Mtl JP 22:06 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
so yellen , who claims inability to see bubbles until after they burst , wants her public to believe she will give an order to raise rates before her notion of inflation - whatever that is - becomes visible up-close.
GVI Trading Room 21:05 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
""Monetary policy will continue to be accommodative. Our current projections and assumptions indicate that further policy easing will be required to ensure that future inflation settles near the middle of the target range. We will continue to watch closely the emerging economic data." - Source TradeTheNews.com
GVI Trading Room john bland 20:19 GMT September 21, 2016
Thursday Trade
Odds for one Fed rate hike by yearend currently 54% vs. 56% on Tuesday's close. That is down a touch.
dc CB 20:07 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
We got ourselves a race...no holds barred. (plus on Oct 1 the UN takes control of the Internet)
dc CB 00:59 GMT September 21, 2016
Oct 1 is a brand new Internet Day..
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
The initiative was launched in London in the United Kingdom on Wednesday by �Avaaz�, a registered U.S. charity and one the world�s largest and most powerful activist groups linked to globalist billionaire George Soros. Campaigners toured from the University College London down to Parliament blasting Bruce Springsteen�s �Born in the USA� while chanting �Don�t Vote Trump� from an open top bus.
A huge 88 per cent of Americans living abroad did not register to vote in the last presidential election, and Avaaz points out that �this massive untapped voting block� is much more likely to be �progressive� because �56 per cent of us [in the UK] have masters degrees� and overwhelmingly donated to Democratic candidates in the last three presidential primaries.
Soros-Linked �October Surprise That Will End Trump�: The Campaign To Register 8 Million �Global Citizens� To Vote
GVI Trading Room john bland 20:05 GMT September 21, 2016
Thursday Trade
Reply
22-Aug THU
12:30 US- Jobless Claims
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
21:00 NZ- RBNZ Decision
23-Aug FRI
All Day- flash PMIs
12:30 CA- CPI & Retail Sales
Trading Themes--
- The economic calendar for Thursday is light ahead of an active Friday, which sees a slew of flash PMI readings and key Canadian releases (Retail Sales and CPI).
- The Federal Reserve kept its key Fed Funds target range steady at 0.25-0.50%. The markets had been running very low odds on a rate hike this time around after a run of poor data recently. Futhermore, while the Fed tries to be an apolitical organization, in the past they often have held back on policy changes so close to national elections so they cannot be accused of impacting the election.
- So politics can play a role in their decision-making. As for future policy, all we can do is wait to see what the markets dictate to Chair Yellen what she will decide at that time.
- Wednesday saw volatile trade in the JPY after a confusing policy decision by the Bank of Japan. The Bank of Japan announced a fundamental change in how it implements policy. It will no longer will be targeting reserves. It now will target JGB yields. Most notably, it will target the 10-yr JGB at around zero. The BOJ wants to steepen the yield curve and therefore improve the profitability of the financial system and therefore help the economy.
- The Bank of Japan did not change rates, nor did it change the volume of its QE. As expected, extreme JPY volatility followed the BOJ decision. After spiking up sharply, USD is closing down sharply on the day.
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk On
Mtl JP 20:01 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
dc CB 19:50 imo by simple fact that janet addressed the donald and his charge she has legitimised him and helped his presidential odds
nw kw 19:59 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
see smart pay ded card, markets of fear
nw kw 19:56 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
hard hat time two crony's showing up
nw kw 19:53 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
cheap vix get long
dc CB 19:50 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
like I said Monday - day session, prob after 2PM.
Until then all is good so Vix down SToX Up. Because the Markit Up helps the Markit's choice - Hillary.
nw kw 19:49 GMT September 21, 2016
week
you had gold not eur to bond for gold last week
SaaR KaL 19:47 GMT September 21, 2016
week
That was AUDUSD
nw kw 19:47 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
so a vix in play wut side you on?
SaaR KaL 19:46 GMT September 21, 2016
week
when in range
0.7761 0.7661 sell range
Mtl JP 19:45 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Yellen -
- Fed has measures to counter conflict-of-interest concerns involving bankers on regional Fed boards
- "not in favor" of whites-of-eyes approach on inflation
dc CB 19:44 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
Time to start laying odds on the Monday Nite Debate.
Will Hillary show Up?
Will Trump lose his cool and blow himself up?
Will Hillary last 90mins - no commercial breaks -- under the TV lights?
The MarkITs will vote Monday.
nw kw 19:42 GMT September 21, 2016
week
so a revers all this in week
SaaR KaL 19:41 GMT September 21, 2016
week
will short NDX in this range
4,972.7370 4,889.4663
Mtl JP 19:39 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Gold.. is rocking too
SaaR KaL 19:38 GMT September 21, 2016
week
Cable
1.3491 1.3198
is a sell range
Plenty of time
dc CB 19:35 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Nasdaq new all time high
Janet Janet Janet Janet
nw kw 19:35 GMT September 21, 2016
week
inverted again.
SaaR KaL 19:30 GMT September 21, 2016
week
Reply
EURUSD week
1.1303 1.1165
Gold
1,341.2891 1,319.8895
Not much to go gold gold
eurusd much more
dc CB 19:23 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Yellen
Mission accomplished, nah nah nah
SToX Up, Bonds Up, Crude Up.
dc CB 19:20 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Yellen
"you won't find any signs of political motivation in the transcripts that are released in five years"
london red 19:18 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
euro. some stops abv yest high. but 50% fib at 11225 likely to keep honest
Mtl JP 19:17 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Yellen -
- 'I want to lead an institution that is not political'
- Fed has to balance risk of overheating with fact that inflation is running below 2%
Mtl JP 19:09 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Yellen says
- there are risks in waiting too long to hike rates
- Dissents at meeting were about timing of rate hike
- Threats to financial stability 'are moderate'
trying instill a bit of a hawk slant ? haha
Mtl JP 19:03 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Yellen says -
every Fed meeting is 'live,' leaving door open for November move
02:53 Yellen: Partisan politics does not enter Fed decisions
02:53 Yellen denies Trump charge she makes policy based on Obama White House's wishes
02:51 Yellen: It's good Fed doesn't suffer from 'group-think
02:50 Yellen says she welcomes 'range of views' on Fed policy committee
MarketWatch
Livingston nh 18:55 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Well now we know Yellen is a lyin' sack of ______ - she is retreating to the wise Congress that gave Fed independence and she assures that Fed does NOT take politics into account
BTW I have a Bridge in Brooklyn for sale
Berlin DG 18:51 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
agreed lahore, just urned long from 1.1165
Livingston nh 18:49 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
What if they gave a Presser and nobody came? -- no news deserves no reporters
Livingston nh 18:38 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
This Fed can't REALIZE anything - Bernanke and Yellen have screwed this economy up for the last 5 years -- in the process the Fed has screwed most other economies as well
This MOPE couldn't decide what shoes to wear tomorrow
PAR 18:37 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Yellen will be out of a job before US rates will be raised.
dc CB 18:36 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Once again The Fed chickened out - despite reaching every goal they have set. Janet Yellen needs to explain why Trump is wrong, given her comments that "the case for an increase in fed funds rates has strengthened but [we] decided, for the the time being, to wait for further evidence of continued progress." Simply put, the data dependent Fed just admitted that it's going to ignore the data and just choose to stay on hold (before the election) as Trump might say "choosing the political answer not the right answer."
ZeroHedge
PAR 18:34 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Fed seems to realise US economy heading towards the worst recession since the 1920 's.
Livingston nh 18:31 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
At least there were some dissents -- more than was expected less than was deserved
Livingston nh 18:27 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Another MAIL IT IN meeting -- no self esteem, no f#*king clue
Berlin DG 18:17 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
FED actual action keeps the market nearly flat, now Yellen blahblahing to make the 1.13 or 1.10... with such lazy market 1.13 seems natural move, so expect the unexpected.
Amman wfakhoury 18:17 GMT September 21, 2016
GBPUSD my trading today
Amman wfakhoury 12:56 GMT 09/21/2016
This is my trading for FOMC .
Sell limit @ 13043 tp 12975
Sell limit @ 13080 tp 12975
_______________
13043 hit and sold
scalp ..tp fast and re enter again till 12975
GVI Trading Room john bland 18:13 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
10-yr 1.663% vs 1.694% beforehand.
dc CB 18:11 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Well the Nov 2 meeting is OUT OF THE QUESTION
So all will be tooin' and froin' the Dec...And there's so much that will happen between now and then. Maybe, just maybe people will STFU about it until mid November.
GVI Trading Room john bland 18:10 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Against this backdrop, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1/4 to 1/2 percent. The Committee judges that the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened but decided, for the time being, to wait for further evidence of continued progress toward its objectives. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting further improvement in labor market conditions and a return to 2 percent inflation.
austin mw 18:09 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Stanley Fischer should step down immediately. In Jan 4 hikes and a month ago 2 hikes and he votes with the doves!
GVI Trading Room john bland 18:06 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
For release at 2:00 p.m. EDT
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in July indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and growth of economic activity has picked up from the modest pace seen in the first half of this year. Although the unemployment rate is little changed in recent months, job gains have been solid, on average. Household spending has been growing strongly but business fixed investment has remained soft. Inflation has continued to run below the Committee's 2 percent longer-run objective, partly reflecting earlier declines in energy prices and in prices of non-energy imports. Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; most survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance, in recent months.
Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects that, with gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace and labor market conditions will strengthen somewhat further. Inflation is expected to remain low in the near term, in part because of earlier declines in energy prices, but to rise to 2 percent over the medium term as the transitory effects of past declines in energy and import prices dissipate and the labor market strengthens further. Near-term risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced. The Committee continues to closely monitor inflation indicators and global economic and financial developments.
Against this backdrop, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1/4 to 1/2 percent. The Committee judges that the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened but decided, for the time being, to wait for further evidence of continued progress toward its objectives. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting further improvement in labor market conditions and a return to 2 percent inflation.
In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. In light of the current shortfall of inflation from 2 percent, the Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected progress toward its inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant only gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run. However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.
The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction, and it anticipates doing so until normalization of the level of the federal funds rate is well under way. This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Janet L. Yellen, Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Stanley Fischer; Jerome H. Powell; and Daniel K. Tarullo. Voting against the action were: Esther L. George, Loretta J. Mester, and Eric Rosengren, each of whom preferred at this meeting to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1/2 to 3/4 percent.
hk ab 18:05 GMT September 21, 2016
gbp
Reply
also bought cable 1.2963. Let's see.
hk ab 18:02 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
Reply
LOL exit 100.93
london red 17:58 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
all things being equal shud raise today but wont.
euro. if under 11120 may fall towards 11050 at which point buyers appear. they likely frontrun at 60. topside a squeeze thru 11225 to 45/50 then 11280/90. abv there 11330.
Hk Ab 17:53 GMT September 21, 2016
Yen
Reply
If dlryen can't rise despite a hike, it has no choice but to sink.
Exit all longs now. Mkt is brewing some other stuff. XAG is rather clearer
Lahore FM 17:52 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
Berlin DG 17:23 GMT 09/21/2016
1.13 looks like it from the charts !
Haifa ac 17:43 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
If they raise interest rates today they may be signaling the END OF HILLARY (end of an epoch). Could we see history in the marking?!
Livingston nh 17:29 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
Promises Promises -- action speaks louder than words - see if markets understand that
Berlin DG 17:23 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
90 minutes ahead:
1.10 or 1.13 prints?
both print?
Neither prints?
Place your bets... hahaha
Berlin DG 17:18 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:
the vote in the coming elections is about: who you trust to harm the US less then the other candidate, both candidates hold a record promising civil unrest. any reason to be optimistic?
GVI Trading Room john bland 17:15 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
Heading into the Fed U.S. 10-r 1.694% +2.8bp
for the record EURUSD 1.1158, USDJPY 100.70, GBPUSD 1.2973
GVI Trading Room john bland 17:15 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
Heading into the Fed U.S. 10-r 1.694% +2.8bp
for the record EURUSD 1.1158, USDJPY 100.70, GBPUSD 1.2973
Berlin DG 17:03 GMT September 21, 2016
EUR/USD SHORT
Reply
entry: 1.1160 upto 1.1230
Stop:1.1280
Limit: sub 1.10 and LOWER
dc CB 16:31 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
Washington (CNN)The number of individuals who were supposed to have been deported but were instead granted citizenship is far higher than was initially reported by media covering the Department of Homeland Security Inspector General's office report on the matter.
On Monday, the Inspector General reported that 858 individuals from "special interest countries" -- meaning countries that are considered to be "of concern to the national security" of the US -- were supposed to have been deported but were instead granted US citizenship.
But the truth is the report is even worse than reported, with more than 1,800 individuals naturalized who should have been deported from the country.
Mtl JP 16:20 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
nh usdcad line 4 u
plz mind ur risk
hk ab 15:40 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
Reply
load more 100.59
london red 15:38 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
euro. the pre fed stop run. 68-71 and 86 potential tops. stops abv 11202 unlikely to be rumbled pre fed. will settle off high into fed.
Livingston nh 15:38 GMT September 21, 2016
YEN
I am not suggesting a plague - it is the demographics of Japan - the old will die - there is very little immigration so the population will decline // the US and the EU have learned little from the Japanese experience
India has learned from China and Japan
LONDON SFH 15:33 GMT September 21, 2016
YEN
nh
So all we need is the plague in Japan then...job done...be serious!
The behaviour of the Japanese and Germans alike stem from their history of being more afraid of inflation than of unemployment....depression in the US vs hyperinflation in Germany.....the generation that survives your plague in Japan won't spend any quicker,
haifa ac 15:32 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
The short term chart (GE or Eurodollar) just made the LOW OF THE YEAR a few hours ago (99.04). This is traded as HEDGE by big banks and they are betting AGAINST the fed right now.
Prepare for some adjustment. Both (the market AND short term interest rate ) cannot go opposite direction and both be right!
Livingston nh 15:26 GMT September 21, 2016
YEN
SFH - in England there was a labor shortage after the plagues - laws to keep the serfs from bolting to take advantage - wealth went to unexpected places because the plague didn't care about social levels
Money always gets spent
LONDON SFH 15:22 GMT September 21, 2016
YEN
Redistributed wealth in a bank acct is the same whoever owns it....they need to encourage people to unlock their savings and higher rates and steeper curves, exactly what the Fed wanted to avoid with their QE will actually work in Japan
LONDON SFH 15:21 GMT September 21, 2016
YEN
When they all die of old age the money won't come out easier....like cheese and wine, it doesn't taste better form someone else's glass/plate
Livingston nh 15:17 GMT September 21, 2016
YEN
SFH - WHY? Unlike cheese and wine STUPID doesn't improve w/ age
LONDON SFH 15:15 GMT September 21, 2016
YEN
nh
It comes down to doing what works of course and I don't think they've messed it all up on purpose but simply Japanese save more as rates go lower totally opposite to the US for example....so why do they think the 1 size fits all is right?
Livingston nh 15:15 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
JP - RAISE interest rates if you believe that the long term will respond - Raise interest rates even if long rates don't care about CB policy -- money needs to move
Livingston nh 15:09 GMT September 21, 2016
YEN
Reply
Nearly 20 yrs ago I suggested to a columnist at NYT that the Japanese needed to stop w/ the bridges to nowhere and "subsidize" savings accounts, pension funds et al /// no response // this might be Ben's helicopter money but a bit late -- all these OLD people will die in Japan and wealth redistributed -- NO THEORY just WHAT WORKS
Mtl JP 15:08 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
yellen's four-year term is scheduled to end Feb 3 2018
that is a giant amount of time for her to cause even more giant damage
historical resignations from the FED are a-plenty
austin mw 15:05 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
nh - Larry Kudlow would be a great replacement as Fed Chair, KING $!!
dc CB 15:00 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
Clinton Negs:
State Department spokesman John Kirby acknowledged Wednesday that Islamic State terrorists are trying to mingle with refugee populations overseas in the hopes of making it to the U.S. posing as a refugee.
"I wouldn't debate the fact that there's the potential for ISIS terrorists to try to insert themselves, and we see that in some of the refugee camps in Jordan and in Turkey, where they try to insert themselves into the population,"
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/state-isis-terrorists-try-to-pose-as-refugees/article/2602405
The New York bombing suspect said that he had received instructions from "terrorist leaders... to attack non-believers where they live"
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/20/new-york-bombing-suspect-ahmad-khan-rahami-said-he-received-inst/
AND this on ZH
Money Laundering Scheme Exposed: 14 Pro-Clinton Super PACs & Non-Profits Implicated
Mtl JP 14:57 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Mr Yen (Sakakibara) says this policy will disappoint the markets. He sees USDJPY at 95 to 100 by yearend
or... alternately, the three-arrow numbnuts duo is failing to deliver a painful lesson to yen speculators who are having a field day mocking with the cretins' macroeconomic policy.
It appears that, for now at least, the good old days of bringing to heel the speculators and thus offering new trading opportunities are off
Livingston nh 14:55 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
JP - Yellen's term is 4 yrs BUT Trump could/should say no reappointment early in his tenure --the attention would then shift to WHO as new Fed Chief
GVI Trading Room john bland 14:37 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Crude draw much larger than expected.
Livingston nh 14:36 GMT September 21, 2016
FOMC
JP - the world changed 40 years ago but the economists lost the plot -- you can't tie money to seashells or large round stones -- size matters if you shut trade down -- in ten years you see who profits
Mtl JP 14:34 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
nh 12:54 how much of a DIP is Trump worth d'ya think?
how quickly and by whom will president donald ditch and replace janet ?
Livingston nh 14:30 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
This is the globalization lie -- as long as a country can maintain internal growth the cost of imports is irrelevant -- Tariffs for 150 years supported the US
Europe and US politics are based on this reality
Mtl JP 14:26 GMT September 21, 2016
FOMC
au contraire nh 14:19 - Fiat facilitates all of this foolishness
Mtl JP 14:24 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
how funny is Japanese comedy ?
numbnuts Abe giving me stomach cramps
-
The government and the BOJ will work as one in close coordination to accelerate 'Abenomics,'" means their labour costs are inefficient
I am loath to suggest which is the redundant one: the govvy or BoJ
Abe: Will work with BOJ to accelerate 'Abenomics'
Livingston nh 14:19 GMT September 21, 2016
FOMC
WE really need to get rid of the CBs -- let them all go back to theory papers et al // Treasury can handle liquidity needs - BoE was founded when there was a gold standard (widgets) - Fiat requires none of this foolishness
Livingston nh 14:15 GMT September 21, 2016
FOMC
Mr. Magoo always had a problem seeing bubbles too!!
GVI Forex Blog 14:15 GMT September 21, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 22 September 2016
Reply
September 21, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, September 22, 2016.
- Far East: NZ- RBNZ Decision
- Europe: No Major Data
- North America: US- Weekly Jobless, Lead Indicators, Existing Homes Sales, Natural Gas
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
21-Aug WED
03:00 JP- BOJ Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Fed Decision
21:00 NZ- RBNZ Decision
22-Aug THU
12:30 US- Jobless Claims
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
23-Aug FRI
All Day- flash PMIs
12:30 CA- CPI & Retail Sales
GVI Data Calendar for 22 September 2016
dc CB 14:13 GMT September 21, 2016
FOMC
Larry Summers: "There are much better ways than rate increases for dealing with any concerns about bubbles"
Mr. D'OH
hk ab 14:12 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
Reply
fwiw, I bought 100.75.
Don't know why though...... LOL
hk ab 14:11 GMT September 21, 2016
gold
Reply
What a "perfect" call....... NEVER MISS!
--------------------------------------------------
HK Kwun 07:00 GMT September 21, 2016
Sell before FOMC : Reply
Sell Gold
Entry: 1320 Target: Stop: 1330
Sell now
--------------------------------------------------
Mtl JP 14:09 GMT September 21, 2016
FOMC
watch / play Gold
the centrifuge separator of b-s from Truth
Livingston nh 13:56 GMT September 21, 2016
FOMC
Regardless of the ongoing Yellen Soap opera we may at least get the Death of the Dots -- market should laugh at whatever passes for Projections // why bother with these?
Livingston nh 13:46 GMT September 21, 2016
STOX
Reply
fwiw - fade the open
Livingston nh 13:36 GMT September 21, 2016
usd
This guy is lost -- the economy is FINE -- it would be better if they encouraged women (US 1973) to join BUT---
Europe suffered plagues that regularly reduced the population -- the initial shock was offset by a huge (YUUUGE?) increase in economy // when you measure matters as much as what you measure
How is the Target related to the GOAL?
LONDON SFH 13:29 GMT September 21, 2016
usd
Japan will remain an engine for free trade. That includes wagyu beef, says Abe..
Livingston nh 13:25 GMT September 21, 2016
usd
ab - thanx
LONDON SFH 13:23 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
My top priority: The economy. My second priority: The economy. The third: The economy. Make no mistake- He said
hk ab 13:22 GMT September 21, 2016
usd
Reply
nh, fyi
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9-nEbRcjk1U
Livingston nh 13:21 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
ab - before you go -- 9/27??
hk ab 13:19 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
Reply
limit buy 100.50 never meet?
LONDON SFH 13:18 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
http://live.reuters.com/Event/Newsmaker_with_Shinzo_Abe?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social
GVI Trading Room john bland 13:12 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
PM Abe to speak in 5mins scheduled. 13:15 GMT
Livingston nh 13:11 GMT September 21, 2016
FOMC
As an aside - watching Warren yesterday, Brainard cabal, Clinton -- be afraid, be very afraid -- Sec treasury Warren, Fed Chief Brainard, Prez Clinton
We may all be selling Apples (the Fruit)
LONDON SFH 13:07 GMT September 21, 2016
Yen
hearing that Abe will speak in 15mins. Bit of care as can't see it scheduled but local banks are confirming.
london red 12:59 GMT September 21, 2016
GBPUSD my trading today
cable eod straddle about 60 pips would work with ur initial res.
yen about 70 pips euro just under half a figure.
bottom line is they are not expecting much, so if it blows at all (ie past option related interest) it blows big.
Livingston nh 12:57 GMT September 21, 2016
Yen
ab - legend?/ why sept 27 ???
Amman wfakhoury 12:56 GMT September 21, 2016
GBPUSD my trading today
Reply
This is my trading for FOMC .
Sell limit @ 13043 tp 12975
Sell limit @ 13080 tp 12975
The only one in the world who confirms the next level
Livingston nh 12:54 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
JP - much different look on 4 hr vs daily/wkly chart on USD/CAD -- next to TRY this one is my Q4 mover
BoD ?? -- how much of a DIP is Trump worth d'ya think?
london red 12:52 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
yen. id expect solid sup at 10050/75 where we find some lt fibs. dont think we see hourly close below pre fed.
Hk Ab 12:52 GMT September 21, 2016
Yen
Reply
Gold and silver may not be moving because of Fed.
A hike could trigger the legend collapse of usd on 27th sept
Livingston nh 12:19 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Again a line chart (no clutter) shows USD/JPY 100 similar to Cable 1.29 lvl -- all these currencies are hostage to the Yellen Fed
LONDON SFH 12:10 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Not far to go....yen at pretty close to the years's lows already
GVI Trading Room john bland 12:06 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Not my forecast...
REPEAT
GVI Trading Room john bland 04:52 GMT 09/21/2016 -
Mr Yen (Sakakibara) says this policy will disappoint the markets. He sees USDJPY at 95 to 100 by yearend.
Livingston nh 12:06 GMT September 21, 2016
FOMC
Currencies seem unfazed by FOMC -- will action and reaction be confined to bonds and STOX?
Livingston nh 11:53 GMT September 21, 2016
sell cable
abel - yeah, the shorts dreaded inverse head and shoulders -- wkly chart is flat so there is risk
Jkt Abel 11:50 GMT September 21, 2016
sell cable
On the other hand if base is formed 1.3170 is minimum
Livingston nh 11:27 GMT September 21, 2016
sell cable
Use a daily line chart on Cable -- a close sub 1.29 would be fatal (EUR/USD has 21 dma and MACD turning down too)
Livingston nh 11:18 GMT September 21, 2016
FOMC
Looking at the hourly chart of USD/JPY with the action and reaction to BoJ it raises the question "Are central banks needed anymore?" -- others here have compared the targets and pronouncements as similar to the communist central planning authorities - the BoJ switch to 10 yr targets seems to confirm these Bozos are lost
We probably get similar nostrums from the local yokel, Yellen, this afternoon with action and reaction but signifying nothing
_____
Cable looks like a third test of low ( 3strikes and you're out)
jkt abel 10:06 GMT September 21, 2016
sell cable
juicy profittaking + stops...
kl shawn 09:46 GMT September 21, 2016
sell cable
fs, i am a bit reluctant with it
everyone is hoping 1.30 will contain it with stops building up above 1.3020, maybe let them run first and enter later
kl fs 09:43 GMT September 21, 2016
sell cable
Reply
tried 1.2990, adding every 10 pips up until 1.3020, stop 1.3067
manila tom 09:41 GMT September 21, 2016
sell audusd
Reply
going short audusd as well with 0.76 handle
manila tom 09:39 GMT September 21, 2016
buy usdjpy
Reply
bought 101.553, stop 101.19, target open
GVI Trading Room john bland 09:10 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
Equities Risk On
DAX +103
DJ +71
SP +9
10-yr
1.686% +1.6bp
singapore td 09:01 GMT September 21, 2016
FOMC
Fed will hike today and talk about Dec alive as well, all bullish usd
LONDON SFH 08:51 GMT September 21, 2016
FOMC
Markets are pricing 20% chance of a hike so mkt reaction will be pretty clear should they hike...
HK RF@ 08:43 GMT September 21, 2016
FOMC
Reply
As for the recent months, FED has become a target of criticism about manipulating markets, and a laughing stock too, with their failing predictions.
Possibly they will try to clear their names today by increasing rates.
How will markets react; It is the million$ Q.
But this may be an increase after-which, another will not be seen for long time.
Haifa ac 08:31 GMT September 21, 2016
Hillary
Reply
The rapid eye movement in some of her late videos; Her head shakings, her helping so many men to climb stares and into vans...
One wonders how frail she really is. But the big question is does she bring with her to the WHITE HOUSE BILL and GEORGE SOROS as major advisors? Soros has increased his pressure lately and he is one of the most dangerous people in the world today!
http://rotter.net/User_files/forum/57e221ce0c1c8bfb1.jpg
Haifa ac 08:15 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
"glut of supply". Indeed. If EXXON closes the month below 81.98--the chart calls for 64.
LONDON SFH 08:10 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Quite a few people hoping for oil pxs to go higher but all we have is a glut of supply..not conducive in my opinion....main message out of BOJ for me is that they are, like the ECB, pretty happy with what they're doing and in no rush to increase it. Curves have steepend up sharply in the last few mos in JGBs and they are happy with where it is now so don't expect any big curve moves from here
GVI Trading Room john bland 07:59 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Just for the record, the BOJ is focused on getting inflation above 2.0%. Here is where we stand as of the latest data. BOJ's Kuroda appeared to be hoping for higher oil prices earlier. I don't know it that counts?
SaaR KaL 07:52 GMT September 21, 2016
Week Accumulate
Reply
If you have time to stay in a position for longer then a week..I suggest you do this
Use the Recommended column
Do not worry about the other things
Levels
GVI Trading Room john bland 07:43 GMT September 21, 2016
buy usd
USDJPY back to pre-BOJ levels...
manila tom 07:40 GMT September 21, 2016
buy usd
below 101.50 then bets off but i think they won't go that far before fomc
nw kw 07:40 GMT September 21, 2016
buy usd
eurusa long 50 for bund drive?
GVI Trading Room john bland 07:39 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
21-Aug WED
03:00 JP- BOJ Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Fed Decision
22-Aug THU
12:30 US- Jobless Claims
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
21:00 NZ- RBNZ Decision
23-Aug FRI
All Day- flash PMIs
12:30 CA- CPI & Retail Sales
Trading Themes--
- Wednesday has already seen volatile trade in the JPY in the wake of a confusing policy decision by the Bank of Japan. The focus now turns to the Fed policy decision later today. The market consensus is for no change in rates, but for a hawkish Yellen in her press conference later. The economic data calendar is light today.
- The Bank of Japan announced a fundamental change in how it implements policy. It no longer will be targeting reserves. It now will target JGB yields. Most notably, it will target the 10-yr JGB at around zero. The BOJ wants to steepen the yield curve and therefore improve the profitability of the banking system and therefore help the economy. The Bank of Japan did not change rates, nor did it change the volume of its QE. As expected, extremely JPY volatility followed the BOJ decision.
- As for the Federal Reserve. Recently, they have turned the policy reins over to the marketplace, most notably the Fed Funds futures market. Fed Funds futures have placed very low odds on a rate hike thus week, so it might be best to follow their lead. As for future policy, all we can do is wait to see what the markets dictate to Chair Yellen what she will decide at that time. I am expecting EURUSD to weaken after the Fed, as their policy statement will likely take a hawkish tone.
- Weekly EIA Crude supplies are the only key piece of data slated for Wednesday
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk On
manila tom 07:37 GMT September 21, 2016
buy usd
usdjpy should stay above 101.70
manila tom 07:19 GMT September 21, 2016
buy usd
adding if 1.30 printed
manila tom 07:18 GMT September 21, 2016
buy usd
Reply
try again sell cable 1.2985, stop 1.3033, target open
GVI Trading Room john bland 07:18 GMT September 21, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
We will have to see if the improvement is shares in the Far East can be sustained into North America later today. Keep an eye on shares.
singapore td 07:09 GMT September 21, 2016
Sell before FOMC
let's go Kwun! gold will not win against usd today
HK Kwun 07:00 GMT September 21, 2016
Sell before FOMC
Reply
Sell Gold
Entry: 1320 Target: Stop: 1330
Sell now
GVI Trading Room john bland 06:54 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Kuroda:
-- too flat yield curve could add to worries about financial sector
-- short term rates and long term yields to be policy target
-- BOJ will not hesitate to add stimulus if needed
Source: TTN
singapore td 06:49 GMT September 21, 2016
sell gold
Reply
sold 1319, stop 1328
target 1270-80
GVI Trading Room john bland 06:47 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Not much new coming from Kuroda's press conference. BOJ remains committed to 2% price target.
singapore td 06:43 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
ab, will you short gold while below 1340?
hk ab 06:40 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
Reply
exit all longs, flat now.
singapore td 06:25 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Nikkei says more more more
singapore td 06:23 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
they all target the same thing: save stock markets, BTFD!
singapore td 06:21 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
great, Kuroda the hero, 103.40 guaranteed
GVI Trading Room john bland 06:20 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Kuroda press conference set for 06:30 GMT (~10 mins)
SaaR KaL 05:37 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
USDCAD Target 1.2600 from tops 1.3300
SaaR KaL 05:34 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
..I agree
I am shorting it this week till 103.8
tgt 95
singapore td 05:25 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Mr Yen obviously forget about usd dynamics, not just jpy dynamics
95-100 by year end means nothing if we go to 110-120 first
GVI Trading Room john bland 05:15 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
JGB 10-yr -0.039% +0.016
GVI Trading Room 05:09 GMT September 21, 2016
BOJ overhauls policy, sets yield curve target --Reuters.com
Reply
"The Bank of Japan on Wednesday decided to adopt a target for long-term interest rates in an overhaul of its massive stimulus programme.
The BOJ maintained the 0.1 percent negative interest rate it applies to some of the excess reserves that financial institutions park with the central bank.
But it abandoned its base money target and instead set a "yield curve control" under which it will buy long-term government bonds to keep 10-year bond yields around current levels of zero percent..."
BOJ overhauls policy, sets yield curve target -- Reuters.com
SaaR KaL 04:57 GMT September 21, 2016
Week's Levels
I doubt eurusd goes lower then 1.1124 today
GVI Trading Room john bland 04:52 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Mr Yen (Sakakibara) says this policy will disappoint the markets. He sees USDJPY at 95 to 100 by yearend.
GVI Trading Room john bland 04:45 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Goal of QQE policy will be to steepen the yield curve, namely to push longer term rates higher vs/ short-term. USDJPY is up sharply as markets digested the news.
Nikkei up 191pts on the day
jkt abel 04:44 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
td, enjoy while it lasts
remember overconfidence kills
change of tide for usd may happen just like that, until then..ciao
GVI Trading Room john bland 04:39 GMT September 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Bank of Japan
-- Interest rate target unchanged at -0.10%
-- monetary base expansion steady at JPY 80tn
-- Changes monetary policy framework to yield control
Source: TTN
singapore td 04:39 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
ab, be greedy when you are right lah, those long whiskers are not there for nothing! it will not go down anymore
hk ab 04:34 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
Reply
I am not greedy and may take the rest 102.50 if no legs.
SaaR KaL 04:33 GMT September 21, 2016
Week's Levels
Equity
I am longing this week for a week position
SP500
Nikki
Dax
AORD
singapore td 04:31 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
LOL, abel you can kiss my a$$
who needs to wait till FOMC? 103 is here and now
hk ab 04:30 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
SHould go for regular positions.... LOL
TP 102.32 for half. Rest trail 101.85, hope to see 103.
singapore td 04:30 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
well done ab! congrats
hk ab 04:28 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
LOL....
the limit hit and the censored hit the fan.... LOL!!!!
Fastest profit ever!
hk ab 04:20 GMT September 21, 2016
yen
Reply
small long dlr/jpy 101.50 limit.
ready to add more.
jkt abel 04:19 GMT September 21, 2016
FED
LOL, now what? wetting your pants over 103 usdjpy?
singapore td 04:16 GMT September 21, 2016
FED
abel, suck it...euro is tanking
jkt abel 04:14 GMT September 21, 2016
FED
as for usdjpy, it is about jpy so far, all jpy pairs are up
jkt abel 04:11 GMT September 21, 2016
FED
...usd bulls wetting pants early...
singapore td 04:09 GMT September 21, 2016
FED
ab, usdjpy will see 103, done deal
hk ab 04:00 GMT September 21, 2016
FED
td, yes the chart is too obvious.......
Wonder who is the smart ass long under 101.50.....
hk ab 04:00 GMT September 21, 2016
FED
td, yes the chart is too obvious.......
Wonder who is the smart ass long under 101.50.....
singapore td 03:54 GMT September 21, 2016
FED
they will hike, BNP Paribas got the inside info already
meanwhile action in usdjpy! usdjpy has done the downside now heading higher as hike is imminent
hk ab 03:52 GMT September 21, 2016
FED
Reply
Agree that Asian expects no hike......
If hike...... another Armageddon like GBP......
Play safe with stop. No doubt.
singapore td 03:51 GMT September 21, 2016
sell cable
as long as it stays below 1.30, it is all good for short, vice versa
bali sja 03:39 GMT September 21, 2016
sell cable
waiting for a bounce higher and then sell is worth it today, not now yet
jkt abel 03:32 GMT September 21, 2016
sell cable
profit taking alone will take it beyond your stop IMO
SaaR KaL 03:22 GMT September 21, 2016
Week's Levels
Gold
1,341 1,319
1,357 1,303
Buying more
SaaR KaL 03:20 GMT September 21, 2016
Week's Levels
USDCAD (Weekly)
1.3153 1.2955
1.3251 1.2857
I shorted and will add more
perth wtr 03:13 GMT September 21, 2016
sell cable
td, i try small one 1.2975 here, stop 1.3038, target 1.2850
singapore td 03:09 GMT September 21, 2016
sell cable
Reply
good, looks very safe to add short cable near 1.30 today and stop above 1.3030 prior to FOMC
SaaR KaL 03:03 GMT September 21, 2016
Week's Levels
Reply
EURUSD avg (Week)
1.1303 1.1165
1.1366 1.1102
Month
1.1334 1.1048
1.1502 1.0880
Cable
Week
1.3198 1.3001
1.3401 1.2798
Month
1.3465 1.2616
1.3884 1.2198
AUDUSD
0.7661 0.7524
0.7731 0.7455
Month
0.7764 0.7444
0.7921 0.7288
Hong Kong 02:24 GMT September 21, 2016
AceTrader Sept 21: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Reply
Update Time: 21 Sep 2016 01:09 GMT
EUR/USD - 1.1152
Despite yesterday's short-covering brief rise above 1.1198 res to 1.1213 in early European trading, subsequent decline to 1.1147 (Reuters) near New York close suggests euro is en route to key daily sup at 1.1123 after consolidation, loss of downward momentum is likely to keep price above sup at 1.1084 ahead of Fed's rate decision later in the day.
On the upside, only above 1.1198 signals temporary low is in place and risks re-test of 1.1213, break would risk stronger retracement of recent decline towards 1.1250/53.
Livingston nh 02:15 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
CB- Republican nightmare is the election gets kicked into the House -- vote for a democrat = vote for a new job
Livingston nh 01:58 GMT September 21, 2016
ASIA
Reply
It appears that nobody in Asia is expecting any surprises from FED -- always ask then what is the Upside???
Livingston nh 01:28 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
re: the debate -- one of my contemporaries suggested over the W/e that Trump's sister would make mince meat of Hillary in a debate - she was a judge over here
Livingston nh 01:19 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
CB - thanx for oil
re: elections -- the Electoral College prevents CRAZY but the only guy in my memory that pulled Electoral College votes from the 2 parties was G. Wallace -- Gore would have beaten the Idiot Child if he could have carried his HOME state (he lost, tells you what the folks who knew him best thought)
Dems start w/ NY and California so it's uphill from there -- no chance of a Trump landslide but OHIO and/or Pennsylvania would lock it up for him
The Party elites can get scared if he wins but nothing will really change unless He flips the Court
dc CB 00:59 GMT September 21, 2016
Oct 1 is a brand new Internet Day.
Reply
When the calendar hits Sept. 30, a mere 6 weeks before our election, the United States cannot be assured that if any web site is hacked, the responsible party will be held accountable. We cannot be sure if a web site is a valid. We cannot be sure if one country is being favored over another. These are all the things ICANN is responsible for and has worked perfectly since the Internet was created.
ICANN does more than just assign and/or approve your website�s domain. ICANN has its own Security and Stability Advisory Committee, which �engages in ongoing threat assessment and risk analysis of the Internet naming and address allocation services to assess where the principal threats to stability and security lie, and advises the ICANN community accordingly.� They are equivalent to your security guard at the bank.
If ICANN changes hands, so do the security measures taken to protect the rightful owner of your web site. If a site was hijacked today � not an uncommon crime in the cyber world - to reassert yourself as the rightful owner, you would go through law enforcement channels, your domain provider, and yes, ICANN.
When a significant event happens to a web site, businesses, cyber securities companies, and ICANN all know their roles and act together in tandem to mitigate the threat. They are in lockstep with an emergency call plan that has been mapped out through trial and error over the years.
ICANN�s actions have made the internet safer for you. Will that still hold true after Sept. 30?
Changing who controls ICANN
dc CB 00:45 GMT September 21, 2016
US Elections
Brian Flood, a media reporter for TheWrap.com, went even higher.
�I think the first debate between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton will surpass 100 million viewers. I�ll make my official prediction 112 million,� he said. �I feel that it will be one of the most-watched TV events in the history of the medium.�
Last year�s Super Bowl in which the Denver Broncos beat the Carolina Panthers attracted 111.9 viewers, and pop star Katy Perry�s performance at the 2015 Super Bowl had 118.5 million viewers.
Trump-Clinton debate expected to shatter records
Singapore 00:13 GMT September 21, 2016
Wednesday Trading
your dates for data should be September not August ?
nw kw 00:12 GMT September 21, 2016
duke of oil
Crop numbers or tariffs started on ussr wheat exports for pretend grade levels, baloney for them
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