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Forex Forum Archive for 09/17/2018

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Mtl JP 23:59 GMT September 17, 2018
TRUMP

actually President Trump did not impose "new $200bn tariffs".
One should be more careful with wording:

according to NYT "The tariffs on $200 billion worth of products comes on top of the $50 billion worth already taxed earlier this year, meaning nearly half of all Chinese imports into the United States will soon face levies. The next wave of tariffs, which are scheduled to go into effect on Sept. 24, will start at 10 percent before climbing to 25 percent on Jan. 1."

Mtl JP 23:46 GMT September 17, 2018
TRUMP

CB 22:00 what odds u give that somehow - anyhow - those docs wont see the light of day ?

GVI 23:11 GMT September 17, 2018
TRUMP

US imposes new $200bn tariffs on China

Livingston nh 23:01 GMT September 17, 2018
TURKEY
Reply   
Erdogan and Putin agree on a demilitarized zone in Idlib (sounds like an agreement in principle) effective 10/15

Meanwhile back at the ranch I watched the Forces of Darkness hammer the Gates of the 21 dma (6.33) all day but repulsed each time // BUT now only 2 pips away from a breach - if done 6.7 is open again

dc CB 22:00 GMT September 17, 2018
TRUMP

President Trump has ordered the Department of Justice to release all text messages related to the Russia investigation with no redactions, of former FBI Director James Comey, his deputy Andrew McCabe, now-fired special agent Peter Strzok, former FBI attorney Lisa Page and twice-demoted DOJ official Bruce Ohr.

Also released will be specific pages from the FBI's FISA surveillance warrant application on former Trump campaign aide Carter Page, as well as interviews with Ohr.

Trump Orders Immediate Release

Mtl JP 21:42 GMT September 17, 2018
Winners and Losers



Winners and Losers
---------------------
nzd's jacinda's tongue (stupidly) wagging made some wealthier others less so. No recourse , of course.

GVI 21:39 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EU officials reportedly are insisting that the UK can't renegotiate Brexit - UK press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 20:41 GMT September 17, 2018
China Tariffs

nh that is ... an ... in-appropriate and sometime later inconvenient .... question
President Trump says so far prices increases - if any - are negligible
thing about tariff is that in there are short-term and longer term effect between which distinction needs to be made

Livingston nh 20:04 GMT September 17, 2018
China Tariffs

AND where does all that MONEY come from ?? China - not quite // a tax by any other name would smell

GVI 19:57 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

UK Prime Min May: under a no-deal Brexit, there would be disruptions but UK has to make success of a potential no-deal Brexit - BBC interview

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 19:53 GMT September 17, 2018
China Tariffs

"You're going to see on China today right after close of business, we'll be announcing something. It will be a lot of money coming into the coffers of the United States," President Trump at the White House.

Mtl JP 19:48 GMT September 17, 2018
China Tariffs

furthermore lest it be let go by unmentioned / unreminded and forgotten:

Donald J. Trump
‏Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
10h10 hours ago

Tariffs have put the U.S. in a very strong bargaining position, with Billions of Dollars, and Jobs, flowing into our Country - and yet cost increases have thus far been almost unnoticeable. If countries will not make fair deals with us, they will be “Tariffed!”

Mtl JP 19:42 GMT September 17, 2018
China Tariffs

PAR 14:35 respectfully that would appear to be bs:
"Trump Says China Trade Announcement Coming After Market Close" - Bloomberg

GVI Forex Blog 19:17 GMT September 17, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 17 September 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 17 September 2018

dc CB 18:28 GMT September 17, 2018
hurricane

Daddy won't you take me down to Mecklenburg County
Down by the Green River where Paradise lay.
I'm sorry my son but you're too lake in askin'
Hurricaine Florence done washed it away.
________________________________________________

As Hurricane Florence - a monster Category 2 storm - took aim at southeastern United States, one of the country’s most important coal export hubs halted operations last Thursday due to looming damage to ships and infrastructure, analysts at Wood Mackenzie.

The National Hurricane Centre said in an advisory note there was a danger of “life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline”, particularly in North and South Carolina – south of Virginia’s three main coal export terminals at Hampton Roads.

Florence Could Send Coal Prices Soaring

lkwd jj 18:11 GMT September 17, 2018
hurricane
Reply   
in case your wondering what causes more damage winds or flooding, old testament has the answer, lord used water, not winds to destroy the world in the great flood.

the waters havent even crested yet from florence....

dc CB 17:37 GMT September 17, 2018
Hurricane

dc CB 18:57 GMT September 12
Nukes

Duke Energy’s Brunswick nuclear plant, about 30 miles south of Wilmington, has declared a state of emergency as the 1,200-acre complex remains cut off by flood waters and and is inaccessible to outside personnel.



"Duke Energy’s Brunswick nuclear plant, about 30 miles south of Wilmington, has declared a state of emergency as the 1,200-acre complex remains cut off by flood waters and and is inaccessible to outside personnel.

Livingston nh 16:47 GMT September 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 September 2018

fwiw - since traders have been responding to verbal cues Kudlow is speaking at the economic club in NYC - Q&A may include a bit about the "TRADE WAR"

Boston RS 16:27 GMT September 17, 2018
GBPUSD for scalpers

Wfak, gbpusd is now at 1.3156. Do you use a stop for your scalps?

GVI Forex Blog 16:15 GMT September 17, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 18 September 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 17 Sep 2018
Tue 18 Sep 2018
No Major Data
Wed 19 Sep 2018
AA 03:00 GB- Bank of Japan Decision
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 12:30 US- House Permits/Starts
B 12:30 US- Current Account
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 20 Sep 2018
AA 06:30 CH- Swiss National Bank Decision
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Philly Fed/LEI
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 21 Sep 2018
AFlash PMIs
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Tuesday Trading Checklist 18 September 2018

Amman wfakhoury 16:02 GMT September 17, 2018
GBPUSD for scalpers
Reply   
now 13150 ..will reach 13135
scalp by sell

Mtl JP 15:24 GMT September 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 September 2018

Ya. I think most of good news re dlr is priced in

Amman wfakhoury 15:06 GMT September 17, 2018
GBPUSD stop scalping 13153
Reply   


stop scalping 13153

PAR 14:51 GMT September 17, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Raise stop on long to 1.1675 .

PAR 14:42 GMT September 17, 2018
US YIELDS
Reply   
Most probably US 10 year will not close about 3% .

Amman wfakhoury 14:42 GMT September 17, 2018
GBPUSD scalping
Reply   


still scalping till 13153

PAR 14:40 GMT September 17, 2018
CRUDE
Reply   
Crude again sharply higher on lower dollar .

PAR 14:35 GMT September 17, 2018
China Tariffs
Reply   
Trump just can't decide .

He seems to remember initially there was another figure in his China file and wants to know which unnamed official changed the number .

Amman wfakhoury 14:25 GMT September 17, 2018
GBPUSD 13153



still scalping for 13153

Amman wfakhoury 14:13 GMT September 17, 2018
GBPUSD 13153
Reply   
For scalpers now 13145 will reach 13153

GVI 14:11 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EU Brexit Negotiator Barnier: Brexit deal is possible if integrity of single market is preserved - EU offers full support to Spain in Gibraltar Brexit discussions; talks must conclude as soon as possible - Source TradeTheNews.com

Jkt Abel 13:52 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Above 13150 heading to 13290

Jkt Abel 13:42 GMT September 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 September 2018

JP, we shall sell usd rallies?

Dubai MA 13:40 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Red, if you are around, is brexit on the road to a solution and is gbpusd headed for 1.32-1.35? TIA for your opinion.

Mtl JP 12:50 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

in principle means only that they express a will to come back to negotiate again / some more while nothing specific has been agreed on.
-
GBP 1.3135 still some ways under its 100day
so until it breaches that and stays there = I call gbp mildly bullish

GVI 12:46 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Northern Ireland's DUP Official: DUP won't countenance anything that creates barriers to and within UK's internal market or erects barriers in customs or regulation

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 12:40 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

GBP running with the "agreement in principle" on Brexit. Often an agreement in principle can be meaningful even if it is not binding.

Mtl JP 12:37 GMT September 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 September 2018

those nega-spreads look like some kind of a record
and yet euro s got the bid and dlr the dump
-
players dont appear convinced: no trends

GVI Trader john 12:34 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Empire PMI September, 2018



NEWS ALERT
19.0 vs. 23.0 exp. vs. 20.6 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 12:25 GMT September 17, 2018
TRUMP
Reply   
Now that category 5 Florence was less tremendous than expected Trump started looking for his file on Chinese tariffs again .

An unnamed white house official luckily still had a copy of the shredded file and put it back on Trumps desk bot not after changing the figure 25 into 10 .

Will continue .

GVI Trader john 12:23 GMT September 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 September 2018

Higher U.S. 10=yr yield driving other rates up

DE 10-YR 0.467% +5.3bp
GB 10-Yr 1.547% +6.3bp

could explain weaker USD

Mtl JP 12:19 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

agreement in principle = basically meaning-less; no legal weight

Livingston nh 12:12 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

A note of caution -- there is a world of difference in the meaning of an agreement in principle between the Franco-Prussian (EU) concepts of legal detail and Anglo Saxon Common Law concepts of legal intention

PAR 12:08 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Brexit looks like a done deal without much economic impact .

The more things change the more they stay the same .

GVI 12:01 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EU Council: Some parts of draft withdrawal agreement have already been agreed in principle by the UK and EU negotiators, although nothing is agreed until everything is agreed - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 11:58 GMT September 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 September 2018

3.013%
DJ -26

Its looking like this has been the decisive break of 3.00% in the 10-yr. The Fed will be raising rates by 25bp on Wed September 26.

PAR 11:42 GMT September 17, 2018
Tariffs on China
Reply   
Tariffs on China will boost US economy ?

Livingston nh 11:40 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

jp - the OWB (Older, Wiser, Better) folks will fight for status quo to your last farthing // they just don't get it

Mtl JP 11:34 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

nh 11:23 were u typing that with a straight face or tears in your from agony or laughter ?

PAR 11:31 GMT September 17, 2018
EURUSD

Raise stop to entry level .

Mtl JP 11:29 GMT September 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 September 2018

10-yr now 3.009% +0.015
still ever so slow and tentative

Livingston nh 11:23 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Elites are gathering the Clans as IMF chimes in on Brexit to assist Carney and Hammond - "Lagarde said the IMF’s forecast of 1.5% growth next year was based on a smooth exit from the EU. Her remarks were seized upon by the chancellor, Philip Hammond, as evidence that the UK had to strike a deal that would safeguard jobs and prosperity." GUARDIAN

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:18 GMT September 17, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
As posted on the GVI Forex *Amazing Trader Forum:

Monday Trading Checklist

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:14 GMT 09/17/2018 - My Profile
Up AT directional indicator in GBPUSD on a one hour chart and note how EURGBP has come off following a failure just below .8904 (cited in real time earlier).

GBPUSD still below key res at 1.3143, EURUSD upside capped below 1.1665 (also cited earlier) as offsets so far limiting its upside.

The Amazing Trader

GVI 10:58 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Govt spokesperson Slack: UK is making progress in talks with EU, reiterates confidence in reaching a Brexit deal - Chequers provides a basis for stable relationship with EU

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Amman wfakhoury 10:40 GMT September 17, 2018
EURUSD 11660

Amman wfakhoury 09:07 GMT 09/17/2018
EURUSD will reach again 11660 ..
now 11648
Buy add buy if decline tp 11660
----------------------------------
11660 reached

GVI 10:17 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

ECB's Vasiliauskas (Lithuania): No ground to talk about extension of ECB stimulus - speaks on pension reform -

-- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 09:39 GMT September 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 September 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


POSITIVE

Spot EURUSD: 1.1654
Pivot Point: 1.1658

Last Week: 1.1526-1.1721
Mon: 1.1618-1.1681
Fri: 1.1623-1.1721
Thu: 1.1609-1.1701
Wed: 1.1570-1.1650
Tue: 1.1566-1.1644

20-day avg: 1.1613
50-day avg: 1.1608
100-day avg: 1.1681
200-day avg: 1.1951

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 100% (92%), and for Dec 19 (second 25bp hike): 74% (66%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.000% +0.8bp
DE: 0.414% -1.0bp
GB: 1.484% -1.0bp
JP: 0.114% +0.4bp

DAX: -45
Implied Open
DJ: -39
SP: -3.0




See the Amazing Trader Live!

GVI Forex Blog 09:13 GMT September 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 September 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 17 Sep 2018
All Day- JP Holiday A 09:00 EZ- HICP
Tue 18 Sep 2018
No Major Data
Wed 19 Sep 2018
AA 03:00 GB- Bank of Japan Decision
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 12:30 US- House Permits/Starts
B 12:30 US- Current Account
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 20 Sep 2018
AA 06:30 CH- Swiss National Bank Decision
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Philly Fed/LEI
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 21 Sep 2018
AFlash PMIs
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Monday Trading Checklist 17 September 2018

GVI Trader john 09:10 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
Reply   
Eurozone final HICP (CPI) August 2018





ALERT
Headline
yy: +2.00% vs. +2.00% exp. vs. +2.00% prev.
CORE
yy: +1.00% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +1.00% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


EZ final August 2018 HICP (CPI) unrevised.


final Eurozone HICP Chart

Amman wfakhoury 09:09 GMT September 17, 2018
EURUSD 11660

better to scalp

Amman wfakhoury 09:07 GMT September 17, 2018
EURUSD 11660
Reply   
EURUSD will reach again 11660 ..
now 11648
Buy add buy if decline tp 11660

PAR 07:27 GMT September 17, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Long 1.1625 . Stop 1.1575 . Target open .

Indore 04:36 GMT September 17, 2018
ECB's Makuch says he may consider leaving his post early
Reply   
European Central Bank policymaker Jozef Makuch may consider stepping down as head of Slovakia's central bank early to allow parliament to appoint a successor before what are expected to be highly divisive elections in spring 2020, he said.
That would avoid the prospect of political wranglings leading to his post being left vacant for an extended period, as has happened in Slovenia, which has been unable to pick a new governor since March.
Makuch, whose term ends in 2021, told reporters he considers finance minister Peter Kazimir as a suitable replacement.
"The next government will likely be made of several parties with a different world view," Makuch said, addressing rumors in the Slovak press that he is preparing for an early departure. "That could lead to political instability and early elections."

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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