AT Amazing Trader john bland 22:00 GMT January 10, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018
See the Amazing Trader Live!
GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy.
Odds for one 25bp rate hike on March 21, 2018 are 80% (80%).
EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: Positive to Neutral
This Week: 1.2053-1.1915
Spot EURUSD: 1.1960
Pivot Point: 1.1957
20-day avg: 1.1919
50-day avg: 1.1827
100-day avg: 1.1830
200-day avg: 1.1547
Amazing Trader (AT) 21:15 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
CNBC's Tausche: Canadian official CNBC spoke to says they have no new information that US is planning imminent withdrawal from NAFTA - White House official: There has been no change in Pres Trump's position on NAFTA
-- Source TradeTheNews.com
Livingston nh 21:11 GMT January 10, 2018
Trump as President
Don't be surprised if the US removes the tripwire troops from South Korea
Israel Dil 20:50 GMT January 10, 2018
Trump as President
re Korea "crisis, the true lesson is about China. the way China handled was the end to China becoming true superpower. China's patronage shown as hoax based patronage. quite surprising, but China is light years away from being a powerhouse. the whole world knows now what Chinese loyalty is about, especially in the context of geopolitics. and nail in the making of the Chinese coffin.
Paris ib 20:32 GMT January 10, 2018
Trump as President
Reply
"A few hours after the meeting ended, South Korean President Moon-Jae-in publicly credited President Trump for his “huge” contribution to bringing the North and South together for landmark talks."
One for the Trump Haters
Dillon AL 20:01 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
Seems like they have been looking over the pond at what May proposed. A minister of NO just in case they have to pull out.
Once again it seems that negotiations is not about negotiations at all but a game of call my bluff
dc CB 19:38 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
Qualifier:))))
"Canada has begun preparing contingency plans for how to proceed if Trump gives a withdrawal notice, which is not binding and wouldn’t necessarily kill Nafta" - RTRS
dc CB 19:25 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
we've come so far. Once Upon A Time --- yud have to call up "blue horseshoe" and wait for the "story" to appear in the Heard on the Street column. BigTimeTraders had spies working in the typesetting room :))))
dc CB 19:23 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
it's just an ALGO Trigger NUZ story.
AT Amazing Trader john bland 19:21 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
This is probably all bluster from Trump. He will not permanently pull out of NAFTA.
AT Amazing Trader john bland 19:20 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
USDCAD spikes higher.
Amazing Trader (AT) 19:18 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
Canada officials reportedly increasingly convinced Pres Trump will soon announce a pull out of NAFTA - press - Canada plans to remain in talks even if US announces pullout as some negotiations could continue- Canadian officials say notice of withdrawal from Trump admin would be significant, but US-Canada trade would continue
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Tallinn viies 19:11 GMT January 10, 2018
viies
Reply
new year, old targets.
range for 1-st quarte in my view is 1,14sh -1,24sh.
bought euros at 1,1956. stop at 1,1906. target 1,2065 before this week is over.
dc CB 18:25 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
Earlier today, Bill Gross claimed that there is "recent evidence showing that China is liquidating treasuries." Well, we have yet to see where that evidence is - it certainly isn't on the Fed's custody holdings of Tsys which in December hit an all time high. And it certainly wasn't in the just concluded reopening auction of 9Y-10Month, where foreign demand was nothing short of stellar.
(ZH)
Bhat Bond Boycott: Foreign Demand In 10Y Auction Soars
dc CB 18:11 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
Bill Gross this Bill Gross that....All NUZ is Fake.
You've been punked. LOL
Trump get's TWO Scoops of Ice Cream, Drinks water using TWO Hands. Alzheimers, he's Nutzo.
dc CB 18:08 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
10Y High Yield 2.579%, WI 2.584%
zerohedge
@zerohedge
2m2 minutes ago
So much for foreigners not buying TSYs: 10Y Indirects 71.4, highest since August 2016
AT Amazing Trader john bland 18:07 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
10-yr 2.579%
bid to cover 2.69 vs 2.37
strong
Israel Dil 16:30 GMT January 10, 2018
Calling the shots
hi ib, hello shalom dear,
take control sounds some how positive, in the current reality it's more about expansion of rules. the Chinese hoax is so overwhelming that it may definitely turn into ruling narrative within the universe of money flows.
pay attention to Israeli PM visiting India
Paris ib 16:22 GMT January 10, 2018
Calling the shots
Reply
The Chinese just let the big negotiator know who is calling the shots. One side of the table we have: walk quietly but carry a big stick. Other side we have: the genius. Place your bets. FWIW some dead, blind psychic called? Vanya or Baba Vanya or something forecast 2018 as the year China takes control. We will see. :-)
Israel Dil 16:09 GMT January 10, 2018
XAR/MXN
ZAR/MXN of course
Israel Dil 16:08 GMT January 10, 2018
JPY
jj - to entet that position was not a wrong idea :-)))
Israel Dil 16:03 GMT January 10, 2018
XAR/MXN
Reply
play the short side to make some serious money the coming months.
Dil
lkwd jj 15:56 GMT January 10, 2018
usdjpy
Reply
110.83/93 last pin holding above 107.31 thats 3 and a half handles...maybe time now to locate hard hat. not time to put it on yet....
lkwd jj 15:52 GMT January 10, 2018
usdjpy
Reply
i think theres more to come towards 110.risk aversion, market short jpy to the wazoo ....again.
Paris ib 15:46 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
Yeah I know John but it’s hard to take hype seriously these days. All we get is hype and more hype... bit of a joke already. :-)
AT Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 15:27 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
Recent history has repeatedly told us that betting on a crisis getting out of control has been a losing bet. It would be nice to see some sustained volatility rather than these brief one shot moves.
AT Amazing Trader john bland 15:19 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
ib- it only happens when you least expect it ;-)
GVI Forex Blog 15:05 GMT January 10, 2018
GVI Data Calendar January 2018
Reply
January 10, 2018 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thu January 11, 2018
- Far East: AU- Retail Sales
- Europe: EZ- ECB Minutes
- Americas: US- Weekly Jobless, PPI final Demand, Natural Gas, 30-yr
Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:
Thu 11 Jan 2018
13:30 US- PPI & Weekly Jobless
Fri 12 Jan 2018
13:30 US- CPI & Retail Sales
GVI Data Calendar January 2018
Livingston nh 14:58 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
STOX decline slowing rise of bond yields - Armageddon postponed
AT Amazing Trader john bland 14:01 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
10-yr 2.592% +5.4bp 10-yr yield holding higher heading into the official opening of equity trade in 30 mins.
Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 14:01 GMT January 10, 2018
The Amazing Trader is More than Just Trading Lines
In response to some questions about the Amazing Trader, the following shows what subscribers get access to help them use our program to trade.
- Amazing Trader in real-time
- Trading Lines Guide
- Ladder Strategy Guide
- High-Low Strategy Guide
- Amazing Trader Logic (must watch video)
- Ladder Destroyer Guide
- Scalping Strategy Guide
- A Professional Trading Strategy for the Retail Trader
- How to Use the Amazing Trader to Beat Your Binary Options Broker
- Ongoing Trader Support -- The Amazing Trader (GVI Forex) Forum
See it run live now - The Amazing Trader
AT Amazing Trader john bland 13:45 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
A poster on GVI said a little while ago that the Chinese bond comment was likely in reaction to Trump threats on trade sanctions.
This made a lot of sense to me. If true, that means that today's bond turmoil could blow over fairly quickly. No doubt the risk of a nasty bond sell-off remains ever-present...
Livingston nh 13:29 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
re: China -- this is what happens when volatility is so low - market tries to make every wiggle a tsunami
less than 48 hours ago the USD/CNY popped higher - today it is down a bit - China is about balance - it sold US reserves in 2016 and bought them back thru Nov 2017 (~140 bio) - China diversifies for various reasons
The continuing trade surplus w/ US provides the underlying investment in Treasurys - China probably has a CAP on the % of reserves it holds - official Japan is a bit like that
_________
US 10 yr still needs to show legs above 2.60 yield (12/2016 and 03/2017) -- see my posted chart from last week, as ECB continues QE the search for yield returns to the US market
gc dd 12:40 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
or put another way - back then you took a risk - you got paid off nicely 5-10 big figures if not more sometimes ... now you stick your neck out and it is more likely to chopped up by low volatility range stuff.
gc dd 12:37 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
AUD for the longest time traded 74-79 .. it was like .7570 and some news came out and it dropped to .7490 rallied back to .7610 then a couple days later was 72 on its way to 49
was at HSBC golf day when the call came through touched 72 cents which was big news really with everyone forecasting 80+
just another whole different era
could Trump do something like that - possible but you want to see more to justify betting that this is going to continue and not just be a couple days winding/unwinding
NY JM 12:26 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
I was almost thrown out of a Broadway show years ago when I pulled out my portable quote machine with a big antenna just before the play began. This was before the days of terrorism. Now they would lock me up. Times have changed
london red 12:22 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
got chucked out of so many seminars trying to get quotes from my broker. tws phone trading back then. but cme did give live futures prices online. fun trying to get that to work with a laptop and mobile phone. phone bill eye watering. but broker added service made it diff to lose money. all this is gone with online trading today. client starts dumb stays dumb.
gc dd 12:20 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
EUR is stuck cant go up while usdchf wont go below .9750 .. probably have to wait for tomorrow for 1.2080 ... maybe one try towards 1.1960 sort of area
plus things like eurcad already up close to 100 pts
Mtl JP 12:16 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
red 12:06 ... proof that what does not kill u makes u stronger ? *u^
london red 12:06 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
i remember that. was at uni and trying to trade dmk gbp and chf thru all that.
gc dd 12:05 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
totally different markets - no electronic markets in Asian Crisis and the top 3-4 Hedge Funds pushed the markets big time in currencies - you just don't see that anymore... 3-4 % a day.
Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 12:05 GMT January 10, 2018
The Amazing Trader is More than Just Trading Lines
Reply
In response to some questions about the Amazing Trader, the following shows what subscribers get access to to help them use our program to trade.
- Amazing Trader in real-time
- Trading Lines Guide
- Ladder Strategy Guide
- High-Low Strategy Guide
- Amazing Trader Logic (must watch video)
- Ladder Destroyer Guide
- Scalping Strategy Guide
- A Professional Trading Strategy for the Retail Trader
- How to Use the Amazing Trader to Beat Your Binary Options Broker
- Ongoing Trader Support -- The Amazing Trader (GVI Forex) Forum
See it run live now - The Amazing Trader
Paris ib 11:54 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
Remember the Asian Crisis? The European Bond Market Crisis?
Well there is no reason that same fun scenario could play out in the United States. Is anyone in the U.S. actually aware of the risks?
Anyone?
kl fs 11:52 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
China the game changer and Trump
will China crash first or will Trump lose his pants first
Paris ib 11:50 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
"The dollar, Treasuries and stock-index futures all declined early in the US morning on a report that China is considering trimming or halting its purchases of American government debt."
So what we got? Trump threatens sanctions and China threatens to unload Treasuries. And the Press is a bunch of rabid wolves.
Who didn't get THAT memo?
Paris ib 11:44 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
"The book was originally scheduled to go on sale on January 9, 2018, but the publisher, Henry Holt and Company, moved up the release date to January 5 due to "unprecedented demand".
The people to thank
Paris ib 11:41 GMT January 10, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche
Who is swimming naked?
Debtors with a short term roll over (ie short duration), countries with a large foreign debt...
Higher yields will NOT hit everyone equally.
Paris ib 11:39 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
I think Jay that you have to keep an eye on the circus regarding the Trump Presidency. If anything tripped the wire, that did. How these morons in the Press and in the publishing industry can do this and NOT expect a huge ripple effect when the U.S. is so reliant on foreign funding... well, it's beyond me. Obviously they are NOT aware of the facts of the situation. By the time they find out it may be too late.
Houson... we have a problem.
We have a problem
Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 11:33 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
Whatever the case, the news caught the market wrong footed and now we watch 1.20 to set the tone and the high at 1.2011.
Currently, AT is trying to form a down ladder that would need a break of 1.1987 and then 1.1983 to confirm a high is in. Ladder risk two-way if 1.1987 can hold. Move above 1.2003 would negate the down ladder attempt and put the HOD at risk.
See it run live - The Amazing Trader
Paris ib 11:05 GMT January 10, 2018
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine
"if the USD/JPY is anything to go by (and I believe it is) we have symptoms of capital flight. Just the start but that's why USD/JPY is the canary and not the full blown mine collapse"
The full blown mine collapse happens when foreign investors exit U.S. debt instruments. That's where the risk lies and with the U.S. blowing itself up over the Trump Presidency THAT risk gets bigger.
F.T. Report
AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:52 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
Keep an eye on equities. I have been worried about a "black swan"with market euphoria built mainly on momentum.
london red 10:51 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
usdjpy moving on treasury liquidations. thats the flash move. relatives aside, yields on usd are rising so watch for close below/abv 200dma on yen. a move back abv intraday suggests a return to hod for this pair but for now fallout from chinese is playing out. sup 11080-111
AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:48 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
DAX -123
DJ -131
SP -12
london red 10:47 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
fading ahead of 120 stop over 12060 should work. tgt below 119
AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:46 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
10-yr 2.584% +4.6bps
Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 10:43 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
5:26 (CN) China Officials: Said to view treasuries as less attractive; Recommends slowing or halting Treasury buying
**Reminder: On Jun 6th reports circulated that China was ready to acquire more US treasuries as CNY currency (Yuan) stabilized
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 10:41 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
From the GVI Forex Forum:
Wednesday Trading Checklist
Genoa nic 10:38 GMT 01/10/2018
Chinese officials said trasuries are less attractive ten minutes ago
london red 10:32 GMT January 10, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 10 January 2018
i would focus on buying dips in usd vs eur gbp and jpy. inflation data coming up at the end of the week may be the catalyst to breaking lon term trend in the 10 year. if that happens you dont want to be standing in the way of usd. this trend may not be the trend for the whole year in terms of usd, but it should be enough to run the usd for a ta least a few weeks if not a couple of months. i dont think for eg we see below 115 in euro, but 117-118 is realistic from here. later the euro should reassert itself and test 125 but first a dip imo.
AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:25 GMT January 10, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 10 January 2018
You can see from the three AT charts attached weakness in the EUR, GBP and USD versus the JPY as markets are pricing a fundamental shift away from the ultra-easy monetary policy of the BOJ. As we noted yesterday this has seen a fundamental shift in the forex market's status quo.
AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:07 GMT January 10, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 10 January 2018
AT charts often foretell market momentum shifts. AT support (red) and resistance (blue) levels can change before sentiment. New or disappearing lines signal where the winds of change are blowing.
UK JY 09:53 GMT January 10, 2018
USDJPY
JPY up on all crosses but GBPJPY taking it hardest today, suggests big squeeze on longs in that pair.
AT Amazing Trader john bland 09:31 GMT January 10, 2018
Breaking News
BREAKING NEWS: UK Output November 2017
-- NEWS ALERT --
Industrial: +0.40% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.00% (r +0.20%) prev.
Manufacturing: +0.40% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.10% prev (r +0.30%)
BREAKING NEWS: UK Trade November 2017
-- NEWS ALERT --
Total: -12.2 vs. -11.1 exp. vs. -10.8 (r -11.7) prev
TTN: Live News Special Offer
HK PC 09:05 GMT January 10, 2018
USDJPY
Reply
Where are the USDJPY Bulls? Any ideas for the bottom?
lkwd jj 03:09 GMT January 10, 2018
usdcad
yes my high is 78...
Lockerbie CK 01:02 GMT January 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018
USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:
fwiw and I don't push it at anyone my rare trade on USDCAD which is why I have noted your posts was a few buys around 1.2380 on Friday, sold a third at 1.2418 yesterday, another third at 1.2463 today and just out all at 1.2468 whilst you have been posting - I only post when it doesn't interfere with my trades. Thanks for your concern.
I am also short SP500 from avg ~2756. stops and tp are in.
Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 00:55 GMT January 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018
CK I am not going to debate this and if you saw AT run live you would not be spending time on this rather than on your trading.
By the way all subscribers get a full set of strategy guides to use with our program.
As I told gc, I would be glad to discuss this offline but no more here.
Lockerbie CK 00:43 GMT January 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 9 January 2018
USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:
I see. So no target reached (1.2422 might have been the low but not a target) only an escape at 1.2427 if you could trade as quick as an algo for 19 pips and if entered at 1.2446.
Not quite what was implied by the "see it run live" video posted at 13:15 GMT 30 pips from 1,2450 - 1.2420 (both prices not actually reached before res at 1.2450 broken. Over selling is not good.
I don't see how my few (very few) reasonable queries about AT, which you are pushing so hard on this forum, can be seen as sniping. You are too sensitive and if you are not prepared to discuss it reasonably (with JP, gc or me today) that's fine but doesn't look good.
It doesn't make sense to talk about AT "being like an algo" and taking the emotion out of trading if you also say you maintain control of your trading positions. As gc says proper EAs can autotrade or I can auto trade my own rules and levels from any number of sources with systems that have historically been shown profitable.
How do you know I have not seen AT in action by another trader?
Lockerbie CK 00:19 GMT January 10, 2018
usdcad
USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:
@lkwd jj 14:45 GMT 01/09/2018
Are you still in this AT inspired trade jj ?
Your stop not quite hit on my platform but never in profit yet. What time frame are you thinking?
We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.