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Forex Forum Archive for 04/04/2017

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Sydney ACC 23:16 GMT April 4, 2017
OOPS!

Double negative.

Does that mean she released "something to somebody"!

Dillon AL 22:26 GMT April 4, 2017
OOPS!

yes but her husband has

dc CB 22:03 GMT April 4, 2017
OOPS!

Quote of the Day: Susan Rice speaking to Andrea (Alan Greenspan's my husband) Mitchell today on Mitchell's MSNBC program.

Rice: “I leaked nothing to nobody. I never had and never would.”

Livingston nh 21:15 GMT April 4, 2017
WTI
Reply   
viies - the whole oil market is being floated on hot air out of OPEC -- everybody chasing an obsolete commodity

Livingston nh 21:07 GMT April 4, 2017
The Lacker affair

" I want to take the opportunity once again to remind
people that reporters are very good at piecing together little bits of information from many sources. When they come to you and say, “Well, I’ve heard that X,” it’s a little hard for each of us in dealing with that. Let me take note of that and ask people, as always, to be careful in their
interactions." B. Bernanke dec 2011 transcript

2012 transcripts seem a bit late

Tallinn viies 21:04 GMT April 4, 2017
eurusd
Reply   
- The Permian Basin's hype is based in reality, according to Bill Marko, managing director with Jeffries. "The Permian's going to be the biggest oil field in the world," he tells an audience at the Hart Energy conference in Fort Worth Tuesday, adding, "A lot bigger than Ghawar in Saudi Arabia because it's thicker." Much has been made of the Permian's multiple layers of oil-bearing rocks that resemble a stack of geologic pancakes. Instead of drilling horizontal wells into just one layer, Permian players now say they can tap four, five or six layers from the same surface area, justifying high leasing prices of $30,000 an acre of more. Marko sees it paying off for a lot of them. In 2016, Permian wheeling and dealing spurred $66B in deals, and Jeffries expects 2017 to bring between $80B-$90B more in deal flow. Big energy companies like Exxon (XOM) or Chevron (CVX) might make a play for more Permian acreage, while European and Asian investors could also try to buy their way in, he says. ([email protected]; @LynnJCook)

Tallinn viies 20:59 GMT April 4, 2017
eurusd
Reply   
brought buy stop euro to 1.0685.
so far things going well. lower highs and lower lows days in row but developments too slow. down to 1.06 tommorow.

Livingston nh 20:47 GMT April 4, 2017
Mild Risk-On Posture Later in the Day Tuesday. In Forex, The USD Is Mixed. EUR Up On Its Crosses

The 2/10 spread nipped below 107 twice this day -- API stats soon for a market well supplied but the whining may go to the products -- by 11 am edt tomorrow we may have everything we need to know - ADP, ISM(svc) and WTI crude level -- can the 10 yr get back to a real yield? can stox hold on? // will currency market start to believe in a tighter Fed?

ADP (my guess for the shock) = below 150K

dc CB 20:45 GMT April 4, 2017
eurusd

gasoline (RB) May holding at 1.722. up 2.8cents on the day - about $1200 per contract.

dc CB 20:39 GMT April 4, 2017
The Lacker affair
Reply   


It was March 2015, and the Federal Reserve was under pressure from Congress to reveal details about an internal investigation into how key details of its interest rate policy deliberations had made their way into a report by a private sector firm.

I was a reporter at the Wall Street Journal*, and I asked the following at a press conference: (Chart)

Fast-forward to April 4, 2017: Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker resigns abruptly after admitting he was a source of the leak.

As soon as I saw the news, the whole press conference incident flashed before my eyes.

But Lacker's admission that the Medley leak originated with him doesn't entirely settle the matter.
We know Yellen also met with Medley herself. Why? What did she say to them? Former Fed economist and Treasury official Seth Carpenter was also under scrutiny on the issue. What were the results of the Fed's own investigation? And of Congress'?
Also: Why did it take Lacker so long to come forward?

Pedro remembers - Business Insider

Tallinn viies 20:38 GMT April 4, 2017
eurusd
Reply   
API

cr -1.8mb
gasoline -2.6mb
dist -2mb

all clear now. geen light given. last month top next target

dc CB 20:12 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

HOUSE INTELLIGENCE PANEL ASKS SUSAN RICE TO TESTIFY. DowJones

GVI Trading john bland 19:44 GMT April 4, 2017
Wednesday Trading Ideas
Reply   

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GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--

EUR symbol The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy.
Odds for one 25bp rate hike as of the June 17, 2017 meeting are now 66% (6%).

EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: NEUTRAL
Spot EURUSD: 1.0668

Pivot Point: 1.0659

20-day avg: 1.0717
50-day avg: 1.0674
200-day avg: 1.0865

GVI Forex Blog 19:31 GMT April 4, 2017
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 4 April 2017
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 4 April 2017

GVI Forex Blog 19:07 GMT April 4, 2017
Mild Risk-On Posture Later in the Day Tuesday. In Forex, The USD Is Mixed. EUR Up On Its Crosses
Reply   

U.S. equity markets are closing the day modestly higher after Europe generally improved later in their day. Yields in major fixed income markets generally have fallen. The U.S. 10-yr yield fell, but is off its lows. In forex, the USD is mixed while the EUR crosses are mostly higher.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

Mild Risk-On Posture Later in the Day Tuesday. In Forex, The USD Is Mixed. EUR Up On Its Crosses

GVI Trading john bland 18:27 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

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Refer to your continuously updated Amazing Trader charts for Support and Resistance levels 24 hours a day. View trading strategies, test ideas, post comments, ask questions, etc. on the GVI Forum. For access contact: [email protected]

dc CB 17:47 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

maybe with the change over a JustUs, someone opened that Folder buried by Holder and said ...Hey Jeff, er Mr Sessions, lookie here.

Livingston nh 17:41 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

At least it only took five years -- probably beyond the Statute of Limitations

Call the next Case

dc CB 17:36 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

Following these events, I was interviewed on December 10, 2012, as part of an internal review conducted by the General Counsel of the FOMC. In advance of that interview, on December 6, 2012, I provided written responses to a questionnaire issued by the General Counsel seeking, among other things, all relevant information regarding my communications with the Analyst.

Although it was my intention to cooperate fully with the internal review, I regret that I did not disclose to the General Counsel, either in my December 6, 2012 questionnaire or the December 10, 2012 interview, that the Analyst was in possession of confidential information during my conversation with her on October 2,2012.

Lacker's letter

dc CB 17:22 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

He was the leaker...that got Janet's unmentionables in a twist and Pedro de Costa (then of the WSJ) fired when he pressed her for answers about the "investigation" at the post FOMC presser.

GVI Forex Blog 17:22 GMT April 4, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Wednesday 5 April 2017
Reply   

Trading Ideas for 5 Apr 2017

Register for the Amazing Trader

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Forex Trading Outlook

Items likely to drive the FX rates:
  • EVENT RISK: Global Wednesday- Global Service PMIs. The Service sector tends to dominate in most developed economies. It could move markets on Wednesday.

  • Manufacturing PMI data Monday were mixed it can be a very sensitive barometer of the business cycle. One weakness of the PMI data is that they are not "hard" data.

  • U.S. EVENT RISK: Wednesday and Friday: The first week of each month sees Key U.S. employment data. The first item is the ADP private employment estimate which is based on the payroll data it actually processes.

  • Then on Friday, the government releases its official jobs data. because of its detail, this is by far the most important U.S. economic report of the month.

  • Lots to consider. Please comment...

    John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

    Forex Trading Ideas For Wednesday 5 April 2017

GVI Trading john bland 17:13 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

Resigned due to disclosure of info to an analyst in 2012.

GVI Trading john bland 17:12 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

Fed's Lacker reportedly to resign effective today, earlier than planned - press - Source TradeTheNews.com

nw kw 17:09 GMT April 4, 2017
Costanza trades Thru the Looking Glass

xauaud weekly pivot brake out top side

nw kw 17:06 GMT April 4, 2017
Costanza trades Thru the Looking Glass

audcad for 1.0 oil bonds or 10y

London AzaForex 16:48 GMT April 4, 2017
Trading strategy and signals for the currency pair USDNOK 04
Reply   


Buy OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

Trading strategy and signals for the currency pair USDNOK 04-04-2017 by AzaForex forex broker

dc CB 16:38 GMT April 4, 2017
Costanza trades Thru the Looking Glass
Reply   
AMZN is less than $100 away from $1000 per share. when it crosses that, Jeff Bezos will become the Richest Man in the World.

TSLA just surpassed GM As America's Most Valuable Car Company.
Tesla sold 76,285 cars last year. That compares to over 10 million for GM worldwide and 6.65 million for Ford.
Tesla chief executive Elon Musk says he expects the company to sell 500,000 cars next year.

Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos?????
What do they have in common? Don't EVEN think about shorting their Copmpanies(stocks).

Livingston nh 16:35 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

All the markets' optimism and confidence surveys have not been converted into capital spending or a significant change in personal savings - somebody has to go first

If the Fed backs off normalization we have a bigger problem because nobody will go first -- it will all fall back on Congress and the barrel of monkeys ideology

Livingston nh 16:22 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

John - NY Fed uses soft data more than Atlanta which is more attuned to the GDP calculation -- the wild card in Q1 turns out to be cars, production vs sales -- the GDP bleeding may start in Q2 GDP (most may dismiss Q1 as "seasonal" as in 2015, 2016)



dc CB 16:06 GMT April 4, 2017
OOPS!

Must be something to it.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Since news broke Monday that the Obama Administration's National Security Adviser, Susan Rice, directed the "unmasking" of NSA intercepts of Trump associates, CNN has raced to shoot down the blockbuster report.

While interviewing a Democratic congressman, CNN's Chris Cuomo claimed it was "demonstrably untrue" Rice sought surveillance of the Trump team, even as that's exactly what yesterday's reports prove.

Last night, Lemon began "CNN Tonight" with an announcement that the Rice report a "fake scandal ginned up by right-wing media and Trump" that he would not be baited into justifying with coverage.

"On this program tonight, we will not insult your intelligence by pretending," it's legitimate, he said. "Nor will we aid and abet the people trying to misinform you, the American people, by creating a diversion. Not going to do it."

CNN Rages Against 'Susan Rice Bombshell', Urges Viewers To Ignore Story

dc CB 15:59 GMT April 4, 2017
RISK ON

Gasoline up to 1.716 wholesale

betting on more big "draws" later today and tom. as summer blending gets underway.
All eyes in Memorial Day Weekend price at the pump $3 - $3.25 targets.

GVI Trading john bland 15:56 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

With 1Q17 now in the rear view mirror, there is currently too wide a discrepancy between the NY and Atlanta Fed forecasts. Many complain about the accuracy of the Atlanta Fed forecasts.

GVI Trading john bland 15:53 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

Atlanta Fed maintains Q1 GDP at 1.2%, unchanged from 4/3
- Source TradeTheNews.com

PAR 15:51 GMT April 4, 2017
RISK ON
Reply   
Risk on full speed ahead . The markets must go higher . Good economic number in Europe and USA . Super low rates in USA , negative rates in Europe forever . TINA .

dc CB 15:42 GMT April 4, 2017
History rhymes
Reply   
Just days after a post-Brexit UK cabinet put Europe on edge when a former Conservative leader said on Sunday that Theresa May "would go to war" to protect Gibraltar, Spain has tested the former EU member's resolve when on Tuesday afternoon the Gibraltar government tweeted that a Spanish gunship has made an illegal incursion into British waters off Gibraltar amid rising Brexit tensions over the territory.

The alleged incursion comes the day after Spanish foreign minister Alfonso Dastis told the UK not to "lose tempers" after the EU Brexit negotiation guidelines effectively gave Spain significant power over Gibraltar's future.

Theresa May and Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson have moved to reassure the people of Gibraltar that the territory will remain under British control. Lord Howard told the Sophy Ridge on Sunday programme: "I think there's no question whatever that our Government will stand by Gibraltar." As we reported previously, over the weekend former Conservative leader Lord Howard told Sky News Theresa May could be willing to defend the British territory - like Margaret Thatcher had over the Falklands.



http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-04/spanish-gunship-makes-illegal-incursion-british-waters-gibraltar

No, it's MINE!

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:19 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.


No change in focus

Equities-bonds => USDJPY => JPY crosses

GVI Trading john bland 15:13 GMT April 4, 2017
Mild Risk-Off Posture in Equities Late In Europe. USD Mixed
Reply   

Table of Key Current Market Rates

GVI Forex Blog 14:04 GMT April 4, 2017
GVI Data Calendar for 5 April 2017
Reply   
Forex Data Calendar For Traders

April 4, 2017 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, April 5, 2017.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: EZ/GB- Final Service PMIs
  • North America: US- Mortgages, ADP Jobs, Service PMIs, EIA Crude, FOMC Minutes

WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar:
5 Apr Wed
All Day final Service PMIs
12:15 US- ADP Jobs
14:00 US- EIA Crude
6 Apr Thu
All Day final Service PMIs
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
7 Apr Fri
12:30 US/CA- Employment

GVI Data Calendar for 5 April 2017

GVI Trading john bland 14:01 GMT April 4, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Factory Orders February 2017

U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
+1.00% vs. +0.90% exp. vs. +1.20% (r+1.50%) prev. rev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Amman wfakhoury 13:52 GMT April 4, 2017
GBPUSD 12462 and 12490

Amman wfakhoury 10:47 GMT 04/04/2017
12462 and 12490 are coming
Scalp buy
________________
12462 reached with bonus from 12425

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:40 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

Register for the Amazing Trader

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Refer to your continuously updated Amazing Trader charts for Support and Resistance levels 24 hours a day. View trading strategies, test ideas, post comments, ask questions, etc. on the GVI Forum. For access contact: [email protected]


As I have been pointing out all day on GVI Forex, the JPY and its crosses have been the main driver today and the JPY has been highly correlated to US bond yields, which initially fell but have since recovered.

Livingston nh 13:39 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

AUD/USD on the verge of breaking below 144 ema and 200 dma - last month it broke but bounced off 75 -- looking for more follow thru this time

SPX "filled" gap below 2345 and bounced -- 2310 is next gap below

haifa ac 12:40 GMT April 4, 2017
Chemical war in Syria continues

Horrible movie from the scene. At least 100 dead most of them very young children.

https://youtu.be/2oE6YjYyH1c

This should affect markets somehow or we are all doomed.

GVI Trading john bland 12:30 GMT April 4, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. (USD bn) & Canada (CAD bn) Trade February 2017

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-43.6 vs. -45.0b exp. vs. -48.5b (r-48.2) prev.
Canada Trade C$ bln
-1.00 vs. +0.55 exp. vs. +0.800 (r )prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services

Canadian Trade Balance


TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 12:27 GMT April 4, 2017
OOPS!

Do you suspect that the noise over Trump-campaign contacts with the Russians is just a political hit arranged by Obama insiders before they left? You got fresh evidence of that Monday, with news that then-National Security Adviser Susan Rice was behind the “unmasking” of Trumpites

Rice certainly wasn’t politically naive about the political uses of intelligence information. She was, after all, the Obama official who famously made the rounds spouting the false our intel says it was about the video line on the Benghazi attack back during the 2012 campaign.
}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}

How far will this run????

Fresh evidence the Russia ‘scandal’ is a Team Obama operation

douglas pjh 12:07 GMT April 4, 2017
short trade
Reply   
Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

closing half my short trade from 11782 as usd/jpy maybe @ a temp support 110/30 and euro not moving down as yet Reenter @ a higher level

hk ab 11:48 GMT April 4, 2017
S&P
Reply   
Why the rating agencies never see the risk in their own countries?

Shouldn't US deserve a "BBB-" like SA with their "never repaid" debts?

LOL

dc CB 11:25 GMT April 4, 2017
Friday may be a More than just NFP
Reply   
In Aggressive Push, Trump Seeks Friday Passage Of Revised Healthcare Bill

ZeroHedge

Amman wfakhoury 10:47 GMT April 4, 2017
GBPUSD 12462 and 12490
Reply   
12462 and 12490 are coming
Scalp buy

The only one in the world who confirms the next level

Amman wfakhoury 10:30 GMT April 4, 2017
EURUSD 10648 and 10628
Reply   
10648 and 10628 are coming.
10662 return if moves in opposite direction


The only one in the world who confirms the next level

Amman wfakhoury 10:01 GMT April 4, 2017
GBPUSD for scalpers

Amman wfakhoury 06:31 GMT 04/04/2017
12455 is coming ..now 12439
______________________________
12455 reached with a bonus from 12420


The only one in the world who confirms the next level

GVI Trading john bland 09:56 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

10-yr 2.332% -1.4bbp



DAX -16
DJ -49
SP -6.8

Tallinn viies 09:11 GMT April 4, 2017
eurusd
Reply   
euro still on the move toward 1,0600/05. stops should be at 1,0710.

GVI Forex Blog 08:44 GMT April 4, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For Tuesday 4 April 2017
Reply   

Trading Ideas for 4 Apr 2017

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.

Forex Trading Outlook

Items likely to drive the FX rates:
  • No top tier trading data are due today from Europe or the U.S. U.S. trade data are due at the opening. The only interest in markets have in the data is the influence of the trade report in GDP. A the trade deficit is a net subtraction from GDP.

  • U.S. EVENT RISK: Wednesday and Friday: The first week of each month sees Key U.S. employment data. The first item is the ADP private employment estimate which is based on the payroll data it actually processes. Then on Friday, the government releases its official jobs data. because of its detail, this is by far the most important U.S. economic report of the month.

  • EVENT RISK: Global Wednesday- Global Service PMIs. The Service sector tends to dominate in most developed economies. It could move markets on Wednesday. Manufacturing PMI data Monday were mixed it can be a very sensitive barometer of the business cycle. One weakness of the PMI data is that they are not "hard" data.

  • EVENT RISK: The Bank of Japan Quarterly Tankan Survey- Data were a touch weaker. Corporate forecasts (for planning purposes) for the USDJPY exchange rate. USDJPY expectations for FY16/17 107.30 v 104.90. See FY17/18 at 108.43.

  • Lots to consider. Please comment...

    Forex Trading Ideas For Tuesday 4 April 2017

GVI Trading john bland 08:39 GMT April 4, 2017
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Construction PMI Eases In March 2017

Note the three U.K. PMIs have started to wane.

GVI Forex Blog 08:37 GMT April 4, 2017
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Construction PMI Eases In March 2017
Reply   

U.K. Construction PMI misses estimates. This is more of a domestic measure.

U.K. Construction PMI

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Construction PMI Eases In March 2017

GVI Trading john bland 08:31 GMT April 4, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Construction PMI misses.

GVI Trading john bland 08:30 GMT April 4, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Construction PMI March 2017




-- NEWS ALERT --

52.2 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.5 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

haifa ac 08:28 GMT April 4, 2017
Chemical war in Syria continues
Reply   
Trump said he will end this atrocity. Apparantly they did not hear h im in Syria

Oh my god. Khan Shaykhun right now. Children dying in the streets due to #AssadPutin chemical weapons attack. #PutinAtWar



https://twitter.com/JulianRoepcke/status/849148492647989248

https://twitter.com/JulianRoepcke/status/849141448138207232

https://twitter.com/JulianRoepcke/status/849137670798397440

GVI Trading john bland 08:19 GMT April 4, 2017
Tuesday Trading Ideas

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GVI Forex Blog 08:14 GMT April 4, 2017
Mixed Equity Risk Profile. Forex levels Split
Reply   

Far East equity markets have closed mixed. Early in Europe, shares are opening mixed. U.S. equity futures are lower. In forex, the USD is mixed, while the EUR is mixed on its key crosses.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

Mixed Equity Risk Profile. Forex levels Split

douglas pjh 08:05 GMT April 4, 2017
topping price action
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

looking for shorts below 7500 area

douglas pjh 07:13 GMT April 4, 2017
short trade
Reply   
Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

if we get a pullback over 11800 maybe a good short trade to target 11650/11700 ?

douglas pjh 06:54 GMT April 4, 2017
short sentiment
Reply   
Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

been a short since 12176 with several places to pick on way down as long as Euro & us/jpy weak ?

Singapore 06:45 GMT April 4, 2017
GBP/USD
Reply   


The GBP/USD pair witnessed aggressive selling pressure in late-Asia, knocking-off the rate nearly 30-pips from just below 1.25 handle.

However, the spot managed to quickly recover some ground from lows struck at 1.2460, as attention turns towards the UK construction PMI release, which may provide the much-needed respite to the GBP bulls.

TECHNICAL LEVELS TO CONSIDER:
The 4 hours chart supports additional declines, as the price is currently developing below its 20 SMA, whilst the Momentum indicator is crossing below the 100 level, and the RSI heading south around 46. Still the pair has a major support around 1.2430, which stands for the 38.2% retracement of the January rally. A break below this last should expose March 29th low of 1.2375, en route to 1.2330 a strong static support. The upside should remain capped by selling interest around 1.2540/60 for the bearish trend to remain in place.

TREND INDEX:
Bearish

AVG SELL PRICE:
1.2308

AVG BUY PRICE:
1.2378

Forex Tips

Amman wfakhoury 06:31 GMT April 4, 2017
GBPUSD for scalpers
Reply   
12455 is coming ..now 12439

Amman wfakhoury 05:43 GMT April 4, 2017
EURUSD



My real chart showed the low 10641

Amman wfakhoury 05:39 GMT April 4, 2017
EURUSD

My real chart showed the low 10641

Dillon AL 02:01 GMT April 4, 2017
EURUSD

Sorry to be pedantic GVI database shows 1.0642 as a low and one of my brokers posts a left hand side bid at 1.06424 as the low

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
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AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
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AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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