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Forex Forum Archive for 01/17/2017

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GVI Trading john bland 22:36 GMT January 17, 2017
Trump, Brexit uncertainty hit stocks and dollar, gold jumps -Reuters.com
Reply   
"U.S. stocks and the dollar fell while gold and government bonds rose on Tuesday as investors fled for safety after President-elect Donald Trump said the U.S. currency was too strong and they also questioned if his campaign promises would be fulfilled.

Meanwhile sterling jumped as Prime Minister Theresa May said Britain would quit the European Union single market when the country leaves the EU.

Wall Street was weighed down by the financial sector, and U.S. Treasury prices gained on concerns about protectionist trade policies from Trump who has talked about slamming hefty taxes on importers of goods such as cars..."

Trump, Brexit uncertainty hit stocks and dollar, gold jumps -Reuters.com

GVI Trading john bland 20:56 GMT January 17, 2017
Wednesday Trading Ideas
Reply   

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.

GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--

EUR symbol
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one 25bp rate hike as of the June 17, 2017 meeting are now 92%.

EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: UP
Spot EURUSD: 1.0704
20-day avg: 1.0515
Pivot Point: 1.0674

The slope on the 20-day average turned higher on Friday.

GVI Forex Blog 20:43 GMT January 17, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Wednesday 18 January 2017
Reply   


Pre-Market Forex Trading Ideas for 18 Jan 2017

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
18-Jan Wed
09:30 GB- Employment
13:30 US- CPI
14:15 US- Industrial Production
15:00 CA Bank of Canada rates
19-Jan Thu
00:30 AU- Employment
12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
13:30 US- Philly Fed
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
16:00 US- EIA Crude
20-Jan Fri
01:00 US Yellen Speech
13:30 CA- CPI/ Retail Sales
16:30 US- Trump Inauguration

Forex Trading Outlook

  • The major highlight Tuesday was the speech by U.K. PM May on her plans for Brexit. This came following a weekend report indicating that she would be taking a hard line with the EU in negotiations. I felt that her words had a conciliatory tone. I would not have expected anything else. On the other hand, she still made a clean break speech. She said she wanted no "half-in or half-out" agreements. Her goal remains complete political independence from the EU. The GBP improved on her comments.

  • U.S. markets returned following the Martin Luther King Holiday on Monday. North American trade was impacted by a WSJ interview of President-elect Trump which saw him speaking out against a strong USD. Some thought he was referring to the G7 currencies, but it was indicated that his focus had been on the China. U.S. policy for decades has always been in favor of a strong USD. The Trump comments rattled the markets.

  • The rest of the week sees a calendar chock full of potentially market-moving events. See calendar above. On Friday, January 20 starting at 11:00 ET, Donald Trump will be inaugurated as U.S. President. His inaugural address will be carefully combed for any items related to economic policy.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off

Forex Trading Ideas For Wednesday 18 January 2017

GVI Forex Blog 20:31 GMT January 17, 2017
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 17 January 2017
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 17 January 2017

GVI Forex Blog 20:21 GMT January 17, 2017
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off
Reply   

Late in N.Y., U.S. equity markets are ending lower in what has been a risk off market. Accordingly, the yields on bonds are lower in most key fixed income markets. volatile session driven by U.S. Retail Sales data. The yield on the 10-yr Note returned to the 2.40% area. In forex trading, the EUR is mixed on its crosses while the USD is down.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off

dc CB 17:26 GMT January 17, 2017
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off

Donald Trump may have a point about paid protesters: Job ads running in more than 20 cities offer $2,500 per month for agitators to demonstrate at this week’s presidential inauguration events.

Demand Protest, a San Francisco company that bills itself as the “largest private grassroots support organization in the United States,” posted identical ads Jan. 12 in multiple cities on Backpage.com seeking “operatives.”

“Get paid fighting against Trump!” says the ad.

“We pay people already politically motivated to fight for the things they believe. You were going to take action anyways, why not do so with us!” the ad continues. “We are currently seeking operatives to help send a strong message at upcoming inauguration protests.

Ads in two dozen cities offer protesters up to $2,500 to agitate at Trump inaugural

GVI Trading john bland 16:57 GMT January 17, 2017
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off

Big decline in FTSE post-May speech. Bond yield generally lower. EURGBP is off sharply and impacting EURUSD trade.

GVI Trading john bland 16:52 GMT January 17, 2017
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off
Reply   

Table of Key Current Market Rates


GVI Forex Blog 15:47 GMT January 17, 2017
GVI Data Calendar for 18 January 2017
Reply   
Forex Data Calendar For Traders

January 17, 2017 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS Wednesday, January 18, 2017.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- Employment, EZ- final HICP
  • North America: US- Mortgages, CPI, Industrial Production, NAHB, Beighe Book, API, TIC Data, CA- BOC Rates

WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar:
18-Jan Wed
09:30 GB- Employment
13:30 US- CPI
14:15 US- Industrial Production
15:00 CA Bank of Canada rates
19-Jan Thu
00:30 AU- Employment
12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
13:30 US- Philly Fed
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
16:00 US- EIA Crude
20-Jan Fri
01:00 US Yellen Speech
13:30 CA- CPI/ Retail Sales
16:30 US- Trump Inauguration

Israel Dil 15:39 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News


Entry: Target: Stop: FREE

1.0710 - half
1.0702 - full

closed @ 1.0694

target tree has 1000 pips, the pocket grown by 1.5% (15/1000 pips)... just keep doing what makes profits for you ;-)

Israel Dil 14:41 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

Singapore SGFxTrader 14:34 GMT January 17, 2017

two hours from now... let's see ;-)

Israel Dil 14:36 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

click 'new chart' and paint something that show stronger USD ;-)

Israel Dil 14:35 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

add also the whole way down....

roadmap to the downside: 1 05550/1.0250/0.9950/0.9650..

Singapore SGFxTrader 14:34 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

Mate, becareful, i am seeing 1.085 on my chart. These will take days - weeks.

Israel Dil 14:32 GMT 01/17/2017
Sell EURUSD

Israel Dil 14:32 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.0710 / add every 8 pips Target: Stop: 1.08xx

large to very large chunks

Israel Dil 14:30 GMT January 17, 2017
USD/CNH

btw, iPhone global index makes Singapore the cheapest place to purchase one ;-)

Israel Dil 14:27 GMT January 17, 2017
USD/CNH

you are looking at the right place... take a look at the fwd rates of the pair too ;-)

Singapore SGFxTrader 14:24 GMT January 17, 2017
USD/CNH
Reply   
Look at the daily chart of USD/CNH and you will figure out the direction of USD since 4 Jan 2017. Look at the US 10-year bond yield chart.

Israel Dil 14:10 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

getting below yesterday's low is today's target

Israel Dil 14:01 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: under 0.97 Stop: 1.08xx

Q1/2017 EUR/USD dive about to start...

GVI Trading john bland 13:49 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

Fed's Dudley
-- risk of much tighter policy quite low
-- inflation not a problem
-- strong USD will constrain inflation

Source: wire service

Livingston nh 13:36 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

John - PM MAY just put the weight on the EU -- best practice, she didn't bid against herself

GVI Trading john bland 13:32 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

Empire PMI January 2017

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+6.50 vs. +8.00 vs. +9.00 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 12:38 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

11:51 // lots of good intentions

GVI Trading john bland 12:33 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

Speech over

this was a clean break speech

london red 12:04 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

cable approaching res at 12285 is taken 12355. sup 12235

GVI Trading john bland 11:51 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

PM May
-- Wants UK to be an outward looking country
-- In UK interests for EU to succeed
-- UK does not want to be half in and half out of the EU
-- Final deal will be voted on by Parliament
-- Will protect the rights of foreign workers in Britain
-- Want no role of European Court of Justice in Britain
-- No part in the EU budget, except for special programmes
-- Want new EU agreements in place by end of 2-yr article 50 period
-- No deal with the EU is better than a bad deal

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 11:30 GMT January 17, 2017
Trump and the Dollar

Here is a different slant on what he said:

WSJ: DAVOS, Switzerland—Anthony Scaramucci, the founder of SkyBridge Capital and an adviser to President-elect Donald Trump said the U.S. economy could withstand the impact of a strong dollar, while warning that deflation could cause a downturn that would be worse than past economic crises....

Mr. Scaramucci said that while “we have to be careful about a rising” dollar, “if you get better than expected growth in the U.S., you can have a strong dollar and robust growth in the U.S. that will lift the global economy....:

Donald Trump Adviser Anthony Scaramucci Says U.S. Economy Can Withstand Rising Dollar -- WSJ.com

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 11:22 GMT January 17, 2017
Trump and the Dollar
Reply   
A catalyst for the weaker dollar today

Reuters:A senior adviser to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump warned on Tuesday about the risk from a stronger dollar.

"We need to be careful about the rising currency," Anthony Scaramucci of Skybridge Capital told a panel discussion at the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos.

Trump adviser warns of risks from strong dollar

london red 11:21 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

much has been leaked, it will almost certainly be better to travel than arrive-dips will be bought. this on back on overall usd weakness lrgly in part to trump comments overnight. yen has sup by 112 where expected to bounce. there will be stops below there and likely a fast mkt if beaten, but that would then suggest we reach a low by 110.
euro fib at 10707 coming up. nxt res by 10787/108/10820/10850. sup by 10635/85.
cable res 12207/22/35/85. sup 12120/12085/12035

GVI Trading 11:16 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

06:15 (UK) Reminder: PM May to give Brexit speech; expected to begin at 06:45 ET (11:45 GMT)
- PM May to announce a 12-point plan for Brexit
- To state that leaving EU's single market and customs union was among the 12 negotiating priorities
- Britain would not seek deal that leaves it "half-in, half-out" of EU

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trading john bland 10:59 GMT January 17, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

DAX -101
DJ -90
SP -6 (vs. Mon close)

10-yr 2.333% -6.5 bp

Jerusalem Kb 10:11 GMT January 17, 2017
Pipshunter

Pipshunter: Reply
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 113.85 Target: 113.10-111.65 Stop: 114.50
----------
Out with 70 pips +

GVI Forex Blog 10:09 GMT January 17, 2017
BREAKING NEWS: German ZEW Survey Mixed IN January 2017
Reply   

German ZEW Survey. January data were mixed. Both figures improved but were mixed against street forecasts. This can be a volatile data series

Monthly ZEW Survey Chart

BREAKING NEWS: German ZEW Survey Mixed IN January 2017

GVI Trading john bland 10:04 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

ZEW Improves, but mixed vs. expectations.

GVI Trading john bland 10:02 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

German ZEW Survey January 2017




NEWS ALERT

Current Situation: +77.3 vs. +65.0 exp. vs. +63.5 prev.

Economic Expectations: +16.6 vs. +18.08 exp. vs. +13.8 prev.

RELEASE: German ZEW Survey


TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 09:52 GMT January 17, 2017
usd

for euro watch 10707 a fib shud hold at least once but if thru 10720 then towards 108. yen 112 shud halt decline for good bounce but barrier at 11250 may offer bounce too.

london red 09:51 GMT January 17, 2017
UK GBP

cpi hotter but ppi not quite as strong.
daily tenkan just over 122 and then cloud bottom around 12220. think can be tested but need to stay below otherwise sharp short covering. may will need to be less decisive with less focus on a hard brexit (no single mkt) and cable can rally. but as always rallies are to be sold as their is only one outcome for eu negotiations and the uk ultimately has no say in matter.any rallies to 124/125 shud provide a selling op, if abv 125 then 128 poss but youd b looking for a double top set up there and the years high. ultimately we will go lower but as i say mkt will be getting a bit of pound positive news over nxt couple of wks so can be used as an excuse to run it up.

GVI Forex Blog 09:47 GMT January 17, 2017
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Inflation Higher For December 2016
Reply   

U.K. CPI and RPIX chart

U.K. Headline y/y CPI a higher than expected. +1.60% rise. RPIX up 2.70% y/y. The impact of the lower currency being felt

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Inflation Higher For December 2016

bali sja 09:46 GMT January 17, 2017
usd
Reply   
Trump is happy to restart the currency war to weaken usd?

bali sja 09:44 GMT January 17, 2017
UK GBP

red, maybe they wanna keep hourly close under 1.2170

GVI Trading john bland 09:33 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

UK inflation data hotter than expected.

london red 09:31 GMT January 17, 2017
UK GBP

tk profits on cable. fade 12206/14 stop over 12235

GVI Trading john bland 09:31 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

U.K. CPI December 2016

U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

CPI m/m: +0.50% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.
CPI y/y: +1.60% vs. +1.40% exp. vs. +1.20% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 09:26 GMT January 17, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Tuesday 17 January 2017
Reply   


Forex Trading Ideas for 17 Jan 2017

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
17-Jan Tue
09:30 GB- CPI
10:00 DE- ZEW Survey
11:45 GB- PM May Speech
18-Jan Wed
09:30 GB- Employment
13:30 US- CPI
14:15 US- Industrial Production
15:00 CA Bank of Canada rates
19-Jan Thu
00:30 AU- Employment
12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
13:30 US- Philly Fed
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
16:00 US- EIA Crude
20-Jan Fri
01:00 US Yellen Speech
13:30 CA- CPI/ Retail Sales
16:30 US- Trump Inauguration

Forex Trading Outlook

  • The key highlight today is a speech by U.K. PM May at 11:45 GMT, where she will outline the tweive key objectives of Brexit. Markets are awiting the address cautiously. The Geman ZEW Survey is slated as well.

  • U.S. markets are returning after the Martin Luther King Holiday on Monday. The rest of the week sees a calendar chock full of potentially market-moving events. See calendar above.

  • On Friday, January 20 at about midday ET. Donald Trump will be inaugurated as U.S. President. His inaugural will be carefully combed for any items related to economic policy.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


Forex Trading Ideas For Tuesday 17 January 2017

GVI Forex Blog 08:59 GMT January 17, 2017
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off
Reply   

Equities in the Far East closed mixed. European bourses are mostly down. Bond yields are lower. The EUR is mixed on its key crosses while the USD is down.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off

GVI Trading john bland 08:44 GMT January 17, 2017
Breaking News

PM May speech Tuesday @ 11:45 GMT (06:45 ET)

jkt abel 07:58 GMT January 17, 2017
UK GBP

she must be high on something...

Mtl JP 07:48 GMT January 17, 2017
UK GBP

Merkel:

"We can't let anyone divide us,"

Belgrade Knez 06:45 GMT January 17, 2017
UK


found some info that May is due to speak at 11:45 GMT

Belgrade Knez 06:37 GMT January 17, 2017
UK


london red

do you know what time May will speak, please?

Thank you.


london red 06:34 GMT January 17, 2017
UK

cable. mkt believes cpi will come in hotter at 1.5%. they will prob be right, but it doesnt matter pre data as its what they believe that drives price (cpi/retail sales cacke usually prices in late pm before or early am at latest). post data rally they will fade as it will be may speaking not long after.

kl fs 06:12 GMT January 17, 2017
UK

will see how 1.2080-90 becomes support first short term..

jkt Adhi 06:11 GMT January 17, 2017
UK

GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

I think R 1.2250/70, goes to 1.19xx

kl fs 06:06 GMT January 17, 2017
UK

abel, 1.23 again you reckon?

jkt abel 06:02 GMT January 17, 2017
UK

just when everyone was screaming for 1.19 and below cable goes up to close the gap first

Singapore 05:14 GMT January 17, 2017
EURAUD & NZDUSD Forex Tips
Reply   
In Forex market, EURAUD & NZDUSD is going down.

Our Recommendation:
SELL EURAUD 1.4195 TARGETS 1.4165 1.4135 STOPLOSS 1.4230
SELL NZDUSD 0.7110 TARGETS 0.7085 0.7055 STOPLOSS 0.7140

Stay updated with live Forex Tips in order to gain profit from trading.

Forex Tips

New Delhi 03:03 GMT January 17, 2017
Coffee Market
Reply   
xc

kl fs 02:58 GMT January 17, 2017
UK
Reply   
where is the censored action from May? nothing is happening

Hong Kong 02:42 GMT January 17, 2017
AceTrader Jan 17: Intra-Day News and Views USD/JPY
Reply   
17 Jan 2017 02:09GMT

USD/JPY - ...... Dlr swung broadly sideways in Asian morning. Despite initial drop to 113.84 shortly after Tokyo open as weakness in the Nikkie to a 4-week low at 18849 (currently at 19454) triggered yen buying.
However, renewed buying above yesterday's 5-week trough at 113.76 lifted the pair to 114.28, suggesting further choppy trading above said Monday's low would continue.

Market remains jittery ahead of U.K. PM May's speech later today around 11:45GMT as she outlines her so-called 12 priority points for upcoming Brexit negotiations of leaving the EU's single market as well as regaining complete control of Britain's borders (immigration control).

The yen may gain if market interpret her speech will lead to a 'hard Brexit'.
For now, offers are tipped at 114.30/40 and more above with stops reported above 114.55. However, more selling interest is touted at 115.00/10.
On the downside, bids are noted at 114.00/113.90 with stops below 113.70.

Mtl JP 01:35 GMT January 17, 2017
UK GBP
Reply   
from bbrg

May Ready to Announce Britain Will Leave EU Single Market

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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