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Forex Forum Archive for 01/27/2017

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Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Forex Blog 22:27 GMT January 27, 2017
Donald Trump And Theresa May Dominate The News
Reply   

John M. Bland, MBA

New USD Forex Policy? The other big currency overhang on the market is uncertainty over what the forex policy of the new Trump administration will be. Public communication about forex policy has to be conducted with much finesse, lest the markets misinterpret the message of the sender. Most recent U.S. governments have settled on having one well-briefed official spokesman on forex policy. This usually has been the Treasury Secretary. Even the President...

Donald Trump And Theresa May Dominate The News

Livingston nh 21:24 GMT January 27, 2017
Commitment Of Traders Report for 24 January 2017

Aussie and oil look like squeeze plays if the tide turns

GVI Forex Blog 21:10 GMT January 27, 2017
Late New York Markets Mixed Risk Profile for 27 January 2019
Reply   

Late in N.Y., U.S. equity markets are ending modestly lower as recent gains are digested. The DJIA is ending the week above the psychological 20,000 line. The yield on the 10-yr Note is ending at 2.49%. In forex trade, the EUR is mixed on its crosses while USD is mixed.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

Late New York Markets Mixed Risk Profile for 27 January 2019

GVI Forex Blog 21:01 GMT January 27, 2017
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 27 January 2017
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database Updated . High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 27 January 2017

GVI Trading john bland 20:57 GMT January 27, 2017
Commitment Of Traders Report for 24 January 2017
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details







Livingston nh 20:30 GMT January 27, 2017
Breaking News

ib - a Primary is not a "negotiation"; it's a Popularity Contest -- one major negotiation option is Don't Negotiate as in "I'll back to you" and then wait for a call

Only equals can negotitiate - sometimes you just need to wait

Paris ib 20:16 GMT January 27, 2017
Breaking News

Looks to me like The Donald can take a lot of flack and still hold his ground. The nomination process and the election proved that.

GVI Forex Blog 19:50 GMT January 27, 2017
How You Can Use the Amazing Trader to Trade
Reply   

1.

The following is a real-time illustration of how we used the Amazing Trader to trade on Friday following the weaker than expected US GDP report and how you can use it

How You Can Use the Amazing Trader to Trade

Livingston nh 18:41 GMT January 27, 2017
Breaking News

So far President Trump is dealing w/ folks who need something -- the first one who "negotiates" w/ him by declining to talk at his beck and call wins w/ this kind of fellow

London AzaForex 18:34 GMT January 27, 2017
Stock analysts and trading recommendations for shares Home D
Reply   


Buy OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

Stock analysts and trading recommendations for shares Home Depot 01-27-2017 by AzaForex forex broker

GVI Trading john bland 18:33 GMT January 27, 2017
Breaking News

Mexican President Nieto saying he and Trump had a very good conversation today. He also said the two have agreed not to discuss how to pay for the wall in public...

Source: CNBC

Sounds like progress

GVI Trading john bland 18:05 GMT January 27, 2017
Breaking News

US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 712 vs 694 (+18) prev
US (oil): 566 vs. 551 (+15) prev

Canada 345 vs. 342 (+3) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading john bland 17:32 GMT January 27, 2017
Breaking News

US President Trump and Mexico Pres Pena Nieto reportedly hold hour-long phone call regarding border wall - press -

Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trading john bland 16:45 GMT January 27, 2017
EUROPEAN CLOSES: RISK-OFF
Reply   

Table of Key Current Market Rates

Bali Sja 16:38 GMT January 27, 2017
Buy usd
Reply   
I think usd has made bottom against euro, gbp, aud this year in this month alone!

GVI Forex Blog 16:33 GMT January 27, 2017
GVI Data Calendar for 30 January 2017
Reply   

Forex Data Calendar For TradersJanuary 27, 2017 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS Monday, January 30, 2017.

  • Far East: CN- Lunar New Years
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Pending Homes Sales

 

 

WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar:
30 Jan Mon
00:00 CN- Lunar Year Holiday
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
15:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
31 Jan Tue
00:00 CN- Lunar Year Holiday
03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
07:00 DE- Retail Sales, Jobs
10:00 EZ- GDP
10:00 EZ flash CPI
15:00 US- Consumer Confidence
1 Feb Wed
00:00 CN- Lunar Year Holiday
All Day Manufacturing PMIs
13:15 US- ADP Jobs
15:30 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- Federal Reserve
2 Feb Thu
00:00 CN- Lunar Year Holiday
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Productivity
12:00 GB- Bank of England
3 Feb Fri
All Day Service PMIs
04:30 AU- Rererve Bank of Australia
13:30 US- Employment

GVI Data Calendar for 30 January 2017

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 15:42 GMT January 27, 2017
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PAR 15:32 GMT January 27, 2017
Jurgen Stark
Reply   
European deflation never existed . It was just a decline in energy prices and Draghi should have explained that to the European citizens . It was actually a positive for the European economy ..

QE was never necessary to fight deflation.

QE allowed peripheral countries not to reform and just keep borrowig like there is no tomorrow .l

PAR 15:11 GMT January 27, 2017
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Final January 2017 Beats

Sentiment numbers are a kind of "FAKE NEWS " .

GVI Forex Blog 15:07 GMT January 27, 2017
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Final January 2017 Beats
Reply   

University of Michigan Sentiment Survey. Final data revised higher after flat preliminary report.

 

University of Michigan Survey Chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Final January 2017 Beats

PAR 15:07 GMT January 27, 2017
Breaking News

Sentiment figures - i.e. soft economic numbers with little impact on the real economy - are always better than hard economic numbers .

GVI Trading john bland 15:00 GMT January 27, 2017
Breaking News

University of Michigan Sentiment Index Final January 2017

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
98.5 vs. 98.1 exp. vs. 98.1 preliminary


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 15:00 GMT January 27, 2017
Breaking News

University of Michigan Sentiment Index Final January 2017

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
98.5 vs. 98.1 exp. vs. 98.1 preliminary


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 14:54 GMT January 27, 2017
US GDP

2016 was a bad year for the US economy . Only Trump was right in his economic analysis .The US economy is horrible .Things can only get better .

london red 14:05 GMT January 27, 2017
US GDP

you can rule it out only below 114. currencies have a habit of doing what u dont expect. im not convinced upside for the year is done. still abv 100dma.

Bali Sja 13:59 GMT January 27, 2017
US GDP

Red, seems like we can forget about ever seeing 1.28 cable again.

GVI Forex Blog 13:41 GMT January 27, 2017
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Advance 4Q16 GDP Misses Estimates
Reply   

Advance 4Q16 GDP weaker than forecast.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Advance 4Q16 GDP Misses Estimates

london red 13:40 GMT January 27, 2017
US GDP

nice long tail on hourly 10yr yield/tnx, shud get follow thru during following hour if current can stick. on the followthru hour needs strong hourly close, do not want to see wicks building as time to cover and go home.

GVI Forex Blog 13:39 GMT January 27, 2017
Breaking News
Reply   

Advance 4Q16 GDP weaker than forecast.

Breaking News

london red 13:37 GMT January 27, 2017
US GDP

yes i would think most eager to avoid a v soft q1 as has often been the case. as for euro, hourly close at/below 94 keeps top at bay while under 80 shud see the 50 tested. abv 10700/07 can squeeze higher but cant see it today

dc CB 13:36 GMT January 27, 2017
US GDP

it's Trump's fault. He got elected. The dollar rose to 103. It's Trump's fault. LOL

GVI Trading john bland 13:32 GMT January 27, 2017
Breaking News

Durable Goods Orders December 2016

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
Headline: -0.40% vs. +2.70% exp. vs. -4.50% prev.
Ex-Trans: +0.50% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.60% prev.






TTN: Live News Special Offer


Livingston nh 13:31 GMT January 27, 2017
US GDP
Reply   
US Q4 GDP is a residue of 2016 - things are changing quickly (as always in the expectation category) first so you can't extrapolate the figure much beyond a couple of minutes trading

GVI Trading john bland 13:31 GMT January 27, 2017
Breaking News

U.S. GDP 4Q16




ALERT
+1.90% vs. +2.10% exp. vs. +3.50% prev.

RELEASE: U.S. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Israel Dil 13:30 GMT January 27, 2017
EUR/USD: day trade
Reply   
SELL 1.0690
s/l: 50 pips
t/p: 100/150 pips

london red 13:16 GMT January 27, 2017
Friday Trading Ideas

straddles on euro an absolutely crappy 26 pips so they are clearly not expecting much action. that will be initial sup/res. usually when that soft and mkt breaks there is sharp followthru.

Israel Dil 13:13 GMT January 27, 2017
Friday Trading Ideas

my system shows +93% probability for sub 1.06 today, strange enough?

london red 13:13 GMT January 27, 2017
Friday Trading Ideas

its poss we will see 10608 or 108+ today. but need to move thru 107 or 10650 first. yen needs to clear 11565 to tgt recent high 118+. still not done higher high so there is ample op to take it dwn today, hence direction by no needs clear. reaction to data if soft shud give a clue on usd strength. if loses quickly fade they shud follow thru and hit initial tgts and then if broken the second ones.

GVI Trading john bland 13:06 GMT January 27, 2017
Friday Trading Ideas

On the open, The street is expecting U.S. advance Q416 GDP to show a moderate increase of +2.10% vs. +3.50% in 3Q16. A sharp reaction to the data, either way, would not be surprising.

GVI Trading john bland 12:56 GMT January 27, 2017
Friday Trading Ideas

Mixed Markets
DAX -19
DJ +5
SP 0

10-yr 2.521% +1.3bp

Livingston nh 12:52 GMT January 27, 2017
MXN
Reply   
a chart from Bbrg as follow-up to my comment yesterday -- much of this is energy related
LINK

Israel Dil 12:45 GMT January 27, 2017
Free Trading Pattern Alerts

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop: 1.08xx

new year low during February...

Barcelone 12:40 GMT January 27, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Friday 27 January 2017

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Singapore SC 12:29 GMT January 27, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Friday 27 January 2017

Any suggestions for US GDP trade?

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 11:45 GMT January 27, 2017
Free Trading Pattern Alerts

EURUSD Pattern Alert

I sent this late Wednesday and see what happened once EURUSD failed to stay above 1.0750

...The current pattern is 3 days in a row where 1.0750 has traded and this is likely to be extended to 4 days in a row on Thursday. So keep an eye on this level as the longer the pattern goes on the stronger a directional signal will come once it becomes support or resistance..,

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GVI Forex Blog 10:44 GMT January 27, 2017
Amazing Trader Early EURUSD Ideas for 27 January 2017
Reply   

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Amazing Trader Early EURUSD Ideas for 27 January 2017

PAR 10:22 GMT January 27, 2017
BOJ
Reply   
BOJ intervention was obvious overnight . Japan wants lower yields and a weaker yen ,whatever .

GVI Trading 10:21 GMT January 27, 2017
Dollar recoups losses, shares lower as banks weigh -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"The dollar extended its recovery against a basket of other currencies on Friday, while banks dragged European shares slightly lower following underwhelming results from Swiss major UBS.

The two-day recovery comes after the dollar suffered a 4 percent drop in the three weeks from Jan. 3 reflecting doubts about how U.S. President Donald Trump's policies will play out for the currency, particularly after both Trump and Treasury Secretary-designate Steven Mnuchin hinted at concerns over its strength..."

Dollar recoups losses, shares lower as banks weigh -- Reuters.com

GVI Forex Blog 09:16 GMT January 27, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Friday 27 January 2017
Reply   


Trading Ideas for 27 Jan 2017

WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar:
27-Jan Fri
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- GDP
15:00 US- University of Michigan

30 Jan Mon
00:00 CN- Lunar Year Holiday
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
15:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
31 Jan Tue
00:00 CN- Lunar Year Holiday
03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
07:00 DE- Retail Sales, Jobs
10:00 EZ- GDP
10:00 EZ flash CPI
15:00 US- Consumer Confidence
1 Feb Wed
00:00 CN- Lunar Year Holiday
All Day Manufacturing PMIs
13:15 US- ADP Jobs
15:30 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- Federal Reserve
2 Feb Thu
00:00 CN- Lunar Year Holiday
12:00 GB- Bank of England
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Productivity
3 Feb Fri
All Day Service PMIs
04:30 AU- Reserve Bank of Australia
13:30 US- Employment

Forex Trading Outlook

  • The EURUSD has held below the 1.0700 line so far today, after failing to hold that key psychological price yesterday. The developing uptrend in this pair continues to look precarious at the moment. The EUR is up on its crosses.

  • The focus of trade remains on the economic policies being developed by new U.S. President Trump. Today see a key meeting with U.K. PM May. The two are thought to be like-minded in many ways. U.S. S&P futures are up modestly. The 10-yr note has managed to hold above the 2.50% psychological line. It was last 2.518%, +1.0bp.

  • The U.S. will see several key pieces of data today. They include: Durable Goods Orders, 4Q16 GDP, and the final University of Michigan Survey for January.

  • Next week features a very busy global data calendar. This weekend sees the start of the lunar new year observations, mainly in the Far East.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


    CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk On

    Forex Trading Ideas For Friday 27 January 2017

GVI Forex Blog 08:58 GMT January 27, 2017
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On
Reply   

Equities in the Far East closed higher. European bourses are mixed. Nond yields are mostly higher. U.S. equity futures are up at this hour. The EUR is higher on its key crosses while the USD is mixed to higher.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

SaaR KaL 08:22 GMT January 27, 2017
Trump days forecasts

Trump is great

this is why

SaaR KaL 08:10 GMT January 27, 2017
Trump days forecasts
Reply   
I know...I know...he is a disaster...but

He is lucky

haifa ac 07:35 GMT January 27, 2017
If you believe the news you are very naiive
Reply   
It is unbelievable how the news services can print whatever they want. You cannot believe a word you read (and that includes financial news. This is why Wyckoff said-- never read financial publications because you never know who is standing behind them and what are their motivaitons. See Enron news just before they disappeared!)
Here is an example:
SALON:
http://www.salon.com/2017/01/26/after-his-first-week-on-the-job-president-trumps-approval-rating-is-36-percent/

Politico:
http://www.politico.com/blogs/donald-trump-administration/2016/11/poll-59-percent-of-voters-are-optimistic-about-trump-231744

I would say that 36% is a little different than 59%.

PAR 07:04 GMT January 27, 2017
GERMANY
Reply   
Germany December import prices yy increase to 3.5% .

3.5 % vs prev 0.3%

bali sja 06:18 GMT January 27, 2017
usd is king

go usd, cable will not see 1.28 IMO
euro will see parity from here

Hong Kong 06:03 GMT January 27, 2017
AceTrader Jan 27: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY
Reply   
27 Jan 2017 04:38GMT

USD/JPY - .... The pair continued yesterday's impressive rally in active Tokyo trading due to broad-based selling in yen, traders attributed this move to a surprise increase in buying JGBs by the BoJ (see prev. MMN coverage for details).

Dlr briefly retreated to 114.09 in NY morning after weaker-than-expected U.S. weekly jobless claims, however, renewed usd broad-based weakness quickly lifted the pair n sent price to session highs of 114.85 before falling back to 114.26 in New York after afternoon on profit taking.
The pair rallied abv said New York low after BoJ's money market action and climbed to 115.04 after tripping stops above 114.85 n then 115.00.

As price has maintained a firm undertone ahead of Tokyo lunch break, suggesting intra-day upside bias remains for further gain. Bids are noted at 114.80-70 n more below with stops reported below 114.20.
Some offers are tipped at 115.00/10 n more above with stops above 115.65.

Pay attention to release of a slew of U.S. eco. data later in the day n in particular, the preliminary read of the key U.S. advance Q4 GDP, Dec durable goods orders, PCE Q4 n then University of Michigan consumer confidence.
Traders will pay close attention to the annual GDP growth which is expected to be 2.2% vs prev. reading of 3.5%, if actual comes in higher than street forecast, then usd will go higher, if it disappoints, then expect a broad-based usd decline.

Singapore 05:44 GMT January 27, 2017
GBP/USD FOREX TIPS FOR SUCCEESSFUL TRADING
Reply   
The cable extends its overnight side-trend into Asia, now oscillating in an extremely tight range below 1.26 handle, as the USD bulls take a breather heading into the US Q4 GDP release later today.

GBP/USD fell sharply a day before, immediately after the release of the UK Q4 prelim GDP estimate, as a jump in the US treasury yields triggered a fresh rally in the greenback across the board, while the US stocks at record highs on Trump reflation trades also boosted the buck. The USD index now trades modestly flat around 100.55, corrective massive gains booked yesterday.

However, yesterday’s GBP sell-off stalled ahead of 5-DMA support then located at 1.2540, as upbeat UK GDP data combined with Brexit Bill published by the UK PM May, lent some support.

Current exchange rate of GBP/USD pair is 1.2567.

Our Latest Recommendation:
It is recommended to sell as the pair is going down in Forex market.

Stay updated with Forex Tips & Forex Trading Signals to generate profitable results.

Forex Tips

PAR 05:38 GMT January 27, 2017
BOJ
Reply   
BOJ intervention ? Japan manipulating its currency? Looks like it ?

bali sja 04:38 GMT January 27, 2017
usd is king
Reply   
still buying usd on dips is the best play IMO
it is holding ground so far, euro well under 1.07

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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