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Forex Forum Archive for 07/06/2016

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HK [email protected] 23:33 GMT July 6, 2016
Grave threats: I am a bloody difficult woman - as Juncker will find out’ May’s warning to EU over Br
Reply   

I am a bloody difficult woman - as Juncker will find out’ May’s warning to EU over Brexit.

THERESA May was cheered by Tory MPs last night after declaring that she is indeed “a bloody difficult woman”.

LINK

dc CB 22:49 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

dc CB 20:42 GMT
Free Passes for all my friends

Hey that was a Joke
awe F%^K

you actually did it. Trade Accordingly in the Lawless Corridor.
(aka) It's not YOURS, actually IT'S MINE.

HaHaHaHaHa. Hang on to your wallet (Jon Corzine)
INVEST IN AMRAKA - it's Really Really Really SAFE, 'cuz we got LAWS
__________________________________________________

Well that didn't take long... HILLARY CLINTON WILL NOT BE CHARGED FOR E-MAILS, LYNCH SAYS

Bloomberg headlines

*ATTY GENERAL LYNCH SAYS SHE MET TODAY WITH FBI'S COMEY
*DOJ'S LYNCH ISSUES E-MAILED STATEMENT AFTER MEETING WITH COMEY
*LYNCH ACCEPTING RECOMMENDATION NOT TO CHARGE CLINTON ON E-MAILS
*LYNCH ACCEPTED FBI'S COMEY, AGENTS' UNANIMOUS RECOMMENDATION

Note: "unanimous

It's Over: DOJ Accepts FBI "Recommendation", Ends Probe Into Hillary's Email

dc CB 21:19 GMT July 6, 2016
Jumping the Gun??



Following today's Fed minutes release, Jeff Gundlach had a far less "uncertain" message: “Things are shaky and feeling dangerous,” Gundlach told Reuters in a telephone interview.

"Banks are dying and policymakers don’t know what to do," Gundlach said. "Watch Deutsche Bank shares go to single digits and people will start to panic... you'll see someone say, 'Someone is going to have to do something'."

Lines (Castles) in the German Sand

dc CB 20:54 GMT July 6, 2016
Jumping the Gun??

One man's opinion:

240 years and one day from birth to death.

America Died At 11:00 ET 7/5/2016

GVI Trading Room john 20:54 GMT July 6, 2016
Thursday Trading


Market Sentiment Indicators

The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one rate hike by yearend are +3% from +5% late Tuesday.

Spot EURUSD: 1.1095
20-day avg: 1.1195
Pivot Point: 1.1082

WIDE DIVERGENCE persists as flight to safety remains in play. Markets always want to close the gap.

dc CB 20:49 GMT July 6, 2016
Jumping the Gun??
Reply   
as seen yesterday in North Carolina

Happy Trails

dc CB 20:42 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

even if the numbers aren't "true"
dosen't matter

just carelessness, or human error.
No biggie

Jon(what billion are you refering to) Corzine for VP

Free Passes for all my friends

GVI Trading Room john 20:40 GMT July 6, 2016
Thursday Trading
Reply   

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

7-Jul THURSDAY
12:15 US- ADP Jobs
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Weekly Crude
8-Jul FRIDAY
00:30 GB- Trade
12:30 US/CA- Employment
18:00 US- Policy Minutes


Trading Themes --
  • A flight to safety trade early in the day faded as the session wore on after the 10-yr Note made a new record low level of around 1.33%. Later in the day Crude oil bounced and equities improved. The 10-yr was ending the session close to 1.39%.The major focus now is U.S. jobs data on Friday. Street estimates are for a surprisingly strong monthly gain of +180K in June.

  • The Fed Minutes were a disappointment for those expecting a dovish Fed. They only confirmed that the central bank was waiting for the market reaction to the Brexit vote and the next set of U.S. employment data on Friday.
  • The June U.S. ISM PMI was much stronger than expected and the employment sub-component gained. Earlier, the EZ Retail PMI fell into contraction in June.

  • Thursday will saw the first round of Conservative Party voting for party leadership with three candidates set to be reduced to two. Those two will be presented to the party as a whole to vote the new party leader (and next Prime Minister) before September.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


GVI Trading Room john 20:39 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Major draws of Crude, distillates and gasoline

dc CB 20:38 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS



Crude oil draw 6.736MM
Distillate draw 2.305MM
Gasoline draw 3.603MM

screw Brexit, screw DB.

Party on Wayne's World Wayne's World

GVI Trading Room john 20:35 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

US Weekly API Crude




ALERT
Reportedly -6.7 mn vs. -2.50 mn exp



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex Blog 19:37 GMT July 6, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

GVI Trading Room john 18:05 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Minutes said basically nothing new. mixed views on employment outlook. They could not even muster a run at the stops.

GVI Trading Room john 18:02 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. July Fed Policy Minutes

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
U.S. Fed Policy Minutes
Prudent to wait for Brexit
Divided on future rate path


TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 17:47 GMT July 6, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets



on a Low/No volume "recovery" day. The Minutes are just an excuse to run stops and move back toward highs.

Amman wfakhoury 17:41 GMT July 6, 2016
GBPUSD Mag. 12910
Reply   
Just to make some money for EID occasion

Mag level 12910

Now 12933
any rise or decline above or below 12910 .will return to it.



The only one in the world who confirms the next level




GVI Trading Room john 17:18 GMT July 6, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

Yellen indicated in her last testimony that in essence they choose to present what was "discussed" afterwards in the Minutes. Thats why the Minutes are newsworthy.

Singapore SGFXTrader 17:04 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

A break above 131.6 will signal a temporal uptrend for GBPJPY. As long as 131.6 hold and red hourly candle appear for this pair, we can resume the short!

Singapore SGFXTrader 16:52 GMT July 6, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

That FOMC minutes is for a meeting that takes place before BrExit.
Alot of their discussion is now irrelevant as BrExit has become a reality!

Maybe we can see how Dovish they are? and be prepared for a negative NFP if that really happen. A check on the last 10 years NFP results show something.

GVI Trading Room john 16:44 GMT 07/06/2016 - My Profile
Fed Minutes are due at 18:00 GMT. I think their basic value will be that it will tell us what the central bank feels is important at the present time. That can be useful information.

GVI Forex Blog 16:49 GMT July 6, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 7 July 2016
Reply   

July 6, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, July 7, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: DE- Industrial Output, CH- CPI, GB- Ind/Mfg Output
  • North America: US- ADP, Weekly Jobless, Nat Gas, Crude, CA- Ivey PMI

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

7-Jul THURSDAY
12:15 US- ADP Jobs
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Weekly Crude
8-Jul FRIDAY
00:30 GB- Trade
12:30 US/CA- Employment
18:00 US- Policy Minutes

GVI Data Calendar for 7 July 2016

tokyo joyya 16:49 GMT July 6, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

Fed Minutes tonight so pssible nice move tonight.....good night

GVI Trading Room john 16:44 GMT July 6, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

Fed Minutes are due at 18:00 GMT. I think their basic value will be that it will update us with what the central bank feels is important at the present time. That can be useful information.

Singapore SGFXTrader 16:42 GMT July 6, 2016
Peaked at1375 Tgt. may Ret. to 1333. Probably Spec. laden.

Nikkei 225 is just 500 points away from the 2016 low.

We might see a rebound in the XXXJPY pairs soon.

GVI Trading Room john 16:41 GMT July 6, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

Clearly flight-to-safety demand has abated over the day. You can see that the yield on the 10-yr U.S. note has worked higher and equities have improved.

This has seen EURUSD improve and the JPY soften.

HK [email protected] 16:38 GMT July 6, 2016
Peaked at1375 Tgt. may Ret. to 1333. Probably Spec. laden.



Contrary to GBP which is short Spec. laden, gold is long spec. laden.

Good reason for some volatility.

HK [email protected] 16:35 GMT July 6, 2016
Peaked at1375 Tgt. may Ret. to 1333. Probably Spec. laden.



Singapore SGFXTrader 16:28 GMT 07/06/2016

Gold targets 1425, which means 1375 a temporary peak.

HK [email protected] 16:33 GMT July 6, 2016
France lures London bankers with extra expat tax break
Reply   


The French are trying to destroy Britain economy, the same like they did to Germany after WW1.

The French have a nice share in the responsibility of the rise of Nazi Germany.

Their stupid policies do not change; Doing the best to turn Britain into an enemy.

Another good reason for leaving the EU, just not to be with the disgusting French politicians.

FRANCE

Singapore SGFXTrader 16:30 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp,

ab, lol. You mean 2nd chance for you to enter or hope onto the train?
Always becareful because the picture for GBP now is too uncertain and too risky.

hk ab 16:20 GMT 07/06/2016
if a fast move of gbp back to 1.28 tmr Asian session and not making new lows, can consider new longs......

Berlin DG 16:29 GMT July 6, 2016
ISRAËL DIL
Reply   
millions of thanks (literally) for your gold trade strategy back there at the bottom, wishing you many more millions to make

Singapore SGFXTrader 16:28 GMT July 6, 2016
Peaked at1375 Tgt. may Ret. to 1333. Probably Spec. laden.

Go look at weekly chart for Gold. How do you confirm that the peak is 1375? Dude, this is heading to 1400 at least!

It is on weekly uptrend starting from 29 Nov 2015 - 1046.


Peaked at1375 Tgt. may Ret. to 1333. Probably Spec. laden.
HK [email protected] 16:24 GMT 07/06/2016


Relates to gold.

hk ab 16:20 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp,

if a fast move of gbp back to 1.28 tmr Asian session and not making new lows, can consider new longs......

at least for m/t

HK [email protected] 16:18 GMT July 6, 2016
Too many traders and funds shorting GBP. No way to fight them.
Reply   

So those who long GBP, are just crazy traders with money or some big sharks?

This is a 0-sum business.

tokyo joyya 16:15 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp,

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:59 GMT 07/06/2016


with 300000$ making 400000 so it means with 30000$ can make 40000?with 3 lot?do you know rana?he told me that one girl from singapore making nice pips.....maybe it you....

Berlin DG 16:14 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp,



Singapore SGFXTrader 15:31 GMT July 6, 2016
GBP/JPY: Reply
Please dont mislead the forum people.

If you see the monthly chart, the fall started since August 2015 from 195. Now it is currently trading 130.48 as i type.

Be realistic mate. Go take a look at the monthly chart and you will be thinking - WTF!

Berlin DG 15:27 GMT 07/06/2016
it us bottomed for a while at least, you may expect 137 within few days

Singapore SGFXTrader 16:12 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp,

Come on mate. A trade post with no entry and SL is just a fake demo/paper trade. No real money involved.

Berlin DG 16:05 GMT 07/06/2016
Buy GBPJPY
Entry: Target: 137+ Stop:

Singapore SGFXTrader 16:07 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

GBPJPY started having more action 10mins ago. The buy from 130 started at 11pm singapore time (1 hour ago). Interesting. Will 131.60 hold?

Berlin DG 16:05 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp,

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: Target: 137+ Stop:

no fair to post my entry now ;-)

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:59 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp,

Account equity: 300,000 Singapore dollars.

Trade volume: 30 lots per trade
Trading style: Day trader, scalp 20-30 pips per trade. No position or swing trade. Fast in, fast out. Avoid stop hunt from market forces.

Do it consistently for weekdays (trading days) in a month.


tokyo joyya 15:50 GMT 07/06/2016
400,000 Sing dollars monthly can make?what is capital?if i make 10000 i will be super happy.....

hk ab 15:58 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp
Reply   
I have traded aud/jpy bottom 2000, dlr/jpy top and eur/usd bottom in 2001, gold bottom 2008 and recently, eur/jpy top.

Each pair has a slightly different "habits". But one thing is common, the "news quacking" index never miss.......

I still remember the copy of "Economist" which show a japanese doll with a drop of tear to describe the weakness of yen in 2000!!!

tokyo joyya 15:57 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

most likely nfp will be good last time missed....

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:55 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

Let's see how the market move after NFP this week.

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:49 GMT 07/06/2016

yes 128 and 1.28 possible bottom why not?

tokyo joyya 15:52 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:49 GMT 07/06/2016

yes 128 and 1.28 possible bottom why not?

tokyo joyya 15:50 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp,

400,000 Sing dollars monthly can make?what is capital?if i make 10000 i will be super happy.....

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:49 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

ab, u reckon that the shark will continue to hunt right?

128.7 is today's lowest point but that is just 800 pips away from 120 - the GOD's protection zone.

You mean the market maker will give 120 a miss after coming a long way from 195?

hk ab 15:33 GMT 07/06/2016
How GBP bottoms?

...

To me, it's close to the ending phase, but it seems the blood doesn't satisfy the sharks.

hk ab 15:44 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp,
Reply   
Singapore FXtrader

Don't worry, if you could make 400,000 Sing dollars per month, you will be able to make it back later.

But I agree that, leaving the table for a while is a wise move.

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:40 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

Thanks mate but I am not touching GBP for the time being. My pockets not deep enough based on my trading volume and the volatility of this pair.

Berlin DG 15:33 GMT 07/06/2016

hk ab 15:40 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp
Reply   
criteria 1 just fulfilled on my TV now.

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:39 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

I am staying away from GBP for awhile.
I am still trading other pair - dont want to mention the losses as i dont want to affect my psychology. What's done cannot be undone.

Psychology is the most important element for a FX trader.


tokyo joyya 15:36 GMT 07/06/2016
Singapore SGFXTrader 15:26 GMT 07/06/2016

from where to where you was long how many pips?

tokyo joyya 15:36 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:26 GMT 07/06/2016

from where to where you was long how many pips?

hk ab 15:33 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

or maybe at least 800 pips for the hammer.

tokyo joyya 15:33 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:26 GMT 07/06/2016

your great.....can you make 20000 $usd fo me monthly? i am just trading with 10000$usd...

Berlin DG 15:33 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

Singapore SGFXTrader

in place of the emotional striptease and barking numbers, you just realize that the reversal you counted on happens few days later then your plan, now you completely change the plan and going to lose in a row, be careful; -)

hk ab 15:33 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp
Reply   
How GBP bottoms?

1) TV and newspaper talk about the weakness of gbp in a synchronized manner.

2) you see a 1000 pips hammer.

3) you see eur/gbp turns in daily chart

If you see all three of the above, it's a pretty strong enough signal..............

To me, it's close to the ending phase, but it seems the blood doesn't satisfy the sharks.

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:31 GMT July 6, 2016
GBP/JPY

Please dont mislead the forum people.

If you see the monthly chart, the fall started since August 2015 from 195. Now it is currently trading 130.48 as i type.

Be realistic mate. Go take a look at the monthly chart and you will be thinking - WTF!

Berlin DG 15:27 GMT 07/06/2016
it us bottomed for a while at least, you may expect 137 within few days

Berlin DG 15:27 GMT July 6, 2016
GBP/JPY
Reply   
it us bottomed for a while at least, you may expect 137 within few days

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:26 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

On normal/good week, i make > 120,000 singapore dollars a week just from trading forex.

I make 400,000 - half a million a month just trading forex. This is my part-time forex trading income and I have a day job.

In the last 30 days, I lose 800,000 singapore dollars just only by trading GBP. I must say that I was too emotional and irrational and lose my professional view and did not keep to my trading rule book.

FXXK the 800,000 singapore dollars. I will make them back somewhere from other instruments.

In Singapore, I can fully pay up in cash a Aston Martin with 800,000 sgd.

tokyo joyya 15:18 GMT 07/06/2016
Singapore SGFXTrader 15:11 GMT 07/06/2016

800000 sing $?wow your rich.....i just bought 30000gbp total....your male or female?

tokyo joyya 15:24 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:11 GMT 07/06/2016

you lost all of your money?i lost so far 3% of my capital in long gbp...

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:20 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

For GBPJPY, look at monthly chart. The decline will not stop until it touch 120. 120 for GBPJPY is really the HAND of GOD protection zone.

When it reach 120, i think you can go ALL IN on this pair (with good money management and risk management) and one can expect a 4000 -7000 pips gain with 6-months - 1 year. Please factor in the daily swap charges too.



tokyo joyya 15:04 GMT 07/06/2016
gbpjpy 134 and cable 1.32 soon coming...

tokyo joyya 15:19 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

i think most likely cable hold 1.28 if not then 1.27 max risk 1.245/1.25 i see.....1.28 could be long term bottom lets see....

tokyo joyya 15:18 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:11 GMT 07/06/2016

800000 sing $?wow your rich.....i just bought 30000gbp total....your male or female?

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:11 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

Face reality.

Too many traders and funds shorting GBP. No way to fight them.
If you cannot beat them, join them.

This is all about making money and pips. Don't need to pledge loyalty or to defend GBP using your own money.

I have lose 800,000 singapore dollars recently playing GBP. I have learnt my lesson.

tokyo joyya 15:04 GMT 07/06/2016

tokyo joyya 15:04 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

gbpjpy 134 and cable 1.32 soon coming...

hk ab 15:02 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp
Reply   
hourly still heavy.

Could there be hand of God protecting 1.28 mother bottom for all pairs?

If 1.28 broken, gold likely to see 1530 next week.

tokyo joyya 15:02 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

Buy GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

going long now gbpjpy and cable......i think down move is over.....

hk ab 14:59 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp
Reply   
Gbp weakness first spill to jpy and gold, and then, usd and now the cousins....


Let's see if it will go a big round and come back to gold again later.....

SaaR KaL 14:54 GMT July 6, 2016
Cable longs
Reply   
Obey your owners

Clinton

Singapore SGFXTrader 14:52 GMT July 6, 2016
Close your GBP longs on a ny bounce. The way to 1.2300 is open!!!

I think for GBP, short on any pop or recovery!


HK [email protected] 13:58 GMT 07/06/2016

Singapore SGFXTrader 14:50 GMT July 6, 2016
GBP possible rise, up to 1.3305 23.60% Ret. from 1.50 Hi..

I have identified 2 support area for GBPJPY and both broken.
135.70-136.0
133.20

I think now GBPJPY is a bottomless pit.

GBPUSD if break 1.28, i think really all hell break lose and heading into no-man's zone.


HK [email protected] 13:13 GMT 07/06/2016

To todays LO. Also Checking a lower channel line.

If enter the channel, may continue to 1.3633, 38.2% Ret. from the above HI/LO mentined, and close the famous gap of the great Brexit drop.

Singapore SGFXTrader 14:50 GMT July 6, 2016
GBP possible rise, up to 1.3305 23.60% Ret. from 1.50 Hi..

I have identified 2 support area for GBPJPY and both broken.
135.70-136.0
133.20

I think now GBPJPY is a bottomless pit.

GBPUSD if break 1.28, i think really all hell break lose and heading into no-man's zone.


HK [email protected] 13:13 GMT 07/06/2016

To todays LO. Also Checking a lower channel line.

If enter the channel, may continue to 1.3633, 38.2% Ret. from the above HI/LO mentined, and close the famous gap of the great Brexit drop.

GVI Trading Room john 14:32 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Obama announces a slowing of the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan.

dc CB 14:20 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ISM Service PMI Much Stronger Than Expected

Rebound?" With new business expanding at the fastest pace since January but business confidence plumbing record lows, there appears to be total confusion in the Services economy as today's PMI print at 51.4 offers little hope for Q2 GDP.

So having said all that, ISM data hit and soared to 56.5 - the highest since Nov 2015 - beating expectations by 5 standard deviations and well above the highest forecast. All subcomponents improved aside from Prices Paid as it seems "baffle 'em with bullsheeet" economics is back.

Services Sector Business Confidence Hits Record Lows As ISM Surges To 7-Month Highs

Singapore SGFXTrader 14:17 GMT July 6, 2016
Looking for 1400

Gold is on uptrend in the mid-long term.

Buy on any dip with good money/risk management. You will not go wrong.



HK Kwun 13:26 GMT 07/06/2016
Buy Gold
Entry: 1267 Target: Stop: 1257

hk ab 14:17 GMT July 6, 2016
aud
Reply   
all stops taken, wait to buy again.

GVI Forex Blog 14:08 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ISM Service PMI Much Stronger Than Expected
Reply   
ISM Services PMI much stronger than forecast. Markit PMI revised up. Employment PMI improved.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ISM Service PMI Much Stronger Than Expected

hk ab 14:08 GMT July 6, 2016
aud
Reply   
close 1/4 0.7485,

rest protective stop .7475

GVI Trading Room john 14:01 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Stronger than expected. Employment index back above 50 (expansion)

GVI Trading Room john 14:00 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. ISM Services PMI June 2016

MORE: U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
56.5 vs. 53.0 exp. vs. 52.9 prev.
Employment sub-component
52.7 vs. 49.7 prev.


RELEASE: ISM Services PMI


TTN: Live News Special Offer

HK [email protected] 13:58 GMT July 6, 2016
Close your GBP longs on a ny bounce. The way to 1.2300 is open!!!


Livingston nh

Thanks. Indeed needed a very significant pullback to negate the current downtrend(above 1.3100), which can't be seen to happen yet.

GVI Trading Room john 13:45 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Slight revision

GVI Trading Room john 13:45 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Markit final Services PMI June 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
51.4 vs. 51.3 exp. vs. 51.3 (flash)


Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer

hk ab 13:42 GMT July 6, 2016
aud
Reply   
KL, I am still keeping the relentless this morning.......

GVI Trading Room 13:35 GMT July 6, 2016
Conservative leadership election: Fears Theresa May supporters are plotting to back Michael Gove to
Reply   
Mike Penning, the minister for policing and a Theresa May supporter, has been forced to deny that the Home Secretary's backers are plotting to keep Andrea Leadsom off the ballot paper by feigning support for Michael Gove...

Conservative leadership election: Fears Theresa May supporters are plotting to back Michael Gove to keep Andrea Leadsom off the ballot --telegraph.co.uk

Livingston nh 13:26 GMT July 6, 2016
Close your GBP longs on a ny bounce. The way to 1.2300 is open!!!

RF - nice chart and nice call yesterday

HK Kwun 13:26 GMT July 6, 2016
Looking for 1400
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1267 Target: Stop: 1257

buy Gold

GVI Trading Room john 13:25 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Fed's Tarullo
-- Economy is not running hot
-- Were economy to pick up rapidly, Fed has tools to respond
-- No immediate concerns about asset bubble

HK [email protected] 13:13 GMT July 6, 2016
GBP possible rise, up to 1.3305 23.60% Ret. from 1.50 Hi..
Reply   

To todays LO. Also Checking a lower channel line.

If enter the channel, may continue to 1.3633, 38.2% Ret. from the above HI/LO mentined, and close the famous gap of the great Brexit drop.


GVI Forex Blog 12:40 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Trade Data Worse
Reply   
U.S. Trade Deficit widens, bad for 2Q16 GDP.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Trade Data Worse

GVI Trading Room john 12:32 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. (USD bn) & Canada (CAD bn) Trade May 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-41.1 vs. -40.0 exp. vs. -37.4 (r -37.38) prev.
Canada Trade C$ bln
-3.30 vs. -2.70 exp. vs. -2.90 (r -3.30)prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services

Canadian Trade Balance


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading Room john 11:52 GMT July 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Fed Minutes are due today. In her recent testimony, Fed Chair Yellen explained why Fed Minutes often seem to have no relationship to the Fed statements. Her explanation was that the new topics in the Minutes had been discussed in the meeting. In other words, anything discussed at the FOMC is fair game for the Minutes. This gives the Fed a chance to "update" the statement, so the Minutes can be new news, not just a rehash of what their view was three weeks ago.

In other words, how the emphasis of the Minutes changes vs. the policy statement matters.

GVI Trading Room john 11:21 GMT July 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Crude Oil has recently slipped into the background as a market factor. I heard an analyst earlier today say that a number of supportive factors for prices are now fading. Most importantly, from a production standpoint that the Summer driving season is usually over by the start of July. He was saying that technically that the $46 level is key support.

GVI Trading Room john 11:15 GMT July 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

DAX -174
DJ -90
SP -11

10-yr 1.331% -4.2
WTI $46.01 -0.59

london red 11:12 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

13030-60 is a fade zone for many. mkt will be looking for daily/wkly/mthly closes below 13031 lt fib to confirm lower lvls.

hk ab 11:10 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp
Reply   
we will know soon, whether 1.28 is a meaningful m/t bottom or not....

GVI Trading Room john 11:09 GMT July 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

6-Jul WEDNESDAY
US- Service PMIs
18:00 US- Policy Minutes
7-Jul THURSDAY
12:15 US- ADP Jobs
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Weekly Crude
8-Jul FRIDAY
00:30 GB- Trade
12:30 US/CA- Employment
18:00 US- Policy Minutes


Trading Themes --
  • The flight to safety trade remains the major focus of global trading with the U.S. 10-yr yield reaching new record lows. Equities in Europe and Asia are weaker again. U.S equity futures are soft as well. The major focus now is U.S. jobs data on Friday. Street estimates are for a surprisingly strong monthly gain of +180K in June.

  • The June EZ Retail PMI fell into contraction in June. U.S. service PMIs will be released today.

  • Tuesday saw the first round of Conservative Party voting for party leadership They are started with five candidates and then every Tuesday and Thursday there is a new vote with the candidate getting the least number of votes eliminated. Liam Fox was eliminated and Stephen Crabb dropped out. So then there were three. The final two will be presented to the party as a whole to select the new party leader. This will happen before September.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


london red 10:36 GMT July 6, 2016
Yet another take on BREXIT

goldman this week still confident (officially) of inflation and wage pick up in US so thats a nail in the coffin for yield.

london red 10:35 GMT July 6, 2016
Yet another take on BREXIT

give it time CB, give it time...

yen approaching 100 stops below. if broken tgt brexit 99 flash low. in case of intervention rumours res at 10294/10320.

dc CB 10:24 GMT July 6, 2016
Yet another take on BREXIT

US 30Y 2.11%

at least it's positive, at least it's got a Digit to the left of the .

tokyo joyya 10:15 GMT July 6, 2016
cable

maybe usdjpy want 95

PAR 10:14 GMT July 6, 2016
Yet another take on BREXIT



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=37iHSwA1SwE

Paris ib 09:24 GMT July 6, 2016
Yet another take on BREXIT

red it certainly makes for an interesting markets. And the political dimension - in London and in Bruxelles - just makes 'outcomes' even harder to call. Looks like Britain did the right thing for Britain and the Europeans have been caught flat footed (what a surprise that - the flaccid, chinless bureaucrats that are on the case in Bruxelles are not up to it - the drunkard Juncker making silly speeches before he gets shown the door). I keep hearing more and more talk about the dismantling of the European Union. And all they can do to stop it is to bring democracy to a halt: no elections, no consent. Because if they did have referendums then the vote would be EXIT. France just passed labour laws using emergency measures brought in in the wake of Charlie Hebdo etc., did not have to pass parliament. The fascist nature of the EU on full display. Creepy really.

Mr Bean's brother

london red 09:20 GMT July 6, 2016
Yet another take on BREXIT

a lot of ft100 earnings dollar based so its been holding up. the 250 tells a different story, but within that lot some exporters will be worth looking at lower dwn.

london red 09:19 GMT July 6, 2016
Yet another take on BREXIT

ib. exactly. thats why you need to be buying british assets. but not yet. hardly anything has got sold yet. brexit caught then off guard and they will need to sell stuff off to pension funds before worth a shot. if i was based in europe id be looking 90-100 eurgbp as a good fx range to convert cash for asset purchases.

tokyo joyya 09:17 GMT July 6, 2016
cable

i see maximum risk for cable is 1.25...

Paris ib 09:14 GMT July 6, 2016
Yet another take on BREXIT

Judging by the relative performance of European and British stock markets it seems Brexit has mostly been bad for the rest of Europe.

Funny old world.

tokyo joyya 09:13 GMT July 6, 2016
cable

london red 09:12 GMT 07/06/2016
mkts often overshoot, cable can see 120. maybe more. the lt shs tgt 0.80 to parity.


this is cable target?

Bucharest 09:12 GMT July 6, 2016
gbpusd
Reply   
I think it wont get lower

london red 09:12 GMT July 6, 2016
cable

mkts often overshoot, cable can see 120. maybe more. the lt shs tgt 0.80 to parity.
stops done under 10050. nxt are under 100. not heard of any barrier as too soon since brexit knockout.

tokyo joyya 09:03 GMT July 6, 2016
cable

128 gbpjpy 1995 low....

tokyo joyya 08:59 GMT July 6, 2016
cable

maybe 1.28/1.25 is long term bottom.....last low 1985 was 1.2999 right?

london red 08:55 GMT July 6, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

any chance to sell 11090-11115 will prob be jumped on. unlikely to see anywhere yest high.
eurgbp fib at 8710 is a tgt for some

tokyo joyya 08:55 GMT July 6, 2016
cable

wtf gbp....i was out just came back gbp down down down....i think i made biggest misstake gbp long thanx God i did not bought much so safe...i shud long audjpy 72/75...last i was short around 162 but closed too early @ 146 i shud keep till today....

london red 08:53 GMT July 6, 2016
cable

cable yen and spoos might do a little rebound here to initial res. after that res will indicate if resumption of fall or resumption of tech rebound off lows.

Paris ib 08:51 GMT July 6, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

Looks like we will get 100 as early as today. EUR/USD is not really doing all that much as EUR/GBP marches higher.

From here where to on the USD/JPY? 80?

It's gonna be an interesting second half all around the world.

And Janet will have another excuse NOT to raise rates. The USD will have to rely on its 'haven' status for any strength but GOLD is much more likely to benefit.

Singapore SGFXTrader 08:31 GMT July 6, 2016
cable

GBPUSD survive 1.28. Let's see if this is the floor.


Singapore SGFXTrader 07:43 GMT June 30, 2016
cable: Reply
Hmm GBP can never go below 1.28.

This was advised by my buddy who worked in a Sovereignty wealth fund.

I will recommend collect Gbp at current level and below.

Singapore SGFXTrader 08:23 GMT July 6, 2016
Long GBPUSD

KL, GBPUSD is in the midst of a slow recovery, see 4hr chart.

if u use 5-min and 1-hr chart, u might be able to fish the recovery (turning point) earlier.

Long GBPUSD
KL KL 23:18 GMT 07/05/2016

KL KL 08:19 GMT July 6, 2016
Long GBPUSD

Ka Boom.....ha ha ha ha...ha ha ha ha...

Between the morning madness til now....8 hours i have made many trades..... the one I thought I was trapped was when at 1.2930...dropped to 1.28....in a few minutes and it turn out the most memorable...chased it down with Terror and Power like Isreal does to Hamas and Hezbollah and IS.......

I covered from 1.2949...where I started and slowly till 1.2996...the last 20%....no need to be greedy...

Now Focus on Shorting FTSE 6273...slowly relentless>>> over to the other side....

ab...

you should DFM DLTM DYOR.... LOL....

all covered for forex.... hope you have many Diamond rings and necklaces...like that Mr T..... remember that show..... Sorry to busy to respond....later after dinner...I can chit chat again like Poh.....Surprising today also some fields of dream...that Gbpusd drop was Free Gift to Long.....sometimes must catch a falling knife....and looks like it hit the ground on 1.28 for a moment...but MAGIC knife can rise like rocket....LOL

GVI Forex Blog 08:16 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ Retail PMI Weak
Reply   
EZ Retail PMI. weak and back below 50...

BREAKING NEWS: EZ Retail PMI Weak

GVI Trading Room john 08:11 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Second tier data, but in contraction.

GVI Trading Room john 08:10 GMT July 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Retail PMI June 2016





ALERT

48.5 vs. n/a exp. vs. 50.6

Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

hk ab 08:09 GMT July 6, 2016
aud
Reply   
buy aud, target 79 from here.

GVI Trading Room john 08:08 GMT July 6, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

I'm keeping my focus on the U.S. 10-yr yield. Flight to safety demand persists. Note the divergent moves in European yields. More signs of trouble.

london red 08:07 GMT July 6, 2016
Political profile of the UK.

i dont know the ins and outs but there are not always options to veto. the uk negotiated its veto on a number of issues years ago tks to thatcher, fresher members didnt get such benefits.
going forward youd like to think the exchange rate will help uk exports but as things stands, the uk doesnt export a great deal physical (more fin servs) and it imports a great deal from the EU, so its really in the EU's interests to get a free trade deal done. The problem they have is that the powers at the top, are striving for a political union, something its now clear the majority of people of the various member states dont want. In order to stop a break up and to show other members of the risks of leaving, they have to go through the motions and play tough with the UK, but in the end the multinationals will force the politicians to get the deal done. It wont take years to do the deal either, the Germans do not want a strong euro. They took on this whole EU project to artificially keep their currency weak as the strength of the dmark was maybe not killing them but stifling their expansion and export.

GVI Forex Blog 08:04 GMT July 6, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

london red 07:59 GMT July 6, 2016
mkt

yen. res littered at 10135/50/70. so its going to be a wall of worry for any upside. on dwnside lt 50% fib of 125/75 is 10071/78. it shud be a source of sup on any weakness. if mkt cannot hold this and moves below, retest of post brexit 99 is poss. nfp are just around the corner and this result will has a marked effect on all major pairs following the v poor prev nfp. it will be quite binary imo.

LONDON SFH 07:52 GMT July 6, 2016
Political profile of the UK.

They will get a deal but I wonder if each country has a veto on deals
I mean if u have no trade with the uk then you have to push the uk to accept free movement or no deal eh? 26 countries all negotiating with 1

LONDON SFH 07:50 GMT July 6, 2016
Political profile of the UK.

yes
Juncker will have to go as he has played it all wrong.The uk is huge to the dutch too

london red 07:44 GMT July 6, 2016
Political profile of the UK.

UK isnt the largest mkt for the EU as a whole, but UK is massive for Germany. The deficit means Germany means a deal with the UK and its why Merkel has effectively told Juncker to tone dwn and is pressing him to resign.

hk ab 07:42 GMT July 6, 2016
aud
Reply   
follow KL, wears diamond....

I did relentless chased it down to .74.......

HK [email protected] 07:33 GMT July 6, 2016
Political profile of the UK.


LONDON SFH

That's the point, instead of addressing the present critical problems.

Therefore Juncker will screw them up.

LONDON SFH 07:28 GMT July 6, 2016
Political profile of the UK.

Comical situation here in the UK since Brexit-Politicians running out of knives- they are seemingly managing to stab each other as if they're in a circle

HK [email protected] 07:17 GMT July 6, 2016
K.I.S and pray:(
Reply   


.

HK [email protected] 07:01 GMT July 6, 2016
mkt


To deal with the Brexit problem, you need politician of Winston Churchill caliber.

And as the standupper said; That he British do not know how to deal with the situation they have created".

So for the time... delay and delay so both sides will be damaged.

london red 06:58 GMT July 6, 2016
mkt

thats a very good pt. the whole world has been trying to debased covertly, which costs a lot more and the effects less. the uk gets to debase and nobody will say a word asking them to intervene given its come due to a crisis situation. nissan yesterday has said it will take advantage of any situations that arise. ie. we are trying to pick the bottom and buy the next factory:)

hk ab 06:58 GMT July 6, 2016
mkt

kw, full concur.

Indeed, it's a competition of devaluation around the world, U.K. doesn't need to give a censored excuse to US to get the jobs done PERFECTLY.

nw kw 06:51 GMT July 6, 2016
mkt

While central banks around the world spend trillions to devalue their currencies, the BOE has devalued the GBP by 14% for free. Good job

Kl Fs 06:48 GMT July 6, 2016
mkt

Ab, you dont include wfak in your indicator?

nw kw 06:45 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp

so do you default gbp homes det loaded, pre usa faults dvy. are going to hit first. than watt gbp in red.

london red 06:43 GMT July 6, 2016
relentless game

not sure as bad as it gets yet for uk, despite the mkts attempts to price things in overnight, the pain will be a bit more drawn out in the uk over the next 6 months to 2 years. cables bottom may well come earlier. when the uk fell out of the erm gbp on a trade weighted basis fell initially about 15% but was still 20% lower 4 years later, but then quickly rallied within a couple of years to trade above the pre crisis levels.
near term res is at 12965 and 13030. risk is lower until the later can be overcome.

hk ab 06:37 GMT July 6, 2016
mkt
Reply   
a medium long term trend change often comes with a bottom/top tested 3 times on daily charts separately...........

hk ab 06:35 GMT July 6, 2016
mkt
Reply   
I always go into an opposite direction when

1) TV talks about a trend which has already been developed 1/2 a year.

2) GVI has a >95% bias.

3) Kwun's direction.

4) A daily long hammer is seen.

In addition, I always go with KL direction and follow his relentless.

Kl Fs 06:20 GMT July 6, 2016
relentless game

Ab, 1.20 comes first before 1.30? Seems gbp bulls are all dead. Havent seen a single post saying long gbp now

hk ab 05:40 GMT July 6, 2016
NFP
Reply   
Judging from these development, a 0 or -ve NFP could be expected...

hk ab 05:06 GMT July 6, 2016
gbp
Reply   
the dead silence may mean further slides on the pair.....

usually, all things end with a fatal squeeze. Not surprise to see a fast arrival near 1.20 for this.

Mtl JP 04:06 GMT July 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

oh gag me !
Japanese cabinet secretary says economy’s fundamentals are solid
Published: July 5, 2016 11:34 p.m. ET

Hiroshige Seko says volatility caused by risk-averse traders

HK [email protected] 03:17 GMT July 6, 2016
Political profile of the UK.
Reply   


David Cameron: Abandoned ship.

Nigel Farage: Escaped.

Boris Johnson: castrated.

Michael Gove: Most unlovable personality.

Theresa May: Have submarines in her head.

Not very encouraging:

May God save Britain!

Have a good day.

hk ab 03:15 GMT July 6, 2016
CBs
Reply   
Also need to keep an eye on BOJ.... they might continue their usual practice to shake the mkt.

hk ab 03:13 GMT July 6, 2016
relentless game
Reply   
KL, are you still on the gbp and aud relentless games? Thanks.

I am waiting for gbp unbelievable dip to furnish its end of the long term extreme..........

Maybe 1.20?

Many who bought property upon the last drop will now feel the heat.

HK [email protected] 02:58 GMT July 6, 2016
B.O.E does something: Places financial stress on the people and the Gov.Clearly No intervention!



Jkt Abel

Now that the pound is super undervalued, chances for a rebound are higher.

This is the way bankers play politics.
But they can't extend the rope too much.

Chances that street riots may breakout seems higher as the pound drops.

Jkt Abel 02:50 GMT July 6, 2016
B.O.E does something: Places financial stress on the people and the Gov.Clearly No intervention!

Soros must be flipping to short the pound side

Jkt Abel 02:43 GMT July 6, 2016
B.O.E does something: Places financial stress on the people and the Gov.Clearly No intervention!

[email protected] now going long gbpusd feels like an idiot....or smart?

HK [email protected] 02:24 GMT July 6, 2016
B.O.E does something: Places financial stress on the people and the Gov.Clearly No intervention!
Reply   

Wait until the folks will come out with sticks:)

HK [email protected] 02:13 GMT July 6, 2016
HK [email protected] 23:15 GMT June 27, 2016
Reply   

After all H&S still works.

Link to chart I offered on June 27.

But now I am not sure it is a bottom.

Chart

Sydney Syd 02:08 GMT July 6, 2016
Re-testing 1.2970 possible.

RF improbable

HK [email protected] 01:41 GMT July 6, 2016
Re-testing 1.2970 possible.
Reply   
.

HK [email protected] 01:26 GMT July 6, 2016
No worries UK is sleeping.
Reply   

When they will wake up, they will see only black.

GBP on a crashing mode.

HK Kwun 01:06 GMT July 6, 2016
shooting star yesterday

Sell Gold
Entry: 1344 Target: Stop: 1354

unexpected, SL,

HK [email protected] 00:58 GMT July 6, 2016
Long GBPUSD


A falling pound, is probably the cause demoralizing the people who see their savings evaporate.


The banks are big losers of the Brexit event.
Did the bankers decide to conspire and go against Brexit, by weakening the pound?

A falling pound, may bring pressure from many sectors.

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
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Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
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Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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