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Forex Forum Archive for 09/02/2016

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Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Forex Blog 23:19 GMT September 2, 2016
Slowing Economy Could Put Fed On Ice
Reply   

John M. Bland, MBA

Disappointing Jobs
Once again the markets have been sent mixed signals by economic data. The August increase in jObs was a disappointing +151K following an average gain after revisions of 273K in the previous two months. Furthermore, Average Hourly Earnings gained by a scant 0.12% in the month vs. expectations for 0.20%. So the data missed on several counts. These data were not supportive of speculation about a September 21 increase in the Fed Funds rate. Something else the Fed has to consider is whether the sharp decline in the August U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI was an aberration or a sign that the economy is about to slip into recession. The past three readings have been falling steadily 53.2, 52.6 and then 49.4. A reading below "50" means an economic contraction. I like the manufacturing PMIs because they tend to be more sensitive to changes in economies. Service sector PMIs tend to less sensitive to changes in the business cycle.

Slowing Economy Could Put Fed On Ice

HK [email protected] 20:36 GMT September 2, 2016
Brexit could see EU COLLAPSE says Putin
Reply   

Brexit could see EU COLLAPSE says Putin

Brexit could see EU COLLAPSE says Putin - as leader says he's ready for dialogue with UK

LINK

HK [email protected] 20:30 GMT September 2, 2016
On the otherside.
Reply   


US NFP: Not strong enough for a September hike- Danske

US NFP: Not strong enough for a September hike- Danske

GVI Trading Room john bland 20:05 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

Odds for one hike by the end of the year are 69% based on my calculations.

GVI Trading Room john bland 20:04 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

Odds on a September 21 rate hike are ending the week at 22% (basis October).

GVI Trading Room john bland 19:47 GMT September 2, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details


Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details





GVI Forex Blog 19:29 GMT September 2, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

GVI Forex Blog 19:24 GMT September 2, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

dc CB 19:11 GMT September 2, 2016
Weekend Reading
Reply   
Today the FBI is releasing a summary of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s July 2, 2016 interview with the FBI concerning allegations that classified information was improperly stored or transmitted on a personal e-mail server she used during her tenure.

We also are releasing a factual summary of the FBI’s investigation into this matter. We are making these materials available to the public in the interest of transparency and in response to numerous Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) requests.

FBI Clinton Docs

GVI Trading Room john bland 17:09 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 497 vs 489 (+8) prev
US (oil):407 vs. 406 (+1) prev

Canada 137 vs. 146 (-9) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Trading Room john bland 17:07 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Minor revision...

GVI Trading Room john bland 17:01 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Early release Data were due next Tuesday.

GVI Trading Room john bland 16:59 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:


BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Markit final Services PMI August 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
51.0 vs. 50.9 exp. vs. 50.9 (flash)


Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer

nw kw 16:58 GMT September 2, 2016
Villa d' Este

cad ends strongest for day jp wut now trend?

nw kw 16:42 GMT September 2, 2016
Villa d' Este

bets// under dog?

nw kw 16:41 GMT September 2, 2016
Villa d' Este

china giving cad cold gibberish, gave bad press that china cant afford, now china bow. trade deal.

Mtl JP 16:29 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

amazing precision from the FED's PhDs down to two decimals

GVI Trading Room john bland 16:26 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Atlanta Fed forecasts 3.5% for 3Q16 vs. 3.2% on Sep 1.

Source: TTN.com

GVI Forex Blog 16:12 GMT September 2, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

Mtl JP 16:11 GMT September 2, 2016
GBP/USD Most dreaded chart(update)

nh 13:39 long gbpusd has one ugly long carry and 2) needs to see sustained 1.3350+ to get excited about 1.35 / 1.40 potential
in my optique

SaaR KaL 16:06 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPJPY ---> 141 area
Reply   
Is another Dangerous level
From Mid Sep
If you want a great entry for a year +
Wait till Mid Sept and Near 141
tgt 111

dc CB 16:02 GMT September 2, 2016
STOX

Hermine by Monday off Del/NJ/NY/Long Island

this will be a factor/excuse for bad Sept numbers

NCEP - Winds

nw kw 16:00 GMT September 2, 2016
USDJPY 106ish

bund still holding gold up

SaaR KaL 16:00 GMT September 2, 2016
USDJPY 106ish

Technical Output only

nw kw 15:59 GMT September 2, 2016
EURUSD Shorts

weekly trapped, under 1.4500 brake out, or hold, ill give 30. than have look,

Kaunas DP 15:58 GMT September 2, 2016
USDJPY 106ish

Kaal, based on what?
Usd to the toilet and yen as safe haven?

SaaR KaL 15:54 GMT September 2, 2016
EURUSD Shorts

Day Trade
1.4761 1.4527

SaaR KaL 15:52 GMT September 2, 2016
EURUSD Shorts

EURCAD Orders near 1.4400
TGT above 1.4660 might see 1.4830

nw kw 15:48 GMT September 2, 2016
EURUSD Shorts

do we re short eurcad on pull back

SaaR KaL 15:45 GMT September 2, 2016
USDJPY 106ish
Reply   
this coming 106 in a week or so
is a very dangerous level for the rest of 2016 into oct 2017
IMO We could see it near 90 to 86

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 15:37 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

1.



Amazing Trader 1.1150 level so far holding

EMAIL me to get access to our amazing new program

GVI Trading Room john bland 15:23 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

NY Fed 3Q16 GDP forecast 2.8% unchanged from 8/26.

Source: TTN

dc CB 15:11 GMT September 2, 2016
STOX

Hermine is going to hang off the coast for days.

The water is very warm off the coast...Gulf of Mexico warm.

11AM NHC

GVI Forex Blog 15:02 GMT September 2, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 5 September 2016
Reply   

September 2, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, September 5, 2016.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: EZ/GB- Service PMIs, EZ- Retail Sales
  • North America: CA/US- Holiday

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
5-SEP Monday
Holiday- CA/US
All Day- Service PMIs
6-SEP Tuesday
04:30 AU- RBA Decision
09:00 EZ- GDP
13:45 US- Final SVC PMI
14:00 US- ISM PMI
7-SEP Wednesday
00:30 AU- GDP
14:00 CA- BOC Decision
8-SEP Thursday
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Crude
9-SEP Friday
01:30 CN- CPI
08:30 GB- Trade
12:30 CA- Employment

GVI Data Calendar for 5 September 2016

Livingston nh 15:02 GMT September 2, 2016
STOX

CB - thanx for the Goldman hedzup

SaaR KaL 14:55 GMT September 2, 2016
EURUSD Shorts

Long EURGBP for .8480
Want to short it for the month around 0.8550 tgt 0.8250 Mid Sept

HK Kwun 14:54 GMT September 2, 2016
Bad NFP
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1317 Target: Stop: 1307

so the chance of rate hike in Sep decrease, buy gold

nw kw 14:46 GMT September 2, 2016
EURUSD Shorts

tks kal out gbpjpy at market

dc CB 14:44 GMT September 2, 2016
STOX

my dear dear american friends
104-----105

that Kurosive smile

hk ab 14:44 GMT September 2, 2016
gold
Reply   
very close to trail.....

dc CB 14:17 GMT September 2, 2016
STOX

Goldman Says Weak Payrolls "Just Enough For September Hike", Raises Odds From 40% To 55%

but, but, but

hahahahahahahah

Shifts USD/JPY into High Gear above 104....

Tallinn viies 14:12 GMT September 2, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
basically 200h sma keeping things under control. now need to move below 1,1155 then 200d sma in focus again. all stops should be above 1,1255.

GVI Trading Room john bland 14:02 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Factory Orders July 2016

U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
+1.90% vs. +2.00% exp. vs. -1.50% (r -1.80%)prev. rev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer



SaaR KaL 13:46 GMT September 2, 2016
EURUSD Shorts

Silver shorts till 19.68
tgt 17.40

GVI Trading Room john bland 13:45 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Aug ISM New York: 47.5 v 60.7 prior

- Source TradeTheNews.com

nw kw 13:42 GMT September 2, 2016
EURUSD Shorts

USDCAD getting pumped in past they get burnt / tks pike up new week

SaaR KaL 13:39 GMT September 2, 2016
EURUSD Shorts

NW
Not buying either for now

GBPJPY longs from 134 tgt 140 pos order
EURJPY Longs from 114.2 tgt 117 also pending

I suggest you long USDCAD near 1.3000 tgt 1.33

Livingston nh 13:39 GMT September 2, 2016
GBP/USD Most dreaded chart(update)

RF - ISM and Markit had new order declines - factory s/b DOWN

HK [email protected] 13:34 GMT September 2, 2016
GBP/USD Most dreaded chart(update)

Livingston nh 13:31 GMT 09/02/2016

Let's wait and see if Factory Orders will add another blow.

Cable is rising on good fundamentals+clear Tech.

Livingston nh 13:33 GMT September 2, 2016
STOX
Reply   
SPX gap opened ABOVE Weds opening gap - setting up a down move (but from where?)

Livingston nh 13:31 GMT September 2, 2016
GBP/USD Most dreaded chart(update)

RF - Cable having a problem at the 55ema - this is the level turned back previous bounces // surprised the NFP hasn't weakened the USD more across the board

nw kw 13:26 GMT September 2, 2016
EURUSD Shorts

KaL hot list xjpy and xgbp do you see gbpjpy target?

HK [email protected] 13:23 GMT September 2, 2016
Hold it steady man, 1.3445 you may take profits.
Reply   

Above that... not for day traders.

SaaR KaL 13:23 GMT September 2, 2016
EURUSD Shorts

AUDUSD Shorts till .7650
tgt 0.7420

HK [email protected] 13:18 GMT September 2, 2016
GBP/USD Most dreaded chart(update)
Reply   


.

HK [email protected] 13:13 GMT September 2, 2016
US productivity down+faken NFP=Lower Factory order.
Reply   

Let's see if guessed well :/

SaaR KaL 13:10 GMT September 2, 2016
EURUSD Shorts

I think cable want 1.2950 from here

SaaR KaL 13:07 GMT September 2, 2016
EURUSD Shorts

Gold shorts here into 1340
tgt 1290

SaaR KaL 13:06 GMT September 2, 2016
EURUSD Shorts
Reply   
1.1230 1.1235 tgt 1.0950 for now
Also longed USDCHF 0,9743 0.9760
tgt parity

Mtl JP 13:05 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading



eurdlr gv chart point 200 day 1.1122
not an un-realisticly un-achievable number

GVI Trading Room john bland 13:03 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

I put Sep 21 rate hike odds now at 16% vs 24% pre-data.

hk ab 13:03 GMT September 2, 2016
gold
Reply   
OK, take profit of 60% of the relentless bought under 1313..... rest 30% keep trail at 1316 and the last 10% at b/e (1305) for an impossible mission....like KL's sell at 1925......

nw kw 13:02 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

trend line in eurcad,day ch, holding for now 1.4598

Mtl JP 12:55 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

gv chart points
Res 3 1.1303 - not a consideration atm
Res 2 1.1254 - held
Res 1 1.1226 - current support under contention

Pivot 1.1177 - if it does not hold
200ma comes on radar

GVI Trading Room john bland 12:52 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Trade Deficit narrows good for 3Q16 GDP.

hk ab 12:50 GMT September 2, 2016
gold
Reply   
One more thing to add. This time, I saw a queue of prisoners in bucket shops who were lured to sell gold because of XYZ and the beautiful teens with bikini persuading them to sell.......

hk ab 12:48 GMT September 2, 2016
gold
Reply   
LaLaLa......

Ninja have rooms to have many sips of tea now.....
-----------------------------------------------------------------
hk ab 14:04 GMT August 31, 2016
Sour Kwun biting his stoploss AGAIN : Reply
wallshit, how many dlrs has it moved under 1313? LOL....

from 1313--> 1304 Margin call?
------------------------------------------------------------------

Wallshit, have you got enough grapes which have a sour taste?

Thanks Kwun sending gold down to 1302 2 days ago...... after bitting his stoploss again at 1313. And gold has some momentum left.

Waiting to close some relentless positions but seems the illumanti is right this time......

Just imagine if Kwun forgot to take his "tiny-diick" like profit..... What could have happened? Lost a factory.

I don't eye $1 profit, I eye 5%........

HK [email protected] 12:47 GMT September 2, 2016
Keep it steady man!



Too many Shorts to GBP; Narrow escape from a burning house.

Mtl JP 12:46 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

only Fed gang member officially scheduled to yak is non-voting hawk Lacker at 1pm NYT

PAR 12:45 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Report Misses

In theory it should be bad for US banking stocks which rallied in anticipation of the never coming Fed hike .

PAR 12:44 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Report Misses

Will FED Fisher speak today ?

Livingston nh 12:43 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

The revisions in June and July were a wash -- watch out for the Pundits suggesting that August fig will be revised higher

GVI Forex Blog 12:43 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Report Misses
Reply   


August 2016 U.S. payroll employment misses.


Click on chart for more than 10-yr history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Report Misses

PAR 12:41 GMT September 2, 2016
US Recession
Reply   
Like Bernanke didnt see the nationwide housing collaps coming , Yellen is not seeing the US recession coming.

Mtl JP 12:40 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

usdcad back N of 50dma = BoD

Mtl JP 12:39 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

eurdlr 200 day at 1.1122 = current support

dc CB 12:37 GMT September 2, 2016
There will be no interest hike, and all FED members to be locked mental asylum!

Treas futures shot up a 8:29.....

PAR 12:36 GMT September 2, 2016
RISK ON
Reply   
As I said this morning . Before a long US labor day weekend US stocks always move higher to keep the 1% Happy .

GVI Trading Room john bland 12:34 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. (USD bn) & Canada (CAD bn) Trade July 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-39.50K vs. -43.0K exp. vs. -44.5K (r) prev.
Canada Trade C$ bln
-2.50 vs. -2.82 exp. vs. -3.30 (r )prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services

Canadian Trade Balance


TTN: Live News Special Offer

HK [email protected] 12:34 GMT September 2, 2016
Keep it steady man!
Reply   

GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips/CUT THE CRAP
HK [email protected] 08:25 GMT 09/02/2016
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.3250/1.3270 Target: 1.3480 Stop: YOUR POCKET DEPTH


I AM THE ONLY ONE IN THE WORLD, WHOSE GUESSES MAY COME TRUE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

GVI Trading Room john bland 12:33 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Employment August 2016







ALERT
NFP Jobs:
+151K vs. +180K exp. vs. +255K (r +275K ) prev.
Rate: 4.90% vs. 4.80% exp. vs. 4.90% prev.

Avg earnings: +0.12% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.30% (r ) prev.
BLS: Employment Situation Summary


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading Room john bland 12:31 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

nfp= 151K R275
ahe= +0.12%

Mtl JP 12:28 GMT September 2, 2016
Us Job Data

Mester, a voting member on the Fed's policy-setting committee, had earlier in the day told a philanthropy conference that the U.S. economy probably needs to generate between 75,000 and 150,000 jobs per month to keep the jobless rate stable

Livingston nh 12:27 GMT September 2, 2016
Us Job Data

For all you fans of seasonal adjustment keep in mind that the adjustment level always adjusts based on prior experience -- SO today's report (which according to OW&B folks is ALWAYS revised higher) may front run the revision process -- so today's NFP may overstate (e.g., higher fig) the jobs

JEddah Abb 12:24 GMT September 2, 2016
..
Reply   
Try one before data put buy us30 at 18350 stop 18280 target 18500..

PAR 12:23 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Caterpillar says it may lay off 2,000 workers at Belgium plant

Mtl JP 12:22 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Fewer than two-thirds of those who answered an additional question said the ECB's controversial policy of setting a negative deposit rate was good for the real economy.

The rest said negative rates, which have put pressure on bank profit margins and have left vast swathes of euro zone government bonds with negative yields, are doing more harm than good.

ECB policy on hold in Sept., to extend QE programme by year-end - poll - RTRS

nw kw 12:20 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

right 04 invested so 09 investable 1.25

Mtl JP 12:09 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

kw 12:07 I offered risk level for consideration
gl

nw kw 12:07 GMT September 2, 2016
Villa d' Este

jp- cad stimulus[big] consumers inputted cad can upset

PAR 12:04 GMT September 2, 2016
Villa d' Este
Reply   
Better than looking for Us job data .


http://www.ambrosetti.eu/en/summits-workshops-forums/forum-villa-deste/

Mtl JP 11:57 GMT September 2, 2016
Us Job Data

except maybe those In the Circle ?

LONDON SFH 11:54 GMT September 2, 2016
Us Job Data

Everyone BELIEVES they have an edge or taking a position would be simply foolish

Mtl JP 11:52 GMT September 2, 2016
Us Job Data

nh - focus on limiting risk, everything else is gravy needing little if any attention

Livingston nh 11:48 GMT September 2, 2016
Us Job Data

No trader is a pure speculator - traders need to believe they have an edge (experience, analysis, system or Rabbit's Foot) when taking a position or refraining from a position (including fades or hedges) // pure speculators are rubes playing dice

nw kw 11:46 GMT September 2, 2016
Us Job Data

usa dependent in illegals you ant

Mtl JP 11:45 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

usdcad 50dma 1.3031
current bias: BoD

dc CB 11:35 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

Vladimir Putin said he’d like OPEC and Russia, producers of half of the world’s oil, to reach a deal to freeze supply and expects the dispute over Iran’s participation can be resolved.

“From the viewpoint of economic sense and logic, then it would be correct to find some sort of compromise,” Putin said in an interview in Vladivostok. “I am confident that everyone understands that. We believe that this is the right decision for world energy.”

Putin Pushes for Oil Freeze Deal With OPEC, Exemption for Iran

Mtl JP 11:25 GMT September 2, 2016
Us Job Data

“If you spend more than 13 minutes analyzing economic and market forecasts, you’ve wasted 10 minutes.” - Peter Lynch

Lynch averaged a 29.2% annual return

PAR 11:20 GMT September 2, 2016
Us Job Data

I you have a job you pay taxes and social security ? Thats fairly easy . If you dont have a job you dont pay social security .

Looking at who pays social security and who not and the total amount of social security received could give a better picture of the labor market .

nw kw 11:20 GMT September 2, 2016
I have the direction , but I will not tell.

rand front run

hk ab 11:19 GMT September 2, 2016
Spiritual position
Reply   
No one will pay for a directionless but successful fx dealer.......

Maybe pay with Chinese Ghost money of $100,000,000,000..........

HK [email protected] 11:14 GMT September 2, 2016
I have the direction , but I will not tell.
Reply   

OOOOOYYYYYYYYYYYY!!!!!!!!!! We are lost.

Mtl JP 11:13 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips

traders profit from finding mispricings

in the old days banker would pay interest
bank economist pump research reports - these are supposed to tell where to put money
investor parts with to have some "expert" try to earn return on equity
trader doesn't five a *uck about any of the above: (s)he speculates

nw kw 11:13 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips

why front run jpy

nw kw 11:12 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips

awaiting chfjpy weekly top side and to toppish can long u/j

nw kw 11:06 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips

why swiss trended strong its not norm.

Mtl JP 10:56 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips

SFH you remind that the forum is - in its concept - more for traders than for economists.
tks !

nw kw 10:54 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips

inform you that the margin for new positions opened today from 08:15:00 to 08:35:00(GMT+0) for currency pairs containing GBP will be calculated based on a maximum leverage of

LONDON SFH 10:49 GMT September 2, 2016
Us Job Data

If by making an economic decision you mean taking a position then by virtue of the fact it moves markets means you have to pay attention to it

LONDON SFH 10:48 GMT September 2, 2016
Us Job Data

By its nature any data is historic and subject to revisions, errors but I would think it is just the best we have still...hence why mkts move on it. If mkts move on it then investors and traders are reacting to it and so money will be made or lost on it. Ignoring it is more the foolish thing imho

LONDON SFH 10:45 GMT September 2, 2016
Us Job Data

PAR-Why don't you just take a position now and not worry then?

GVI Trading Room john bland 10:43 GMT September 2, 2016
Us Job Data

PAR- I agree 100%. The collection system is fraught with errors. The seasonal adjustments, while well intended, make unreliable data even worse.

PAR 10:40 GMT September 2, 2016
Us Job Data
Reply   
The way those data are collected is so prehistoric that one wonders why high technologic America has not found a better way.

Those data are a perfect example of " garbage in garbage out " . Seasonal adjustments which make no sense , sampling errors . , computing error etc

Those data are completely out of line with other economic data and only a fool would use those data to make economic decisions .

GVI Trading Room john bland 10:38 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

DAX +18
DJ +16
SP +1

10-yr 1.589% +1.9bp

Mtl JP 10:35 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips

SFH 09:18 Why bother posting
-
some folks seek attention any which way they can, sometimes the reason is coz they were not breast-fed in early days.

NFP day can be like a d-day in war trench: long-time preparations and waiting, then highly intense and desperate short moments

One potential tactical way to trade NFP is to set up a trading robot with OCO bracket(s)

LONDON SFH 10:17 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips

ok-well I think if we get a number 150+ on NFP we will see cable descend to below 132.00

GVI Trading Room john bland 10:16 GMT September 2, 2016
Solid U.S. employment gains expected in August; jobless rate seen falling -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"U.S. employment growth likely moderated in August after two straight months of hefty gains, but was probably still strong enough to push the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates later this year.

Nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 180,000 jobs last month, according to a Reuters survey of economists, around this year's monthly average job growth. The unemployment rate is forecast falling one-tenth of a percentage point to 4.8 percent..."

Solid U.S. employment gains expected in August; jobless rate seen falling -- Reuters.com

Amman wfakhoury 10:10 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips

LONDON SFH 09:18 GMT 09/02/2016 - My Profile
Amman wfakhoury 06:17 GMT 09/02/2016
_________________________
The value of moving pips is a signal itself.
You may missed some pips at the start ..then you can continue.
not NFP data makes market move big always .

I have the direction , but I will not tell.

GVI Trading Room john bland 10:01 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

fwiw- the whisper number for NFP today has been falling to a gain of +150K based on talk of a reversion of the data to a 180-200K level and then concern about a statistical quirk in the August data. In other words, the bar on today's data has been lowered.

hk ab 09:48 GMT September 2, 2016
positions
Reply   
A warm reminder that Bucket shops recommending sell GBP, GOLD and Buy Aussie at 74..........

Now, fully loaded golden boat.

Stop will be based on hourly close not spike.

bali sja 09:30 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips

where is our friend from Macao?

HK [email protected] 09:27 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips


LONDON SFH 09:18 GMT 09/02/2016

Probably he looks for new customers after he executed the previous complaining customers:(

LONDON SFH 09:18 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips

Amman wfakhoury 06:17 GMT 09/02/2016

You mean we might see a big move on NFP day?? Why bother posting this stuff...

SaaR KaL 09:17 GMT September 2, 2016
Sept 2016
Reply   
More with USD Bulls
Expecting EURUSD Near 1.1000 to 1.08
USDJPY Near 105 +
USDCHF Near Parity

Cable not really a sell...I would long near 1.30 tgt 1.3350

Gold from around here to 1280
AUDUSD shorts till near Mid Sept 0.74 and less

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 09:02 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

1.

Amazing Trader roadmap trade

1.1207 held => 1.1179 target line hit

GVI Trading Room john bland 09:01 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

EZ PPI in line but still depressed.

GVI Trading Room john bland 09:01 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Eurozone PPI June 2016





ALERT
mm: +0.10% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.70% (r +0.80%) prev.
yy: -2.80% vs. -2.90% exp. vs. -3.10% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

HK Kwun 08:43 GMT September 2, 2016
Good ADP data

Sell
Entry: 1311 Target: Stop: 1321

closed this one before NFP at 1310

Amman wfakhoury 08:43 GMT September 2, 2016
Gold 1308.30
Reply   
1308.30 golden level

The only one in the world who confirms the next level


jkt abel 08:41 GMT September 2, 2016
sell cable

will see how well 1.3370-80 cap IMHO

bali sja 08:39 GMT September 2, 2016
sell cable
Reply   
short while below 1.3450 on weekly closing basis

GVI Trading Room john bland 08:39 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Construction PMI Rebounds

You might have to refresh forum to update chart below.

GVI Forex Blog 08:37 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Construction PMI Rebounds
Reply   
U.K. Construction PMI big correction upward.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Construction PMI Rebounds

GVI Trading Room john bland 08:31 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Big beat by construction PMI. Looks to me like another correction to depressed post-Brexit levels.

GVI Trading Room john bland 08:30 GMT September 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Construction PMI August 2016




-- NEWS ALERT --

49.2 vs. 46.5 exp. vs. 45.9 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

HK [email protected] 08:25 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips/CUT THE CRAP
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.3250/1.3270 Target: 1.3480 Stop: YOUR POCKET DEPTH


I AM THE ONLY ONE IN THE WORLD, WHOSE GUESSES MAY COME TRUE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Mtl JP 08:06 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

potential for shift in rate hike expectations should affect how the USD trades

US 2yr / Germany 2yr

GVI Trading Room john bland 07:59 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading


2-SEP FRI
12:30 US- Employment
12:30 US/CA- Trade

5-SEP Monday
Holiday- CA/US
All Day- Service PMIs
6-SEP Tuesday
04:30 AU- RBA Decision
09:00 EZ- GDP
13:45 US- Final SVC PMI
14:00 US- ISM PMI
7-SEP Wednesday
00:30 AU- GDP
14:00 CA- BOC Decision
8-SEP Thursday
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Crude
9-SEP Friday
01:30 CN- CPI
08:30 GB- Trade
12:30 CA- Employment


Trading Themes --
  • Trade has been on hold ahead of the release of August U.S. Non-farm Payrolls on todays's N.Y. open. Markets were caught of guard by the weak ISM Manufacturing PMI yesterday. This is one of the key statistics the Fed follows closely. These data raised a new questions about the likelihood of a Fed rate hike on September 21.

  • Street estimates are for a gain in jobs on the order of 180K in the month. However, there is concern about a statistical quirk in August data that could result in an initial jobs reading of 50K below the prevailing rate. While I do not trust such stories nor would I suggest trading on them, I only mention it because its out there. NFP is a random number and I have never seen anyone who could make consistently accurate forecasts of the data.

  • Despite the poor ISM data, a strong August employment report could still serve as a justification for a Fed interest rate hike on September 21. Ironically, U.K. Manufacturing PMI rebounded sharply in August as it corrected after a post-Brexit tumble and manufacturing got a boost from a weaker GBP.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


GVI Forex Blog 07:51 GMT September 2, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

dc CB 07:47 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

Hermine lastest frcast postion for Labor Day....Mon 9-5

Hermine Monday

PAR 07:35 GMT September 2, 2016
RISK ON
Reply   
Before a long US holiday weekend stock markets always move higher.

Kaunas DP 06:56 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips

Amman wfakhoury 06:17 GMT 09/02/2016
////
DOWN

Amman wfakhoury 06:17 GMT September 2, 2016
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips
Reply   
GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips
No direction will be given .

GBPUSD move big 100-120 pips

hk ooozmeeh 05:32 GMT September 2, 2016
GBP LONG TERM BUY THE 8-year Cyclical LOW
Reply   


IMHO, gbp long term position buy
8-yr cycle low from 1920 to 2016

fukuoka joyya 05:13 GMT September 2, 2016
long gbp!
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

look like gbp want push higher on weekend.....cable want 1.35?

dc CB 03:00 GMT September 2, 2016
Not the Onion

WASHINGTON (AP) — The State Department has agreed to turn over all the detailed planning schedules from Hillary Clinton's time as secretary of state to The Associated Press by mid-October. It is an abrupt reversal from U.S. government lawyers' warning last week that hundreds of pages would not be released until after the presidential election.

The minute-by-minute schedules offer a detailed look at Clinton's daily routine during her four-year tenure as secretary of state between 2009 and 2013.

The department has so far released about half of her more complete daily schedules. The new agreement announced Thursday was drawn up after government lawyers told the AP last week that the department expected to release the last of the detailed daily schedules around Dec. 30, weeks after the election. The AP objected to that.

State Dept. to give AP all Clinton schedules before election

dc CB 02:40 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

Hermine over Fla ---- Western Hemi from space full globe image

View from above

dc CB 02:40 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

Hermine over Fla ---- Western Hemi from space full globe image

View from above

dc CB 02:20 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading



dc CB 12:19 GMT September 1, 2016
Thursday Trade: Reply
Tropical Storm Hermine - last weekend was 99L. coming out of Gulf crossing Fla and riding up the East Coast thru Labor Day. Basically killing the Last Weekend of the Summer for all Atlantic beaches.

So lots of people will NOT be burning up gasoline

dc CB 02:02 GMT September 2, 2016
Not the Onion

The new release includes, among other things, Clinton Foundation executive, Doug Band, reaching out to Huma Abedin to help facilitate "diplomatic passports" for himself, Justin Cooper (member of Bill Clinton's personal office) and one other person referred to as "jd".

The emails also reveal Bill Clinton pushing the State Department for a meeting between Hillary and the CEO of Dow Chemical, a $1-$5mm donor to the Clinton Foundation.

Emails also reveal Hillary forwarding classified information to Huma's non-state.gov email account and a request from Newsmax CEO, Chris Ruddy, for a State Department favor.

New Hillary Emails Expose

dc CB 01:44 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

August NFPs have been weaker than consensus expectations in each of the last 5 years and in 14 of the last 18 years of available data.
CHART

And furthermore, going back 25 years, no month has produced less jobs than August...
CHART

But realistically - only one thing matters - Is The Dow more than 3% from record highs? If "yes" then 'hold rates'.

"Death, Taxes, & A Disappointing August Jobs Data"

Livingston nh 00:21 GMT September 2, 2016
Friday Trading

JP - ignore what they say -- look at how narrow the Treasurys have traded past 6 weeks - markets move and come back because nothing changes until somebody actually throws a punch - just talk

HK [email protected] 00:08 GMT September 2, 2016
Toileting Gold/GBP to 918
Reply   


.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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