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Forex Forum Archive for 01/09/2017

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GVI Forex Blog 20:42 GMT January 9, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Tuesday 10 January 2017
Reply   


Pre-Market Forex Trading Ideas for 10 Jan 2017

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
11-Jan Wed
09:30 GB- Industrial & Manufacturing Output
09:30 GB- Trade
15:30 US- Crude
13-Jan Fri
13:30 US- Retail Sales
13:30 US- PPI
15:00 US- preliminary University of Michigan

Forex Trading Outlook

  • Activity was slow to start the new week with no major data released. Traders did react negatively in the GBP to a weekend interview of PM May who indicated that the U.K. would have full control of immigration after Brexit. Markets took her comments to mean she is pursuing a "hard" Brexit and that saw the GBPUSD weaken.

  • On Tuesday, the U.S. will see a number of typically low-impact trading items, although the JOLTS Survey is said to be closely followed by the Fed.

  • The December U.S. Employment report on Friday was mixed and will have no impact on the expected future path of Fed policy. One 25bp Fed rate hike is still fully priced-in by mid-year.

  • The current focus of trading is more on the incoming Trump administration than the Fed. Donald Trump will be inaugurated one week for Friday, on January 20.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off Profile

Forex Trading Ideas For Tuesday 10 January 2017

GVI Forex Blog 20:37 GMT January 9, 2017
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 9 January 2017
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 9 January 2017

GVI Forex Blog 20:10 GMT January 9, 2017
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off
Reply   

Late in N.Y., U.S. equity markets are ending mostly lower as traders went into a risk aversion posture. The yield on the 10-yr Note has eased further to 2.374%, -4.4bp. In forex trade, the EUR is mixed on its crosses while the USD is mixed.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off

Mtl JP 19:28 GMT January 9, 2017
Breaking News

CB 17:00 sell up to could also mean one barrel...

Livingston nh 18:49 GMT January 9, 2017
AUD/USD
Reply   
AUD/USD back above 21dma (declining) - 4 hr chart has broken higher - s/t buy for 0.7425 (proj daily 89 ema level) and then reverse// daily 55ema (declining) was top on previous rally so care at that level

Livingston nh 18:31 GMT January 9, 2017
Breaking News

China FX reserves fell again in Dec (-$320 bio in 2016) and Oil back to challenge below 21dma near $52 after last week's pop above $54 (Iran speed boat challenge met by US warning shots and SPR news) // less than 2 wks if somebody wants to set up outgoing PreZ and challenge new PreZ -- in 1981 Iran played Chicken w/ Carter and Pres-elect Reagan

GVI Trading john bland 17:53 GMT January 9, 2017
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off
Reply   

Late in Europe, equity prices are closing mixed. U.S. markets are mostly lower. Across the board, fixed income prices are higher (lower yields). In forex trading, the EUR is mixed on the crosses. The USD is mixed.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 17:29 GMT January 9, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Monday 9 January 2017

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1.

Perfect Amazing Trader setup to EURUSD downside

Two 15 pip trades, adds up

dc CB 17:00 GMT January 9, 2017
Breaking News

JP
U.S. Energy Department to sell up to 8 million barrels from Strategic Petroleum Reserve - MarketWatch

Prob bought when crude was near $100... hey it's only tax dollars.

dc CB 16:54 GMT January 9, 2017
Breaking News

3 US Auctions this week: Tue - thurs. 3, 10, 30Y.

SToX: earnings start this week. Fri Big Bank day: Bank of America (BAC), JP Morgan (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), PNC (PNC), Black Rock (BLK)

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 16:54 GMT January 9, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Monday 9 January 2017

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1.

HOD just now at 1.0582

Posted earlier: Key EURUSD resistance from Friday is not until 1.0582-86..,

london red 16:29 GMT January 9, 2017
Breaking News

no prob Jay. and remember sterling is likely to see parity vs usd and euro. so continue selling the rallies. take care around end march art 50 as its likely to be another better to travel than arrive moment. it will be short lived but the rally will catch out a few.

Mtl JP 16:28 GMT January 9, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Monday 9 January 2017

usdcad support at 1.3175-ish

JEddah Abb 16:22 GMT January 9, 2017
..

Usdtry reache 3.744..

Mtl JP 16:04 GMT January 9, 2017
Breaking News

U.S. Energy Department to sell up to 8 million barrels from Strategic Petroleum Reserve - MarketWatch

GVI Forex Blog 16:02 GMT January 9, 2017
GVI Data Calendar for 10 January 2017
Reply   

Forex Data Calendar For Traders

January 9, 2017 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS Tuesday, January 10, 2017.

  • Far East: AU- Retail Sales
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Wholesale Sales, Discount Rate Minutes, API Crude

 

 

WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar:
11-Jan Wed
09:30 GB- Industrial & Manufacturing Output
09:30 GB- Trade
15:30 US- Crude
13-Jan Fri
13:30 US- Retail Sales
13:30 US- PPI
15:00 US- preliminary University of Michigan

GVI Data Calendar for 10 January 2017

GVI Trading john bland 15:34 GMT January 9, 2017
Breaking News

No details on the SPR story. Not much traction in WTI.

GVI Trading john bland 15:32 GMT January 9, 2017
Breaking News

Reports DOE planning crude sale from strategic reserve (SPR).

-- TTN.com

Livingston nh 14:07 GMT January 9, 2017
Breaking News

Seems that markets are shaping up a bit like last two years DEC/JAN -- uncertainty is creeping in, does CHAOS follow?

STOX are usually sensitive to change but geopolitical change favors FX first -- bonds and commodities to follow

Too Much Complacency

GVI Trading john bland 13:55 GMT January 9, 2017
Breaking News

Fed's Rosengren
-- gradual but somewhat more regular rate hikes warranted
-- we are basically at full-employment now

>> wire service

GVI Trading john bland 13:34 GMT January 9, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Monday 9 January 2017

DAX -58
DJ -37
SP -4

10-yr 2.374% -4.4

mild risk-off

London AzaForex 12:22 GMT January 9, 2017
Trading strategy and signals for the currency pair GBPUSD 01
Reply   


Sell OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

Trading strategy and signals for the currency pair GBPUSD 01-09-2017 by AzaForex forex broker

GVI Trading john bland 11:44 GMT January 9, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Monday 9 January 2017

DAX -70
DJ -31
SP -4

10-yr 2.388% -3.0bp

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 11:20 GMT January 9, 2017
Breaking News

Thanks to red fo alerting us on Friday to May's w/e interview

LONDON SFH 10:43 GMT January 9, 2017
Breaking News

JP

Reminds me of that Oasis Album title.... Definitely maybe....defintiive....but she said nothign is ruled in our out...Doesn't sound very definite to me

GVI Forex Blog 10:13 GMT January 9, 2017
Amazing Trader Early EURUSD Ideas for 9 January 2017
Reply   

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Amazing Trader EURUSD charts updated on your systems

Amazing Trader Early EURUSD Ideas for 9 January 2017

Mtl JP 10:04 GMT January 9, 2017
Breaking News

Theresa May Says Britain Will Make Definitive Break With EU - wsj

Brexit strategy isn’t ‘muddled,’ British prime minister says

JEddah Abb 09:56 GMT January 9, 2017
..
Reply   
JEddah Abb 12:39 GMT December 28, 2016
..: Reply
Usd try 3.548 now..we should see this pair at 3.75 coming weeks..

Now price 3.723 target almost reached..

GVI Forex Blog 09:46 GMT January 9, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Monday 9 January 2017
Reply   


Forex Trading Ideas for 9 Jan 2017

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
11-Jan Wed
09:30 GB- Industrial & Manufacturing Output
09:30 GB- Trade
15:30 US- Crude
13-Jan Fri
13:30 US- Retail Sales
13:30 US- PPI
15:00 US- preliminary University of Michigan

Forex Trading Outlook

  • Downward pressue on the Chinese yuan eased Monday and this reduced pressure on the the Chinese central bank, PBOC, to coduct aggressive intervention to combat capital outflows.

  • No data which are likely to impact the major currency pairs are set for release on tonday. Tokyo was closed for a holiday. The U.S. will see a number of typically low-impact trading items on Tuesday, although the JOLTS Survey is said to be closely followed by the Fed.

  • The December U.S. Employment report on Friday was mixed and should have no impact on the expected future path of Fed policy. Nevertheless, it did generate the typical price volatility with the USD ending broadly higher on the day. One 25bp Fed rate hike is still priced-in by mid-year.

  • The current focus of trading is more on the incoming Trump administration than the Fed. Donald Trump will be inaugurated one week for Friday, on January 20. Although a lame duck, President Obama remains active in trying to shape his "legacy" with a slew of executive orders.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile

Forex Trading Ideas For Monday 9 January 2017

GVI Trading 09:34 GMT January 9, 2017
China forex, rates stabilize after volatile week; strains linger -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"The Chinese yuan stabilized in offshore markets on Monday and its borrowing costs retreated from record highs, though investors anticipated Beijing would take further steps to stop its currency from depreciating too quickly. In recent weeks, Beijing has resorted to interventionist tactics in both onshore and overseas currency markets by selling dollars aggressively, and by strengthening measures to slow capital outflows from China.

By afternoon trade, the offshore yuan (CNH) was trading at 6.888 per dollar, slightly weaker than Friday's close of 6.8490, in a sign that Beijing was letting market forces dictate the direction of the yuan in Hong Kong so long as the pace of depreciation remains within Beijing's comfort zone...

China forex, rates stabilize after volatile week; strains linger -- Reuters.com

GVI Forex Blog 09:29 GMT January 9, 2017
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile
Reply   

Equities in the Far East closed higher. Japan was closed. European bourses are mostly lower early in their session. Bond yields are mostly lowe. The EUR is mixed to higher on its major crosses while the USD is mixed.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile

London 07:52 GMT January 9, 2017
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Reply   
Buy AUDJPY
Entry: 85.80 Target: +65 Stop: -65

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Posted with permission of global-view.com

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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