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Forex Forum Archive for 01/08/2017

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GVI Trading john bland 22:00 GMT January 8, 2017
Breaking News
Fed's Powell
-- Volcker rule not efficient
-- Congress should take another look at it
-- Causes expense, burden and marginal benefit

--wire service

GVI Trading john bland 18:23 GMT January 8, 2017
Global-View Analysis: PMIs Turning Higher

yep that's what I wrote. but not immediately.

Mtl JP 18:15 GMT January 8, 2017
Global-View Analysis: PMIs Turning Higher

So what is BOTTOM LINE of the "economic conditions are improving almost everywhere" : higher interest rates ?
all around ?

GVI Forex Blog 18:01 GMT January 8, 2017
Global-View Analysis: PMIs Turning Higher

Its pretty clear that economic conditions are improving almost everywhere. The smoothed data make underlying trends clearer. We are approaching the end of the period of excessive central bank ease. Note the actual LEVELS of the PMIs (all above 50) as well as the upward slopes of the lines. Both are important.

Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHARTs:

PMI readings are not "hard" economic statistics. I like the smoothed manufacturing series, even in Service economies, because it is more sensitive to changes in the business cycle.

EXCLUSIVE CHART: Commodity currencies (plus China).

Smoothed Commodity Currency +  China PMIs />

Global-View Analysis: PMIs Turning Higher

GVI Forex Blog 15:22 GMT January 8, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Monday 9 January 2017

Pre-Market Forex Trading Ideas for 9 Jan 2017

11-Jan Wed
09:30 GB- Industrial & Manufacturing Output
09:30 GB- Trade
15:30 US- Crude
13-Jan Fri
13:30 US- Retail Sales
13:30 US- PPI
15:00 US- preliminary University of Michigan

Forex Trading Outlook

  • No data which are likely to impact the major currency pairs are set for release on Monday. Tokyo is closed for a holiday. The U.S. then will see a number of typically low-impact trading items on Tuesday, although the JOLTS Survey is said to be closely followed by the Fed.

  • One key item Monday could be any additional CNY intervention activity by the Chinese central bank, the PBOC, to combat large capital outflows. Some are blame the PBOC activity for the recent USD instability.

  • The December U.S. Employment report on Friday was mixed and should have no impact on the expected future path of Fed policy. Nevertheless, it did generate the typical price volatility with the USD ending broadly higher on the day. One 25bp Fed rate hike is still priced-in by mid-year.

  • The current focus of trading is more on the incoming Trump administration than the Fed. Donald Trump will be inaugurated one week for Friday, on January 20. Although a lame duck, President Obama remains active in trying to shape his "legacy" with a slew of executive orders.

John M. Bland, MBA

Forex Trading Ideas For Monday 9 January 2017

GVI Forex Blog 13:35 GMT January 8, 2017
GVI Data Calendar for 8 January 2017

Forex Data Calendar For Traders

January 8, 2017 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, January 9, 2017. No major data releases are slated for Monday. The major item of the week is U.S. retali sales on Friday.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: DE- Trade, Industrial Output
  • North America: No Major Data
  • WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar:
    9-Jan Mon
    No Major Data
    10-Jan Tue
    0:30 AU- Retail Sales
    11-Jan Wed
    09:30 GB- Industrial & Manufacturing Output
    09:30 GB- Trade
    15:30 US- Crude
    12-Jan Thu
    13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
    13-Jan Fri
    02:00 CN- Trade
    13:30 US- Retail Sales
    13:30 US- PPI
    15:00 US- University of Michigan

    GVI Data Calendar for 8 January 2017

Mtl JP 10:20 GMT January 8, 2017
Audit the Fed
bill gets new push under Trump - The Hill 01/04/17

But such a proposal, which has been vocally opposed by Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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