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Forex Forum Archive for 09/03/2016

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GVI Trading Room john bland 20:12 GMT September 3, 2016
Payrolls in U.S. Cool in August as Jobless Rate Holds Steady -- bloomberg.com
Reply   
"U.S. payrolls grew at a slower but solid pace in August while measures of labor slack were little changed, signs the job market is cooling as the economy approaches full employment.

Payrolls climbed by 151,000 last month following a 275,000 gain in July that was larger than previously estimated, a Labor Department report showed Friday in Washington. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey called for 180,000. The unemployment rate and labor participation rate held steady, while wage gains moderated and hours worked were the lowest since 2014."

Payrolls in U.S. Cool in August as Jobless Rate Holds Steady -- bloomberg.com

GVI Trading Room john bland 20:06 GMT September 3, 2016
Global stocks cheered by potential dovish Fed; dollar gains --Reuters.com
Reply   
"U.S. shares inched higher and European shares rallied on Friday after weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data gave the Federal Reserve more leeway to stand pat on interest rates, while the dollar gained and longer-dated Treasury yields edged up.

U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose by 151,000 jobs in August after an upwardly revised 275,000 increase in July, with job cuts in manufacturing and construction, the Labor Department said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls rising 180,000 last month..."

Global stocks cheered by potential dovish Fed; dollar gains --Reuters.com

GVI Trading Room john bland 15:32 GMT September 3, 2016
Fundamentals For Trading
Reply   
Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHARTs:

Note since the start of 2015, the range on these key four PMIs has narrowed from 56-50 (53 mid-point) to 52-48 (50 mid-point). This looks to me like a consistent low growth scenario. PMI readings are not "hard" economic statistics. I like the manufacturing series, even in Service economies, because it is more sensitive to changes in the buisness cycle.





Mtl JP 11:36 GMT September 3, 2016
STOX

Livingston nh 13:33 re SPX / good bet is every cousin is eyeballing the 50dma.
Note gamma's valiant effort to "Put Fed On Ice" - Blog 23:19.
Stocks are addicted to cheap and available money, gamma is on notice of temper tantrum if she deviates.
A drop to 2000-ish ("Bullard yell") is only a 15% trip off the highs.
-
Trading Theme : "Markets assume Hillary wins" (the w/s moneywhores are also and still backing her with copiou$ donation$)

One cross-market indicator (remember the old way of laying an ear to a railroad track?) for potential market moves' catalysts:

Trump catches up to Clinton, latest Reuters/Ipsos poll finds - rtrs



 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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