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Forex Forum Archive for 08/15/2016

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dc CB 22:06 GMT August 15, 2016
Tuesday Trading

So the Q is who

So the Q is to whom have they been unloading.

at the ATHs?

dc CB 22:02 GMT August 15, 2016
Tuesday Trading

take a peak at the ZH twitter acct....I'm sure that later there will be a post on the ZH site...but the Tylers are recounting the 13Fs that show what SToX the big hedge funds have been Dumping in the last quarter. Lot's of FANG.....Soros seems to have dumped his APPL into the hands of Buffet.

So the Q is who have they been unloading cauz "the rest of the story" will be interesting.

GVI Trading Room john bland 21:17 GMT August 15, 2016
Tuesday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
16-Aug TUE
08:30 GB- CPI
09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
12:30 US- CPI
12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
13:15 US- Industrial Production
17-Aug WED
00:30 AU- Employment
14:30 US- Crude
18:00 US- FOMC Minutes
18-Aug THU
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
19-Aug FRI
12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


Trading Themes --
  • Trading should pick up Tuesday with key data due from the U.K. (CPI), Germany (ZEW Survey) and U.S. (CPI, Housing Starts/Permits & Industrial Production) likely to bring activity back to life.

  • Japanese 2Q16 GDP was a disappointing 0.0% q/q after a gain of 0.20% had been expected. Questions continue to be raised about whether the latest stimulus plan, which is mostly hot air, will make a difference.

  • The key EURUSD pair continues trading close to ists pre-July U.S. employment data levels. Monday saw another run at the 1.1200 line (1.1204 HOD) but failed once again to establish it as support.

  • Fed funds futures are now pricing in about 48% odds on a Fed rate hike by year end. Odds fell from about 55% early on Friday before the weaker than expected U.S. Retail Sales report.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


GVI Forex Blog 20:10 GMT August 15, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

GVI Forex Blog 19:44 GMT August 15, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

Mtl JP 17:41 GMT August 15, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

S&P - apparently a close above 2,184.05 would be a new all-time high.

Mtl JP 17:39 GMT August 15, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

cretins - this time Willians - just screwing with players heads; good cop bad cop game.

and stupid market lets 'em
sofar at least
-
euro: descending t-line res at 1.1250

GVI Trading Room john bland 17:06 GMT August 15, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Williams has been in favor of more rate hikes, apparently also QE infinity.

GVI Trading Room john bland 17:05 GMT August 15, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

SF Fed President Williams
-- Time to study moving away from 2% inflation target.
-- Should consider higher targets

Source: TTN

Ithaca sjm 16:41 GMT August 15, 2016
stg/loonie
Reply   
short stg/loonie at these levels until $/cad trades above 1.3030

Bali Sja 16:35 GMT August 15, 2016
Gold; A possibility

I beg to differ. Gold is heading to 1420

GVI Trading Room 16:21 GMT August 15, 2016
Brexit will be delayed until end of 2019 -- thetimes.co.uk
Reply   
Britain could remain in the EU until late 2019, almost a year later than predicted, ministers have privately warned senior figures in the City of London. Theresa May has been expected to enact article 50 in January, setting in train the formal two years of negotiations before Brexit. Despite great political pressure to stick to that timetable, she may be forced to delay because her new Brexit and international trade departments will not be ready, City sources said..."

Brexit ‘will be delayed until end of 2019 --thetimes.co.uk

hk ab 15:53 GMT August 15, 2016
gbp
Reply   
dunno if there are any newbies buying gbp on wfak's recommendation still survive.

GVI Forex Blog 15:45 GMT August 15, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

HK [email protected] 14:12 GMT August 15, 2016
Gold; A possibility
Reply   



CHART; Target 1233

London AzaForex 14:10 GMT August 15, 2016
Day trading strategies on the currency pair USDJPY 15-08-201
Reply   


Sell USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Day trading strategies on the currency pair USDJPY 15-08-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

GVI Forex Blog 14:08 GMT August 15, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 16 August 2016
Reply   

August 15, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, August 16, 2016.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- CPI, DE- ZEW Survey
  • North America: US- CPI, Housing Starts/Permits, Industrial Production, API Crude

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
16-Aug TUE
08:30 GB- CPI
09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
12:30 US- CPI
12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
13:15 US- Industrial Production
17-Aug WED
00:30 AU- Employment
14:30 US- Crude
18:00 US- FOMC Minutes
18-Aug THU
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
19-Aug FRI
12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales

GVI Data Calendar for 16 August 2016

GVI Trading Room john bland 14:00 GMT August 15, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. NAHB Index August 2016

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
60 vs. 60 exp. vs. 59 (r 58) prev.

RELEASE: NAHB Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer

SaaR KaL 13:42 GMT August 15, 2016
EURUSD
Reply   
Short near 1.1189 tgt 1.1155

GVI Trading Room john bland 12:30 GMT August 15, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Reply   
Empire PMI August 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-4.21 vs.+2.00 vs. +0.55 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

hk ab 12:04 GMT August 15, 2016
gold
Reply   
just for record.

I have never seen gold can beat the daily chart with this HUGE hammer.

If it can move big above 1375 (to fascinate wfak dream), things could be really rotten.

But I think wfak's implying downside 1250.

GVI Trading Room john bland 11:41 GMT August 15, 2016
Monday Trading

Equities mild risk on ?
DAX +46
DJ +41
SP + 4

10-yr 1.517% 0bp

manila tom 09:47 GMT August 15, 2016
Gold move big

ab, never fight with fuzzy logic from desert
confirm the next level=no direction given, just accept it damn it, no question asked LOL

hk ab 09:41 GMT August 15, 2016
Gold move big

Anyone knows a little bit chart skills can tell you that the direction is.....

hk ab 09:40 GMT August 15, 2016
Gold move big

Gold move big
Amman wfakhoury 08:07 GMT 08/15/2016
Take care Gold will move big ..no direction will be given


The only one in the world who confirms the next level
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
no direction will be given = The only one in the world fxxx us?

Goddest logic!

bali sja 09:34 GMT August 15, 2016
sell usd
Reply   
bought cable small to test water 1.2911, stop 1.2839

GVI Trading Room john bland 08:28 GMT August 15, 2016
Monday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
16-Aug TUE
08:30 GB- CPI
09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
12:30 US- CPI
12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
13:15 US- Industrial Production
17-Aug WED
00:30 AU- Employment
14:30 US- Crude
18:00 US- FOMC Minutes
18-Aug THU
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
19-Aug FRI
12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


Trading Themes --
  • Trading has gotten off to a sluggish start on Monday with only U.S. Empire PMI, NAHB index and TIC Flows due. None are usually market moving releases.

  • Japanese 2Q16 GDP was a disappointing 0.0% q/q after a gain of 0.20% had been expected. Questions continue to be raised about whether the latest stimulus plan, which is mostly hot air, will make a difference.

  • The key EURUSD pair continues trading at pre-July U.S. employment data levels. A run at the 1.1200 line (1.1221 HOD) had failed by Friday's close.

  • Fed funds futures are now pricing in about 43% odds on a Fed rate hike by year end. Odds fell from about 55% early on Friday before the weaker than expected U.S. Retail Sales report.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


GVI Trading Room john bland 08:16 GMT August 15, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Reply   
Japan 2Q16 q/q GDP unchanged vs. +0.20% expected..

Amman wfakhoury 08:07 GMT August 15, 2016
Gold move big
Reply   
Take care Gold will move big ..no direction will be given


The only one in the world who confirms the next level


SaaR KaL 07:17 GMT August 15, 2016
USA Closing ranges

AUDUSD 0.7674 0.7612
GBPAUD 1.6940 1.6836

SaaR KaL 07:14 GMT August 15, 2016
USA Closing ranges
Reply   
EURUSD 1.1199 1.1140
Gold 1,347 1,327
USDJPY 101.7774 100.3633
USDCAD 1.2988 1.2898
CAble 1.2948 1.2874


bali sja 07:11 GMT August 15, 2016
sell usd
Reply   
usd starts the week resuming defensive trend

empoli ab 07:09 GMT August 15, 2016
Gold Forecast (15 August -23 August 2016)

India "SA" Market Forecaster 06:13 GMT 08/15/2016

but.... from the chart it seems that uptrend will start on 23/24 august and till then seems where are in downtrend.... maybe i dont see the chart in a right way? im still bullish in gold i bought at 1335/1337 area and i will add if it goes down more, i think that stocks are at highs and can retrace a bit so gold can go up again so i m interested in ur views and if u can answer i wud be grateful.
Obviously every thoughts is appreciate. Tia

new york 06:41 GMT August 15, 2016
Gold Forecast (15 August -23 August 2016)

[B]USDCAD Market Strategy[/B]


Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.3198.

Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.3198 with the target of 1.2843 – 1.26.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown and consolidation of the price above the level of 1.3198 will trigger further rise in the pair up to 1.3356.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the upward correction, as the wave B of the senior level has completed. Locally, it seems that the wave C is being formed, within which the third wave of the junior level (iii) of i of C is being developed. If this assumption is correct, the pair may continue to decline to 1.2843 – 1.26. Critical level for this scenario is 1.3198.

India "SA" Market Forecaster 06:13 GMT August 15, 2016
Gold Forecast (15 August -23 August 2016)
Reply   
today morning i have posted a forecast graph of gold for next 10 days . The calculations are based on Astronomy,Cycle & Geometry. Half of my life i have spent studying astronomy and its impact on financial market. The way astronomy can predict the market, no other science can do that . In the forecast graph i have mentioned the exact date and time from where the uptrend and downtrend will start and where they will end . All dates and time are as per newyork local time.

siliguri 06:05 GMT August 15, 2016
Gold Forecast (15 August -23 August 2016)
Reply   


Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

Calculations are based on Cycle,Astronomy & Geometry

Hong Kong 03:32 GMT August 15, 2016
AceTrader Aug 15: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Reply   
Update Time: 15 Aug 2016 03:07 GMT

EUR/USD - 1.1156
Despite the single currency's rally to 1.1222 last Friday, subsequent sharp retreat suggests further choppy trading below August's 6-week peak at 1.1234 would continue with downside bias and yield weakness towards 1.1105.
However, support at 1.1070 would remain intact today and yield rebound later.

On the upside, only above 1.1122 would revive bullishness for a re-test of aforesaid top, break would confirm recent erratic upmove from June's 3-month low at 1.0912 has resumed and extend towards 1.1260/64.

Mtl JP 01:27 GMT August 15, 2016
Monday Trading

haha ... unexpectedly , yeah ...

more moRE MORE !!!
numbnuts' Massive stimulus doesn’t seem to be doing the trick

Japan’s economy unexpectedly flat in second quarter

Mtl JP 00:09 GMT August 15, 2016
EURO ON THE MACRO SCALE



nh too many things are uP. such harmony will not last, something will cave. I m hoping u - someone - could help me avoid get surprised.

chart pic is of some shorter term price levels robot is eyeballing for trading action

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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