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Forex Forum Archive for 09/07/2016

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Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Mtl JP 23:56 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

dlryen continues to zzzzzz

next A- risk to my account according to gv calendar:
08/09/16 1:30 A AU Trade A$bln -2.75 -3.2
--
I dont think A - worth but if it should fill some +pips into my account , I wont complain

Mtl JP 23:46 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Japan acct balance due out at same time as GDP could be bigger market whip
in less than 5 minutes

Mtl JP 23:38 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

audusd robot set to short only

dc CB 22:43 GMT September 7, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

ps that blonde in the white jacket/red blouse...That's Greenspan's Wife....Andrea Mitchell

dc CB 22:29 GMT September 7, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner



Because this is the US version of the 4th Estate. The people who would have to push this issue.

Is This What America's "Objective Media" Looks Like?

dc CB 22:19 GMT September 7, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

the problem with that is, some legal authority has to step-up.

If everybody "at the top" is in the tank, why would they want to expose themselves. That is the genius of the Clintons...have something on everybody.

If you control the Watchdogs, then you get to be the next president and slide Safe into Home Plate, along with all concerned.

PS, I'm mean where did they get that Trump guy. He should be losing.

Chas Ortel on USA Watchdog.com

Mtl JP 21:49 GMT September 7, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

dc CB is that a possible achilles heel that might see hillary's quest for president go down the toilet and be a tradeable in that "markets assume Hillary wins. With Trump more uncertainty... implying a trade opportunity if Hillary slips and.a Trump presidency gains traction." ?

dc CB 21:42 GMT September 7, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

In early May, we introduced readers to Charles Ortel, a Wall Street analyst who uncovered financial discrepancies at General Electric before its stock crashed in 2008, and whom the Sunday Times of London described as "one of the finest analysts of financial statements on the planet" in a 2009 story detailing the troubles at AIG.

Having moved on beyond simple corporate fraud, Ortel spent the past year and a half digging into something more relevant to the current US situation:"charities", and specifically the Clinton Foundation’s public records, federal and state-level tax filings, and donor disclosures.

"Clinton Foundation Is Charity Fraud Of Epic Proportions", Analyst Charges In Stunning Takedown

dc CB 20:48 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

17 years? since a similar drawdown has been seen


sent from another Blackberry

Chart

dc CB 20:43 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

API

Crude -12.08mm (exp +905k)
Cushing -0.7mm (exp -900k)
Gasoline -2.388mm (exp -750k)
Distillates +944k


sent from my other Blackberry

GVI Trading Room john bland 20:42 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

CO higher.

GVI Trading Room john bland 20:41 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

US Weekly API Crude




ALERT
Reportedly -12.100 mn vs. -0.100 mn exp



TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 20:41 GMT September 7, 2016
Thursday Trade

Crude drawdown -12.08MMbbl, exp: +906Kbbl: API

sent from my Blackberry

GVI Trading Room john bland 20:12 GMT September 7, 2016
Thursday Trade
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
8-SEP Thursday
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Crude
9-SEP Friday
01:30 CN- CPI
08:30 GB- Trade
12:30 CA- Employment


Trading Themes--
  • On Wednesday markets were still digesting the recent poor run of data out of the U.S. The latest disappointment was a poor August ISM Service PMI on Tuesday. That release saw the key EURUSD relationship to above the 1.1200 line.

  • German July industrial production unexpectedly fell -1.5% vs. expectations for a gain of 0.2% in the month. The data will keep pressure on the ECB for additional stimulus tomorrow. I have low expectations from the ECB on Thursday.

  • The initial major blow to the U.S. was the August U.S. employment report on Friday, a week ago. Odds on a September rate hike have fallen to a scant 12%. Furthermore, odds on ONE rate hike by yearend are down to a coin-toss after trading as high as 80% after Yellen's Jackson Hole speech.

  • It might be wiser now for the central bank to wait for more data before raising rates. The last thing they should do now is compound their many blunders by trying to save face.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


dc CB 19:46 GMT September 7, 2016
Maybe not the Onion

Hillary Clinton purchased some of the BlackBerries she used as secretary of state on eBay, Utah Rep. Jason Chaffetz said on Wednesday.

“That’s what she liked, so she did it. It creates this huge vulnerability. And it’s unnecessary,” Chaffetz, who chairs the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, said during a forum hosted by the American Enterprise Institute.

The forum was held to discuss last year’s hack of the Office of Personnel Management.

“I don’t want to get into this too much, but part of what was happening with the secretary of state is, she was acquiring technology that wasn’t even supported by BlackBerry. You couldn’t buy it. She was actually buying this stuff off of eBay because somebody was selling their old machine,” Chaffetz said.

Clinton bought used Blackberrys on eBay

GVI Forex Blog 19:43 GMT September 7, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

Mtl JP 19:35 GMT September 7, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

new potential Trade off the Cretins upcoming trade idea:

“Today, I’m here to talk to you about three crucial words that should be at the center, always, of our foreign policy,”
“Peace through strength.”
“As soon as I take office, I will ask Congress to fully eliminate the defense sequester and will submit a new budget to rebuild our military,” Trump

GVI Forex Blog 19:33 GMT September 7, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

dc CB 19:30 GMT September 7, 2016
Maybe not the Onion
Reply   
AAPL unveils iBuyback 7

Apple really moving the dial with innovation. Leather wrist straps for iwatch

The accessory to make phone calls will cost $159

Charting the Launch

Mtl JP 18:45 GMT September 7, 2016
NOBODY HAPPY with FED

London, 07 September 2016 -- The outcome of the forthcoming US Presidential election will not impact the United States' Aaa stable credit rating, says

Moody's Investors Service in a report

dc CB 18:12 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

we haven't seen the 2:15 running for quite some time.

GVI Trading Room john bland 18:07 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Fed Beige Book

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
Economy contiued to expand at modest pace. Modest upward pressure on wages.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 17:49 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

JP 12:25 re short aud: tighten sl and 1rst trgt low 76

Mtl JP 17:16 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Buy USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

nh 14:14 re NO SALE on a much reduced CAD position
-
trade suggestion:
BoD down to 1.2860-ish
first tp 1.2950

GVI Forex Blog 17:14 GMT September 7, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

dc CB 16:42 GMT September 7, 2016
NOBODY HAPPY with FED

Tonite. WITHOUT simultaneously appearing on stage.

"TODAY" co-anchor Matt Lauer will moderate the first-ever Commander-in-Chief Forum on Wednesday, September 7, presented by NBC News with the Iraq and Afghanistan Veterans of America.

During this one-hour forum live from the Intrepid Sea, Air & Space Museum in New York City, both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump will be on stage back-to-back taking questions on national security, military affairs and veterans issues from NBC News and an audience comprised mainly of military veterans and active service members.

In the Ring (not) Together for the First time this season.

dc CB 16:33 GMT September 7, 2016
NOBODY HAPPY with FED

but Hillary Clinton just told reporters that the FED should NOT be discussed by Presidential Candidates...or even the President

Hillary Clinton: Candidates Should Not Comment On Fed Action - Power Lunch - CNBC

hk ab 16:25 GMT September 7, 2016
gold
Reply   
placed a reload order buy 1340.

NOT relentless though.

PAR 16:22 GMT September 7, 2016
NOBODY HAPPY with FED
Reply   
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/neither-democrats-nor-republicans-sound-pleased-with-fed-structure-2016-09-07?siteid=rss&rss=1

Livingston nh 16:21 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

JP - on the 4 hr chart Cable just broke below 21 ma - 1.33 in view s/t (MACD is also rolled over)

daily 55 ema was support but price has nicked below

LONDON SFH 16:19 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

JP
1.3300 Looks like it may be a push a bit too far-and good level to long short term in my opinion...

Mtl JP 16:12 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading



appreciate odss and views on gbpusd 1.33
tia

Mtl JP 15:59 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

SFH 15:37 and 15:43 as "a great guy, a proper wizard.... a God" he deserves a raise and a move to appropriately reflective of stature digs !

never mind that his (and ever fiat-peddling monetary policymaker) should have their next meal (and pension) depend on performance

GVI Forex Blog 15:52 GMT September 7, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 8 September 2016
Reply   

September 7, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, September 8, 2016.

  • Far East: AU- Trade, CN- Trade
  • Europe: EZ- ECB Decision
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, Natural Gas, Crude

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
8-SEP Thursday
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Crude
9-SEP Friday
01:30 CN- CPI
08:30 GB- Trade
12:30 CA- Employment

GVI Data Calendar for 8 September 2016

LONDON SFH 15:43 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Mtl JP 15:39 GMT 09/07/2016

Yeah he said London is a shitthole and everyone will leave....course he didnt...

dc CB 15:43 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey Improves

GVI Trading Room john bland 14:27
U.S. JOLTS Survey Improves
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
And this is NPR - National Propaganda Radio
____________________________________________________

NPR notes that 83% of men in the prime working ages of 25-54 who were not in the labor force had not worked in the previous year. So, essentially, 10 million men are missing from the workforce.

Putting that number in context, in the 1960s, nearly 100 percent of men between the ages of 25 and 54 worked.

Warning to investors - Do Not Invest In Currencies by globalintelhub - Sep 6, 2016 3:25 PM Investors should be careful to stricly 'invest' in a currency without the aid of a robust, proven strategy. Ireland “Especially Exposed” To “International Shocks” Warns Central Bank by GoldCore - Sep 6, 2016 5:00 PM Ireland remains especially exposed to another financial shock because of the extremely high levels of public and private debt. "It's Worse Than The Great Depression"

Mtl JP 15:39 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

did he address the issue of dire Brexit vote predictions of financial trading outfits leaving London yet ?

LONDON SFH 15:37 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

RF

What he means is: I am a great guy, a proper wizard....I have steered the economy through the brexit and you should buy gbp now cos I am a God and you will do as I say

LONDON SFH 15:36 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

JP

dunno
He said a lot of b/s... Coudl have been any of it

HK [email protected] 15:34 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:


LONDON SFH

So what he wants to say? Pound is a very good currency? Buy now!

Mtl JP 15:33 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

is that what gbpusd bounced up on from 1.3335 ?

LONDON SFH 15:30 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

BANK OF ENGLAND'S CARNEY - I AM SAYING NEVER TO HELICOPTER MONEY
....told you he was clever

Mtl JP 15:16 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

what is pathetic - if not ridiculous - about "August stimulus package timely and coherent" - john bland 13:25, is the apparent claim that carney's monetary policy boosted past economic numbers

LONDON SFH 15:15 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

haha....very true....he isn't out of b/s ammo tho!

BOE'S CARNEY -WE ARE VERY MUCH NOT OUT OF AMMUNITION OR TRIGGER HAPPY


That sounds like an intelligent man

Mtl JP 15:11 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

because on Aug. 4th (rate cut and quantitative easing announcement), the rockstar of central banking believed his own b/s that he needed to meddle because the Brexit vote had caused the pound to dive and that the “outlook for growth in the short to medium term has weakened markedly."

nevermind that a weaker pound is a good thing on one hand.... lol
this fiat-promoting cretin is as entertaining as any that is trapped in his own cesspool of bull$h!t

LONDON SFH 15:03 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

You could also ask why he eased so quickly also

LONDON SFH 14:59 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

HE is a genius.... So why is he in favour of more easing?

Mtl JP 14:57 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

according to carney: "There's less risk of recession now compared with before Brexit referendum"

Mtl JP 14:49 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

usdyen's 20dma helding support
audusd holding resistance
usdcad held off 1.2780
-
bottom line: usd s got some mojo back

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 14:47 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

1.



Good day for the Amazing Trader

This is just a hit and run contra strategy but as I noted, selling into a EURUSD pop when it runs stops above HOD continues to work.

This time it was more than a few pips extension and came within a whisker of the 61.8% retracement at 1.1273

Mtl JP 14:45 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

when confused = do not trade
wait for fog to clear

Kl Fs 14:40 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

I am confused. So sell cable ?

Mtl JP 14:40 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

nh for your entertainment: "While Canada's economy shrank in the second quarter, the Bank still projects a substantial rebound in the second half of this year,"

the bank... an inert object whose hallways are populated by artificial intelligence units.

Maybe a useful note for future trade opps is to remember that canadian mortgage rates are really set in NY (keep an eye on the us-can 10-yr spread)

GVI Trading Room john bland 14:38 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Carney:
-- inflation risks have receded thanks to BOE actions.

GVI Trading Room john bland 14:36 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey Improves

Honestly It has suggested nothing to me so far.

LONDON SFH 14:31 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey Improves

Has it suggested to you anything that hasn't been confirmed?

london red 14:29 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey Improves

euro. sharp rejection of resistance at 11271/75 may mean a test of 11194-11212 before another bounce. anything abv 11275 negates and tgts 11330-60.

GVI Trading Room john bland 14:27 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey Improves

I know the JOLTS Survey is said to be a favorite of Chair Yellen. I have been watching it for a while and so far it has not suggested to me something that has been confirmed elsewhere.

Any comments?

GVI Trading Room john bland 14:21 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Canadian PMIs (Ivey and RBC-Markit). Ivey PMI weaker. It is hard to trust the Ivey PMI.


Livingston nh 14:21 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey Improves

I repeat with GREAT vigor that employment is only a FED factor if it is BAD News (i.e., an excuse for inaction) - Capt Ahab's White Whale is named inflation - the Brainard clique will continue to Goad the Captain (or Mutiny)

dc CB 14:19 GMT September 7, 2016
Busy Month of Sept
Reply   
Live Fed Mouths grilled with a side of sliced tomato and fresh basil

Fed's Lacker, George Defend "Fed Independence" To House Financial Services Committee - Live Feed

Livingston nh 14:14 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

JP - NO SALE on a much reduced CAD position - was looking to add on an upmove // It appears that many CBs are stepping back (e.g., Riksbank, BoC) in the effort to race to the bottom -- perhaps awaiting the oft promised Fed move

EU markets "hoping" for a Draghi tomorrow -- see if he steps back as well

GVI Forex Blog 14:11 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey Improves
Reply   
JOLTS Survey improves. Fed watches JOLTS Data closely.


BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey Improves

Mtl JP 14:05 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

nh just like rockstar carney patronizingly pontificates that "Sometimes useful to let FX market know there is a two-way risk to avoid "piling on" " these cretins need to learn that they should serve a useful purpose to FX players as well, I fully expect u skinned some +pips off the BoC gang

GVI Trading Room john bland 14:04 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

JOLTS data stronger than expected.

SaaR KaL 14:04 GMT September 7, 2016
Some ranges

CABLE
1.3750 1.2971
1.4037 1.2684
EURJPY
118.0793 112.8966
119.9868 110.9891

EURCAD $$$
1.4742 1.4492
1.4835 1.4400

EURAUD $$$
1.4999 1.4706
1.5107 1.4599

GVI Trading Room john bland 14:02 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

BOC GDP held back by wildfires.

GVI Trading Room john bland 14:00 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Canada Ivey PMI (sa) August 2016





ALERT
52.3 vs. 55.5 exp. vs. 57.1 prev.

RELEASE: Ivey Purchasing Managers Report


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading Room john bland 14:00 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. BLS JOLTS Survey July 2016

U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
mln: 5.870 vs. 5.580 exp. vs. 5.624 prev (r 5.640) rev.

BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary


Livingston nh 14:00 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Hope Sueprize CAD

SaaR KaL 14:00 GMT September 7, 2016
Some ranges
Reply   
USDJPY
104.8812 99.7536
106.7685 97.8664

EURUSD
1.1416 1.1158
1.1510 1.1064

Gold
1,333.4030 1,285.2595
1,351.1224 1,267.5401

NZDUSD
0.7411 0.7154
0.7505 0.7060

GVI Trading Room john bland 14:00 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

September 2016 Bank of Canada Policy Decision




ALERT
target unchanged at 0.50%

RELEASE: Bank of Canada



TTN: Live News Special Offer

SaaR KaL 13:56 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

USDCAD Ranges w/ me
1.3114 1.2788
1.3234 1.2667

Mtl JP 13:56 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Fed gang non-voting hawk Lacker and voting hawk George yakkers at top of the hour should not garner an oversized (i.e more than 50 pips) player-reaction effect

Mtl JP 13:52 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

1.2830
at top of the hour another A risk rated calendar event:
maybe BoC gang will provide an opportunity to skin some posi-pips

GVI Trading Room john bland 13:47 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Carney: GDP data suggest economy is a bit stronger than BOE forecast and BOE forecasts higher than private sector forecast.

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 13:42 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

1.


EURUSD stops today:

1.1263 (buy stops only went 2 pips)

1.1233 (sell stops only went 4 pips)

1.1251 (buy stops only went 2 pips)

What does this suggest? Not much follow through so far as price action seems driven more by crosses, e.g. EURGBP than vs. the USD

GVI Trading Room john bland 13:37 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Carney:
-- Sometimes useful to let FX market know there is a two-way risk to avoid "piling on".

LONDON SFH 13:31 GMT September 7, 2016
ANK OF ENGLAND'S FORBES SAYS THERE MAY BE CASE FOR ADDITIONAL EASING IN FUTURE
Reply   
Has he got some new drugs or has he not seen the latest figures?

Mtl JP 13:26 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

serene: calm, peaceful, and untroubled; tranquil

GVI Trading Room john bland 13:25 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Carney testimony on Bloomberg TV in U.S.

GVI Trading Room john bland 13:25 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Carney:
-- Serene about decisions made before Brexit
-- August stimulus package timely and coherent

Source: TTN

london red 13:21 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

ouch harsh opening words against carney

GVI Trading Room john bland 13:17 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Fed Funds futures odds are ~10% for a September hike. I put December odds for one hike at 48.8%.

Why does this matter? Its not about a 25bp or 50bp hikes in interest rates. Its all about how the Fed is reading the economy. We all know they WANT the economy to improve, but despite what may be happening in SF Fed President William's world, it is simply not happening in ours.

Mtl JP 13:14 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

rockstar of central banking Carney scheduled to testimoan at 13:15

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 13:07 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

1.



Bi-polar trading

GBPUSD goes from bid to offered, again crosses driving the flows.

GBPJPY seemed to be the driver with to a lesser extent EURGBP as well.

Likely some position adjustments ahead of Carney.

dc CB 13:07 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

annc this thurs as usual for the ammt.

odd that the 3 and 10 go off Mon
the 30 Tues.

Treas

GVI Trading Room john bland 13:04 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Hearing GS lowering its odds for a September Fed hike to 40% from 55% post-Employment data.

london red 13:03 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

loonie daily straddle just 40 pips. mkt not expecting much. so room for a good move if something said later.
carney to tsc up soon 15 past the hour. carney doesnt make an issue of sterling rate, but mkt will look for guidance on qe/further cut. likely to be in wait and see mode.

Mtl JP 12:57 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

usdcad 1.2830
planning on BoD 20-25pip dips if seen

Livingston nh 12:56 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

CB - have you seen anything about a screwed-up auction schedule?

dc CB 12:49 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

zerohedge ‏@zerohedge 14m14 minutes ago

10Y -2.60% in repo

Mtl JP 12:30 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

50 day 103.05
usdyen 101.55
20 day 101.52
-
having fun boyz n gilz ?

Livingston nh 12:29 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

STOX yesterday still w/ lo volume and late day Mutual fund buy - bonds AND STOX both rallied (hmm?) // Chart shows SPX floating on an island - Gaps below

dc CB 12:29 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Apple's San Fran new product day.
iPhone 7???
Watch?

only real mkmover today

Mtl JP 12:25 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

I am thinking audusd 0.768-ish is a sell
35-ish pips worth of s/l

Mtl JP 12:22 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

US stox looking slightly down

HK [email protected] 12:16 GMT September 7, 2016
*MAY SAYS U.K. IS SEEKING AMBITIOUS AND BOLD BREXIT DEAL


May blows a lot of hot air.

No value for whatever she says.

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 12:13 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

1.



EURUSD briefly through its overnight 1.1233 low and stops,. Amazing Trader shows a minor support from yesterday at 1.1225.

If you are looking for a source of EURUSD selling it appeared to come from EURGBP ahead of carney's testimony.

LONDON SFH 12:01 GMT September 7, 2016
*MAY SAYS U.K. IS SEEKING AMBITIOUS AND BOLD BREXIT DEAL
Reply   
Good luck with that one-they are in cloud cuckoo land if they think the EU will give them any concessions-right up there with Boris

Livingston nh 11:38 GMT September 7, 2016
ECB NIRP

CB buying debt, especially sovereign, while markets are screaming for yield is counter productive to the stated goals of most developed economy CBs - the so called QE is not "easing" when interest rates are at these levels; it is TIGHTENING

Common sense has left the building

dc CB 11:20 GMT September 7, 2016
So why do they want to eliminate cash??
Reply   
overnight the WSJ reported that the Obama administration followed up a planeload of $400 million in cash sent to Iran in January with two more such shipments in the next 19 days, totaling another $1.3 billion.

According to the WSJ, the Obama administration briefed lawmakers on Tuesday when it told them that two further portions of the $1.3 billion were transferred though Europe on Jan. 22 and Feb. 5. The payment “flowed in the same manner” as the original $400 million that an Iranian cargo plane picked up in Geneva, Switzerland

The paper also notes that the original $400 million was converted into non-U.S. currencies by the Swiss and Dutch central banks. The Treasury Department confirmed late Tuesday that the subsequent payments were also made in cash.

US Paid Iran Another $1.3 Billion In Cash In Form Of Swiss Francs, Euros And Other Currencies

PAR 11:20 GMT September 7, 2016
ECB NIRP

September 7, 2016 12:05 pm
The ECB, bond buying and the capital key: a Q&A
Elaine Moore

High quality global journalism requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link below, do not cut & paste the article. See our Ts&Cs and Copyright Policy for more detail. Email [email protected] to buy additional rights. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/606724b0-74c5-11e6-b60a-de4532d5ea35.html#ixzz4JZH50MLF


After 18 months of aggressive monetary easing, inflation and growth in the eurozone is still in the doldrums. This has prompted investors to speculate that the European Central Bank is poised to extend its quantitative easing project — QE3 — again.

But there’s a snag. The bond markets rally has reduced the stock of bonds eligible for eurozone QE, and if the ECB wants to expand the programme, it will need to consider loosening its own rules.

When policymakers converge in Frankfurt this week, the governing council is expected to discuss the possibility of deviating from capital keys used to calculate sovereign bond purchases — freeing up billions of euros of fresh bonds to buy.

Restrictions are self-imposed, so change is possible. But any alteration would require Germany’s approval, so the hurdle for abandoning the capital key is high.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/606724b0-74c5-11e6-b60a-de4532d5ea35,Authorised=false.html?ftcamp=published_links/rss/markets/feed//product&siteedition=intl&_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2F606724b0-74c5-11e6-b60a-de4532d5ea35.html%3Fftcamp%3Dpublished_links%2Frss%2Fmarkets%2Ffeed%2F%2Fproduct%26siteedition%3Dintl&_i_referer=https%3A%2F%2Ft.co%2F58675b260c572dcd75cfbf12e9540dbb&classification=conditional_standard&iab=barrier-app#axzz4JZGALCRT

HK Kwun 11:05 GMT September 7, 2016
USD rate hike only 15% now
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1347 Target: Stop: 1337

buy gold

GVI Trading Room john bland 10:43 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Cautious Start--
DAX +38
DJ -2
SP -1

10-yr 1.536% -0.5bp

LONDON SFH 10:39 GMT September 7, 2016
ECB NIRP

If you listened to the views of the population on Brexit I don't remember hearing anyone mention the ECB at all

wallstreet bankster 10:38 GMT September 7, 2016
gold
Reply   
gold hod 1352 , as always ab blinks too early 1316 and 1320 , neither proper sl nor tp .

PAR 10:29 GMT September 7, 2016
ECB NIRP
Reply   
ECB s QE and NIRP failing to boost the european economies but supporting ( like in the 1930 s) the rise of far right political parties all over Europe .

Draghi will blame Brexit for the failure of the ECB policies but it could as well be that ECB policies caused Brexit .

Kaunas DP 10:28 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

no higher 1.3410, I bet 1k usd it will be >1.3410 pre carn hit...lol

singapore td 10:24 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

they may try to bring 1.3390-1.34 pre-Carney but no higher than 1.3410 and then bring it down again post-Carney

singapore td 10:17 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

sell audusd 0.7676, stop 0.7739

singapore td 10:11 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

cable has been up recently, so Carney will talk it down

GVI Trading Room john bland 10:07 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

BoE Governor Mark Carney will testify to members of Parliament at 13:15 GMT on current BOE policy. Carney will be watched for clues on possible future actions.

GVI Trading Room 09:57 GMT September 7, 2016
German industry output posts steepest drop in almost two years -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"German industrial production posted its steepest fall in 23 months in July, data showed on Wednesday, in a further sign that Europe's largest economy is set for a slowdown.

Wednesday's data, published one day after a surprisingly weak rise in industrial orders, added to concerns that the German economy is losing steam as lower demand from emerging markets such as China and concerns about the consequences of Britain's decision to leave the EU are weighing on exports..."

German industry output posts steepest drop in almost two years -- Reuters.com

singapore td 09:51 GMT September 7, 2016
sell cable

watchout the snap back...

hk ab 09:47 GMT September 7, 2016
Gold

Shawn, if you see the free-rider Kwun keep buying, then, 1425 may not be seen by this year.....

You remember his "guidance" well right? Sigh....

It's really hard to bite all these sour grapes..... for him and wallshit.

HK [email protected] 09:31 GMT September 7, 2016
This large asteroid was discovered just a week ago and could devastate a city if it struck earth
Reply   

NASA says it is heading towards Earth on "a highly uncertain orbit".

The space rock is being closely monitored by space agencies across the globe, as it is due to whistle past within just days.

The space rock, which is estimated to be up to 61 metres in length, is predicted to whistle past our planet at 31,000 miles per hour, on September 17, but NASA is not even certain of the time of the pass due to relying on estimated calculations, and could be up to 16 minutes out on the estimated flyby.

EXCLUSIVE: MILE-LONG monster asteroid heads towards earth TODAY

jkt abel 08:59 GMT September 7, 2016
sell cable

cable has a habit of running over top/bottom pickers' stop, need to see that 'hook' type price action

jkt abel 08:57 GMT September 7, 2016
sell cable

shawn, too early to jump the gun IMO, better wait
i see 1.3470-1.3520 as a much better alternative entry

kl shawn 08:54 GMT September 7, 2016
sell cable
Reply   
1.3420 has to cap IMO and thus can try sell on approach there, stop 1.3469 today

GVI Trading Room john bland 08:48 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
7-SEP Wednesday
00:30 AU- GDP
14:00 CA- BOC Decision
8-SEP Thursday
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Crude
9-SEP Friday
01:30 CN- CPI
08:30 GB- Trade
12:30 CA- Employment


Trading Themes --
  • German July industrial production unexpectedly fell -1.5% vs. expectations for a gain of 0.2% in the month. The data will keep pressure on the ECB for additional stimulus tomorrow. U.K. July Manufacturing data were weak.

  • Markets today are still digesting the recent poor run of data out of the U.S. The increasing view is that Fed policy is back on hold. This change in sentiment has seen the EURUSD marked higher to back above the 1.1200 line. One has to wonder if the U.S. economy would be able to sustain a stronger currency.

  • The latest blow to the U.S. was the ISM Services PMI, which significantly missed expectations and this further reduced the odds for a September 21 rate hike. Late in the day, odds on a rate hike had fallen to a scant 14%. Furthermore, odds on ONE rate hike by yearend are down to a coin-toss after trading as high as 80% after Yellen's Jackson Hole speech.

  • It might be wiser now for the central bank to wait for more data before raising rates. The last thing they should do now is compound their many blunders by trying to save face.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


kl shawn 08:36 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

buy usd today for bounce?

GVI Trading Room john bland 08:33 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Mixed U.K. data Manufacturing output weak.

GVI Trading Room john bland 08:31 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

UK Industrial/Manufacturing Output July 2016




-- NEWS ALERT --

Ind mm: +0.10% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
Mfg mm: -0.90% vs. -0.30% exp. vs. -0.30% (r -0.20% ) prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 08:16 GMT September 7, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

GVI Forex Blog 08:05 GMT September 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Australia GDP In Line
Reply   
EARLIER: 2Q16 GDP in Line.

BREAKING NEWS: Australia GDP In Line

HK [email protected] 07:39 GMT September 7, 2016
We need a whistleblower from within the PPT
Reply   

Those people are well rewarded multimillionaires!!!

Why should they blow whistles.

Do they have any conscience? Hehehehe

SaaR KaL 06:49 GMT September 7, 2016
Stupid ab, where is your real call

around 1351...averaging

HK Kwun 06:38 GMT September 7, 2016
Stupid ab, where is your real call

Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

SaaR KaL, may i know what level did you short gold?

PAR 06:30 GMT September 7, 2016
PPT
Reply   
We need a whistleblower from within the PPT to prove that US markets are manipulated to the extreme .

Trumps word is not enough. LOL.

SaaR KaL 05:10 GMT September 7, 2016
EURCAD and EURAUD
Reply   
EURCAD Bullish
I am now long tgt 1.47

EURAUD Long till 1.50

SaaR KaL 05:07 GMT September 7, 2016
Gold

I am short Gold tag 1260
Silver as well tgt 17.7

AUDUSD is good short for a week

HK Kwun 05:04 GMT September 7, 2016
Stupid ab, where is your real call
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

again and again, post your real call rather than barking all the time, we all know that you would disappear when call was failure.

kl shawn 04:52 GMT September 7, 2016
Gold

ab, gold 1425 next?

hk ab 04:46 GMT September 7, 2016
mkt
Reply   
Finally, don't forget bucket shop yelling at their clients to short GBP HEAVY, GOLD and buy Aussie.......

I will start selling GBP when I hear their s/l kicked.

hk ab 04:44 GMT September 7, 2016
gold
Reply   
HK Kwun 07:09 GMT September 6, 2016
Sure Win Trade : Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: 1325 Target: Stop: 1315

closed all at 1329, nice!
-------------------------------------------------------------------
This is the MAX he can make.......

Very interesting.

maybe he really likes "small" stuff........


DON'T FORGET his famous signal...............
-------------------------------------------------------------------
hk ab 18:14 GMT August 30, 2016
gold: Reply
Thanks the free-rider for the excellent free-signals.....

now we can relentless long gold 1313.......

hk ab 04:40 GMT September 7, 2016
Gold
Reply   
RF, less than a week, you need to "change" again......

HK [email protected] 12:24 GMT September 1, 2016
Gold with the smart money, and smart Goldbugs to the toilet.: Reply
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Where's the wallshit bankster?

He may have too much the sour grapes from me and make himself sick.

LOL

And where's the free-rider who got lucky? Or did he "buy in rumour", "sell in fact"?

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The ONLY one who loaded under 1313..........on this forum.....

dc CB 03:48 GMT September 7, 2016
Keep on adjusting those polls. Just can't win for winning.

61 days unit the "real" results

seasonally adjusted

dc CB 02:00 GMT September 7, 2016
Keep on adjusting those polls. Just can't win for winning.

Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton told reporters Tuesday that conflict of interest questions about the Clinton Foundation will only be answered after the November election.

“If Chelsea does stay on the foundation’s board, which the foundation has said very definitively that she will or that that is the plan currently, do you think that raises any conflict questions?” Clinton was asked by a member of the press on her campaign plane.

Hillary replied, “As I’ve said over and over again, doesn’t matter how many times you ask me or how you ask me, these issues will be decided after the election.”

dc CB 01:56 GMT September 7, 2016
Keep on adjusting those polls. Just can't win for winning.

FED'S WILLIAMS: US ECON 'AT FULL EMPLOYMENT,' INFL ON TRACK

WILLIAMS REPEATS RATE HIKE MAKES SENSE SOONER RATHER THAN LATER

WILLIAMS: SHOULD STUDY HIGHER INFL TARGET, NOMINAL GDP TARGET

WILLIAMS: CONSUMER SPENDING STRONG, U.S. AT FULL EMPLOYMENT.

dc CB 01:29 GMT September 7, 2016
Keep on adjusting those polls. Just can't win for winning.

In a memo sent out on August 29, the firm's global compliance office said that starting on September 1, "all partners across the firm are considered “Restricted Persons” as defined by the firm’s Policy on Personal Political Activities in the US."

This means that as of this moment, Goldman's partners are "prohibited from engaging in political activities and/or making campaign contributions to candidates running for state and local offices, as well as sitting state and local officials running for federal office", and specifically donating to the Donald Trump campaign, in order to "minimize potential reputational damage."

Goldman Bans Partners From Donating To Trump Campaign

dc CB 01:24 GMT September 7, 2016
Keep on adjusting those polls. Just can't win for winning.
Reply   
Just over a month ago, Donald Trump shocked the establishment and took the lead in national polls.
As a result, Reuters/Ipsos is amending the wording of the choice and eliminating the word “Neither,” bringing the option in line with other polls.
And order was restored with Hillary surging into the lead.

Today, however, a CNN national poll showed Trump regaining the lead (by 2 pts):

And so, as Politico reports, MSNBC decided another tweak was required:

MSNBC 'unskewed' a CNN national poll on Tuesday that showed Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton by two points, re-weighting the results to match the 2012 electorate and showing a four-point lead for the former secretary of state.



The poll of likely voters, released Tuesday by CNN/ORC, showed Trump ahead of Clinton nationwide in a four-way contest, 45 percent to 43 percent. But MSNBC host Chuck Todd explained that the poll, in his network’s estimation, may have oversampled white voters without a college degree, one of Trump’s strongest groups.



“Whites without a college degree appear to make up nearly half of their sample. In 2012, by the way, whites without a college degree was slightly more than a third of all voters,” Todd said.

“The point is, your numbers may not be wrong but your weighting may be, your assumptions. So the CNN folks assumed an electorate that is not an impossible scenario for Trump, but it would be an historic shift if it occurred.”

With the numbers adjusted to reflect how the electorate shook out four years ago, Clinton’s two-point deficit shifted to a four-point lead, 46 percent to 42 percent.

"Too Many Whites" - MSNBC 'Tweaks' CNN Poll To Show Hillary Back In The Lead

Singapore PW 00:34 GMT September 7, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Let's go BOJ ... buy in secret

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
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Mon 27 May 2019
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Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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