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Forex Forum Archive for 07/11/2016

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Hk Ab 22:41 GMT July 11, 2016
Xau
Reply   
all gold shorts give a nice breakfast.

Still waiting XAu/gbp 900

dc CB 20:58 GMT July 11, 2016
Setting the Earning Bar: Alcoa Rpts
Reply   
And that, ladies and gentlemtn, is non-GAAP accounting magic 101.

How Alcoa Just Converted A Half A Billion LTM Loss Into Half A Billion Profit

GVI Trading Room john 20:28 GMT July 11, 2016
Tuesday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

12-Jul TUESDAY
14:00 US- JOLTS
17:00 US- 10-yr
13-Jul WEDNESDAY
14:00 CA- Bank Of Canada
14:30 US- Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
14-Jul THURSDAY
00:30 AU- Employment
11:00 GB- Bank Of England
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15-Jul FRIDAY
09:00 EZ- final HICP
12:30 US- Retail Sales
12:30 US- CPI
14:00 US- University of Michigan


Trading Themes --
  • Markets moved ibto a risk on mood Monday on the heels of a better than forecast jobs report last Friday and word that election victories by the ruling Party in Japan would lead to a new aggressive fiscal stimulus program as early as Tuesday. This development saw the JPY weaken sharply on the news.

  • Higher equities saw a solid rise in the yield on the 10-yr note to 1.43%. Fed Funds futures odds on one rate hike this year are only one in four.

  • The Conservative Party leader contest took another turn early Monday when Andrea Leadsom unexpectedly pulled out of the race leaving Theresa May as the sole contender for the job. This has sped up the succession timetable, as she will be installed on Wednesday. The GBP is ending up higher on the news.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


GVI Trading Room john 20:25 GMT July 11, 2016
FOREX-Dollar posts largest one-day gain vs yen since 2014 -- Reuters.com
Reply   
NEW YORK, July 11 The dollar rose to a 10-day high against the yen on Monday, notching its largest one-day percentage gain in nearly two years, following Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's call for a fresh round of fiscal stimulus after a victory for his ruling coalition.

Statements by ruling party sources that the stimulus could reach 10 trillion yen ($97.5 billion) helped Japan's Nikkei stock index jump 4 percent...



FOREX-Dollar posts largest one-day gain vs yen since 2014 -- Reuters.com

GVI Forex Blog 19:55 GMT July 11, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On In
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On In

GVI Forex Blog 19:47 GMT July 11, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

dc CB 17:39 GMT July 11, 2016
"Helicopter Money" Finally Unveiled

next stop 2155

Emini Daily

HK [email protected] 17:29 GMT July 11, 2016
Help the impoverished: EUROPE is “extremely sick” and needs a multi-billion pound bail-out to surviv
Reply   

EUROPE is “extremely sick” and needs a multi-billion pound bail-out to survive a fresh financial crisis, leading EU bankers have warned.
LINK

EUROPE is “extremely sick” and needs a multi-billion pound bail-out to survive a fresh financial crisis, leading EU bankers have warned.

GVI Forex Blog 16:55 GMT July 11, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Rik-On

PAR 16:20 GMT July 11, 2016
Bernanke
Reply   
Bernanke to advise BOJ to devalue the yen ,to go more negative on rates and do a gigantic QE .

Abe will boost the japanese deficit from +200% of GDP to + 300% of GDP .

Without these measures thing could be much worse .

hk ab 16:08 GMT July 11, 2016
xau/eur
Reply   
cool.... so many fishes in the net.

hk ab 15:53 GMT July 11, 2016
xaueur
Reply   
short again 1230.6

HK Kwun 15:39 GMT July 11, 2016
Gold Could Rally To $1,425 in Q4 Says Citi
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1358 Target: Stop: 1348

Buy buy Buy

dc CB 15:35 GMT July 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

fwiw
there are 13 FED Speakers scheduled this week, so 1 down 12 to go.

hk ab 15:21 GMT July 11, 2016
xau
Reply   
finally, bangsters are willing to feed me more.

GVI Trading Room john 15:07 GMT July 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Fed George (hawk):
-- Should raise rates gradually.
-- Rates are too low.
-- Low rates can cause financial instability.

hk ab 15:06 GMT July 11, 2016
xau crosses
Reply   
LOL, that's it? I still have a lot of traps to be filled........

GVI Trading Room john 15:01 GMT July 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

BBC BST = US EST +5hrs):

"The 1922 committee of Tory MPs - which is overseeing the leadership contest - is holding talks with the Conservative Party board over formally declaring Mrs May the winner, after Mrs Leadsom dropped out.

A statement is expected from its chairman, Graham Brady, at about 17:00 BST.

Mrs May is also expected to make a public statement, at about 18:00 BST, according to BBC assistant political editor Norman Smith."

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:57 GMT July 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

10:52 (UK) Prime Min Cameron spokesperson: will set out arrangements for leadership handover shortly; set to hand over prime ministership by Weds night

- Source TradeTheNews.com

tokyo joyya 14:52 GMT July 11, 2016
long euro!
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.1047 Target: open Stop: 1.0997

bout heavly.......

tokyo joyya 14:48 GMT July 11, 2016
Monday Trading

soon cable 1.31 and gbpjpy 134/136 push coming...

hk ab 14:33 GMT July 11, 2016
xaugbp
Reply   
add here 1048.

add 1228.5

GVI Forex Blog 14:22 GMT July 11, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 12 July 2016
Reply   



July 11, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, July 12, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- JOLTS Survey, Wholesale Inventories, 10-yr Auction, Discount Rate Minutes, API

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

12-Jul TUESDAY
14:00 US- JOLTS
17:00 US- 10-yr
13-Jul WEDNESDAY
14:00 CA- Bank Of Canada
14:30 US- Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
14-Jul THURSDAY
00:30 AU- Employment
11:00 GB- Bank Of England
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15-Jul FRIDAY
09:00 EZ- final HICP
12:30 US- Retail Sales
12:30 US- CPI
14:00 US- University of Michigan

GVI Data Calendar for 12 July 2016

hk ab 14:17 GMT July 11, 2016
xau/eur
Reply   
bingo!

hk ab 14:14 GMT July 11, 2016
xaueur
Reply   
add more 1227.5

london red 14:02 GMT July 11, 2016
Monday Trading

yen. fib 10286/94 catalyst to 10350 prior. can do 105-106 quick if overcome. lt still dwn but will allow os to work out.

hk ab 14:00 GMT July 11, 2016
xau/eur
Reply   
sold 1226.5

Livingston nh 13:59 GMT July 11, 2016
Monday Trading

USD/JPY above 103.50 would confirm 4hr chart move and 21dma as hope springs eternal (for the record helicopter money in a savers' based economy means lumpier tatami mats)

USD/CAD toying again with 1.31 - failed Friday (WTI held 45) but hope springs eternal

CB noted earnings and auctions - so treasurys are making concessions but watch revenues for stox

Last but not least CNY ticked above 6.70 at one point o/n see if the level becomes the bottom of a new range

hk ab 13:52 GMT July 11, 2016
xau/aud
Reply   
short xau/aud relentless.

hk ab 13:43 GMT July 11, 2016
xau/gbp
Reply   
time to reload again... semi-relentless.

Tallinn viies 13:16 GMT July 11, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
adding to my short euro position at 1,1072. stop at 1,1122.
target 1,0920/25

Hk Ab 13:15 GMT July 11, 2016
Xaugbp
Reply   
Close 1/2 short at 1040

Funny biz

Rest stop at day high to let it run

hk ab 13:00 GMT July 11, 2016
gold
Reply   
Oh, bangsters want to eat stop 1349.....

XAu crosses short have bright future

dc CB 12:57 GMT July 11, 2016
"Helicopter Money" Finally Unveiled
Reply   
When we first heard this past Thursday that private blogger and Citadel employee Ben Bernanke was going to "secretly" meet with both the BOJ's Haruhiko Kuroda and Japan PM Abe, we warned readers that "something big was coming."

We concluded as follows:

So is it time? Is Bernanke about to unleash the next, and final, monetary policy evolutionary step, one which launches "helicopter money" in Japan, and if successful, brings it across the Pacific to the US?

We don't know, but if anyone is still holding on to USDJPY shorts, now may be a good time to quietly close them out, because if Reuters is right, and a "helicopter money" is about to be served for the first time in modern history, things are about to get very volatile, very fast.
(ZH)

"Something Big" Indeed Came - Bernanke's Japan Visit Sparks Monster Rally

london red 12:36 GMT July 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

cable. if can hold 20/10 they can try for higher again otherwise done here on this blip.

London AzaForex 12:11 GMT July 11, 2016
Day trading strategies on currency pair AUDCAD by AzaForex f
Reply   


Buy AUDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Day trading strategies on currency pair AUDCAD 11-07-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

london red 11:47 GMT July 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

boe may or may not act, but currently 0.25 cut is about 2/3 in the price now a bit less. so mkt likely to go into meet short, hence worth fading sterling as policy will need to be adjusted regardless of who is prime minister. 13030/60 and 131/13120 will be zones folk fade.

hk ab 11:42 GMT July 11, 2016
xau/eur
Reply   
will also short tonnes of this pair for m/t trade.

GVI Trading Room john 11:34 GMT July 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

May can be named as leader much earlier than expected -- Brady

LONDON SFH 11:32 GMT July 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

*THERESA MAY CAN BE NAMED TORY LEADER, U.K. PM, BRADY SAYS

UK JY 11:29 GMT July 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

One step closer to invoking Article 50?

hk ab 11:29 GMT July 11, 2016
xau/gbp
Reply   
shorted 1046.

hk ab 11:27 GMT July 11, 2016
xau/gbp
Reply   
so interesting to find out that bangsters started to push the pair lower without touching my level......

May need to scale in now, otherwise, miss the train.

LONDON SFH 11:21 GMT July 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Only adding to the already farcical state of politics in this country..

GVI Trading Room john 11:19 GMT July 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Chatter Gove could re-enter the race. I have no idea if that is possible?

UK JY 11:15 GMT July 11, 2016
intervention

Boris really blew his chance

GVI Trading Room john 11:14 GMT July 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
Leadsom officially pulls out of Leadership race.
-- Says May has the support of more than 60% of our parliamentary colleagues
-- TTN

GVI Forex 11:14 GMT July 11, 2016
intervention

07:13 (UK) Andrea Leadsom officially withdraws from Conservative leadship race

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trading Room john 10:54 GMT July 11, 2016
intervention

Reports: Andrea Leadsom to drop out of the race to become the leader of the #Conservative party -SKY News

LONDON SFH 10:49 GMT July 11, 2016
intervention

*ANDREA LEADSOM TO MAKE STATEMENT AT NOON, BBC SAYS - Some rumours circulating that she may be quitting the leadership race. Stg firmer on these reports

hk ab 10:38 GMT July 11, 2016
intervention
Reply   
Intervention?

tokyo joyya 10:30 GMT July 11, 2016
gbp

Buy ...
Entry: Target: Stop:

today bout @ 1.285

perth wtr 10:28 GMT July 11, 2016
gbp

so are we going below 1.28 soon?

hk ab 10:23 GMT July 11, 2016
gbp
Reply   
how long could the mkt makers push below 1.28? .... Hmm.

GVI Trading Room john 10:06 GMT July 11, 2016
Monday Trading

Equities Risk-On
DAX +117
DJ +65
SP +7

10-yr 1.376% +0.8%
WTI $44.83 -0.58

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 09:38 GMT July 11, 2016
Live Amazing Trader Trading

We will be holding a live trading session as a prelude to our Amazing Trader beta test, which is coming soon:

Wednesday, July 13

Time: 12:00-13:00 GMT

Space is limited. To sign up, send me an EMAIL

GVI Trading Room 08:54 GMT July 11, 2016
Yen slips as Tokyo stocks jump on renewed Abenomics hopes -- Reuters.com
Reply   
TOKYO, July 11 The safe-haven yen fell on Monday amid an improvement in investor risk appetite following a surge in Tokyo stocks, but traders said the greenback will be capped longer term by views the Federal Reserve will remain cautious on interest rates.


Yen slips as Tokyo stocks jump on renewed Abenomics hopes -- Reuters.com

GVI Trading Room john 08:44 GMT July 11, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

Equities higher after U.S. Jobs data. Still some risf-off trading in EZ bonds.

GVI Forex Blog 08:42 GMT July 11, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

hk ab 08:05 GMT July 11, 2016
gbp
Reply   
should be the last thrust of the GBP weakness.

hk ab 08:01 GMT July 11, 2016
gbp
Reply   
so fast to meet my expectation!!!

XAU/GBP next!!!

watch for 1072. and remember the target 900!

HK [email protected] 07:54 GMT July 11, 2016
Gold may retrace back to 1200 vicinity.


Things look different this time. And too it is not definitive.

perth wtr 07:51 GMT July 11, 2016
Gold may retrace back to 1200 vicinity.

only friday said 1425, now monday say 1200...such a conviction

HK [email protected] 07:49 GMT July 11, 2016
Gold may retrace back to 1200 vicinity.
Reply   

This is an estimation only:(

Amman wfakhoury 07:28 GMT July 11, 2016
GBPUSD ready to move big
Reply   
GBPUSD ready to move big 150-200 pips

hk ab 07:24 GMT July 11, 2016
gbp
Reply   
I expect one more probe to the1.28xx area, then, the holy recovery will appear.

hk ab 07:16 GMT July 11, 2016
gold
Reply   
Those 120 pips out of 18000 pips should be reserved those for the ONE.....
----------------------------------------------------------------------
hk ab's special offer:

XAUGBP

Sell anything above 1072, every $10 up, multiple entries.....

Stops placed in the range of 1160-1210 of your choice for a revisit of 900 at least......

Calc the % and I hope that I don't make the ONE too embarrassed.....

This is going to be the BEST summer present for everyone.

PAR 07:14 GMT July 11, 2016
Keeping Cool
Reply   


Monday 11 July – Domestic demand delights
Presented by Paul Donovan

• Asian financial markets have become excited about the optimism of last Friday's employment report. Never mind that the frequency of revision gives this data all the substance of a soufflé – markets wanted to be positive, and this was an excuse.

• The Bank of Japan saw broad money supply growth doing very little – which must be a disappointment given their rather frantic activity with narrow money supply. This has some global relevance, as other central banks (the ECB) have also been somewhat frantic in their policy prescriptions.

• That august body, the G20 group of nations, saw trade ministers meet to opine (they would not meet to decided anything of course, because the G20 does not really do decisions). They warned of a decline in cross border investment flows.

• One reason for the decline is, of course, the aftermath of the UK referendum result (as the UK is traditionally a very large recipient of foreign investment). The Bank of England meets this week as expected to cut rates – effectively transferring income from savers to borrowers.


Amman wfakhoury 06:07 GMT July 11, 2016
GBPNZD 17841 Did you make 120 pips
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 20:31 GMT 07/09/2016
GBPNZD buy to make 120 pips

Now 17721
Tp 17841

Buy add buy at 80 pips intervals.
_____________________________
17841 Reached

The only one in the world who confirms the next level



Singapore SGFXTrader 05:31 GMT July 11, 2016
Japan PM Abe order new economic stimulus package on 12 July

GBPJPY confirm break 132 and USDJPY to break 102 today! Let's see how Europe session digest this piece of news and then US session.

nw kw 05:20 GMT 07/11/2016
...

Promise of fiscal stimulus saw the Nikkei jump 4.41%, and USDJPY was seen with a corresponding rise to 101.49, breaking resistance at 101.20-30 with barely a sweat. However, traditionally the impact of fiscal stimulus, or at least the announcement part, has a limited impact on FX, and we expect the intraday high to have been already printed at 101.49,

...

nw kw 05:20 GMT July 11, 2016
Japan PM Abe order new economic stimulus package on 12 July

PM Abe on the wires - says will order preparation of economic stimulus tomorrow, and economic steps will encourage future investment and establish 21st century infrastructure. They will make the most out of zero interest rate environment and construction of high speed train lines will be sped up. Facilities will be built up for tourists in regions and they will invest fruits of growth into support for child rearing. The govt will proceed with labour reforms and there is a need to strengthen international cooperation for market stability.

Promise of fiscal stimulus saw the Nikkei jump 4.41%, and USDJPY was seen with a corresponding rise to 101.49, breaking resistance at 101.20-30 with barely a sweat. However, traditionally the impact of fiscal stimulus, or at least the announcement part, has a limited impact on FX, and we expect the intraday high to have been already printed at 101.49, unless risk appetite rallies again in European/US hours. Stiff real money offers from are still seen ahead of 101.50, with more sighted ahead of 102.00. C.L

nw kw 05:17 GMT July 11, 2016
Japan PM Abe order new economic stimulus package on 12 July

PM Abe says will order preparation of economic stimulus tomorrow

nw kw 05:10 GMT July 11, 2016
Japan PM Abe order new economic stimulus package on 12 July

Gold's run is done — look out for a $300 drop: Wells Fargo strategist

Singapore SGFXTrader 04:55 GMT July 11, 2016
Japan PM Abe order new economic stimulus package on 12 July
Reply   
That explains why GBPJPY, EURJPY and USDJPY all going up after the news hit the wire!

dc CB 01:53 GMT July 11, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead and More...

there are also 3 US auctions this week
M, Tu, Wed

3s,10s, 30s

hk ab 01:53 GMT July 11, 2016
gold
Reply   
exited long from 66 at 70.8

HK [email protected] 01:33 GMT July 11, 2016
gold


hk ab 01:03 GMT

Don't underestimate the speed of information flow this time.

The big money know long ago(cot report).
Now they wait for some to sell and retrace.

hk ab 01:20 GMT July 11, 2016
gold
Reply   
but obviously, the pair is luring more contestants in the game now.

hk ab 01:03 GMT July 11, 2016
gold
Reply   
RF, the overbullishness may only be 50% only......

as many are not shown up on TV to express their bullishness yet on TV.

HK [email protected] 00:28 GMT July 11, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead and More...



London SFH 21:29 GMT 07/10/2016

Think, it is what B.O.E wants everyone to believe in it's declared intentions.
Get the whole world into short GBP, or at least keep the current ones.

hk ab 00:18 GMT July 11, 2016
gold
Reply   
Bought 66.30

 




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