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Forex Forum Archive for 04/20/2017

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Livingston nh 21:59 GMT April 20, 2017
RISK ON

SPX - MACD has been declining since early March - Price broke 21 dma in mid-March, then the 40 dma bounced off the daily 55 ema -- declining 21 dma broke below the 40 dma last week and price closed below 55 ema

Today the MACD started to crawl higher -- the SPX pattern to watch for is a NEW HIGH price with a much lower MACD than early March // if seen, MAY not be too lusty

dc CB 20:17 GMT April 20, 2017
RISK ON

dc CB 23:51 GMT April 19, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 20 April 2017: Reply
SToX . this is OPEX week. Thurs is usually the start of the battle for the Option's Sellers, who want to Zero them out. Lots'o fear premium has been sold.

Headline at Zero Hedge:
Shorts Smoked - Stocks End 'High'

GVI Trading john bland 19:42 GMT April 20, 2017
RISK ON

PAR- good point. Note below the jump in Fed Funds Futures...

PAR 19:38 GMT April 20, 2017
RISK ON
Reply   
Trump and Macron boosting world stock markets.

GVI Trading john bland 19:38 GMT April 20, 2017
Amazing Trader Friday Trading Items
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GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--

EUR symbol The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy.
Odds for one 25bp rate hike as of the June 17, 2017 meeting are now 66% (54%).


EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.0723

Pivot Point: 1.0737

20-day avg: 1.0687
50-day avg: 1.0662
200-day avg: 1.0839

GVI Forex Blog 19:32 GMT April 20, 2017
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 20 April 2017
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 20 April 2017

GVI Forex Blog 19:02 GMT April 20, 2017
Risk On in Equities Late Thursday. Bond Yields Are Higher. Forex Markets Mixed
Reply   

U.S. equity markets are mostly higher. The U.S. 10-yr yield is ending above the key 2.20% line. In forex, the USD is mixed. EUR crosses are miixed as well.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

Risk On in Equities Late Thursday. Bond Yields Are Higher. Forex Markets Mixed

GVI Forex Blog 17:52 GMT April 20, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 21 April 2017
Reply   

Trading Ideas for 21 Apr 2017

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Forex Trading Outlook

Items likely to drive FX rates:
  • Thursday saw no major U.S. Event-Risk items. A new item was a French pre-election poll which indicated that the two non-extremist candidates had gained on the others. That triggered some EURUSD short-covering on Thursday.

  • Friday features a very active calendar featuring the first look at April PMI (flash) data. As always, we will be keeping a close watch on U.S. Equity and Fixed Income markets. Also hanging over trading will be the uncertainties surrounding the Sunday French Presidential elections.

  • Doubts also persist about the implementation of the Trump economic agenda. These doubts have been a weight on stock prices and bond yields.

  • Please comment...

    John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

    Forex Trading Ideas For 21 April 2017

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:48 GMT April 20, 2017
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Look at the double top at 1.0777 - clear as can be and line drawn well in advance.

Paris ib 17:12 GMT April 20, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 20 April 2017

Not exactly... just a bit of an idiot. Seriously flawed candidate.

Made for media... but not very well made.

GVI Trading john bland 17:10 GMT April 20, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 20 April 2017

Lol I guess I can see why Macron is popular is he a comedian?

GVI Trading john bland 17:03 GMT April 20, 2017
Risk-On in Equities as of the European Close
Reply   

Table of Key Current Market Rates

GVI Forex Blog 16:51 GMT April 20, 2017
GVI Data Calendar for 21 April 2017
Reply   

Forex Data Calendar For Traders

April 20, 2017 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, April 21, 2017.

  • Far East: JP- flash PMI
  • Europe: EU- flash PMIs, GB- Retail Sales
  • North America: CA- CPI, US- flash PMIs, Existing Homes Sales, Rig Count, COT Report

WEEKLY EVENT RISK Calendar:
Fri 21 Apr
All Day- flash PMIs
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales

GVI Data Calendar for 21 April 2017

Paris ib 16:46 GMT April 20, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 20 April 2017

Just for reference John, who are the two moderate candidates in the French election? Fillon maybe? Who is the other one?

FWIW the French are sick of the European Union, sick of mass immigration, had it with austerity and globalist policies generally.... but they don't have strong ideas. A lot of people I talk to are going to pick Le Pen for the first round, just because, and then see what pops up in the second round before they make a definitive choice. But I live in a right wing area, not as right wing as Marseille maybe - which has seen massive levels of immigration over the years - but still pretty darn right wing. Macron keeps making a wally of himself. Only the establishment and the Anglo media seem to see him as a viable candidate.

The vision thing... we think

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:43 GMT April 20, 2017
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Amman wfakhoury 15:41 GMT April 20, 2017
GBPUSD 12845

Returned to 12840 from 12824

Amman wfakhoury 15:12 GMT April 20, 2017
GBPUSD 12845

Back again to 12848 will be reached
return 12840
this is good for scalpers.


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Amman wfakhoury 15:06 GMT April 20, 2017
GBPUSD 12845

Amman wfakhoury 10:05 GMT 04/20/2017
now 12822
12845 will be reached
12832 return
_______________
12845 reached .


The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

douglas pjh 14:49 GMT April 20, 2017
eur/usd correlation
Reply   
Buy EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

rise in euro due to eur/jpy which had daily engulfing candle on the 17th and some usd upside mo but French thing is going to rattle things so I am out

GVI Trading john bland 14:33 GMT April 20, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

EIA U.S. Natural Gas

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) +54 vs: +50 expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 14:16 GMT April 20, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Greenspan on CNBC French election is "scary"
-- Greece has to leave Eurozone
-- eventually EZ will divide into two zones North and South
-- France has deteriorated badly in recent months
--Germany doing well

>> interview on CNBC

GVI Trading john bland 14:03 GMT April 20, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Leading Indicators March 2017

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
+0.40% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. 0.60% (r +0.50%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Amman wfakhoury 13:54 GMT April 20, 2017
EURUSD 10785

Amman wfakhoury 09:32 GMT 04/20/2017
EURUSD Now 10770
10785 will be reached.
10768 return level if price moved in opposite direction before reach 10785
_________________
The price returned to 10768 from10740
Will continue to 10785 if closed above 10785


The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:29 GMT April 20, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 20 April 2017



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Amazing Trader in real-time hits 2nd target - see chart

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:24 GMT April 20, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 20 April 2017

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Amazing Trader working like a textbook case today:

EURUSD dip off its high held above 1.0736 (clear Amazing Trader support and as I noted, keeps a bid as long as above it = buy on dips) and bounce from it reaching our first target and now trying for the next one at 1.0764. All displayed on your charts by the Amazing Trader.

GVI Forex Blog 12:40 GMT April 20, 2017
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Increase Slightly
Reply   

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims rise modestly.

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Chart
<Click on chart for over seventeen-year history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Increase Slightly

GVI Trading john bland 12:31 GMT April 20, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Philly Fed Index April 2017



NEWS ALERT
+22.0 vs. +25.00 exp. vs. +32.80 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Trading john bland 12:30 GMT April 20, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

US Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT
244K vs. 242K exp vs. 234K prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 11:53 GMT April 20, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 20 April 2017

I heard chatter earlier today that the two "moderate" candidates in the French election on Sunday have a better chance to become the two finalists in Sunday's vote. This is how the EURUSD spike was explained. Theses days I would advise against trusting any political poll.

Amman wfakhoury 10:05 GMT April 20, 2017
GBPUSD 12845
Reply   
now 12822
12845 will be reached
12832 return


The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

Amman wfakhoury 09:32 GMT April 20, 2017
EURUSD 10785
Reply   
EURUSD Now 10770
10785 will be reached.
10768 return level if price moved in opposite direction before reach 10785


The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

Hong Kong 09:32 GMT April 20, 2017
AceTrader Apr 20: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY
Reply   
Update Time: 20 Apr 2017 09:01 GMT

USD/JPY - 109.03
Despite the greenback's resumption of recent losing streak to a fresh 5-month trough at 108.13 on Monday, subsequent rally to 109.22 yesterday suggests recent erratic downtrend has made a minor low there and choppy trading with upside bias would be seen for retracement towards 109.39, then to 109.85/86.
However, as broad-outlook remains consolidative, reckon 110.14 (previous support, now resistance) would remain intact and yield retreat.

On the downside, only below 108.13 would revive bearishness for one more fall to 108.30 but as this move is losing downward momentum, reckon 108.13 would hold and bring a much-needed correction later this week.

GVI Trading john bland 08:49 GMT April 20, 2017
Amazing Trader Thursday Trading Items

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The GVI Forex Forum is a "live" commentary updated all day. It supplements the continuously updated Amazing Trader charts which generate precise Support and Resistance levels for major currencies in multiple time frames. View trading strategies, test ideas, post comments, ask questions, etc. on the GVI Forum. For access contact: [email protected]

GVI Forex Blog 08:39 GMT April 20, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 20 April 2017
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Trading Ideas for 20 Apr 2017

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Forex Trading Outlook

Items likely to drive FX rates:
  • Thursday sees no major Event-Risk items from the U.S. On the other hand, Friday features a very active calendar. Keep a close watch on U.S. Equity and Fixed Income markets.

  • Hanging over trading are uncertainties surrounding French Presidential elections on Sunday. The four top candidates are all polling in the range of error against the others.

  • Doubts also persist about the implementation of the Trump economic agenda. These doubts have been a weight on stock prices and bond yields.

  • Please comment...

    John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

    Forex Trading Ideas For 20 April 2017

GVI Forex Blog 08:33 GMT April 20, 2017
Mild Equity Risk On Posture Early on April 20, 2017. EUR Broadly Higher
Reply   

Far East equity markets closed the day mostly up. Early in Europe, shares are trading mixed. U.S. equity futures are up from late Wednesday. In forex, the USD is mostly, while the EUR is broadly up on its key crosses.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

Mild Equity Risk On Posture Early on April 20, 2017. EUR Broadly Higher

Tallinn viies 07:54 GMT April 20, 2017
eurusd
Reply   
my stop and reverse got done but no follow trough.
sold again euro at 1,0743 with a bit wider stop at 1,0793.
target 1,0650

Amman wfakhoury 07:18 GMT April 20, 2017
EURUSD

Amman wfakhoury 13:45 GMT 04/19/2017
Buy here 10710 tp 10730 add buy if decline.
____________________________
The consolidation movement from 10710-30 was completed.
Await the new call

The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

Singapore 05:56 GMT April 20, 2017
GBP/USD Analysis
Reply   


GBP/USD Current price: 1.2806
After yesterday, the pound made a modest retreat in the market on Thursday. It preserved key technical levels that broke during Wednesday’s rally.

The GBP/USD pair failed several attempts to regain 1.28 handle in early Asia, and now wavers in an almost 20-pips trading range, as persistent US dollar strength across the board keeps the prices in check.

However, the spot manages to find some support from risk-on trades amid positive Asian stocks and oil prices, which buoys the sentiment around the risk currency GBP.

GBP/USD LEVELS:
Momentum above 1.2860 (daily high) could lift the pair above 1.2912 (flash rally high), beyond which a test of 1.2950 (psychological levels) is imminent. Conversely, a break below 1.2773 (daily low), leading to a subsequent break below 1.2750 (psychological levels) is likely to drag the pair towards testing its next support near 1.2706 (5-DMA).

TREND INDEX
Strongly Bearish

AVG SELL PRICE
1.2781

AVG BUY PRICE
1.2528

Forex Trading Tips

Tallinn viies 03:57 GMT April 20, 2017
eurusd
Reply   
short euro at 1,0720 stop and reverse at 1,0745.
target at 1,0665

Hong Kong 02:54 GMT April 20, 2017
AceTrader Apr 20: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views- USD/JPY
Reply   
20 Apr 2017 02:18GMT

USD/JPY - 109.00.. The pair swung fairly wildly in Wednesday trading. Despite rising steadily from 108.38 (Australia) on continued cross-selling in yen in Asia on then dlr-supportive comments by U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin during European morning and then gain to session highs of 109.18 in New York morning, price fell back to 108.69/70 in New York afternoon on cross unwinding in yen.

Today, dlr has ratcheted higher in Asia as modest gain in the Nikkie plus rebound in U.S. Treasury yields (benchmark 10-year yield has risen from Tuesday's 5-month low of 2.165% to 2.214% today) have boosted risk appetite, suggesting choppy sideways swings with near term upside bias remains.

Bids are noted at 108.80-70 with some stops below there, more buying interest is reported at 108.40-30.
Offers are tipped at 109.15/25 with stops touted above 109.40.

U.S. will release weekly jobless claims, Philly Fed business survey n leading indicators. Fed governor Powell will speak at a financial forum at 12:00GMT.

dc CB 02:06 GMT April 20, 2017
D'OH of the Day
Reply   
I'm StupIfied...
Who cuda seen that cummin'

Study Says

dc CB 02:00 GMT April 20, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 20 April 2017

or the earlier
Clash v 2010

April

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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