Forex Forum Archive for 01/09/2018

Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 23:29 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

gc, I have no idea what you have against us given our long standing relationship as all you do is critique a program you have not seen run live.

Again I have no desire to debate this so please do not reply other than to say it is a lot more than a bunch of lines as there is a logic to what we have created that justifies what we charge. Please leave it at that. It is a great program.

I would prefer you discussing this with me offline.

gc dd 22:47 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

the landing page needs work .. and the AT price is way out of market $97 a month.

Full EAs with live accounts and backtests go for $200-$500 - and they do everything for you - open - close adjust TP SL .. the more advanced ones sell for 2-5k

A few lines on a chart and a ladder thing - it appears to have minimal value compared to what is available - this is a saturated market these days... most of the basic things like this are all free.

Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 22:25 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

Lockerbie, I checked the archives and see your rare recent posts have been sniping at AT without ever seeing it run live. If you saw it run live you would not be sniping.

Our calls are on the Amazing Trader (GVI Forex) forum,'

As for 1.2450,those who follow my logic know if fading the market I like to do it on first tests of a level and then step aside after that as stops then likely build. I posted about 1.2450 when USDCAD was trading at 1.2446.

For your info, USDCAD traded to 1.2422 after my post and then an AT up ladder confirmed at 1.2427 so no way I would stay short.

I have no intention otherwise to reply to your sniping posts.

Lockerbie CK 22:04 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018



USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Re:Jay Meisler 11:32 GMT 01/09/2018
"Isn't it obvious by what I said and one look at your AT charts. 1.2450 is make or break, short while it holds, neutral above."

This is the nearest I have seen to an actual recommended position from AT and that would have made you short at between 1.2427 and 12433 and presumably stopped out for a loss at slightly above 1.2450 ? or was there a target to take the max 10 pips available ?

AT Amazing Trader john bland 20:58 GMT January 9, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 10 January 2018

See the Amazing Trader Live!

GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--

The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy.
Odds for one 25bp rate hike on March 21, 2018 are 80% (78%).

EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: Positive to Neutral
This Week: 1.2053-1.1915

Spot EURUSD: 1.1931
Pivot Point: 1.1941

20-day avg: 1.1912
50-day avg: 1.1821
100-day avg: 1.1828
200-day avg: 1.1541

GVI Forex Blog 20:45 GMT January 9, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 9 January 2018
Reply   

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 9 January 2018

Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 20:00 GMT January 9, 2018
New Amazing Trader Landing Page
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Click on the following and then take the next step;

New Amazing Trader Landing Page

GVI Forex Blog 19:47 GMT January 9, 2018
Equities Up Late. U.S. 10-yr Yield Above 2.50%. USD Up; EUR Down
Reply   

Equities Up Late. U.S. 10-yr Yield Above 2.50%. USD Up; EUR Down

Israel Dil 19:00 GMT January 9, 2018
crude

nh - great analytic analysis, and crude still acts ballistic. yet, even not 20c off the top. bull's main dish is a bear for now.

Livingston nh 18:54 GMT January 9, 2018
crude

Demand is not keeping pace w/ supply - the Atlantic drilling is a big deal - the geopolitics is no longer relevant to supply// The Aramco effect, send in the RUBES

Israel Dil 18:11 GMT January 9, 2018
crude

seems that the wise "falling knife catchers" didn't expect to such swords... beautiful price action !!!

Israel Dil 18:00 GMT January 9, 2018
if the swords dance truly ended, to where we go from here?

Israel Dil 17:59 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

WTI: did we just witnessed the end of the ultra wild SAUDI-RUSSIAN-US swords dance?

lkwd jj 17:58 GMT January 9, 2018
crude
Reply   
interesting that rbob is leading the way in the middle of winter....looks like possible spread unwinding between ho and the gas. its close to contract highs less a cent away. but new highs in crude is still eyebrow raising

dc CB 17:37 GMT January 9, 2018
Meltdown - Spectre

Peak Tulip Insanity. Crypto "currencies".
How many billions invested(?) in something that exists only a silicone chip that has at least two inherent flaws built in its architecture that defeats any applied software based security.
IMHO.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Intel shares are sliding this morning following a statement from Microsoft that warned that fixes for security flaws present in most processors may significantly slow down certain servers and dent the performance some personal computers.

Microsoft cautioned in a blog post that servers, the computers that underpin corporate networks, used for certain tasks may show "more significant impact." Not all servers will be affected, it said. Microsoft, which didn�t provide specific numbers, said it is testing a variety of systems and will update users on what it finds.

Microsoft Warns Fixes "Will Significantly Slow" Servers

GVI Forex Blog 16:48 GMT January 9, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 10 January 2018
Reply   

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Trading Ideas for 9 January 2018

Upgrade Your Trading. Try The Amazing Trader

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Wed 10 Jan 2018
09:30 GB- Output & Trade
15:30 US- Crude
Thu 11 Jan 2018
13:30 US- PPI & Weekly Jobless
Fri 12 Jan 2018
13:30 US- CPI & Retail Sales

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PROSPECTIVE Trading Opportunities

• POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH-Medium Wed -- 09:30 GMT-- GB- Output & Trade
• POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium- Wed -- 15:30 GMT-- US- EIA Crude
• POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH-Medium Thu -- 13:30 GMT-- US- Weekly Jobless & PPI
• POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Fri -- 13:30 GMT-- US- CPI & Retail Sales

---

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com



Wednesday Trading Checklist 10 January 2018

Mtl JP 16:47 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

oh boy... poof experts ?

Dimon thinks even his own economist at J.P. Morgan is dead wrong about GDP, predicts 4% U.S. growth

AT Amazing Trader john bland 16:24 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

10-yr 2.533% +5.1bp bond yields being driven higher by strong stocks.

Mtl JP 16:22 GMT January 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey For November 2017 Weaker Than Forecast

but but but ... to lend a positive tone
courtesy George Ford Smith:

Smile, the future is coming

Mtl JP 16:05 GMT January 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey For November 2017 Weaker Than Forecast

mr. bland 15:55 ... I am..... shocked !!
shocked to read that from you !
rofl

AT Amazing Trader john bland 15:55 GMT January 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey For November 2017 Weaker Than Forecast

nh- in my old age I have gotten to the point where I do not trust any U.S. government statistics any more. I fear they are all being manipulated for political agendas.

Livingston nh 15:48 GMT January 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey For November 2017 Weaker Than Forecast

Time for a new STAT as Yellen departs -- maybe something old fashioned like CPI inflation, the non-core flavor

GVI Forex Blog 15:33 GMT January 9, 2018
GVI Data Calendar 10 January 2018
Reply   

January 9, 2018 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thu January 10, 2018

• Far East: CN- CPI
• Europe: GB- IND & MFG Output, Trade
• Americas: US- Mortgages, Import Prices, Wholesale Inventories, EIA Crude, 10-yr

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Wed 10 Jan 2018
09:30 GB- Output & Trade
15:30 US- Crude
Thu 11 Jan 2018
13:30 US- PPI & Weekly Jobless
Fri 12 Jan 2018
13:30 US- CPI & Retail Sales

GVI Data Calendar 10 January 2018

GVI Forex Blog 15:10 GMT January 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey For November 2017 Weaker Than Forecast
Reply   
Yellen's preferred Jobs statistic. Data topping out? (October revised lower).

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey For November 2017 Weaker Than Forecast

AT Amazing Trader john bland 15:01 GMT January 9, 2018
Breaking News
Reply   
U.S. BLS JOLTS Survey November 2017

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
mln: 5.879 vs. 6.030 exp. vs. 6.000 prev (r 5.925) rev.

BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary

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TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 14:46 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

nh I suspect your "take turns driving the Fed" jab is no laughing matter to the "authorities"

AT Amazing Trader john bland 14:45 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

10-yr 2.518% +3.6bp

lkwd jj 14:45 GMT January 9, 2018
usdcad
Reply   
selling usdcad against downtrend AT line 12450stop above 12480

Livingston nh 14:43 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

For the 2/10 this year will be an interesting see-saw as inflation (2s) and the QE dishoarding (10s) take turns driving the Fed

AT Amazing Trader john bland 14:22 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

Why the EUR performs so well vs USD (this week so far excluded) Green line suggests a firmer USD, but grey line 10s vs 2s are not a positive omen for the economy in the FUTURE TENSE. the declining bond spread is a weight on the USD for the future.

U.S. Rate Chart

Mtl JP 14:19 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

fwiw Kashkari yaks at top of the hour at some panel

AT Amazing Trader john bland 13:57 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

U.S. interest rates 2s and 10s as of Monday closes

note 10yr testing above 2.50% today

also take note of how quickly the 2yr note has reacted to the more aggressive Fed in the last 3mos+

U.S. Rate Chart

dc CB 13:28 GMT January 9, 2018
Meltdown - Spectre
Reply   
Reuters

Microsoft halts some AMD chip Meltdown patches after PCs freeze

Mtl JP 13:25 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

Jay 11:47 maybe I did not express my qtn properly.
nevermind

Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 13:15 GMT January 9, 2018
Amazing Trader Logic: Why USDCAD 1,2450 Held
Reply   
Click on the 2 arrows in the lower right of the video for a full screen view

See it run live now The Amazing Trader

Israel Dil 13:05 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

Canad� housing starts data, during the winter also iglo counts as housing

Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 12:56 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

Amazing Trader EURUSD up ladder showed the directional risk but still needs a solid 1.1932+ to confirm (high just now 1.1935)

See it run live now

The Amazing Trader

UK JY 12:41 GMT January 9, 2018
JPY
Reply   
PAR, have you given up your bull cap for usdjpy and eurjpy?

AT Amazing Trader john bland 11:59 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

DAX +10
DJ +45
SP +1

10-yr 2.491% +0.9bp

Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 11:47 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

JP, I pointed the USDCAD level out well in advance.

EURUSD currently trying for an AT up ladder off the 1.1921 low but would need a break above 1.1932 to confirm. Holding it back are weak crosses (e.g. eurjpy, eurgbp)

Mtl JP 11:41 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

1,2433
in any case it s academic now

Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 11:40 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

JP, the answer is 100% confident as Amazing Trader levels do not lie. It allows me to think like an algo and control my trading decisions.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 11:40 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

Unwinding of short JPY crosses (vs USD, EUR, GBP, etc) upsetting the status quo in the markets today after BOJ announced a slight reduction in its QE (bond purchases) there is a very long way to go. What was announced today was a token step, but some carry trades have been unwound.

Note in the COT reports that whereas traders are very long EUR, they are very short JPY. There is a lot of potential for an unwind.

Mtl JP 11:39 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

dealer does not look at my chart
dealer needs a number

Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 11:32 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018



Isn't it obvious by what I said and one look at your AT charts. 1.2450 is make or break, short while it holds, neutral above.

See it run live now

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 11:19 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

so ... how about the sl ?
I am trying to figure out your confidence level in AT's res
tia

Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 11:14 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

JP, it would be nice to have a short at 1.2459 but high has been 1.2448.

Mtl JP 11:02 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

my Q is where did u put your stop in the usdcad 1.2459 short

Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 10:59 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

JP, look at your Amazing Trader charts. The void is to 1.2513 so 1.2450 is the make or break level.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:56 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

"Trading Bias" takes a longer term EURUSD perspective. Its major determinant is the 20-day moving average which late Monday was 1.1903 vs a spot of 1.1961. We will recalibrate again later today based on where we stand at that time. Below the 20-day we could term neutral. We would have to break 1.1500 to turn bearish.

Mtl JP 10:48 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

where is your sl on the 1.2450 short ?
tia

Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 10:45 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

USDCAD in up ladder but faces a key AT resistance at 1.2450. Significance of this level es is that there is a void above it.

See it run live now

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 10:45 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

how does "EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: Positive" - 20:38 GMT 01/08/2018 fit into the " 5min chart below (and other time frames)" trading down bias ?

AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:39 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

EURUSD in 5min chart below (and other time frames) remains in its AT downladder that started yesterday. as noted yesterday and below, the preponderance of the stops in EURUSD are on the downside, given that traders are heavily long EURUSD. 1.1923 support is now in play. Next major support is 1.1882.

One source of USD demand could be the U.S. 10-yr testing above 2.500% +1.8bp. Last it was 2.496%.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:16 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018





AT charts often foretell market momentum shifts. AT support (red) and resistance (blue) levels can change before sentiment. New or disappearing lines signal where the winds of change are blowing.

GVI Forex Blog 10:14 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

Ranges:

Tue: 1.1976-1.1926
Mon: 1.2053-1.1955

This Week: 1.2053-1.1932
Stops above HOD and below LOD. Stops should be heavily skewed to the downside. 1.2000 line still psychologically pivotal.

10-yr & Stocks
Equities are up
U.S. 10-yr Yield at 2.500%, +1.8bp
2.40%-2.50% range key

Remaining Calendar Today:
US- JOLTS Survey, 3-yr auction, API Crude

Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 10:08 GMT January 9, 2018
You Can Trade Like an Algo: The Amazing Trader Story

�

The idea for the Amazing Trader came from a desire to automate my uncanny ability to pick specific charting levels. My goal was to take hope, emotion and guesswork out of trading and replace it with a non-emotional disciplined approach like an algo.

You Can Trade Like an Algo: The Amazing Trader Story

GVI Forex Blog 10:01 GMT January 9, 2018
Equites Up Early. 10-yr Yields Up. USD and EUR Mixed
Reply   

Equites Up Early. 10-yr Yields Up. USD and EUR Mixed

EU ER 09:56 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

Anyone here short eurusd ot still long and adding?

GVI Forex Blog 09:35 GMT January 9, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018
Reply   

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Trading Ideas for 9 January 2018

Upgrade Your Trading. Try The Amazing Trader

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Tue 9 Jan 2018
15:00 US- JOLTS Survey
Wed 10 Jan 2018
09:30 GB- Output & Trade
15:30 US- Crude
Thu 11 Jan 2018
13:30 US- PPI & Weekly Jobless
Fri 12 Jan 2018
13:30 US- CPI & Retail Sales

---

PROSPECTIVE Trading Opportunities

• POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH-Medium Wed -- 09:30 GMT-- GB- Output & Trade
• POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium- Wed -- 15:30 GMT-- US- EIA Crude
• POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH-Medium Thu -- 13:30 GMT-- US- Weekly Jobless & PPI
• POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Fri -- 13:30 GMT-- US- CPI & Retail Sales

---

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com



Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018

Mtl JP 02:52 GMT January 9, 2018
usdjpy

BoJ buying less JGBs

HK Q 01:56 GMT January 9, 2018
usdjpy
Reply   
Why is usdjpy going down?