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Forex Forum Archive for 01/20/2017

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GVI Forex Blog 21:47 GMT January 20, 2017
Financial Markets Have A Number of Items To Juggle
Reply   

John M. Bland, MBA

New USD Forex Policy?
On Friday Donald Trump was installed at the 45th President of the U.S. One top concern for currency traders is that the new administration could break with a bi-partisan policy of the U.S. (and G7) not to use forex as an economic policy tool. A tweet suggesting he might has been a new element for the markets...

Financial Markets Have A Number of Items To Juggle

GVI Trading john bland 21:20 GMT January 20, 2017
Monday Trading Ideas
Reply   
I realize its "forever" until Monday, but as of the Friday close, the EURUSD is back in range of the 1.0700 line. Seems like there has been persistent "real" demand for EURUSD all day.

GVI Trading john bland 20:59 GMT January 20, 2017
Commitment Of Traders Report for 17 January 2017
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details





GVI Forex Blog 20:42 GMT January 20, 2017
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 20 January 2017
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database Updated . High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 20 January 2017

GVI Forex Blog 20:24 GMT January 20, 2017
Current Condition: Risk-On
Reply   

Mild risk On into the weekend following a tumultuous end of week trading period. The yield on the 10-yr note has moved higherto the 2.50% barrier in the latter part of the week. 

Table of Key Current Market Rates

 

Current Condition: Risk-On

GVI Trading john bland 18:40 GMT January 20, 2017
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

Table of Key Current Market Rates

GVI Trading john bland 18:20 GMT January 20, 2017
Breaking News

Feds Williams
-- need to start pulling back stimulus only gradulally

GVI Trading john bland 18:08 GMT January 20, 2017
Breaking News

US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 694 vs 659 (+35) prev
US (oil): 551 vs. 522 (+29) prev

Canada vs. 315 () prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Israel Dil 17:59 GMT January 20, 2017
Trump's Message

first Trump twitt/speech not to move the markets, the real BOSSES are in control, poor Donald

Israel Dil 17:40 GMT January 20, 2017
Trump's Message

'Power to the people' from a Manhatten real estate billionaire sounds very cynical and sarcestic. Trump a president is the dish cooked in accordance with US rules of the game, now time to eat it ( eatable or not).

Haifa ac 17:40 GMT January 20, 2017
Trump's Message

ERADICATE FANATIC ISLAM FROM THE FACE OF THE EARTH
and
AMERICA FIRST--BUT NEW SHERIFF IS IN TOWN

that is what I heard. It was a resounding spit in Obama's face who never uttered the world FANATIC ISLAM and who prostrated before other world leaders
There was NO PC in his speech
NEW WORLD!

dc CB 17:39 GMT January 20, 2017
Trump's Message

Obama about to board the helicopter to begin his last ride on the taxpayer's dime...all the way to Palm Springs California

Israel Dil 17:33 GMT January 20, 2017
Trump's Message

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

35% import duties
EUR/USD @ 0.8 (+20% lower from here)
Some new factories in US would start
US brands to export/deliver out their non-US factories

So take all dynamic factors and discover that USD buying should get stronger.

London AzaForex 17:19 GMT January 20, 2017
Trading strategy and signals for the currency pair AUDCAD 01
Reply   


Buy AUDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Trading strategy and signals for the currency pair AUDCAD 01-20-2017 by AzaForex forex broker

Paris ib 17:15 GMT January 20, 2017
Trump's Message
Reply   
Seems like China and trade and protectionism are the name of the game. I guess right now we get the speech.... follow through is another thing. Still, this is going to be interesting.

USD implications? I am not sure at this stage.

Who is stealing those jobs

GVI Forex Blog 15:51 GMT January 20, 2017
GVI Data Calendar for 23 January 2017
Reply   
Forex Data Calendar For Traders

January 20, 2017 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS Monday, January 23, 2017.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: No Major Data

WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar:
23 Jan Mon
No Major Data
24 Jan Tue
flash PMIs
09:30 GB- Brexit Court Ruling
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
25 Jan Wed
00:30 AU- CPI
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
15:30 US- Crude
26 Jan Thu
09:30 GB- GDP
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
14:45 US- flash Service PMI
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
23:30 JP- CPI
27-Jan Fri
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- GDP
15:00 US- University of Michigan

GVI Data Calendar for 23 January 2017

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 15:37 GMT January 20, 2017
My Trade of the Day

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.

For those trading, EURUSD held a test of Amazing Trader resistance at 1.0683 (last at 1.0668)

Paris ib 14:30 GMT January 20, 2017
DRAGHI

PAR you are back to raving again. Honestly give it a rest.

PAR 14:23 GMT January 20, 2017
DRAGHI
Reply   
EU Ombudsman Opens Inquiry on Draghi’s Membership in Group of Thirty
Action follows activist group’s complaint that ECB is too cozy with private financiers

Not so kosher activities . With a little help from friend Draghi .
Pure insider trading ?

Israel Dil 14:05 GMT January 20, 2017
Harker - TRUMP - Williams

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.0660-1.0730 Target: Stop: 1.08xx

starting the hunt for today's pips

Israel Dil 14:00 GMT January 20, 2017
Harker - TRUMP - Williams
Reply   
Harker starts with established 65 pips daily range (EUR/USD)

let's see how today's close to shine on us...

GVI Forex Blog 13:44 GMT January 20, 2017
BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI Mixed (Dec 2016) and Retail Sales Miss (Nov 2016)
Reply   
Canada: CPI mixed



Canada: Retail Sales miss expectations



BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI Mixed (Dec 2016) and Retail Sales Miss (Nov 2016)

GVI Trading john bland 13:35 GMT January 20, 2017
Breaking News

Mixed Canadian data

GVI Trading john bland 13:34 GMT January 20, 2017
Breaking News

BREAKING NEWS: Canada: CPI (December) Retail Sales (November) 2016

Canada Charts





NEWS ALERT
Bank of Canada Core
yy:+2.00% vs. +1.90% exp. vs. +1.80% prev.
Headline
mm: -0.20% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -0.40% prev.
yy: +1.50% vs. +1.70% exp. vs. +1.20% prev.

Retail Sales
Headline: +0.10% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. +1.10% (r +1.20%)prev.
X-Autos: +0.20% vs. -0.40% exp. vs. +0.50% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 13:03 GMT January 20, 2017
Friday Trading Ideas

10-yr 2.503% +4.1

DAX +16
DJ +14
SP +4

USD demand being fueled by higher bond yields

PAR 12:49 GMT January 20, 2017
Obama - US Debt
Reply   
Here's how much debt the US government added under President Obama

http://www.businessinsider.com/national-debt-deficit-added-under-president-barack-obama-2017-1


Obama has been good for US stock market , bad for US national debt .

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 12:12 GMT January 20, 2017
My Trade of the Day

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.

Amazing Trader EURUSD charts updated to your systems

EURUSD broke its 5 minute trendline draw off the high about 8 bars ago -- all displayed on the Amazing Trader. See now of John's 1.0650 level attracts.

PAR 11:37 GMT January 20, 2017
ECB
Reply   
If Draghi does not want to raise rates ( other directors of the ECB clearly want get away with negative rates ) then the market will do it for him .

European government bonds will get crushed leaving the ECB and European taxpayers with gigantic losses.

GVI Forex Blog 11:11 GMT January 20, 2017
Amazing Trader Early EURUSD Ideas for 20 January 2017
Reply   

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.

Amazing Trader EURUSD charts updated to your systems

Amazing Trader Early EURUSD Ideas for 20 January 2017

GVI Trading john bland 10:33 GMT January 20, 2017
ECB

Google Translate

SO MUCH THE MINI-INTEREST POLICY COSTS THE GERMAN SPARES
The 36 billion mess

In Germany, inflation is as high as 1.7 percent and is thus below the euro target of knapp below 2 percent. However, because there are NO interest rates for the banks, it is now really expensive for savers

PAR 09:41 GMT January 20, 2017
ECB
Reply   
SO VIEL KOSTET DIE MINI-ZINS-POLITIK DIE DEUTSCHEN SPARER
Die 36-Milliarden-Sauerei

In Deutschland beträgt die Inflation sogar 1,7 Prozent – und liegt damit beim Euro-Zielwert von „knapp unter zwei Prozent“. Weil es bei den Banken aber weiter KEINE Zinsen gibt, wird es für Sparer jetzt richtig teuer …

GVI Forex Blog 09:38 GMT January 20, 2017
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales For December 2016 Unexpectedly fall.
Reply   

December 2016 U.K. Retail Sales misses street estimates.

U.K. Retail Sales chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales For December 2016 Unexpectedly fall.

GVI Trading john bland 09:32 GMT January 20, 2017
Breaking News

U.K. retail sales miss. GBPUSD weakens.

GVI Trading john bland 09:31 GMT January 20, 2017
Breaking News

U.K. Retail Sales December 2016

U.K. Charts




-- NEWS ALERT --

mm: -1.90% v +0.10% exp. vs. +0.20% (r -0.10%) prev.
x-fuel & autos
mm: -2.0% v -0.40% exp. vs. +0.50% (r +0.20%) prev.

RELEASE: UK Retail Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 09:24 GMT January 20, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Friday 20 January 2017
Reply   


Trading Ideas for 20 Jan 2017

WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar:
20-Jan Fri
13:30 CA- CPI, Retail Sales
17:00 US- Trump Inauguration

23 Jan Mon
No Major Data
24 Jan Tue
flash PMIs
09:30 GB- Brexit Court Ruling
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
25 Jan Wed
00:30 AU- CPI
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
15:30 US- Crude
26 Jan Thu
09:30 GB- GDP
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
14:45 US- flash Service PMI
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
23:30 JP- CPI
27-Jan Fri
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- GDP
15:00 US- University of Michigan

Forex Trading Outlook

  • Trading is off to a cautious start today after a tumultuous session on Thursday. Donald Trump will be installed as U.S. President today at 12 noon ET. His inauguration speech will be closely followed for any policy hints.

  • In her Speech late Thursday at Stanford University, Fed Chair Yellen opened no new ground. Her comments on the economy and policy remained cautious. She sees little sign that the economy is overheating and indicated the Fed is not behind the curve. She repeated once again that it is prudent to raise rates at a gradual pace. She also noted the key uncertainty for monetary policy is fiscal policy outlook.

  • The latest ECB meeting saw no basic changes in policy. There was no new word of the "tapering" of bond purchases other than to confirm that the central bank has extended its bond purchase program to the end of 2017.

  • The Trump comment that he would use forex as a policy tool is a new element for the markets. The Trump comments rattled the markets. This topic was discussed several times by Treasury Secretary designate Mnuchin in his confirmation hearing. He repeatedly dodged the question.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


    CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile

    Forex Trading Ideas For Friday 20 January 2017

GVI Forex Blog 09:05 GMT January 20, 2017
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile
Reply   

Equities in the Far East closed mixed. Ahead of the Trump inauguration today. European bourses are barely changed. Bond yields are mostly higher.. U.S. equity futures are pointing to a higher open at this hour. The EUR is up on its key crosses while the USD is steady.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile

Hong Kong 08:45 GMT January 20, 2017
AceTrader Jan 20: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views GBP/USD
Reply   
20 Jan 2017 07:37GMT

GBP/USD - 1.2353.. Cable ratcheted higher in tandem with euro in Asian trading on Friday following yesterday's erratic rise from 1.2252, price hit an intra-day high of 1.2373 after tripping some stops above 1.2355 but soon retreated on lack of follow-through buying.

Expect consolidation in early European trading as traders await release of U.K. December retail sales data at 09:30GMT. Street forecast for M/M to come in at 0.2% and Y/Y at 7.3%, if actual readings are stronger than expectation, then further broad-based buying in the sterling would be seen.
If the figures disappoint, then be prepared for a stronger retreat as market confidence remains fragile due to the coming prospect of a 'hard Brexit'.

Offers are tipped at 1.2370/80 and more above with stops reported at 1.2420.
Some bids are noted at 1.2330-20 with stops below 1.2300.

GVI Trading john bland 08:44 GMT January 20, 2017
Breaking News

China GDP 4Q16yy




EARLIER Data News
+6.80% vs. +6.70% exp. vs. +6.70% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer



EARLIER: 4Q16 China GDP beats with street estimates.


PAR 08:03 GMT January 20, 2017
Long EURO
Reply   
I want to be long Euro but have those Euro 's in a solid German bank because the risk of Germany leaving the eurozone becomes bigger after every ECB press conference .

PAR 07:58 GMT January 20, 2017
ECB
Reply   
Draghi claimed the ECB policies created 4.5 million jobs . In order to achieve that the ECB bought approximately € 4 trillions of government bonds . (4 000 000 000 000 . That a TERRIBLE CAPITAL ALLOCATION.

Even the Soviet Plan Bureau did better

By focusing its policies on the weak european economies (Greece , Italy) and creating financial and political problems in the strong European economies ( Germany , Austria , the Netherlands ) ECB is making Europe weaker . Not stronger

On Italian banks which receive guarantees from the ECB and a € 20 billion subsidy from the Italian taxpayer Draghi wants to make no comment . That is not his responsability ?

Citing political risks as a reason no to hike rates while negative European rates create that same political risks in the biggest European economies is on bridge too far .

GVI Trading 07:56 GMT January 20, 2017
My Trade of the Day

NEW FEATURE:

This thread is designed to get back to basics, which is to post a trade, scenario, directional bias or even ask for feedback on a trade idea you have. To make this work we encourage those sitting in the background to step up and participate.

PAR 07:47 GMT January 20, 2017
Indeed after losing 1 billion $$$ his market dream will end.

For Soros $ 1 billion is only a very small percentage of his fortune . So nothing to worry about . He will make it up .

Haifa ac 06:51 GMT January 20, 2017
Deep Thoughts

Thoughts or throats?!

Singapore 05:57 GMT January 20, 2017
AUD/USD REMAINS CAPPED BELOW 0.7600
Reply   
The bulls appear little impressed by a slew of mixed Chinese economic releases, keeping AUD/USD in familiar range near fresh 10-week tops.

AUD/USD yearns for a test of 0.7600

Currently, the AUD/USD pair rises +0.29% to 7583, having met fresh sellers just below 0.76 barrier. The Aussie stalled its bullish move post the Chinese data dump, as markets digest mixed dataflow, with the Chinese GDP and retail sales bettering expectations, while the industrial production data disappointed markets slightly.

Our Recommendation:
Sell AUD/USD its current exchange rate is 0.7562.

Stay updated with forex trading tips and forex recommendations to gain profit.

Forex Recommendations

dc CB 02:21 GMT January 20, 2017
Breaking News

FAKE or NOT
how can you tell??? When it's on your TeeeVeee and your iPhone, and your Android, and your your your your.

the first one to Sell wins??? OR the last one to Buy wins?

Police, Protesters Clash At Anti-Trump Rally In DC - Live Feed

dc CB 02:08 GMT January 20, 2017
Breaking News

we've got a special on OXY
Yellen Yellow

ON Youtube

dc CB 02:07 GMT January 20, 2017
Breaking News

LIVE
Special Event with Janet Yellen
Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR)

583 watching now

Oxy is good for "pain in the knees"
here's a script for 100.
practice the Dip and come back next week.

HK [email protected] 01:52 GMT January 20, 2017
Indeed after losing 1 billion $$$ his market dream will end.
Reply   


George Soros says Trump will fail and market's dream will end.

BTW. What is "MARKET DREAM"?

George Soros says Trump will fail and market's dream will end

dc CB 01:32 GMT January 20, 2017
Deep Thoughts
Reply   
will he do Hillary? That would be a MarKiT mover.

Legacy

dc CB 01:29 GMT January 20, 2017
Breaking News

"the course of monetary policy over the next few years will depend on many different factors, of which fiscal policy is just one."

PS: Fly-on-the-Wall fantasy --- Yellen's first meeting in the Oval.
slap a mini GoPro cam in there and the stock would to thru the roof...almost back to its post IPO hi - $90

dc CB 01:21 GMT January 20, 2017
Breaking News

Yellen - "the pace of labor market improvement has slowed appreciably in the past couple of years"

first try...knees hurt...OOOOOOOObama

dc CB 01:18 GMT January 20, 2017
Breaking News

"Barring major swings in value of the dollar, inflation is likely to move up to 2 percent over the next couple of years" - Yellen

Yellen's last nite out, after this she'll be busy learning ... the dip... oh my aching bones.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curtsey

GVI Trading 01:12 GMT January 20, 2017
Breaking News

00:00 (US) Fed Chair Yellen: sees inflation to rise to 2% over next couple of years; monetary policy stance remains modestly accommodative
- Prudent to adjust stance of monetary policy gradually
- Risky to allow US economy persistently hot
- Labor utilization close to estimated long-run level
- Expects further strengthening of labor market in upcoming months
- Unlikely to see surge in inflation from overheating job market
- Expects downward pressure of Fed balance sheet on rates to decline
- Policy may affect outlook and rate path but remains uncertain Related ( USFED )
- Source TradeTheNews.com

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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