading that utilizes proprietary technology to deliver our exclusive trading levels directly to your platform in real-time. It is designed for those who are looking to improve their trading performance. Obviously we cannot guarantee you will make money with us, but we can provide a structure to trading that we hope will put the odds in your favor. �
Amazing Trading Description
Beta Test: Your only obligation for being part of the beta test is to give us feedback and suggestions during our testing stage. The beta test includes the following:
Amazing Trader trading levels delivered in real-time to your MT4 charts
Access to our live trading sessions
Access to our private trading room
Send me an EMAILto reserve your spot in our beta test.
Regards,
Jay Meisler
:
�
Maribor 11:42 GMT July 1, 2016
Cable
Levels now ~1,3288 and ~1,3302. I guess bears will run out of ammunition soon...and than me think they will have to cover upstairs.
Sydney ACC 10:11 GMT July 1, 2016
Yet another take on BREXIT
The Australian press titled this article from The Telegraph regarding Boris Johnson's Political assassination ny Michael Gove:
"It makes House of Cards look like Teletubbies"
Read it it left me thinking it provides the outline for the script of an excellent political movie. Much better than The Deal.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/30/how-boris-johnson-was-brought-to-his-knees-by-the-cuckoo-nest-pl/
Bill Clinton was quoted as saying if you want a friend in politics - get a dog.
Better still there's a joke thats told to new MPs. A first-timer takes his place in the chamber, and, looking across at the other benches, says to teh older MP next to him, "It's good to get a sight of the enemy."
"No dear boy, that is the opposition," his colleague says,. "You will find the enemy on this side."
How true after this week.
HK RF@ 10:07 GMT July 1, 2016
Cable
Same for USD/JPY
Maribor 10:06 GMT July 1, 2016
Cable
Levels have come closer together , now at ~1,3304 and ~1,3312. Looks to me like quite heavy fight of bulls and bears.
GVI Trading Room 09:56 GMT July 1, 2016
FOREX-Yen gains on safe-haven demand
Reply
LONDON, July 1 The yen climbed sharply against the dollar, euro and sterling on Friday, as political uncertainty and a Reuters report that the European Central Bank was not considering loosening its rules on monetary easing boosted demand for safe havens.
The euro recovered against the dollar after sources told Reuters that the ECB is not currently discussing buying government debt out of proportion to euro zone countries' shareholding in the bank, and the hurdle for abandoning this capital key is high...
FOREX-Yen gains on safe-haven demand
GVI Trading Room john 09:52 GMT July 1, 2016
Friday Trading
1-Jul FRIDAY
23:30 JP- CPI
23:50:JP- Tankan Survey
00:00 CA- Holiday
ALL DAY- final Mfg PMIs
Trading Themes --
- The dovish policy statement by Ban of England Governor Carney yesterday where he said that there could be an easing of BOE policy over the summer has been reverberating in global markets as many are seeing it as the first step in a new round of central bank ease. Bond yields have fallen today and equities have been given a modest boost.
- In the U.S., the equity to S&P correlation broke down over the day Thursday as crude oil fell. We will be watching this relationship closely today. The yield on the U.S. 10-yr is back down at 1.410% -6.8bps. In my opinion, any yield below 1.70% is seriously depressed.
- Canada is closed for the Canada Day holiday and the U.S. celebrates Independence Day on Monday
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com
HK RF@ 09:46 GMT July 1, 2016
There will be no Brexit, who cares about the vote?
Since yesterday both sides have begun changing pleasantries.
If the two British bank and other heavy weight institution will declare a no transfer to the EU, the UK will split with all what they have requested.
Paris ib 09:33 GMT July 1, 2016
Yet another take on BREXIT
Reply
"Contrary to the interpretations published in the European Press, the departure of the British from the EU will not happen slowly, because the EU will collapse faster than the time necessary for the bureaucratic negotiations concerning their withdrawal."
Far out this is like a T.V. soap. :-)
What Brexit means according to Meyssen
GVI Trading Room john 09:29 GMT July 1, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
shawn- It should strengthen if yields are down on a flight to safety into the U.S. There is no domestic economic rationale for long term interest rates to be falling to these levels.
GVI Trading Room john 08:52 GMT July 1, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Today has seen a major move back downward in the U.S. 10-yr yield to
1.410% -6.8bp
I took a double-take on this. I would be surprised if the U.S. does not take the yield back higher. This looks like a flight to safety move.
Canada is closed Friday for a holiday.
GVI Trading Room john 08:32 GMT July 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Pre-Brexit data.
GVI Trading Room john 08:26 GMT July 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Earlier: Japanese core and national CPI.Deflation persists
Paris ib 08:16 GMT July 1, 2016
There will be no Brexit, who cares about the vote?
Reply
"The people chose, but their choice is unacceptable to the establishment which intends to substitute its choice for the people�s choice.... Consider the political establishment�s response to the Brexit vote. Members of Parliament are saying that the vote is unacceptable and that Parliament has the right and responsibility to ignore the voice of the people."
You get a vote so long as you make the acceptable choice.
The End of Democracy
Maribor 08:13 GMT July 1, 2016
Cable
Reply
Cable is currently trapped between two levels, which represent whether up or down: keeping above ~1,3314 would mean uptrend and keeping below ~1,3295 would mean continuing downtrend. Approx. one hour ago, upper level was heavily sold, but now picture is not that clear.
Good luck!
GVI Trading Room john 07:55 GMT July 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
China NBS PMI June 2016
EARLIER: China PMI's
NBS: 50.0 vs. 50.0 exp vs. 50.1 prev.
Caixin: 48.6 vs. 49.1 exp vs. 49.2 prev.
TTN: Live News Special Offer
China NBS PMI at "50" boom or Bust line.
Earlier: Caixin PMI eases to 48.6. Still sub-50.
Hk Ab 07:19 GMT July 1, 2016
Dlrjpy
Reply
Buy 102.60 gt
tokyo joyya 07:16 GMT July 1, 2016
My pos and Targets
Kal usdcad short have from 1.305....lets see.......happy trade,
SaaR KaL 07:14 GMT July 1, 2016
My pos and Targets
tokyo joyya 06:48 GMT 07/01/2016
Nice work
As far as today...More Like adding Longs on Cable, EURUSD, AUDUSD and short USDCAD
tokyo joyya 07:13 GMT July 1, 2016
GBPUSD 1.3333
Amman wfakhoury 07:05 GMT 07/01/2016
you knew cable fall 1800/1900 pips last week?
Amman wfakhoury 07:05 GMT July 1, 2016
GBPUSD 1.3333
Wish you to be happy ..with or without me.
tokyo joyya 06:48 GMT July 1, 2016
My pos and Targets
SaaR KaL 06:38 GMT 07/01/2016
i am also small long gbpusd 1.325 gbpjpy 137 gbpaud 1.79 gbpnzd 1.88 gbpcad 1.74 zarjpy 6.5 audjpy 74.3 jpn225 14850 spx 2000 eurcad 1.44 eurusd 1.1 tryjpy 33.75 short eurgbp 8375......
manila tom 06:39 GMT July 1, 2016
GBPUSD 1.3333
OMG 1 month without the One...dunno whether have to be sad or happy
SaaR KaL 06:38 GMT July 1, 2016
My pos and Targets
Reply
Short
USD/CAD 1.29523 1.25747
Long
EUR/JPY 114.251 118.027
GBP/AUD 1.77937 1.88
EUR/USD 1.11041 1.1335
GBP/NZD 1.86169 2.0087
USD/JPY 102.688 104.4
GBP/JPY 136.763 147
NAS100 4,390.80 4,450.00
AUD/USD 0.74453 0.7541
JPN225 15,613.50 15,841.90
SPX500 2,082.63 2,105.47
EUR/USD 1.11034 1.132
EUR/JPY 113.94 118
GBP/USD 1.32469 1.42
Amman wfakhoury 06:37 GMT July 1, 2016
GBPUSD 1.3333
Reply
Good luck all..see you next month.
Hk Ab 06:23 GMT July 1, 2016
Gbp
It's called "unbelievable dip"
tokyo joyya 06:21 GMT July 1, 2016
gb/jp
i am not gona short gbpjpy below 145 and cable 1.45 just wait and see...stay long...
tokyo joyya 06:16 GMT July 1, 2016
gb/jp
i am long cable avg 1.325 now if 1.3/1.25 seen then add...
mks alimin 06:15 GMT July 1, 2016
gb/jp
for today sell gbpusd while below 1.3330 IMHO
tokyo joyya 06:14 GMT July 1, 2016
gb/jp
bali sja 04:44 GMT 07/01/2016
gbpjpy and cable could not monthly close above 139 and 1.35 which means possible test of 1.3/1.27 and gbpjpy 130/127....parity end of the year maybe....lets see...
kl shawn 06:03 GMT July 1, 2016
Gbp
ab, today is wtf sell sell sell day?
Hk Ab 05:32 GMT July 1, 2016
Gbp
Reply
Chances for a second dip again
Sydney ACC 04:55 GMT July 1, 2016
AUD
Reply
The federal election is tomorrow and the latest poll shows the Coalition and Labor running equal at 50% on a two-party preferred basis. There is a strong possibility that there may be a hung parliament due to third-parties and independents taking seats in the House of Representatives.
In South Australia the Nick Xenphon Team (NXT) has 24% of the primary vote with Labor on 26% and the Coalition on 36%. NXT are targeting five Coalition and Labor seats.
In Grey which covers almost 92 per cent of the state, an area larger than New South Wales the Liberals hold the electorate by a margin of 13 per cent, but a ReachTEL poll commissioned by Channel 7 earlier this month showed NXT leading in a two-party preferred vote.
Voters in Australia in common with the UK and the USA are despondent with the two main parties. Nick Xenophon has been a senator for over a decade during which time he has accumulated great respect from voters throughout Australia. This is the first occasion is party has competed for senate seats outside South Australia and seats in the lower house.
In the NSW seat of New England Barnaby Joyce is facing a fight to retain his seat against the independent Tony Windsor who held seat prior to the last election. Polls show Joyce leading 51%-49%.
Given the standing of the two main parties Australia could have a hung parliament after tomorrow's election a likelihood that doesn't seem to be factored in to the exchange rate.
bali sja 04:44 GMT July 1, 2016
gb/jp
yeah wtf i hope can go long below 1.30 SOON
last night at 1.32 i was waiting to jump into action this morning, but waking up with 1.33 printed again, wtf
maybe tonight can finally load some long
tokyo joyya 04:22 GMT July 1, 2016
gb/jp
today i feel that gbp just go down down down......wtf price action...
hk ab 01:37 GMT July 1, 2016
gold
Reply
with ppt help, gold always got smacked down in US session......
Now, asians are testing the margin...
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