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Forex Forum Archive for 09/14/2018

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GVI Forex Blog 19:58 GMT September 14, 2018
Commitment Of Traders Report For 11 September 2018 Data
Reply   
For Amazing Traders monitoring levels on stops for trading strategies... COT report position highlights:
EURUSD longs gone
USDJPY shorts narrowing
GBPUSD shorts persist
USDCAD shorts steady
AUDUSD shorts level

Commitment Of Traders Report For 11 September 2018 Data

Mtl JP 19:33 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Mary C. Daly new president replacing williams at San Francisco Fed

Mtl JP 19:05 GMT September 14, 2018
Winners and Losers

Winners and Losers
---------------------
Oh oh..ooow... a peeping sound from the crypt
(could ≠will)

Janet Yellen sees risk of economy overheating

I dont think it could be very rapid, former Fed chair says

dc CB 18:59 GMT September 14, 2018
10th Aniv Edition
Reply   
the 10th Aniv of Lehman - History Revision Week continues:
My Story and I'm Stickin' to it.

**Gammy "no financial crisis in my lifetime" Yellen.
YELLEN: U.S. MAKING GLOBAL FINANCIAL INSECURITY PROBLEMS WORSE

lkwd jj 18:16 GMT September 14, 2018
euro
Reply   
euro and gbp not respecting the 50ma, but approaching the AT trendline

dc CB 18:13 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Preliminary 2Q18 University of Michigan Strong in September 2018

A Blue Wave at the poll in Nov...IMPEACH TRUMP ----LMAO-

haifa ac 18:01 GMT September 14, 2018
Erdogan the genius.
Reply   
Now he is stopping all construction of bridges, railways, airports. to save money.

Turkey to freeze new government projects, Erdogan says

ISTANBUL, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Turkey is freezing new government investment projects, President Tayyip Erdogan said on Friday, to rein in spending and stem double-digit inflation after a 15-year construction boom fuelled by debt.

His comments, a day after the central bank hiked interest rates by a mammoth 6.25 percentage points, mark the clearest signal yet that the government may suspend some of the big-ticket bridges, ports and railway projects that have typified Turkey's transformation under Erdogan.

https://m.nasdaq.com/article/turkey-to-freeze-new-government-projects-erdogan-says-20180914-00524

Mtl JP 17:11 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

haha few "shouldhuffist" members
do they actually think they matter ?

GVI 17:06 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

A few ECB policymakers reportedly argued that this week's policy statement should have a more cautious tone, wanted statement to say risks are tilted to the downside - press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 17:05 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1055 vs. 1048 (+7) prev.
Oil: 867 8vs. 860 (+7) prev.
Canada: 226 vs. 204 (+22)


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 17:04 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS



USD / CNY reaction

probably europe going to get flooded with made-in china teddy-bear and other crap bargains - they ll have to dump their chitt somewhere

Mtl JP 16:54 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

janet going to go a-gog about how to not only achieve but surpass 2% price-inflation target

Mtl JP 16:27 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018

somehow the auto-corrector turned presidentially into providentially

GVI 16:26 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. president Trump has instructed aides to proceed with tariffs on about $200 billion more in Chinese products -bloomberg

Mtl JP 16:22 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018

I am thinking that most of "good" - providentially induced - news around the dollar is priced in. What remains to be priced is the structurals.

OR a mistake by 275 destroyer crew of firing a tomahawk at the russian
who is on record that not only he ll shoot down the tomahawk but also go after the firing platform

Mtl JP 16:12 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018

sorry typo
4x time would NOT be a surprise

Mtl JP 16:11 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018

evans yakked earlier that fed gang hiking total 4x this yr would be a surprise
I want them to hike 8x ! no 10x ! no .. I need 15-17-20% on my savings
I can't live on sub 3%

Livingston nh 16:03 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018

jp - earlier this week Fed Gov Brainard put the unknowable R* level @2.9% (CPI rate) - in December the Fed Funds will be at 2.5% // so straight line projection would put the 2 yr at 3%+ -- so the dreaded 2/10 inversion is upon us!!

Something's gotta give



Mtl JP 15:31 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018

10s 2,998%
pulling a tooth out of tiger is easier

lkwd jj 14:18 GMT September 14, 2018
euro
Reply   
1.1661 long. gbp 1.3085

GVI Forex Blog 14:08 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Preliminary 2Q18 University of Michigan Strong in September 2018
Reply   
Preliminary September 2018 Michigan Survey beat expectations big. Data revision in two weeks.
University of Michigan Sentiment Survey chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Preliminary 2Q18 University of Michigan Strong in September 2018

GVI Trader john 14:01 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index September, 2018



NEWS ALERT
100.8 vs. 96.2 exp. vs. 96.2 prev


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer

lkwd jj 13:50 GMT September 14, 2018
euro

ditto for gbp as it nears 50ma

lkwd jj 13:48 GMT September 14, 2018
euro
Reply   
looking for entry long euro as it nears 50ma on 1hr chart. only issue is where to put stops

GVI Trader john 13:17 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization August 2018




ALERT
Ind Production: +0.40% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.10% (r +0.40%) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 78.1% vs. 78.4% exp. vs. 78.1% (r 77.9%) prev.

RELEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 12:58 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Retail Sales Miss in August 2018
Reply   

U.S. Retail Sales
U.S. Advance Retail Sales in August 2018 misses but previous data revised higher.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Retail Sales Miss in August 2018

GVI 12:38 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

German Chancellor Merkel: German coalition will not fall over intelligence chief dispute - Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 12:36 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Brexit has so many players involved w/ different priorities/issues that it is easy to lose sight of the main issue -- NOBODY KNOWS // Carney is the latest example of blowing smoke when he says BoE MAY not be able to cut rates or assist in the event of a NO Deal Brexit -- why would anybody credit such a statement?

TALK - is that all you blighters can do?

GVI Trader john 12:36 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Retail Sales August 2018



ALERT
Headline: +0.10% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.50% (r +0.70%) prev.
Core (x-a& g): +0.30% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.60% (r +0.90% ) prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer


+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


US
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Import Prices July 2018



NEWS ALERT
-0.20% vs. -0.30% exp. vs 0.00% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Mtl JP 12:32 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018

IF n when eurdlr does N of 1,1720 (on weakening usd) odds are dlr dump will drive it couple of hundred pips

Mtl JP 12:27 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018

I am guessing USD has lost its bid mojo for now.
So IF it can not go uP, likely it will go down.
To go down it has to do it vs x.. y.. z..

GVI Forex 12:25 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Another Brexit news whipsaw

08:20 (UK) Brexit Secretary: Closing in on workable solutions to outstanding issues In Brexit talks

- Reiterated willingness to devote necessary time and energy- substantive differences in brexit remain

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 11:50 GMT September 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

UK's Labour party (opposition) Foreign Afffairs Spokeswoman Thornberry: UK set to vote against Brexit deal - press - lack of a viable Brexit deal likely to force PM May from office before Christmas

- Source TradeTheNews.com

london red 11:39 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018

labour party to vote against brexit deal according to FT. together with between 60-80 tory dissenters, it means in theory chequers is dead in water. may only has a bakers dozen majority in coalition with NI DUP. a big drawback if true.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:26 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018

If you noticed I have been posting the EURUSD pattern trading around 1.16 (p out of 10 days) and when it was broken yesterday it sent a signal for a directional move to the upside. As I have said many times, the longer a pattern like this goes on the greater the risk of a directional move once it is broken.

For today, strong US data expected so how market reacts will send a clue whether this move has more legs to it.

As noted, the bottom of AT resistance at 1.1720/33 was tested, guards the important 1.1750-90 level.

Check your AT charts for scattered supports in the 1.1668-88 zone.

The Amazing Trader

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:39 GMT September 14, 2018
Are You Making Money Trading?

I asked this question last week and I am asking it again. With the risk of sounding boastful (not my style), this is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a strategy that

- is easy to understand
- will make sense to you
- has clearly defined ways to enter a trade
- has clearly defined stops
- has a goal of producing high probablity trades
- can be implemented right away

Question:

Are you consistently making money trading?

If the answer is yes, go back to your trading platform. If no, then read on..


Are You Making Money Trading?
.

GVI Trader john 09:41 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


POSITIVE

Spot EURUSD: 1.1701
Pivot Point: 1.1654

This Week: 1.1526-1.1721
Fri: 1.1687-1.1721
Thu: 1.1609-1.1701
Wed: 1.1570-1.1650
Tue: 1.1566-1.1644

20-day avg: 1.1604
50-day avg: 1.1610
100-day avg: 1.1686
200-day avg: 1.1952

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 100% (92%), and for Dec 19 (second 25bp hike): 74% (66%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.979% +2.4bp
DE: 0.433% +0.9bp
GB: 1.527% +2.1bp
JP: 0.111% +0.1bp

DAX: +48
Implied Open
DJ: +39
SP: +4.9




See the Amazing Trader Live!

GVI Forex Blog 08:58 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 14 Sep 2018
A 08:30 GB- GDP
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 14:00 US- prelim University of Michigan


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 17 Sep 2018
All Day- JP Holiday A 09:00 EZ- HICP
Tue 18 Sep 2018
No Major Data
Wed 19 Sep 2018
AA 03:00 GB- Bank of Japan Decision
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 12:30 US- House Permits/Starts
B 12:30 US- Current Account
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 20 Sep 2018
AA 06:30 CH- Swiss National Bank Decision
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Philly Fed/LEI
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 21 Sep 2018
AFlash PMIs
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018

Amman wfakhoury 07:24 GMT September 14, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
EURUSD movement 80-100 pips

haifa ac 05:19 GMT September 14, 2018
Euro in front of mega multi month move
Reply   
Why?
The monthly convergence of 5/21/55 MAs
this is a rare event and many time followed by mega moves.
last such juncture occurred July/August 2014.
I am betting down---but who knows.

Indore Comex Updates 04:44 GMT September 14, 2018
Oil prices claw back on supply concerns though but demand worries drag
Reply   
Oil on Friday clawed back some of its losses from the previous session, when prices fell the most in a month, as concerns about oil supply are countering worries that emerging market crises and trade disputes could dent demand.
Brent crude was up 8 cents, or 0.1 percent, at $78.26 a barrel by 0338 GMT, after falling 2 percent on Thursday. The global benchmark rose on Wednesday to its highest since May 22 at $80.13.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures were up 18 cents, or 0.2 percent, at 68.76 a barrel, after dropping 2.5 percent on Thursday.
Brent is heading for a 1.8 percent gain this week, while WTI is on track for a 1.5 percent increase.

Mtl JP 02:46 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018



Winners vs Losers
--------------------
GAPs... hunting wolfs are getting excited
but as true wolfs... are careful, remain prudent, lurking for opportunity window - if only because
draghi claimed that turkey/argentina effects "are not substantial"
as draghi's genes make him deeply appreciating of hunter wolfs

smart vs smart ... two players, neither trusting the other
about debt and fiat

Mtl JP 00:54 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018

Res 3 112.93
Res 2 112.44
Res 1 112.15
DLRYEN 112.00 - CURR
Pivot 111.66

Mtl JP 00:32 GMT September 14, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 September 2018



Res 3 1.3240
Res 2 1.3181
Res 1 1.3145
GBPUSD 1.3115 - current
Pivot 1.3086

her majesty , I shall like to think, will struggle for more N of 1.31
Unless the USD takes a heave for some reason

Mtl JP 00:03 GMT September 14, 2018
TSLA v NIO

NIO doubled
in one day
currently still rocking after-hours
et tu dc CB ?

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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