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Forex Forum Archive for 04/21/2017

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 21:57 GMT April 21, 2017
Trump: another try to get him down

dil
PS
Trump was a NYC Democrat, who ran on the Repub ticket and massaaaacreeeeeddd 16 of the best the Repub cud muster.

Then he trounced the Queen Apparent.

Now he's doing just about everything that the the Queeen wud have done, only with a 90 day delay......WAR

F*&K he's even going after Assange.

Instead of MAGA hat's, all his supporters should be wearing those propeller beanies --- I'm with President 180!!

dc CB 21:49 GMT April 21, 2017
French election

nh
My fear is that...with so much to lose...like the EU. Elements will be let lose.
I'm basically flat, with a tiny Call in summer crude.

dc CB 21:46 GMT April 21, 2017
Trump: another try to get him down

dil
Yeh, Trump has a serious mental illness alright, it's called 180itis.

I find myself alone with no friends to back me up like the stuff I said I wud do if you elected me...
Sell out...How Much.
Deal.

dc CB 21:41 GMT April 21, 2017
Commitment Of Traders Report for 18 April 2017

the crude count was made before Wed's and today's Spanks-a-lot.
However show that the producers were increasing their selling to the Specs.

CL sides

Livingston nh 21:14 GMT April 21, 2017
French election
Reply   
the Presidential election may influence Parliamentary elections if the socialists and right wing candidates go to the second round -- these two have more in common than is generally acknowledged and a coalition of these two parties would have an easy majority

Populism is by its nature Socialist

Livingston nh 20:42 GMT April 21, 2017
Trump: another try to get him down

dil - the folks that voted for President Trump don't credit 'experts' any more - they are perceived as what's wrong with the schools, the culture, the economy

Livingston nh 20:26 GMT April 21, 2017
TRUMP

One of the problems w/ the tax code is it is too confusing -- try to use the code for social purposes and offsets (i.e. subsidies for corn states and tax offsets for the liberal states) -- the average taxpayer goes to a Tax preparer and pays for return -- the initial reviewers of returns at the IRS are not competent enough because the code is too complicated so the interaction w/ taxpayers is usually unfavorable

Regulation hurts Business more than corp tax so fix that FIRST - that is an easy one and would keep republican libs in Trump republican party // pick the low hanging fruit

Israel Dil 20:20 GMT April 21, 2017
Trump: another try to get him down
Reply   
Trump, you are so lucky to get those types to hate you...

Trump, can you beat these ones?

GVI Trading john bland 19:42 GMT April 21, 2017
Commitment Of Traders Report for 18 April 2017
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details




GVI Forex Blog 19:16 GMT April 21, 2017
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 21 April 2017
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 21 April 2017

dc CB 18:38 GMT April 21, 2017
TRUMP

180'd

Health Care and Tax Reform. by the numbers

Phil's

PAR 18:03 GMT April 21, 2017
TRUMP
Reply   
Tax cut proposal next week. Massive cuts , panic buying in stock market.
Again?

Israel Dil 17:11 GMT April 21, 2017
crude

10% move in 72hrs as 2-3 times per month ritual... that's the market ;-)))

GVI Trading john bland 17:04 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Rig Count rises are relentless, except for Canada...

GVI Trading john bland 17:03 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Baker Hughes Rig Count



NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 857 vs. 847 (+10) prev.
Oil: 688 vs. 683 (+5)

Canada:
Total 98 vs. 118 (-20)


TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 16:29 GMT April 21, 2017
crude

"paper" crude is the new Comex Gold and Silver market---with bigger rewards. in the hours since the Pit opened at 9AM, the highest volume this month.
There will be margin calls. Wipe out into the Pit close at 2:30PM??? low 48 handle?

GVI Trading john bland 16:10 GMT April 21, 2017
Risk-Off at European Close Into French Vote
Reply   

Table of Key Current Market Rates

Israel Dil 15:45 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

FWIW: Fisher have loads of experience to work with Trump alike ego maniac (aka PM Netanyahu), he wouldn't join the FED without having its top seat in mind.

Israel Dil 15:39 GMT April 21, 2017
crude

100 years ago the dismiss of the British empire began with the poor drawings of Middle East borders. it's a well known fact that current POTUS is really terrible with having knowledge about historical facts. just falling into the trap started by leaving the coil mines in Korea and moving to the oil fields of the middle east.

GVI Trading john bland 15:28 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

NY Fed 1Q17 GDP forecast 2.7% vs. 2.6% on 4/14

>> tradethenws.com >>

Israel Dil 15:27 GMT April 21, 2017
crude

Syria comes back to the headlines with active Israeli involvement... stay tuned ;-)))

PAR 15:22 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Talking up the stock markets has become a daily obsession of the world central bankers . They all want a job at a hedge as quickly as possible .

Israel Dil 15:19 GMT April 21, 2017
crude

Buy Crude
Entry: Target: $55-$65-$75 Stop: $48.60

gl/gt

dc CB 15:19 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Fisher - the New Bullard.

FISCHER: "WE ARE NOT TIED TO 3 RATE HIKES"

PAR 15:18 GMT April 21, 2017
CRUDE
Reply   
Long WTI 49.50.

Israel Dil 15:04 GMT April 21, 2017
180'd

no he will not, his cash supply vendor machine owners have no need for ego wars with an acting POTUS... Tony Blair with an American accent, dark skin, and still the very same lack of any belief other than cash.

PAR 15:02 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

European stocks higher after Draghi talks the Euro down .

Israel Dil 14:57 GMT April 21, 2017
crude
Reply   
nears the BUY region for the run above $55

can't see revisit of 47.xx handle, but who knows?

63% of cars manufactured by Tesla are part of a recall

PAR 14:57 GMT April 21, 2017
CRUDE
Reply   
Crude drops below $50 on weak US economic data.

dc CB 14:56 GMT April 21, 2017
180'd

He's baaaaaaaaack

Obama’s Silence to End, But He Won’t Criticize Trump

NYT

GVI Forex 14:52 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

EURUSD may have dipped on a dovish Draghi

10:31 (EU) ECB's Draghi: very substantial degree of monetary accommodation is still needed; underlying inflation has not shown a convincing upward trend - statement to IMF conf
- Risks of deflation has largely disappeared
- Headline inflation likely to fluctuate around current levels over next months; expect core inflation to rise gradually over the medium term
- Euro area growth is firming and broadening
- We need to make progress on completing the banking union by moving forwards in parallel on risk sharing and risk reduction
- Prepared to increase bond purchase program if the outlook becomes less favorable

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Israel Dil 14:51 GMT April 21, 2017
180'd

that's the trophy for bringing Hillary under light and indirectly helping for Trump's victory...

watch closely South Syria and how US sponsored troops take the control there, the one trillion dollars question, is that agenda is approved by the Russians?

dc CB 14:38 GMT April 21, 2017
180'd

As noted last evening.
US authorities have prepared charges to seek the arrest of WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange
CNN
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

just what do you think the response will be if the US goes thru with this...vis a vis The Underground Hacking community.
"Unleash the Kraken"

dc CB 14:34 GMT April 21, 2017
RISK ON

courtesy of Bank of America which in the latest overnight note from Michael Hartnett notes that central banks (ECB & BoJ) have bought $1 trillion of financial assets just in the first four months of 2017, which amounts to $3.6 trillion annualized, "the largest CB buying on record."

the "Liquidity Supernova is the best explanation why global stocks & bonds both annualizing double-digit gains YTD despite Trump, Le Pen, China, macro..."

"Nothing Matters"

dc CB 14:30 GMT April 21, 2017
RISK ON

"Le Pen’s momentum is a slow-moving reaction against the men of Davos - as we have seen with Brexit and Trump - but markets don’t want to believe it."

Charles Gave, founder of Hong-Kong based asset-allocation consultancy GaveKal Research, who, as Bloomberg reports, predicted the triumph of Donald Trump in the U.S. election, and is now betting on a win for the anti-euro National Front candidate.

Le Pen Victory

PAR 14:25 GMT April 21, 2017
RISK ON
Reply   
Trump s tax plan more important than French elections .

GVI Forex Blog 14:24 GMT April 21, 2017
Breaking News: U.S. Existing Homes Sales Beat For March 2017
Reply   

U.S., Existing Homes Sales

Most significant housing statistic. Data stronger than forecast. Previous data revised higher

Breaking News: U.S. Existing Homes Sales Beat For March 2017

Tallinn viies 14:19 GMT April 21, 2017
eurusd
Reply   
took small long euro at 1,0700 with stop at 1,0650 with target 1,0770.

PAR 14:07 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Investing.com – Business activity in the U.S. private sector unexpectedly weakened in April to its slowest pace in seven months, dampening optimism over the American economy, according to preliminary data released on Friday.
In a report, market research group Markit said that its flash services purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 52.5 in April, from the prior month’s reading of 52.8.
Analysts had expected the reading to recover to 53.0.
Services make up approximately 80% of the U.S. economy which makes the data key for interpreting growth.
Markit also said that its flash manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) dropped to 52.8 in April from the prior month’s final reading of 53.3.

GVI Trading john bland 14:01 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln) March 2017

U.S. Data Charts





ALERT

5.710 vs. 5.550 exp. vs 5.480 (5.470) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 13:53 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. flash Markit Mfg & Service PMI. Data miss estimates. These remain second-tier releases. Final data come out at the start of the new month.

U.S. flash Markit Manufacturing PMI



U.S. flash Markit Service PMI

GVI Trading john bland 13:46 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

flash PMI data missed

GVI Trading john bland 13:45 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. flash Markit Mfg & SVC PMI April 2017





ALERT
mfg: 52.8 vs. 53.8 exp. vs. 53.3 prev.
svc: 52.5 vs. 53.7 exp. vs. 52.8



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Markit PMI Press Release

GVI Forex Blog 12:38 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI Softer Than Expected In March 2017
Reply   

Canada: CPI Misses (weaker) in March 2017

BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI Softer Than Expected In March 2017

GVI Forex Blog 12:38 GMT April 21, 2017
I Love the Amazing Trader and So Should You
Reply   

1.<

You have seen me send information on the Amazing Trader and there is a reason for it..

I LOVE the Amazing Trader, can’t trade without it, and am sure you will feel the same way after giving it a try

I Love the Amazing Trader and So Should You

GVI Trading john bland 12:31 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Canadian inflation a touch softer.

GVI Trading john bland 12:31 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Canada: CPI March 2017

Canada Charts





NEWS ALERT
Bank of Canada Medium Trimmed Core
yy:1.60% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +1.60% prev.
Headline
mm: +0.20% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.
yy: +1.60% vs. +1.80% exp. vs. +2.00% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:15 GMT April 21, 2017
Why I Love the Amazing Trader



Register for the Amazing Trader

1.

As a follow up, see this screenshot with labels for the Amazing Trader and why 1.0707 was important on top as well as the LOD at 1.0688.

Note, failure below 1.0707 saw a run towards 1.0688.

The Amazing Trader covers all major currencies in multiple time frames. it will soon add some CFDs and crosses.

Israel Dil 12:07 GMT April 21, 2017
eurusd

it's Melechon who really makes them afraid, so they divert all attention towards LePen...

how one can expect good vote for Melechon from the nation voted for Sarkozy?

Livingston nh 11:58 GMT April 21, 2017
eurusd

According to AEP at the Telegraph a lot of short term EUR put options hedging Sunday election -"This suggests that an informed core of hedge funds, banks, and traders are sufficiently concerned about an upset result that they are willing to pay a large premium for ‘put options’ on the euro, even though the euro exchange rate against the dollar is showing no sign of stress."

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:35 GMT April 21, 2017
Why I Love the Amazing Trader

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.

Hard to see big bets today as odds favor a gap opening to start the week, direction depending on the outcome of the French round one vote.

EURUSD retreat tested the bottom of former resistance/breakout levels at 1.0689 (low 1.0688). As I noted in our Amazing Trader strategy meeting on Wednesday, there was no retracement from the initial move from 1.0635-1.0735, suggesting those caught short would likely have some bids lying in wait should the pair correct. So far, this has played out.

In any case, 1.07 will set the tone and the Amazing Trader shows 1.0707 as the level that would need to be broken to suggest the current down move has seen at least a temporary bottom.

GVI Trading john bland 11:33 GMT April 21, 2017
Amazing Trader Friday Trading Items

DAX +37
DJ +10
SP +3.0

10-yr 2.237% -0.6bp

Israel Dil 11:25 GMT April 21, 2017
RISK ON

paris ib

Obama in public supports Mocron, I assume there is nothing to signal that there is a change in the horizon...

Israel Dil 10:59 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

REUTERS: Greek 2016 primary surplus seen around 4 percent of GDP, above bailout target - source

also Deutsche Bank with $150m +++ fine for algorithm assisted FX manipulation stays away from the headlines.

____________

the day money was born, fair fight died...

GVI Trading john bland 10:42 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

PAR- I would be careful with monthly retail sales data, they tend to be extraordinarily volatile for most economies. For political predictions, I like to watch longer term employment trends. Just my opinion...

Tallinn viies 10:31 GMT April 21, 2017
eurusd
Reply   
covered my short euro at 1,0692. plan to go long near 1,0660 and resell near 1,0730

GVI Forex Blog 09:57 GMT April 21, 2017
Amazing Trader Ideas For 21 April 2017
Reply   

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.

EUR symbol Markets are trading cautiously early Friday heading into the French Presidential vote on Sunday. Its outcome could have profound implications for the future of the Euro. Odds are the outcome of the election will not be decisive and a second round vote on May 2 will be required. So Sunday's vote will only determine who the two candidates will be for the run-off vote. Nevertheless, the uncertainty has the EUR trading nervously.

The EURUSD HOD has been 1.0738, while the LOD is 1.0695. The area around 1.0738 figured prominently in Thursday's trade. Absent new French developments, where we are trading relative to the 1.0700 line will set the tone.

Looking at the Amazing Trader EURUSD 5 min chart, note the number of blue resistance lines at this hour indicating the current market bias is down. Watch your charts as the short-term is always subject to change as market conditions change the session wears on. Below the LOD, the next major support is 1.0678.

Our "live" commentary is updated on the GVI Forum. Refer to your continuously updated Amazing Trader charts for precise Support and Resistance levels as the session wears on. View trading strategies, test ideas, post comments, ask questions, etc. on the GVI Forum. For access contact: [email protected]

Amazing Trader Ideas For 21 April 2017

GVI Forex Blog 08:51 GMT April 21, 2017
Forex Trading Ideas For 21 April 2017
Reply   

Trading Ideas for 21 Apr 2017

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.

Forex Trading Outlook

Items likely to drive FX rates:
  • flash PMIs from the EZ and Japan have improved for April. U.S. flash Markit PMIs are due later today.

  • The major focus today is on the French Presidential election on Sunday. A French pre-election poll Thursday indicated that the two non-extremist candidates had gained on the others. That triggered some EURUSD short-covering. Markets are nervous.

  • U.K. March Retail Sales were weaker than expected and a weight on the GBP. Key Canadian data are due early in North America.

  • Doubts also persist about the implementation of the Trump economic agenda. These doubts have been a weight on stock prices and bond yields.

  • Please comment...

    John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

    Forex Trading Ideas For 21 April 2017

GVI Forex Blog 08:37 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales For March 2017 Miss
Reply   

U.K. Retail Sales chart March 2017 U.K. Retail Sales Data weaker and missed street estimates. GBP is trading weaker.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales For March 2017 Miss

PAR 08:33 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

UK consumer gets killed . Bad time for an election ?

GVI Trading john bland 08:32 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

U.K. Retail Sales miss. GBP lower

GVI Trading john bland 08:31 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

U.K. Retail Sales March 2017

U.K. Charts




-- NEWS ALERT --

mm: -1.80% v -0.40% exp. vs. +1.40% (r +1.70%) prev.
x-fuel & autos
3mm: -1.50% v -0.50% exp. vs. +1.30% (r +1.40%) prev.

RELEASE: UK Retail Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 08:27 GMT April 21, 2017
Mixed Risk Profile Early in Europe
Reply   

Table of Key Current Market Rates

GVI Trading john bland 08:13 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS

Japan flash PMI April 2016





EARLIER NEWS ALERT
52.8 vs. 52.4 exp. vs. 52.4 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Japan Mfg PMI chart
EARLIER: Japan flash PMI improves. The Japanese Manufacturing PMI is a second-tier report, but it is still interesting when viewed in the context of other such reports. The data are improving.

GVI Forex Blog 08:06 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash PMIs Beat Forecasts
Reply   



 EZ flash PMI data chart EZ flash April 2017 PMIs Manufacturing PMIs strong advances flash April 2017 Services PMIs beat as well. Final PMIs are released at the start of each new month.

BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash PMIs Beat Forecasts

GVI Trading john bland 08:00 GMT April 21, 2017
BREAKING NEWS


EZ Flash PMIs April 2017





ALERT
EZ
mfg: 56.8 vs. 56.0 exp. vs. 56.2 prev.
svc: 56.2 vs. 56.0 exp. vs. 56.0 prev.

German
mfg: 58.2 vs. 58.0 exp. vs. 58.3 prev.
svc: 54.7 vs. 55.5 exp. vs. 55.6 prev.

France
mfg: 55.1 vs. 53.0 exp. vs. 53.3 prev.
svc: 57.7 vs. 57.2 exp. vs. 57.5 prev.


Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Paris ib 07:27 GMT April 21, 2017
RISK ON

PAR so now you are tipping Macron?

FWIW Macron is an establishment bluff and non-starter IMVHO. If this is the best the deviants can come up with then they're in trouble.

Macron is to Tony Blair what L5 was to the Spice Girls: a French imitation which sank without a trace.

PAR 06:57 GMT April 21, 2017
RISK ON
Reply   
American steel first ,coming Trumpcare , coming tax reform and likely election of capitalist Macron are boosting world stock markets.

Singapore 06:26 GMT April 21, 2017
GBP/USD struggling to defend 1.2800 handle
Reply   


The GBP/USD pair eroded part of previous session's up-move and traded with bearish bias marginally below the 1.2800 handle.
Having peaked at 1.2900 level, the highest level since early October, in wake of the UK PM Theresa May's surprise announcement on Tuesday to call for a snap election, the pair seems to have moved into consolidative phase and has struggled to move back above mid-1.2800s. Even on Thursday, the pair trimmed early gains after the US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin's optimistic remarks to bring a major tax reform, no matter the delays so far.

On the last trading day of the week, some long-unwinding trade seems to be only factor weighing on the major. The downslide, however, has been limited as investors now look forward to the release of monthly retail sales data from the UK, due later during European session.

Meanwhile, with sentiment around the British Pound turning positive, any near-term corrective slide would now be looked upon as fresh buying opportunity on possibilities of a 'soft Brexit'.

GBP/USD Levels:
Bears would be eyeing for a follow through weakness below 1.2775-70 immediate support, below which the downslide could get extended towards 1.2730 intermediate support ahead of the 1.2700 handle.

On the upside, momentum above 1.2830-35 zone could get extended towards 1.2850-60 resistance area, above which the pair is likely to aim back towards reclaiming the 1.2900 handle.

TREND INDEX
Bearish

AVG SELL PRICE
1.2835

AVG BUY PRICE
1.2563

Forex Tips

Tallinn viies 05:17 GMT April 21, 2017
eurusd
Reply   
good morning,
euro has formed this week top at 1.0777.
today I think eurusd moves down to 1.0660 where is 200 h sma.
keeping my short euro and trying to sell more at near 1.0760-65 area and covering short at 1.0660-70 area.

Hong Kong 02:24 GMT April 21, 2017
AceTrader Apr 21: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views- USD/JPY
Reply   
21 Apr 2017 01:05GMT

USD/JPY - ..... Dlr maintains a firm undertone after yesterday's cross-inspired rally from 108.72 (Europe) to 109.48 in New York n as intra-day weakness in eur/usd has led to broad-based usd strength, the pair may edge higher as o/n rally rally in the Dow ( DJI close up 174 points at 20578 ) and rebound in U.S. Treasury yields have boosted risk sentiment.

Bids are noted at 109.10-00 and more below with stops reported below 108.70.
Offers are tipped at 109.40/50 with stops above there.
However, more selling interest is noted at 109.80/90 with stops above 110.00.

U.S. will release Markey mfg and services PMIs and existing home sales later today.
G20 FinMins and central bank governors will start a 2-day meeting in Washington.

dc CB 01:09 GMT April 21, 2017
180'd
Reply   
US authorities have prepared charges to seek the arrest of WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange

CNN

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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