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Forex Forum Archive for 04/29/2017

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dc CB 21:49 GMT April 29, 2017
Commitment Of Traders Report for 25 April 2017 Data

"The Commitment of Traders Report (COT) is an imperfect, but useful, "sampling" of market positioning."

It works best at historical extremes as a pretty good warning that it is not the time to load up and go with the "trend"

recall how massive the Short Treasury positioning was because "every" speculator was sure rates were going up.
The best example is the 5 year.

Currently the 2, 10, and 30 seem to show confusion>
http://snalaska.com/cot/current/charts/TU.png
http://snalaska.com/cot/current/charts/TY.png
http://snalaska.com/cot/current/charts/US.png

5 year fuutres

GVI Forex Blog 16:29 GMT April 29, 2017
Commitment Of Traders Report for 25 April 2017 Data
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EUR symbol Most trading is all about stops. The Commitment of Traders Report (COT) is an imperfect, but useful, "sampling" of market positioning. I would prefer more frequent and precise readings, but we have to live with what we get. The data work for the purpose of getting an idea if traders are positioned long or short and if they in big or small...

Little change from a week ago. Essentially traders exited EURUSD shorts. Also, position trading simply has not been working well. Keep in mind that EUR positions are not just against the USD. EUR crosses vs. the JPY and GBP are undoubtedly significant. I avoid big ideas in EURUSD and take the market one day at a time...

Commitment Of Traders Report for 25 April 2017 Data

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:12 GMT April 29, 2017
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