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Forex Forum Archive for 08/06/2016

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GVI Trading Room 23:08 GMT August 6, 2016
Strong U.S. employment report brightens economic outlook ...Reuters.com
Reply   
"U.S. employment rose more than expected for the second month in a row in July and wages picked up, bolstering expectations of faster economic growth, and raising the probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate increase this year.

Nonfarm payrolls rose by 255,000 jobs after an upwardly revised 292,000 surge in June, with hiring broadly based across the sectors of the economy, the Labor Department said on Friday. In addition, 18,000 more jobs were created in May and June than previously reported...."

Strong U.S. employment report brightens economic outlook ...Reuters.com

dc CB 21:19 GMT August 6, 2016
Fun with Covers
Reply   
Once Upon a Time: this was a NO BRAINER: get a local Bank CD

Barron's Cover

dc CB 21:17 GMT August 6, 2016
NFP

With Gold and Silver Prices Hammered Below Critical Support at $1350 and $20 Friday, We Dissect the Big Moves For You, Discussing:

Gold and Silver Prices SMASHED On Friday’s Huge Job Numbers
+255k Jobs in July- BLS Numbers GOOSED For Hillary?
US Mint Sells Only 75,000 Silver Eagles First Week of August – Physical Silver Demand DEAD?

(podcast)

Gold and Silver Crushed On BLS – Numbers GOOSED For Hillary?

nw kw 18:06 GMT August 6, 2016
USD/CAD

cad added 15% tax on home buyers and china's fleeing Vancouvers market itl rock cads income next is aud?

nw kw 17:53 GMT August 6, 2016
USD/CAD

Reckon Canada has a problem same as usa gov takes time for new weed tax, for income,aud has international drug exports?

Livingston nh 14:26 GMT August 6, 2016
NFP



The chart shows 10 yrs of seasonally adjusted and not seas adj monthly job growth in NFP -- the red line is the raw data

The deep downspikes are Jan and the medium downspikes are July // the April report had NSA number nearly 900k higher than the SA headline -- the terrible month of MAY (as revised yesterday) had +24k jobs Seas Adj but the raw number NSA was +621k -- the Wonderful month of June (as revised yesterday) had +292k jobs Seas Adj but the raw number NSA was even more wonderful +660k

SO in Q2 the NSA NFP was nearly 2.2 million HIGHER than the SA headline number

Yesterday's figs had NSA -1030K vs the SA headline of +225K, a difference of more than 1.25 million -- this difference is about the same as July 2015, 2014, 2013 and as you can see on the chart the medium downspikes occur every July // It's a Mug's Game so the Sour Grapes show up when these hi paid economists miss on the GUESS

For the record TOTAL NFP is growing but as of yesterday has a 260K difference SA vs NSA

Sydney ACC 03:30 GMT August 6, 2016
USD/CAD

Reckon Canada has a problem?
Australia in June had a trade deficit of AUD3.195 billion, the six month in the last twelve to record a deficit over AUD 3 billion.
Whereas Australia's GDP per capita is around 4% more than Canada's national GDP is about USD 260 billion more than Australia's.
Over the last five years the motor manufacturing industry has been wound down while all manufacturers ceasing production. Oil refining is now done in Singapore with the country importing gasoline predominantly from Singapore.
Since 2012 with the drop in commodity prices Australia has consistently recorded trade deficits that are getting larger.
All this time there's little mention of the trend in the local press.

 




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Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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