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Forex Forum Archive for 04/18/2017

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 23:41 GMT April 18, 2017
Amazing Trader Wednesday Trading Items

zerohedge‏ @zerohedge 54m54 minutes ago
Every single net spec record short has gotten blown out in the past 2 months. Only ED remains

EuroDollar Futures COT

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 22:33 GMT April 18, 2017
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GVI Trading john bland 20:35 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

could be the market is selling on the unexpected +1.400 mln build in gasoline.

GVI Trading john bland 20:33 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. API Crude

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
reportedly: -0.800 vs: +1.500 mn expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 20:32 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

CO down following private release of API crude. Waiting for public data.

GVI Trading john bland 19:48 GMT April 18, 2017
Amazing Trader Wednesday Trading Items

Odds on a 25bp rate hike in mid June have fallen to 50% today from above 70% early last week. Quite a change!

GVI Trading john bland 19:43 GMT April 18, 2017
Amazing Trader Wednesday Trading Items
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GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--

EUR symbol
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy.
Odds for one 25bp rate hike as of the June 17, 2017 meeting are now 50% (56%).

EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.0635

Pivot Point: 1.0703

20-day avg: 1.0694
50-day avg: 1.0656
200-day avg: 1.0843

GVI Forex Blog 19:33 GMT April 18, 2017
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 18 April 2017
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 18 April 2017

Livingston nh 19:25 GMT April 18, 2017
Amazing Trader Tuesday Trading Items

John - it appears that Yellen has aroused G'span's Dreaded CONUNDRUM from its long slumber

GVI Forex Blog 19:03 GMT April 18, 2017
Risk-Off Equity POsture Late in NY
Reply   

Table of Key Current Market Rates

U.S. equity markets are down again late today. The U.S. 10-yr yield is now established below the key 2.20% line

Risk-Off Equity POsture Late in NY

dc CB 19:00 GMT April 18, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 19 April 2017

1) Trump said USD is too high
2) Mnuchin said USD too High
3) Goldman abandons it Top Trade === Long the USD

Paris ib 18:42 GMT April 18, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 19 April 2017

Everything else stinks.

Livingston nh 18:29 GMT April 18, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 19 April 2017

What is the basis for the EUR/USD rally ??

GVI Trading john bland 18:23 GMT April 18, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 19 April 2017

note, if updated the chart below would show GBPUSD at about 1.2850. Some browsers will show the updated chart.

Amman wfakhoury 18:19 GMT April 18, 2017
GBPUSD buy and sell

12845 reached

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:14 GMT April 18, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 19 April 2017

Speaking of liquidity issues, GBPUSD black hole high was 1.2912, nearly 130 pips in a 1 minute bar

GVI Trading john bland 18:06 GMT April 18, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 19 April 2017

fwiw EURUSD and USDJPY COT positions are about flat.

GVI Trading john bland 18:03 GMT April 18, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 19 April 2017

COT data show the UPSIDE POTENTIAL for the GBP if today's snap election announcement is a game changer for the unit. The chart below shows there should be a lot of at risk GBP shorts vs the EUR, USD and the JPY. Look at the chart. They have been hanging onto them for a good while already...

GBPUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

Amman wfakhoury 18:02 GMT April 18, 2017
GBPUSD buy and sell

Amman wfakhoury 15:29 GMT 04/18/2017
GBPUSD buy and sell

Now 12760
12810 will be reached
12640 will be reached
buy or sell ..then add to reach to your level
_____________________
12810 reached and more
still need to go up 12845

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:57 GMT April 18, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 19 April 2017

Well that was quite the stop run and appears the offset was in the JPY as USDJPY barely moved.

kl fs 17:55 GMT April 18, 2017
..

shawn it should close above 1.2770 otherwise big confusion tomorrow

kl shawn 17:51 GMT April 18, 2017
..

lots of yummy stops taken...now lets see how strong the defense is before settling down for a close

kl fs 17:49 GMT April 18, 2017
..

wat was that? fat finger?

JEddah Abb 17:45 GMT April 18, 2017
..
Reply   
3 levels of gbp reached..

GVI Forex Blog 17:15 GMT April 18, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 19 April 2017
Reply   

Trading Ideas for 19 Apr 2017

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Forex Trading Outlook

Items likely to drive FX rates:
  • Major markets are all finally back from the Easter break. Markets coming back are in a mild risk Off posture.

  • Tuesday had no scheduled "Event Risk" items, but the U.K. hit the markets with a surprise announcement by PM May for a "snap election" on June 8. Recent polls have shown her with an unprecedented 20 point lead over the opposition Labour Party. This could be an ideal opportunity for the Conservatives to increase their majority in Parliament and thus give May a stronger hand in "Brexit" negotiations with the EU.

  • The snap election could turn out to be a game changer for the GBP. if it is, according to the weekly CFTC Commitment of Trader Reports, there are a large number of shorts on the top side at risk to being blown out. So be alert.

  • Wednesday and Thursday see no major Event-Risk items from the U.S. On the other hand, Friday sees a very active calendar. Keep a close watch on U.S. Equity and Fixed Income markets.

  • Please comment...

    John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

    Forex Trading Ideas For 19 April 2017

HK [email protected] 17:06 GMT April 18, 2017
Today is not the day of PPT:)
Reply   

Markets are gripped by fear that Badboy may provoke at any moment.
Maybe a small missile.

Livingston nh 16:42 GMT April 18, 2017
Amazing Trader Tuesday Trading Items

John the 2yr is only 4 tix away from the Friday 24th level that induced the Fed yakkers into a panic the next week - LIVE LIVE

GVI Trading john bland 16:07 GMT April 18, 2017
Amazing Trader Tuesday Trading Items

I am wondering if there is a yield level at which the Fed starts to worry about the 10-yr yield. I am thinking we are there. In response to concern they could consider starting cautiously to reduce their reinvestment activity.

Thoughts??

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:06 GMT April 18, 2017
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GBPUSD HOD 1.2672 = Amazing Trader target posted earlier in this thread.

GVI Trading john bland 16:04 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Atlanta Fed 1Q17 +0.50% unch vs. 4/14

GVI Trading john bland 15:45 GMT April 18, 2017
Equity Risk-Off Late In Europe After U.K. Snap Election Announcement
Reply   

Table of Key Current Market Rates


PAR 15:39 GMT April 18, 2017
YEMEN
Reply   
Saudi military plane crashes in Yemen .

Amman wfakhoury 15:29 GMT April 18, 2017
GBPUSD buy and sell
Reply   
GBPUSD buy and sell

Now 12760
12810 will be reached
12640 will be reached
buy or sell ..then add to reach to your level


The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

GVI Forex Blog 15:24 GMT April 18, 2017
GVI Data Calendar for 19 April 2017
Reply   

Forex Data Calendar For Traders

April 18, 2017 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, April 18, 2017.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: EZ- final HICP
  • North America: US- Mortgages, EIA Crude, Beige Book

 

 

WEEKLY EVENT RISK Calendar:

Wed 19 Apr
14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 20 Apr
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 21 Apr
All Day- flash PMIs
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales

GVI Data Calendar for 19 April 2017

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:31 GMT April 18, 2017
How to Get Long the GBPUSD Today
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Livingston nh 14:16 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

The Fed better stop being scared of the balance sheet - stop replacing the maturing debt - the 2/10 spread keeps shrinking

GVI Trading john bland 14:07 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

US military reportedly considering shooting down North Korean missile tests to show US strength - UK press - Pentagon said to be searching for ways beyond war to pressure NK to denuclearize - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:03 GMT April 18, 2017
Amazing Trader Tuesday Trading Items

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To state the obvious, it is all about the GBP and its crosses. Offsets out of EURGBP is one reason why EURUSD paused just below Amazing Trader key resistance at 1.0701

GVI Trading john bland 13:49 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Fed's George
-- Fed not targeting USD
-- Fiscal Stim "upside risk"
-- wants to move slowly on balance sheet reduction

GVI Trading john bland 13:42 GMT April 18, 2017
Amazing Trader Tuesday Trading Items

GS ends its long USD recommendation from November
-- global growth increasing. better vs. U.S.
-- Administration against higher USD
-- Fed less hawkish on taper than expected

>> CNBC

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:18 GMT April 18, 2017
Tell Us About Your Trading And...

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Exclusive Trading Strategy

GVI Trading john bland 13:17 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization March 2017

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Ind Production: +0.50% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.50% (r +0.30%) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 76.10% vs. 76.20% exp. vs. 75.40% (r 75.70%) prev.


RELEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:14 GMT April 18, 2017
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Amazing Trader GBPUSD res

1.2704 (broken)
1.2725 (tested)
1.2772 (key level)

JEddah Abb 13:04 GMT April 18, 2017
..
Reply   
gbpusd sholuld later see arround 1.285 gbpchf 1.27 60-90 eurgbp 0.8368

GVI Forex Blog 12:43 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS: Housing Starts And Permits In March 2017
Reply   

Housing Starts/Permits. Starts and Permits Mixed in March 2017.

U.S. House Starts mixed against expectations

BREAKING NEWS: Housing Starts And Permits In March 2017

GVI Trading john bland 12:32 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Mixed data after revisons

GVI Trading john bland 12:31 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS




NEWS ALERT
Starts: 1.220 vs. 1.260 exp. vs. 1.290 (r 1.303) prev.
Permits: 1.260 vs. 1.253 exp. vs. 1.210 (r 1.216)prev.


New Residential Construction



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Tallinn viies 12:29 GMT April 18, 2017
eurusd
Reply   
sq now on eurusd.
euro just made new monthly high. seems that more to come.next target 1,0808.

GVI Trading john bland 12:07 GMT April 18, 2017
Join Our Tuesday Meeting

meeting underway discussing EUR and GBP after U.K. election announcement.

Join in...

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:19 GMT April 18, 2017
Join Our Tuesday Meeting
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The surprise UK election announcement has left little time to settle back in after the long Easter break. See the outlook for the day and period ahead in our Tuesday meeting..

All are invited to attend: We will be in the room 15 minutes early to answer questions and discuss anything to do with trading.

Strategy meeting Tuesday, April 18

Meeting: 12:00-12:15 GMT (08:00-08:15 EDT).

See You There!

Meeting url: https://www.gotomeet.me/JayMeisler

Livingston nh 10:55 GMT April 18, 2017
UK election

knez - I don't know-- I think May waited until the EU was officially notified to call the election because it would complicate a reversal BUT the UK folks here understand better

Belgrade Knez 10:51 GMT April 18, 2017
UK election

Livingston nh 10:50 GMT 04/18/2017
knez - That's the HOPE -- the polls don't reflect the seats at risk

as brexit was already triggered, I don't think it can be reversed. or it can be?

Livingston nh 10:50 GMT April 18, 2017
UK election

knez - That's the HOPE -- the polls don't reflect the seats at risk

Belgrade Knez 10:42 GMT April 18, 2017
UK election
Reply   

What will happen if candidate who is against brexit win the election in June?



Livingston nh 10:41 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

acc - most politicians think HOPE is a plan -- "this time the voters will see our Party as an alternative to _______"

GVI Trading john bland 10:34 GMT April 18, 2017
Amazing Trader Tuesday Trading Items

Risk-Off
DAX -80
DJ -49
SP-8.3

10-yr 2.220% -2.8bp

Sydney ACC 10:26 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

But will they be in Westminster after the lection.

Quite a dilemma.

Livingston nh 10:25 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

ACC - some in Labour might see it as a chance to clear away the leader after an electoral rout

Sydney ACC 10:24 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Extraordinarily blunt message from Theresa May, attacking other parties for threatening Brexit with their "game-playing". Quite explicitly, she's saying to the public: vote Tory, or Brexit is screwed

As Theresa May says a successful Brexit can only be achieved with a big Tory majority - where does this leave Ukip? Will Nigel Farage and Paul Nuttall agree, and not fight the election? How will they counter Mrs May's argument that Brexit requires a Tory landslide?

Anti-Corbyn Labour MPs will be in a dilemma. Will they really relish voting for a general election? On the one hand, a general election represents their best chance of getting rid of Jeremy Corbyn. On the other hand, it also puts their own jobs at risk.

GVI Trading 10:20 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

PM MAY STATEMENT: CALLS FOR GENERAL ELECTION JUNE 8TH (as speculated); needs a stronger mandate to negotiate Brexit with EU - Will table motion to call for Jun 8th election on Apr 19th - Source TradeTheNews.com

Sydney ACC 10:19 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Parliament has to agree to an early election. A majority of two-thirds is required for an election to proceed.

Given the lead the Tories have, the disarray within Labour how real is it that an election will be held.

Sounds a bit like the turkeys voting for CXhristmas

Livingston nh 10:13 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Makes sense for snap election in June - should be good for GBP

Hong Kong 09:51 GMT April 18, 2017
AceTrader Apr 18: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY
Reply   
Update Time: 18 Apr 2017 09:27 GMT

USD/JPY - 108.87
Despite the greenback's resumption of recent losing streak to a fresh 5-month trough at 108.13 yesterday, subsequent rally to 109.22 in Asia today suggests recent erratic downtrend has made a minor low there and choppy trading with upside bias would be seen for retracement towards 109.39, then to 109.85/86.
However, as broad-outlook remains consolidative, reckon 110.14 (previous support) would remain intact and yield retreat.

On the downside, only below 108.13 would revive bearishness for one more fall to 108.30 but as this move is losing downward momentum, reckon 108.13 would hold and bring a much-needed correction later this week.

GVI Trading john bland 09:49 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Weekend polls showed the Conservatives with an unprecedented 20% lead over Labor., so it would make sense for May to try solidify her lead while she can with little electoral risk and gain a personal mandate.

GVI Forex Blog 09:43 GMT April 18, 2017
Amazing Trader Ideas For 18 April 2017
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EUR symbol Forex trading has come back to life with a bang on speculation that UK PM May will be calling for a snap election to strenghten her negotiating hand into Brexit

Amazing Trader Ideas For 18 April 2017

London 09:34 GMT April 18, 2017
Visit us for 14 days free on our 160% profit account verify
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.2520 Target: +65 Stop: -65

We can send signals to your WhatsApp or MT4

Forex signals

GVI Trading john bland 09:26 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

If May will be calling for a snap election. That info should leak out? I just heard on CNBC that she will be speaking from Downing Street. That location is usually reserved for major announcements.

HK [email protected] 09:22 GMT April 18, 2017
Snap election to strengthen her hand into Brexit negotiations.
Reply   


But she said:"BREXIT IS BREXIT".

Wahahahahahahahahaha.........!!!!!!!!!!!!!

GVI Trading john bland 09:22 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

EURGBP up sharply

GVI Trading john bland 09:18 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

GBP weaker into May announcement.

GVI Forex Blog 09:14 GMT April 18, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 18 April 2017
Reply   

Trading Ideas for 18 Apr 2017

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Forex Trading Outlook

Items likely to drive FX rates:
  • Major markets are all finally back from the Easter break. Markets coming back are in a mild risk Off posture. We are waiting now for a statement from PM May at 06{15 ET. No drtails hav been released.

  • Tuesday sees the release of two moderate low Event-Risk items from the U.S. (House Starts/Permits and Industrial Production). Keep a close watch on U.S. Equity and Fixed Income markets.

  • This is a slow week for major Event Risk items.

  • Please comment...

    John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

    Forex Trading Ideas For 18 April 2017

GVI Trading john bland 09:07 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Chatter PM May might be calling for a snap election to strengthen her hand into Brexit negotiations.

GVI Trading john bland 09:02 GMT April 18, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

PM Theresa May to make statement at 06:15 ET (10:15 GMT) - No details - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 08:56 GMT April 18, 2017
Mild Equity Risk On Posture Early on April 18, 2017
Reply   

Far East equity markets closed the day mostly lower. Early in Europe, shares are opening mostly from their Thursday closes. U.S. equity futures are lower from late Monday. In forex, the USD is mixed, while the EUR is mixed on its key crosses.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

Mild Equity Risk On Posture Early on April 18, 2017

PAR 07:08 GMT April 18, 2017
RISK ON
Reply   
Macron and no action against North Korea boosting world stock markets.
Mnuchin wants a strong US dollar . Trump wants a weak US dollar.

If hyou cannot convince , confuse

Singapore 06:23 GMT April 18, 2017
GBP/USD: Bulls struggle with 1.2575
Reply   


The rebound in GBP/USD from 1.2550 levels lost legs near 1.2575 region, knocking-off the rate slightly lower, as risk-off sentiment seeps back into markets.

A turnaround in risk sentiment is witnessed over the last hour, as investors turn cautious following the release of downbeat China’s home prices data and RBA April meeting minutes.

Further, broad based commodities’ sell-off combined with negative treasury yields fuel a renewed risk-aversion wave, which dents investors’ appetite for risk assets such as the equities, GBP etc.

However, losses appear capped amid fresh USD selling across the board, while investors gear up for a fresh batch of US economic data slated for release in the NA session amid full markets.
GBP/USD Levels to consider

Momentum above 1.2599 (Monday’s high) could lift the pair above 1.2618 (Mar 27 high), beyond which a test of 1.2650 (psychological levels) is imminent. Conversely, a break below 1.2539/19 (5 & 200-DMA), leading to a subsequent break below 1.2489/88 (10 & 20-DMA) is likely to drag the pair towards testing its next support near 1.2425-20 zone.

TREND INDEX
Bearish

AVG SELL PRICE
1.2511

AVG BUY PRICE
1.2405

Forex Trading Signals

Hong Kong 03:10 GMT April 18, 2017
AceTrader Apr 18: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views-EUR/USD
Reply   
18 Apr 2017 02:46GMT

USD/JPY - 108.96.. Dlr pares Monday's impressive gain from a 5-month low of 108.13 (Asia) to 109.05 in New York session after U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin reiterated his view that a strong usd over the long term is positive for the U.S.

Short-term specs bot the greenback in Australia and price hit intra-day high of 109.22 at Tokyo open before retreating. Looks like a temp. top has been made n consolidation would continue until European open.
As the Nikkie is in positive territory and U.S. Treasury yields has rebounded in New York session yesterday after recent decline, intra-day upside bias remains for further gain later in the day.
Bids are noted at 108.90-70 with stops below 108.60, offers are tipped at 109.20/30 with stops above 109.40.

U.S. will release housing starts, building permits, Redbook retail sales, industrial production, capacity utilisation and manf. output later in the day. Kansas City Fed President Esther George (non voter) will speak at 13:00GMT.

USA ZEUS 00:23 GMT April 18, 2017
USD/JPY Swing trade

USD/JPY Swing trade
USA ZEUS 02:14 GMT 04/17/2017
Long USD/JPY at 108.14 for a swing higher.

Cheers!
__________________________________________________

1/2 USD/JPY long closed at 109.14 for + 100 pips gain.
B/E stop set for remaining.
Additionally, may buy some back on a pullback (without an update here.)

Cheers!

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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