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Forex Forum Archive for 01/22/2017

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Livingston nh 23:08 GMT January 22, 2017
Dollar falls, U.S. stocks end higher after Trump inauguration

The first BAN should be on the use of the word of UNPRECEDENTED unless it is accompanied by a detailed PROOF -- History didn't begin Yesterday and we have been here before

Livingston nh 23:02 GMT January 22, 2017
Dollar falls, U.S. stocks end higher after Trump inauguration

so here we are -
President will spend a lot of money - where, when and how are the issues NOT IF so the Tea Party Republicans are Toast because Austerity is not a real vote getting position (these folks will look at election results in their respective districts)

And the Fed's "Lower for longer" is a hollow promise

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 22:58 GMT January 22, 2017
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Jay Meisler

GVI Trading john bland 20:39 GMT January 22, 2017
Monday Trading Ideas

Some early spot rate indications
EURUSD 1.0708
GBPUSD 1.2377
USDJPY 114.23
USDCHF 1.0017

GVI Trading 20:01 GMT January 22, 2017
Dollar falls, U.S. stocks end higher after Trump inauguration
"The dollar ended down while U.S. stock indexes rose in the last day of a choppy trading week, as investors reacted to President Donald Trump's inaugural speech.

U.S. stocks started the day higher but gave up some gains after Trump started speaking. Some investors worried about the tone of the former reality TV star's speech and others saw more negativity than optimism in his words.

U.S. Treasury yields fell from 2-1/2-week highs after the speech on concerns fiscal stimulus efforts may be delayed. The dollar, which has lost some momentum in recent weeks, was off 0.3 percent against six major currencies .DXY..."

Dollar falls, U.S. stocks end higher after Trump inauguration

PAR 15:58 GMT January 22, 2017
BMPS - above the law
Paschi Model

Berg ruled out the kind of precautionary recapitalization that Italy is planning for Monte Paschi after other efforts to support the world’s oldest bank fell short.

“Anything that smacks of the government taking losses, or the risk of the government taking losses, is not part of the government’s strategy” in Denmark, he said.

(It’s worth noting that a former Danish economy minister, Margrethe Vestager, will pass judgment on Italy’s plans for Monte Paschi in her current role as the EU’s competition commissioner. Though a staunch defender of strict bail-ins while a member of the Danish cabinet, she now says Italy’s handling of Monte Paschi is in keeping with Europe’s resolution rules.)

The biggest Danish banks face a 2019 deadline to comply with MREL, which the FSA says will need to be equivalent to 30 percent of risk-weighted assets, or twice total capital requirements. Under the FSA plan, even smaller lenders will face a requirement that exceeds minimum capital demands to avoid what the regulator has characterized as “messy” unwindings in bankruptcy court.

“You can just look at Italy right now to see the need for another approach,” Berg said. “The underlying assumption that you can use bankruptcy for small and medium-sized bank is, practically speaking, unrealistic, and we have the experience to show it.”

GVI Forex Blog 12:41 GMT January 22, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Monday 23 January 2017

Pre-Open Trading Ideas for 23 Jan 2017

WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar:
24 Jan Tue
flash PMIs
09:30 GB- Brexit Court Ruling
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
25 Jan Wed
00:30 AU- CPI
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
15:30 US- Crude
26 Jan Thu
09:30 GB- GDP
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
14:45 US- flash Service PMI
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
23:30 JP- CPI
27-Jan Fri
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- GDP
15:00 US- University of Michigan

Forex Trading Outlook

  • Its looking as though the major trend in the EURUSD (down) has lost its way. A key trend indicator that I like to follow is the 20-day moving average. Over the past two weeks it has bottomed and abruptly turned higher for the first time in a half-year. This abrupt change in direction is also visible in the spot market and might explain in part the several bouts of illiquidity in EURUSD as those running longer term positions have been forced to adapt to new realities. At 1.0549, the 20-day average is well below the current spot rate and is well out of synch with current conventional wisdom about where EURUSD should be headed.

  • The Inaugural address of Donald Trump Friday surprised many by its lack of broad trends and inspirational themes. Instead it was a populust speech thay sounded a lot like his campaign speech. In so doing, he broke with recent tradition for incoming presidents. While having been elected as a Republican, his policies are very much like a third-Party candidate. Expect him to govern as an anti-establishment chief executive.

  • Monday's economic calendar is exceptionally light, but the calendar picks up as of Tuesday. In s speech late Thursday at Stanford University, Fed Chair Yellen comments on the economy and policy remained cautious. She sees little sign that the economy is overheating and indicated a cautious Fed is not behind the curve.

  • John M. Bland, MBA


    Forex Trading Ideas For Monday 23 January 2017

haifa ac 08:50 GMT January 22, 2017
Trump hotels reservation site collapsed
Too many requests.
Of course all the showers are "golden" and many massages.

The left: Another KGB plot/intervention....

haifa ac 04:26 GMT January 22, 2017
W.D. GANN for president

Peggy Noonan:

Anyway, it was a remarkable speech, like none before it, and it marked, I think, yet another break point in the two-party reality that has dominated our politics for many decades.

And so, now, it begins. And it simply has to be repeated: We have never had a political moment like this in our lives. We have never had a president like this, such a norm-breaker, in all the ways we know. We are in uncharted seas.

President Trump Declares Independence

His message to America: Remember those things I said in the campaign? I meant them. I meant it all.

dc CB 02:24 GMT January 22, 2017
W.D. GANN for president

The Transfer of Power

Ben Garrison, Ed cartoon


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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