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Forex Forum Archive for 07/25/2016

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


tokyo joyya 23:58 GMT July 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

KL KL 21:50 GMT 07/25/2016

yes indeed things getting worse and worse business situation also very bad used cars prices also down 15 to 50% i have cars stock but difficult to sale nowdays....world situation getting worse...

KL KL 21:50 GMT July 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

19 Killed in Tokyo Japan Knife attack in disable centre...multiple people injured..... Not Islam related...but equally as bad and the usual what is happening to this world....the end is near.....its Chaos everywhere..!!

Livingston nh 20:41 GMT July 25, 2016
Tuesday Trading

The odds !!!

Yellen is a 3 legged horse - just because the odds change doesn't mean a 3 legged horse just grew a 4th leg and nobody but the mopes who put money in to change the odds happened to NOTICE

ALL of these algo influenced mopes who don't understand that the Morning LINE is the bet to beat not the Tourist odds based on jockey silks or horse names

BREXIT was the PERFECT example -- the mopes bet the amount of the money when the Game was the number of votes -- the mopes didn't understand that a bookie is a perfect hedge fund manager

KNOW the Game - KNOW the Players - and KNOW the RUBE (otherwise it might be you)

GVI Trading Room john 20:33 GMT July 25, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

fwiw I put the odds at 56% for a rate hike tis year.It all depends on your assumptions.

GVI Trading Room john 20:27 GMT July 25, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Blue line (inverted) indicates the odds of a Fed rate hike by year end.

Market Sentiment Indicators--
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one rate hike by yearend are:
+56% from +56% late Friday.

Spot EURUSD: 1.0980
20-day avg: 1.1065
Pivot Point: 1.0990

Markets are wanting to close the gap.

Livingston nh 20:11 GMT July 25, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

"The implied probability that the Fed will raise rates by
year-end rose to about 48 percent Monday, the highest in about a month, according to futures data compiled by Bloomberg."

The "MARKET" has been all over since MARCH because they listen to the Fed

Janet has deigned to grace the presence of Jackson Hole this year so another chance to scam the dupes

GVI Trading Room john 20:08 GMT July 25, 2016
Tuesday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

26-Jul TUE
00:30 AU- CPI
13:45 US- flash SVC PMI
14:00 US- CB Confidence
14:00 US- New Homes Sales
27-Jul WED
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US= Durable Goods
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- Crude
18:00 US- Fed Decision & Presser
28-Jul THU
07:55 DE- Employment
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
23:30 JP- CPI
29-Jul FRI
03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
09:00 EZ- GDP, flash HICP
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- final U of Mich



Trading Themes --
  • The new week opened with the closely watched German IFO Survey for July the latest data were mixed. More broadly, the IFO is down from early 2014 and recently about dead flat. No impact on EURUSD

  • The Democratic Party Convention runs from Monday through Friday this week with Hillary Clinton set to be proclaimed the party candidate for President in the fall. This is shaping up to be another rancorous convention.

  • The Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday. No rate changes are seen as likely, although a slightly less dovish tone is seen as probible following the rebound in the June Jobs data.

  • On Friday, the Bank of Japan meets. Over the weekend, Kuroda partially walked back hawkish comments made last week. He indicated the central bank would be supportive of a fiscal stimulus program. We should get some sort of BOJ commitment for additional monetary stimulus by week's end.
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


HK [email protected] 20:05 GMT July 25, 2016
What is worse than the bombs of Assad! OLD PEOPLE!
Reply   

Syrian refugees now living in Scotland say it is 'depressing' and 'full of old people'

For many people, the chance of living on a Scottish island is a dream. But it appears to have become a nightmare for Syrian refugees living in Rothesay, on the island of Bute.

Some of those who have been resettled there within the past year complain that the area is full of old people and somewhere you come to die.

Syrian refugees now living in Scotland say it is 'depressing' and 'full of old people'

dc CB 20:00 GMT July 25, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

nh

iffen I were to say...Stuff is goin' Great Boffo..et al

I Wud raise Wed.

Given the Crappola (who cuda thunk dat det wuddda cought cough cough cough...us USA USA ..it's the Ruskies da Ruskies

yrs
Manny I Pulation

GVI Forex Blog 19:55 GMT July 25, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Livingston nh 19:47 GMT July 25, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

CB - re: the 2yr auction -- is this the "expected hawkish FOMC statement" (maybe SEPT) to scam the market again?

GVI Forex Blog 19:42 GMT July 25, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

Livingston nh 19:33 GMT July 25, 2016
Monday Trading

WTI held 43 but...? // STOX - SPX primary gap is a wk ago Thurs at 2152 (next day lo 2156) so what event risk -- FED, haha! // USD/JPY still in a world of its own -- BoJ keeps hitting itself w/ a hammer so this week shouldn't be different

dc CB 19:30 GMT July 25, 2016
Turkey

Erdogon 50 tp 60K Purged

HRC...?????

Wooops

plan your trades

WTF?

Livingston nh 19:25 GMT July 25, 2016
Turkey

It appears that the inverted Dead Cat Bounce in ***/TRY has ended

Livingston nh 19:23 GMT July 25, 2016
Asia

Follow-up// USD/TWD above 21dma now see if it holds (33 trgt) and USD/SGD above daily 89 ema (above 144 ema is 1.37 trgt)

dc CB 19:01 GMT July 25, 2016
yeh Can't read? The Perfect Voter
Reply   
This is tooooo Hard

Can't read

U R argddddddddd

can't read dono matter U r WIT US

U R Wit US

Tinkin'(sic) not required

Snowden Explains How To Get To The Bottom Of "Who Hacked The Democrats"

dc CB 18:48 GMT July 25, 2016
OMG Lies Lies Lies

Repeat

PS: US grains are the better bet. U can see if or not it will Rain

that can not be spinned

SaaR KaL 18:35 GMT July 25, 2016
EURGBP SHorts
Reply   
0.8378 0.8331
Longer term < .8240

dc CB 18:30 GMT July 25, 2016
OMG Lies Lies Lies

A Rat Trapped in a Corner

will do anything to Live

shield your face

dc CB 18:28 GMT July 25, 2016
OMG Lies Lies Lies
Reply   
the hackers changed what they Hacked

OMG OMG OMG

Hackers R not Honest?

OMG OMG

So this is What the confusion the Clinton Foundation can buy!

dc CB 18:09 GMT July 25, 2016
Curleyheaded Blonde from the Chad Sate

so tonite

Bernie Speech

Michelle Obama speech.

Risk: audience responce.

Dicey re: Wikileaks this weekend

PS: US grains are the better bet. U can see if or not it will Rain

Kaunas DP 17:57 GMT July 25, 2016
gbp/usd
Reply   
shall we see <1.31 in asia?

dc CB 17:45 GMT July 25, 2016
Curleyheaded Blonde from the Chad Sate

Sanders Booed After Saying Clinton, Kaine Must Be Elected

place your bets

dc CB 17:42 GMT July 25, 2016
Curleyheaded Blonde from the Chad Sate
Reply   
“I have decided that in the interest of making sure that we can start the Democratic convention on a high note that I am not going to gavel in the convention,” Wasserman Schultz told The Sun Sentinel.

nw kw 17:39 GMT July 25, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Dallas Fed(ya in the OIL Patch)

all talent gone and no replacements long-term so usa nfp will strengthens

see a shortage or inflation

dc CB 17:34 GMT July 25, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Not reported here

Dallas Fed(ya in the OIL Patch)

July responses (from real American business owners, not politicians)...

Chemical Manufacturing

Entry-level candidates cannot read or follow instructions. Most cannot do simple math problems. What is wrong with the educational system?


nw kw 17:29 GMT July 25, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

all most see long usajpy developing

nw kw 17:25 GMT July 25, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

shootings
The New York City Police Department has acquired $7 million in military-style protective equipment for patrol officers in response to recent shooting attacks on police in Baton Rouge and Dallas earlier this month, officials said on Monday
nasty trend for world?

dc CB 17:24 GMT July 25, 2016
SToX, Philadelphia, and the Corination

"and that's the way it is......"

The Most Trusted Man In America

dc CB 17:08 GMT July 25, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Auction ----- Trust-----------Fall Out

2Y 0.76%, WI 0.748%

Indirects Plunge to 29.9% - lowest since July 2014

dc CB 16:46 GMT July 25, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Excess supplies reportedly are a weight on crude.

It's a Seasonal Thing...it happens Every Year

Risk is OFF because the Bank Backed Queen is facing Chaos in 100 degree weather in what was to be a Shooo In

Crude summer peak

GVI Trading Room john 16:41 GMT July 25, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Markets have flipped to a risk-off posture and this appears to be giving EURUSD a lift. Excess supplies reportedly are a weight on crude.

GVI Forex Blog 16:37 GMT July 25, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

dc CB 15:55 GMT July 25, 2016
SToX, Philadelphia, and the Corination

Erdogan: "so what's the big deal, you guys do it all the time"

Facebook

dc CB 15:46 GMT July 25, 2016
SToX, Philadelphia, and the Corination
Reply   
Wicki Spanner thrown into the works.

Bernie Sanders Supporters in Philadelphia Chant: ‘Lock Her Up!’

tokyo joyya 15:40 GMT July 25, 2016
long gbp!
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.0975 Target: open Stop: later add

going long eurusd and cable bfore fomc....do not understand whats going on...happy trade,

hk ab 15:16 GMT July 25, 2016
gold
Reply   
Mission completes again......GL

Target 1328

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 14:13 GMT July 25, 2016
Amazing Trader Beta test
Reply   

Our beta test is starting this week and we have opening for just a few spots so if you want to be part of our exciting new program, this is the last call

Send me an EMAIL to reserve one of the last remaining spots

Macao GB 14:01 GMT July 25, 2016
Gold
Reply   
I sold some more to reach 1309 target.

hk ab 13:38 GMT July 25, 2016
gold
Reply   
Let's start the relentless......

Macao GB 13:28 GMT July 25, 2016
Gold
Reply   
Go go go 1309

GVI Forex Blog 13:19 GMT July 25, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 26 July 2016
Reply   

July 25, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, July 26, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: AU- CPI
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Case-Shiller, flash SVC PMI, Richmond Fed, CB Confidence, New Homes Sales, 5-yr Auction

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

26-Jul TUE
00:30 AU- CPI
13:45 US- flash SVC PMI
14:00 US- CB Confidence
14:00 US- New Homes Sales
27-Jul WED
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US= Durable Goods
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- Crude
18:00 US- Fed Decision & Presser
28-Jul THU
07:55 DE- Employment
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
23:30 JP- CPI
29-Jul FRI
03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
09:00 EZ- GDP, flash HICP
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- final U of Mich

GVI Data Calendar for 26 July 2016

tokyo joyya 12:06 GMT July 25, 2016
Monday Trading

just came home from work....again no change everything is same no breakout....

Livingston nh 11:51 GMT July 25, 2016
Monday Trading

Yellen the Chief Priestess sacrificing the Good on the Altar of the Perfect

Ignore what they say watch what they do = NOTHING

dc CB 11:44 GMT July 25, 2016
Monday Trading

Indicators such as the June employment report, retail sales, housing starts, capacity utilization, and a gauge of service industries have all beat economists’ expectations. Still, 2016 has defined Chair Janet Yellen’s approach to policy, which might be summed up as a doctrine of waiting for overwhelming evidence.

Yellen Still Waiting for Overwhelming Evidence to Warrant Hike

GVI Trading Room john 10:39 GMT July 25, 2016
Monday Trading

DAX +83
DJ -2
SP -2

10-yr 1.585% +3.1bp

Macao GB 10:20 GMT July 25, 2016
Gold

Wfakhoury is a confident master. The one and only one.

Kl Fs 10:15 GMT July 25, 2016
Gold

Get out if you are worried.

Macao GB 08:39 GMT July 25, 2016
Gold
Reply   
After holding the short for so long, it should go to 1309 target.

I am just afraid the pound will not go back to 1.3240 master magnet level.

GVI Trading Room john 08:38 GMT July 25, 2016
Monday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

25-Jul MON
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
26-Jul TUE
00:30 AU- CPI
13:45 US- flash SVC PMI
14:00 US- CB Confidence
14:00 US- New Homes Sales
27-Jul WED
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US= Durable Goods
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- Crude
18:00 US- Fed Decision & Presser
28-Jul THU
07:55 DE- Employment
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
23:30 JP- CPI
29-Jul FRI
03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
09:00 EZ- GDP, flash HICP
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- final U of Mich



Trading Themes --
  • The new week has opened on Monday with the closely watched German IFO Survey for July. The are down fron early 2014 and recently have been about dead flat. No impact on EURUSD

  • The Democratic Party Convention runs from Monday through Friday this week with Hillary Clinton set to be proclaimed the party candidate for President in the fall.

  • The Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday. No rate changes are seen as likely, although a slightly less dovish tone is seen as probible following the rebound in the June Jobs data.

  • On Friday, the Bank of Japan meets. Markets reacted badly last week to a month-old BBC radio documentary of BOJ Governor Kuroda where he threw cold water on the idea of "helicopter money". Over the weekend, Kuroda partially walked back those comments indicating the central bank would be supportive of a fiscal stimulus program of the government. We should get some sort of commitment from the BOJ for for additional monetary stimulus by the week's end.
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


GVI Forex Blog 08:35 GMT July 25, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

LONDON SFH 08:29 GMT July 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

BREAKING: 15 people shot at a nightclub in Florida....

These shootings are now becoming daily occurences in the west...

GVI Trading Room john 08:16 GMT July 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey Mixed

Look at the red line on the IFO Chart below. Its down from 2014 and recently about dead flat.

GVI Forex Blog 08:13 GMT July 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey Mixed
Reply   
German July IFO Survey beats expectations but mixed against June.

BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey Mixed

GVI Trading Room john 08:02 GMT July 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

IFO beats expectations but mixed vs. previous data

GVI Trading Room john 08:01 GMT July 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Reply   
German IFO Survey July 2016
Global-VIew EZ and German Charts



NEWS ALERT

Climate: 108.3 vs. 107.6 exp. vs. 108.7 prev.
Conditions: 114.7 vs. 114.0 exp. vs. 114.5 (r 114.7) prev.
Expectations: 102.2 vs. 101.5 exp. vs. 103.1 prev.


IFO Climate Survey



TTN: Live News Special Offer

perth wtr 07:41 GMT July 25, 2016
sell cable

thanks abel, wonderful level and call
hopefully it can continue going down from here

jkt abel 07:27 GMT July 25, 2016
sell cable

cable has touched the anticipated pivot mentioned previously, day trading sellers can try short with reasonable stop above 1.3180

perth wtr 07:19 GMT July 25, 2016
sell cable
Reply   
went short today 1.3144, stop above 1.3180, target 1.2888

SaaR KaL 07:16 GMT July 25, 2016
3 pair can not wrong

EURGBP most likely shorting above 0.8352

SaaR KaL 07:09 GMT July 25, 2016
3 pair can not wrong
Reply   
GBPJPY Longs
GBPNZD and GBPAUD

USDCAD Shorts above 1.3180ish is good for < 1.27 target

Kaunas DP 06:19 GMT July 25, 2016
sell
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.0971 Target: 1.0930 Stop: 1.1

1.0950 will be cracked before ifo and then continuation due to bad data

jkt abel 06:12 GMT July 25, 2016
cable

it is also 38.2 fib, quite magnetic IMO

jkt abel 06:07 GMT July 25, 2016
cable

pivot around 1.3155, so may see that first and decide

kl fs 06:06 GMT July 25, 2016
cable
Reply   
sold 1.3144, add later if 60-70 seen, stop above 1.32

HK Kwun 03:34 GMT July 25, 2016
below 1325 is bearish
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1318 Target: Stop: 1328

previous one was TP at 1314, now sell again

Brisbane Flip 03:21 GMT July 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

The Nobel prize doesn't carry the same level of gravitas it did a generation ago. Some pretty dubious winners and notable omissions have made it more pop cultural trivia.
I'd say its up there battling subjectivity wise with the yearly "Sexiest Man(or Woman) Alive"

Hong Kong 02:31 GMT July 25, 2016
AceTrader Jul 25: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY
Reply   
25 Jul 2016 01:42GMT

USD/JPY - ..... Dlr climbed to intra-day high of 106.73 following comments by BoJ Governor over the w/end who reiterated the central bank is not mulling so-called 'helicopter money'. Price opened higher at 106.19 (vs Friday's close at 106.09) and the pair then ratcheted higher in Australia, then in Asia on steady cross-selling in yen before easing.

Looks like another day of broad sideways swings would be seen following dlr's selloff from last Thursday's 6-week high of 107.49 to 105.42 and bids have been raised to 106.30-20 and more below with some stops reported below 106.00, however, good buying interest is touted above 105.50.

On the up side, offers are tipped at 106.70/80 and more above with stops above 107.00.
However, more selling interest is noted at 107.20/30, suggesting choppy range trading may well prevail today.

Sydney ACC 02:14 GMT July 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Nobel Prizes have been awarded to over 850 individuals,[2] of whom at least 20% were Jewish or people of Jewish descent, although Jews comprise less than 0.2% of the world's population[3] (or 1 in every 500 people). Overall, Jews or people of Jewish descent have won a total of 41% of all the Nobel Prizes in economics, 28% of medicine, 26% of physics, 19% of chemistry, 13% of literature and 9% of all peace awards.

On the other hand there have been 12 Muslim recipients of Nobel Prizes. Seven individuals were awarded for peace, two for literature, one for physics and two for chemistry. There are 1.6 billion Muslims in the world roughly 23% of the world's population.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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