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Forex Forum Archive for 09/13/2016

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Mtl JP 23:58 GMT September 13, 2016
Not the Onion

but if Hillary slips and.a Trump presidency gains traction becomes a factor seeing as Markets assume Hillary wins. With Trump more uncertainty... thus politicals become possible "surprising, sudden, intense, and large" trading theme and a tradeable issue

Provo John 23:42 GMT September 13, 2016
Not the Onion

Having worked as a software developer for 40 years there is a difference between backup and retention policies. Cutting the backups to every 30 days is just poor judgement ( and if she did not get told that then it was bad IT advice ). The email sounds more like I want to cover my butt because I don't know if there is a problem ( after all they did not read the emails ) and I don't want to be the scape goat ( been there ). This not a smoking gun and this not the political forum.

dc CB 21:10 GMT September 13, 2016
Not the Onion

Three people appeared before the House Oversight & Government Reform Committee this morning to testify in regards to their involvement in the Hillary email scandal. Two of those individuals, Paul Combetta (the "oh shiet" guy) and Bill Thornton, were from Platte River Networks, the Denver-based IT business chosen to maintain Hillary's email server after she resigned as Secretary of State. The third individual was Justin Cooper, the Bill Clinton aide who originally set up Hillary's private email address.

Both of the Platte River Networks executives took the 5th but only after Committee Chairman, Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah), asked about the following email exchange between Combetta and another undisclosed PRN staff member which was sent on 8/19/15:

"Wondering how we can sneak an email in now, after the fact, asking them [the Clinton camp] when they told us to cut the backups and have them confirm it for our records. Starting to think this whole thing is really covering up some shady censored. I just think if we have it in writing that they told us to cut the backups then we can go public with our statement saying we've had the backup since day one when we were told to trim to 30 days would make us look a whole lot better."

We assume the "30-days" reference was made in regards to Hillary's decision to cut her email retention policy after providing "all" of her "work-related" emails to the State Department.

Video of Combetta's testimony can be viewed here.

Video of the full hearing can be viewed here.

BleachBit Guy Pleads The 5th

dc CB 20:58 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

API

Crude +1.4mm (+4mm exp)
Cushing -1.12mm (-300k exp)
Gasoline -2.4mm (-1.1mm exp)
Distillates +5.3mm

dc CB 20:57 GMT September 13, 2016
Not the Onion

Kurt Eichenwald ‏@kurteichenwald 49m49 minutes ago

I believe Trump was institutionalized in a mental hospital for a nervous breakdown in 1990, which is why he won't release medical records.

Kurt EichenwaldVerified account
@kurteichenwald

Contributing editor, Vanity Fair; senior writer, Newsweek; New York Times bestselling author.

GVI Trading Room john bland 20:35 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

US Weekly API Crude




ALERT
Reportedly +1.400 mn vs. +3.800 mn exp



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 20:32 GMT September 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

john bland 16:06 / 10-yr back above 1.70%
1.717% +4.7bp
-
that has probably flattened the yield curve
nothing like stirring "worry" in the bond market
give credit to Harvard PhD Brainyard

Mtl JP 20:05 GMT September 13, 2016
Markets Save Fed AGAIN

nh 19:04 1.18% market moves are no-where near Babson type move.
i.e. ..... zzzz as long as the cnbc crowd councils BOD and is not saying last guy of the studio turn off the lights

Tallinn viies 19:52 GMT September 13, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
in 50 minutes time API numbers.
last week minus 15 million barrels really huge draw.
everybody thought this was due the storm but if today by any chance in minus again this could give prices big lift

GVI Trading Room john bland 19:49 GMT September 13, 2016
Wednesday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
14-SEP Wednesday
08:30 GB- Employment
14:30 US- Weekly Crude
15-SEP Thursday
00:00 CN- Holiday
00:30 AU- Employment
07:30 CH- SNB Decision
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
09:00 EZ- Final HICP
11:00 GB- BOE Decision
12:30 US- PPI
12:30 US- Retail Sales
12:30 US- Current Account
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
12:30 US- Philly Fed
13:15 US- Industrial Production
16-SEP Friday
00:00 CN- Holiday
12:30 US- CPI
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey


Trading Themes--
  • The economic data calendar is relatively thin again on Wednesday. One key focus will be the latest U.K. employloyent data. U.S. energy data is always of interest because oil prices can have a direct impact on stocks.

  • U.K. inflation data for August were generally softer than expected and weighed slightly on the GBP. The German ZEW Survey for August fell short of market expectations. There will ba a lot to focus on in the rest of the week, including central bank decisions by Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England. Thursday sees a slew of data from the U.S. and abroad to include the latest U.S. Retail Sales data.

  • Fed Governor Brainard was dovish in her comments Monday. She was the last Fed official to comment ahead of the quiet period heading into the Fed policy decision in just over one week's time. Many feel she sent a definitive dovish signal.

  • Concern that the Fed could be ready to lead central banks into a period of "policy normalization" had seen equity prices falling and bond yields rising this week. Predictions about the timing and magnitude of moves to less accomodative policies is something that the Fed will have to start to manage.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


    CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

GVI Forex Blog 19:47 GMT September 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

GVI Forex Blog 19:36 GMT September 13, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

Bali Sja 19:27 GMT September 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Again usdjpy is saying not to worry. Staying above 102.50 will open up 103.70 and 104.50 this week. Go usd!

JEddah Abb 19:23 GMT September 13, 2016
..
Reply   
Try gbpnzd at price 1.82 target open stop daily support

Livingston nh 19:04 GMT September 13, 2016
Markets Save Fed AGAIN
Reply   
After Yellen made her Jackson Hole comments the combined Equity, FI and Commodity markets waited until the last moment before it pulled the Fed back from the Brink of September Live -- Markets had begun to discount the chance of a hike next week as recent Fed yakkers took issue w/ last month's Troika confidence -- but there was no clear excuse for Yellen to delay so there was a bit of desperation that the Fed might need to follow through

Market turmoil is back in the nick of time

dc CB 18:29 GMT September 13, 2016
Not the Onion

The incomes of typical Americans rose in 2015 by 5.2 percent, the first significant boost to middle-class pay since the end of the Great Recession and the fastest increase ever recorded by the federal government, the Census Bureau reported Tuesday.

In addition, the poverty rate fell by 1.2 percentage points, the steepest decline since 1968. There were 43.1 million Americans in poverty on the year, 3.5 million fewer than in 2014.

Middle class incomes had their fastest growth on record last year

Paris ib 18:23 GMT September 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Of course a rising cost of funding will bring stocks down with a thud.

Paris ib 18:23 GMT September 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Stocks don't count a thing. What counts is funding: the cost of funding; debt levels and dependency on international creditors. What counts are bonds and specifically the ability of a government to fund itself. In some cases, like Australia, the massive level of private sector debt and the huge dependency on external savings - available only on a 3 year roll over, which is still better than the 1 year roll over on U.S. Treasuries - means huge economic vulnerability.

Watch bonds they count.

Which bonds?

GVI Trading Room john bland 18:14 GMT September 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Stocks starting to look heavy again.

dc CB 17:30 GMT September 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

just a reminder this is Quad Witching week.

Paris ib 16:47 GMT September 13, 2016
Thank God

Donald Trump is absolutely right on this one. Despite what the New York Times would have you think...

Let the NYT think for you

Paris ib 16:44 GMT September 13, 2016
Thank God
Reply   
One for the numb nuts.... while the narrative unravels.

Have a great evening everyone. :-)

I'm not your friend

Bali Sja 16:38 GMT September 13, 2016
Usd

Abel, for that u need above 1.3250 close. Not going to happen today.

Paris ib 16:37 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

hahahahahahahahahhaha

made me laugh anyway

put me in a good mood

Bali Sja 16:36 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

Relax, usd will be ok it is still world's reserve currency. The best among the worst :)

nw kw 16:29 GMT September 13, 2016
Usd

soft commodities usa big crops so usd had to go for orders

nw kw 16:21 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

invisible hand in jpy?

nw kw 16:19 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

out for the stop hunt gbpaud

Bali Sja 16:19 GMT September 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

John, if they cannot go lower then they will go up as we get closer to sep 21. Usd is holding pretty well despite all those odds.

GVI Trading Room john bland 16:17 GMT September 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

By my calculations, odds for a September 21 Fed hike are running at 12% today. They can't get much lower than this.

Jkt Abel 16:16 GMT September 13, 2016
Usd
Reply   
Carney mentioned 2 way risk. He may get it. Fancy a v shape...

nw kw 16:16 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

poss time china cut for x charts separating so g dumdums 20, for chong in red?

Paris ib 16:13 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

No I don't think so. Current account surplus. External funding is not an issue. I was thinking the United States actually. Major vulnerability and with the political circus they have going on now, not to mention the geopolitical joke arena, the vulnerability just got worse.

Australia also looks vulnerable. Britain less so because government debt has such a long maturity. Striking how long the maturity is actually. As if they were planning for this.

Bali Sja 16:10 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

Ib, in such event, euro is the one to suffer more IMO.

nw kw 16:09 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

audjpy last support//xaud room top side under dog long gbpaud

GVI Trading Room john bland 16:06 GMT September 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

10-yr back above 1.70%
1.717% +4.7bp

Paris ib 16:05 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

If we have another financial market 'event' remember this: in times of danger money goes home. What does that mean? Countries reliant on external funding (ie. with current account deficits and large accumulated levels of foreign debt - and don't look at net debt - look at gross debt -and look very closely at whether it is short term or long term debt) are vulnerable to currency depreciation and bond market sell offs.

Think Greece. Only much, much bigger.

Take a look at the data and draw your own conclusions.

SaaR KaL 15:45 GMT September 13, 2016
cable
Reply   
Cable worth buying here
tgt 1.33

Paris ib 15:44 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

From the wonderful world of Australian parliament.

Everything is under control

Paris ib 15:43 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

SFH it's like watching a surreal comedy reality show. You gotta laugh.

GVI Trading Room john bland 15:39 GMT September 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

U.S. equities weak.

GVI Forex Blog 15:38 GMT September 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

LONDON SFH 15:36 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

Yeah... The numb nuts have put Donald Trump up for President so they're capable of an awful lot more stupidity

Paris ib 15:33 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

SFH agreed. All I am saying is keep an eye. If that market starts to really go under then that's it. It's over. But that's what we need to watch right now.

I can't believe that the numb nuts actually voted to prosecute Saudi Arabia at this juncture.

LONDON SFH 15:31 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

ib
US Bonds trading lower into supply...not always a bad sign but indeed a weak link...

Mtl JP 15:28 GMT September 13, 2016
Not the Onion

dc CB 14:44 / Federal Reserve System
Contact Us

http://www.federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/contact-us-topics.htm

Paris ib 15:25 GMT September 13, 2016
Nobody Shouts Timber at the Top

Fasten seat belts. The weakest link is the U.S. bond market. Watch that. That unravels all else follows. Remember: safety first.

GVI Forex Blog 14:55 GMT September 13, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 14 September 2016
Reply   

September 13, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, September 14, 2016.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- Employment, EZ- Industrial Production
  • North America: US- Mortgage Statistics, Import Prices, Weekly Crude

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
14-SEP Wednesday
08:30 GB- Employment
14:30 US- Weekly Crude
15-SEP Thursday
00:00 CN- Holiday
00:30 AU- Employment
07:30 CH- SNB Decision
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
09:00 EZ- Final HICP
11:00 GB- BOE Decision
12:30 US- PPI
12:30 US- Retail Sales
12:30 US- Current Account
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
12:30 US- Philly Fed
13:15 US- Industrial Production
16-SEP Friday
00:00 CN- Holiday
12:30 US- CPI
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey

GVI Data Calendar for 14 September 2016

HK Kwun 14:51 GMT September 13, 2016
Upside is not that much
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1326 Target: Stop: 1336

sell again

dc CB 14:44 GMT September 13, 2016
Not the Onion

Dear Janet Yellen and the rest of the FED Reserve Board,
They're at it again. What are you going to do about it.(crickets)
_____________________________________________________

Exclusive: Goldman team uses retail deposits for Wall Street-style profits

Mtl JP 14:34 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

is "13/09/16 17:00 A UST TRY 30-yr" a typo ?
presenting an "A" risk ?

Mtl JP 14:30 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

SFH as traders our job is not to analyse but to react to and to profit from opportunities. but if u need to know: fiat money, politicians' promises and govt' deficits to finance the dreams is the liberal way.

LONDON SFH 14:22 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

It has been a long time since anything remotely useful has come out of a G-20 / IMF / OECD statment... Wonder why he chose to listen to that one

Mtl JP 14:15 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

some time ago the G-20 / IMF / OECD and Co issued an edict ordering fin mins to pick-up where citizens are failing: load up on debt. (i.e. the "growth plan")

Just in is not only full compliance, he is exceeding it. Hence Christine's accolades for the one with pretty hair and socks.

LONDON SFH 14:06 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

JP

so he is working on a growth plan? Where have we heard this before....and did that work??

Their economy has done so well they deported the Central Bk Governor to the UK so he could go there and screw up things too

Livingston nh 14:05 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

JP - Blame doesn't require acceptance - it's like driving behind an open manure truck - only a little of the total needs to stick

Mtl JP 14:02 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

“I hope that many countries follow Prime Minister Trudeau’s global leadership. The more countries adopt it, the greater the mutual benefit for growth.”

Lagarde will meet Tuesday afternoon with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in Ottawa, with a press conference to follow.

woopeeee. time to start to think about exploiting new trade opportunities off these cretins

Mtl JP 13:49 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

laying it "at yellen's feet"
-
here is Lagarde .."growing inequality in wealth, income, and opportunity in many countries has added to a groundswell of discontent, especially in the industrialized world—a growing sense among some citizens that they “lack control,” that the system is somehow against them"

laying blame anywhere/everywhere but ... at the current and recent past policymakers.

Making Globalization Work for All

Jkt Abel 13:46 GMT September 13, 2016
Sell cable

It isgoing nowhere yet IMO. 1.33 is still quite magnetic. Will see the close.

Bali Sja 13:43 GMT September 13, 2016
Sell cable

Easy play now. Sell all bounces to 1.3240 aggresively stop 1.3261 for the rest of today. Tp to suit one's greed ;)

dc CB 13:39 GMT September 13, 2016
Oil
Reply   
API and DOE upcoming. No hurricaines shutting in wells or blocking tankers.
Algos using WTI in the formula to rally stox.

Mtl JP 13:24 GMT September 13, 2016
Not the Onion

CB 13:14 plz ... pretty please warn ahead if one should reach for Depends before reading ...

washingtonpost / NYT rags getting unhinged?
why ?

Bali Sja 13:23 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Sell euro 1.1225 stop 1.1269

Bali Sja 13:17 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Nh and JP, well done on usdcad BOD trade. Go usd!
Cable will need a miracle to go above 1.3240.

Mtl JP 13:16 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

nh 11:44 "when does the silliness end" ?
when janet and her crew of 2% target-ers and low interest rate as stimulus peddlers somehow get run out of town

dc CB 13:14 GMT September 13, 2016
Not the Onion

Bennet Omalu, the forensic pathologist who has made the NFL so uncomfortable with his discovery of chronic traumatic encephalopathy in the brains of deceased players, suggests that Hillary Clinton’s campaign be checked for possible poisons after her collapse Sunday in New York.

Omalu, whose story was famously told in the movie “Concussion,” made the suggestion on Twitter, writing that he advised campaign officials to “perform toxicologic analysis of Ms. Clinton’s blood.”

Omalu, whose credentials and tenacity are well known. He wasn’t giving up on Twitter, adding that his reasoning is that he does not trust Russian President Vladimir Putin or Donald Trump, the Republican presidential nominee who has expressed admiration for Putin.

Hillary Clinton may have been poisoned

Livingston nh 13:13 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

JP -- yes faith restored USD/CAD = more more more

Bali Sja 13:09 GMT September 13, 2016
Sell cable
Reply   
[email protected] cable is going down. Cant even stay 1.33 let alone 1.36. Abandon the ship

dc CB 13:04 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

zerohedge ‏@zerohedge 5m5 minutes ago

Super fails: 10Y traded at -3.50% this morning, most special since 2009, according to Stone & McCarthy

Mtl JP 12:56 GMT September 13, 2016
Easy job

Kwun 12:40 I consider that an outstanding example of skinning posi-$s off the cretins. well done.

Mtl JP 12:54 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

1.1237
Pivot 1.1237
10 day 1.1209
-
I m keeping a down bias;
s/t trgt 1.1150 and lower

Mtl JP 12:41 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

nh 10:59 = that is my wet FX dream !
-
in the meantime .... usdcad is almost euphoric; 1.32/1.3250 on radar

HK Kwun 12:40 GMT September 13, 2016
Easy job
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1332 Target: Stop: 1342

Tp at 1323, LOL

LONDON SFH 12:02 GMT September 13, 2016
Sell cable

Agree with you Abel-Been short cable since this morning...gl/gt

Jkt Abel 11:59 GMT September 13, 2016
Sell cable
Reply   
Going towards pivot and can try small short with ultimate stop above 1.3340 IMHo

LONDON SFH 11:52 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

When idiot CBks stop buying bonds and let long rates find their equilibrium based on on inflation expectations...

Livingston nh 11:44 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

SFH - markets need to adjust and will -- sometimes painful // the US yield curve is flatter than last year - the 30 yr was about 3% and now its 2 3/8% so there is a cushion -- when does the silliness end?

LONDON SFH 11:31 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

The problem with the Fed selling as well as the MOF increasing long issuance could be the snowball effect...deleveraging across the board and those who need duration, such as PFs and Ins cos would sell what they have and sit back and allow the carnage to unfold before buying

Livingston nh 11:19 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

SFH - based on the current levels it appears the market can take the long (over 10 yrs) Treasury holdings, ~630 bio as a first step -- higher rates would put more money into the economy w/ little damage as interest paid goes to economy rather than Fed coffers thence back to government

London AzaForex 11:07 GMT September 13, 2016
Day trading strategies on currency pair EURCAD 13-09-2016 by
Reply   


Buy EURCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Day trading strategies on currency pair EURCAD 13-09-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

LONDON SFH 11:02 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Who will buy them?

Livingston nh 10:59 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

SFH -I hope so - if it works maybe the Fed will release the Treasury Trillions into the market -

singapore td 10:55 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

if below 101.75 printed first then forget about it

LONDON SFH 10:54 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

nh

That is what they want to achieve really.....it is bond bearish globally....especially if you consider the BOJ is seen as a bit of a lead for the ECB in their QE moves

singapore td 10:53 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

i think 102.50 will be broken soon

Livingston nh 10:52 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

If long rates rise Japanese yield seekers will stay home - Treasurys lose the edge especially if yen strengthens

JEddah Abb 10:50 GMT September 13, 2016
..
Reply   
try to sell usdjpy from here102.25 to 102.45 stop above 102.7 ...

LONDON SFH 10:48 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

singapore td 10:46 GMT 09/13/2016

Initially that was the trade..I faded and sold at 102.30

singapore td 10:46 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

so buy usd?

LONDON SFH 10:45 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Jp

To insurance cos and whoever wants some yield..It is the Japanese trying to reverse operation twist

bali sja 10:44 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

they are just concerned about propping up usdjpy
no more under 100
BTFD for stocks and indices

Mtl JP 10:42 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

to whom ?

LONDON SFH 10:39 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

*JAPAN MOF APPROVES INCREASE IN SALE OF 40-YR JGBS: NIKKE

GVI Trading Room john bland 10:12 GMT September 13, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Risk-Off in U.S. equity futures. DAX catch-up?
DAX +38
DJ -111
SP -13

10-yr 1.647% -2.3bp Brainard effect?

kl shawn 09:58 GMT September 13, 2016
cable short

out of cable short at 64 for +20, reload later

LONDON SFH 09:48 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Livingston nh 09:33 GMT 09/13/2016

Morng nh
You can lay what you like at Yellen's feet...she won't take the blame for it..
re Kuroda..
The comments from the BOJ earlier were saying they were mulling over changes but details were pretty scarce. Recent discussions have centred around them allowing long rates to rise and the curve to steepen and this is what is really a worry for the bond mkts. Makes the last 2 day reboound in Europe and US somewhat fragile

GVI Trading Room john bland 09:45 GMT September 13, 2016
Global stocks dip as Fed view only partly soothes markets -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"Stocks dipped and the dollar edged up on Tuesday after a Federal Reserve official's remarks appearing to make a near-term rise in U.S. interest rates less likely only partially calmed investor nerves before a speech from ECB chief Mario Draghi. Fed Governor Lael Brainard on Monday cautioned against removing support for the U.S. economy too quickly. Her words weakened the dollar and sent U.S. stocks soaring.

But any sense of calm in markets looked fragile after three volatile trading days that saw bond yields soar and stocks rack up heavy losses, on concern monetary policy was reaching its limits as a tool to lift the global economy..."

Global stocks dip as Fed view only partly soothes markets -- Reuters.com

PAR 09:44 GMT September 13, 2016
Fed Brainard

Under federal law, Fed governors -- along with any employees of the executive branch -- are barred from engaging in partisan activities, but they are allowed to vote and make campaign donations. In practice, central bank officials rarely make contributions while in office. Federal records do not show any other members of the Fed’s policy-setting committee having made a political donation so far this election cycle.

PAR 09:41 GMT September 13, 2016
Fed Brainard

Lets help Hilary !

Federal Reserve governor Lael Brainard has contributed $2,700 to the presidential campaign of Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton, according to federal records, an unusual donation from a top official at an institution that prides itself on political independence.

kl shawn 09:39 GMT September 13, 2016
cable short
Reply   
sold 1.3284, stop 1.3310, target open

Livingston nh 09:33 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Yellen criticism starting to go mainstream and Main Street - she needs to understand she's not the Chair of a small college Econ Department so she needs to act like the Head of a Powerful Federal Agency or Congressional Committee and rein in the loose cannons // But it seems there is no Party Line because there is no PLAN only day to day data points

Market disruptions are now going to be laid at her feet
___
Kuroda to make changes in BoJ policy?

GVI Trading Room john bland 09:11 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
13-SEP Tuesday
08:30 GB- CPI
09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
14-SEP Wednesday
08:30 GB- Employment
14:30 US- Weekly Crude
15-SEP Thursday
00:00 CN- Holiday
00:30 AU- Employment
07:30 CH- SNB Decision
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
09:00 EZ- Final HICP
11:00 GB- BOE Decision
12:30 US- PPI
12:30 US- Retail Sales
12:30 US- Current Account
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
12:30 US- Philly Fed
13:15 US- Industrial Production
16-SEP Friday
00:00 CN- Holiday
12:30 US- CPI
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey


Trading Themes--
  • U.K. inflation data for August were generally softer than expected and weighed slightly on the GBP. The German ZEW Survey for August fell short of market expectations. There will ba a lot to focus on in the rest of the week, including central bank decisions by Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England. Thursday sees a slew of data from the U.S. and abroad to include the latest U.S. Retail Sales data.

  • Fed Governor Brainard was dovish in her comments Monday. She was the last Fed official to comment ahead of the quiet period heading into the Fed policy decusion in just over one week's time. Many had been hoping for a definitive view today, but she just added to the uncertainty.

  • Concern that the Fed could be ready to lead central banks into a period of "policy normalization" had seen equity prices falling and bond yields rising to start the new week. Predictions about the timing and magnitude of moves to less accomodative policies is something that the Fed will have to start to manage.

  • Fed Funds futures odds for a September 21 rate hike closed Monday at 12% after they closed last week at 20%. The chances for one rate hike by the end of the year are 59%, despite Chair Yellen's signal at Jackson Hole that it is time for a rate increase.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


    CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

GVI Forex Blog 09:05 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: German ZEW Survey Misses
Reply   
German ZEW Survey. September data miss expectations.

BREAKING NEWS: German ZEW Survey Misses

GVI Trading Room john bland 09:03 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

ZEW terms data "ambiguous". I agree.

PAR 09:03 GMT September 13, 2016
Fed Brainard
Reply   
Fed Brainard must be thinking US economy is heading towards recession .

She warns that after 8 years of QE and the most extraordinary expansive monetary policy ever seen in the world

the Fed must be careful not to remove monetary stimulus TOO QUICKLY

LONDON SFH 09:03 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

ZEW is a survey of economists so doesn't seem to be as representative of real opinion I feel

GVI Trading Room john bland 09:01 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Slight miss in ZEW data. EURUSD a touch weaker.

GVI Trading Room john bland 09:00 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

German ZEW Survey September 2016




NEWS ALERT

Current Situation: +55.1 vs. +56.0 exp. vs. +57.6 prev.

Economic Expectations: +0.50 vs. +2.50 exp. vs. +0.50 prev.


RELEASE: German ZEW Survey


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 08:35 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. CPI Softer Than Expected
Reply   
U.K. Headline y/y CPI softer than expected. GBP down.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. CPI Softer Than Expected

GVI Trading Room john bland 08:31 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

CPI softer than expected. GBP lower

GVI Trading Room john bland 08:30 GMT September 13, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.K. CPI August 2016

U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

CPI m/m: +0.30% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.
CPI y/y: +0.60% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +0.60% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 08:05 GMT September 13, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

HK [email protected] 07:53 GMT September 13, 2016
Kwun and ab please transfer your spam to gold forum as B4!!!


You have destroyed the gold forum, and now you are destroying the FX forum!

HK [email protected] 07:28 GMT September 13, 2016
Kwun and ab please transfer your spam to gold forum as B4!!!
Reply   

You have destroyed the gold forum, and now you are destroying the FX forum!

SaaR KaL 05:19 GMT September 13, 2016
usdjpy can hold 100?

I think for now short as long as it is higher then 100.9

will start thinking of buying when below 99.77
Err= 180 pips

SaaR KaL 04:59 GMT September 13, 2016
Correction Buying
Reply   
Might be a good idea to buy AUDUSD till > 0.7660
and Gold with dips till 1366

kl fs 04:53 GMT September 13, 2016
usdjpy can hold 100?

BOJ will defend that level secretly

bali sja 04:40 GMT September 13, 2016
usdjpy can hold 100?
Reply   
can usdjpy hold 100 as bottom until end of the year?

bali sja 03:27 GMT September 13, 2016
Not the Onion

Flip, change 'pneumonia' to 'HIV'

hk ab 01:02 GMT September 13, 2016
yen
Reply   
Too focus on gold and almost forgot the yen........

--------------------------------------------------------
hk ab 12:24 GMT September 9, 2016
dlr/jpy: Reply
sold dlr/jpy 103.
--------------------------------------------------------
exit half 101.50.....

keep half for accident and trail at 101.70

hk ab 00:56 GMT September 13, 2016
gold
Reply   
Kwun, felt great with your little xxxx?

A few bucks is your limit.......

 




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