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Forex Forum Archive for 01/11/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 23:30 GMT January 11, 2018
nat gas

only Soybeans/Meal/Oil in the growing months comes anywhere near "the widow maker" in the winter

Weather this or whether that.

today's Official 8-14 Weather

dc CB 23:10 GMT January 11, 2018
Trump

So far he hasn't done this

Obama

Washngton DC 23:01 GMT January 11, 2018
Trump
Reply   
WASHINGTON — President Trump on Wednesday balked at an immigration deal that would include protections for people from Haiti and African countries, demanding to know at a White House meeting why he should accept immigrants from “shithole countries” rather than people from places like Norway, according to people with direct knowledge of the conversation.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 21:05 GMT January 11, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 12 January 2018

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--

EUR symbol The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy.
Odds for one 25bp rate hike on March 21, 2018 are 78% (80%).

EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: Positive
This Week: 1.2060-1.1915

Spot EURUSD: 1.2040
Pivot Point: 1.1957

20-day avg: 1.1920
50-day avg: 1.1835
100-day avg: 1.1833
200-day avg: 1.1554

nw kw 20:52 GMT January 11, 2018
nat gas

1 car in manufacturing crosses border 7x before finished, ?

Livingston nh 20:36 GMT January 11, 2018
nat gas

Every Trade "Agreement" that doesn't involve Absolute Advantage enshrines Comparative Advantage which leads inevitably to a shrinking or reversal of the advantage by domestic sources - tariffs are one but not the only way

Trade Agreements are anti-competitive

GVI Forex Blog 20:24 GMT January 11, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 11 January 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 11 January 2018

Israel Dil 20:22 GMT January 11, 2018
NZD
Reply   
2nd tier data about to raise doubts about the whole shape of the economy @ 21:45GMT

may need 2-3 weeks at least to.resume the bull run after a healthy correction.

nw kw 20:18 GMT January 11, 2018
nat gas

bets cad 30 against us30, will cad hose usa? stellar cad econ, no exports by trump, how needs them, trump fines got his foot up his a,,

nw kw 20:14 GMT January 11, 2018
nat gas

oil to gas,, e/u 1.25 still room in us30y to bund, spread from xmas.

Livingston nh 18:50 GMT January 11, 2018
nat gas

The glut in NAT GAS is a delivery problem in the "do-gooder" US - it is being worked on // export facilities and pipelines are coming on-line

dc CB 18:29 GMT January 11, 2018
Amazonia Offer to buy the US
Reply   


yest Bezos was worth $106Bln, but that was Yest.
(is Bezos buying AMZN day after day --- certainly a good play:)))))

dc CB 18:23 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

You've been Punked - Day Two

today's just concluded sale of $12 billion in 29-year, 10-month paper was an absolute record breaker in terms of foreign demand for the ultra long end.
The Auction stopped at a yield of 2.867%, stopping through the When Issued 2.888% by a whopping 2.1bps, one of the biggest stop throughs on record.

Record-Smashing Demand For 30Y Paper Sends Yields Tumbling

dc CB 18:18 GMT January 11, 2018
nat gas

re: Natty. It's all about the Contract and the Expiry: that above $3 is in the Feb contract, which exp the last week in Jan. The next - March only went up to a smidge over 2.92 and has not returned to 2.92.

There is the Roll and there was a very large short position that began to unwind in the last COT. Buying back Feb and Selling March for the "heat wave" Jan Thaw that will carry out the month into the first part of Feb.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 18:13 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

30-yr 2.867%
bid-to-cover 2.74 vs. 2.53

strong

lkwd jj 17:51 GMT January 11, 2018
nat gas

JP how can you look yourself in mirror if you short nat gas.. in winter? what are you smokin! the cold has come and gone and its trading back above 3...theres more to story than just weather or it would go down to 2.75 where it was last friday.

lkwd jj 17:37 GMT January 11, 2018
nat gas
Reply   
sitting right there at 305.5. not back place for 3.07 stop... but 3.0970 will send it to 320-340

Mtl JP 17:27 GMT January 11, 2018
markets

jj no schadenfreude in that. rip.

lkwd jj 17:24 GMT January 11, 2018
markets
Reply   
Dil Jp home mechanic unfortunately passed away.

GVI Forex Blog 16:58 GMT January 11, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 12 January 2018
Reply   


Trading Ideas for 12 January 2018

Upgrade Your Trading. Try The Amazing Trader

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Fri 12 Jan 2018
13:30 US- CPI & Retail Sales
Mon 15 Jan 2018
00:00 US- Holiday
Tue 16 Jan 2018
09:00 GB- CPI
20:00 US- Beige Book
Wed 17 Jan 2018
00:30 AU- Employment
02:00 CN- GDP
10:00 EZ- final HICP
14:15 US- Industrial Production
15:00 CA- Bank of Canada Decision
Thu 17 Jan 2018
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
16:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 18 Jan 2018
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
15:00 US- University of Michigan (prelim) Survey


PROSPECTIVE Trading Opportunities

Amazing Trader (AT) 16:54 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

Senate Banking Committee to vote on Fed Chair-designate Powell's nomination on Jan 17th

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 16:24 GMT January 11, 2018
GVI Data Calendar 12 January 2018
Reply   

Forex Data Calendar For Traders

January 11, 2018 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for January 12, 2018

  • Far East: CN- Trade
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • Americas: US- CPI, Retail Sales, Business Inventories, Rig Count, COT Report

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Thu 11 Jan 2018
13:30 US- PPI & Weekly Jobless
Fri 12 Jan 2018
13:30 US- CPI & Retail Sales

Mon 15 Jan 2018
00:00 US- Holiday
Tue 16 Jan 2018
09:00 GB- CPI
20:00 US- Beige Book
Wed 17 Jan 2018
00:30 AU- Employment
02:00 CN- GDP
10:00 EZ- final HICP
14:15 US- Industrial Production
15:00 CA- Bank of Canada Decision
Thu 17 Jan 2018
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
16:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 18 Jan 2018
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
15:00 US- University of Michigan (prelim) Survey

GVI Data Calendar 12 January 2018

AT Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 16:20 GMT January 11, 2018
USDCAD Update
Reply   
I made this video earlier for another reason but it is still applicable now. One reason is to show the flexibility of the Amazing Trader using longer time frames. One hour chart showing 1.2527 (tested) => 1.2463 support below it.

See it live now - The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 16:00 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

whatever trade units keeps ticket green
unless one is the netting type trader in which case the sl consideration may be different

lkwd jj 15:57 GMT January 11, 2018
usdcad
Reply   
looking for sub 125 soon (AT and all that good stuff)

lkwd jj 15:55 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

entry plus 1. 1 what ? cent? this game is for big boys ... 10 cents minimum. its like playing craps with bj half size chips. we dont take that on this table

Mtl JP 15:54 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

surprise... "hell" would have previously printed as "censored" on gv

lkwd jj 15:51 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

in a crazy market like that, trailing stops work great as they will keep you in and your not fighting emotionally with issues of when to take a profit. your obviously not looking to position trade it so take what it gives you and get the hell out.

Mtl JP 15:49 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

I like to keep my sl at entry + 1
I d be a loser at 3.07
but tks for sugg just the same

lkwd jj 15:45 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

not bad play but keep stop above 3.07. connecting highs downtrend line comes in there. above and it could fly.... with the hot weather, suckers market.

Mtl JP 15:34 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

probably decent RR to sell the natgas reaction-pop

AT Amazing Trader john bland 15:33 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

EIA U.S. Natural Gas

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) -359 vs: -320 expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 15:23 GMT January 11, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018

After the collapse of 10 yr yield the 2/10 spread is back below 50 - there may have been some short covering as spread moved above 60 // will the 2 break above 2?

Mtl JP 15:21 GMT January 11, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018

I am thinking that , in general, whales' impulse algos have a turning radius of somewhere between 7 and 12 pips around to them significant price points.
Any can correct my suspicion ?
Many TIAs.

Mtl JP 15:16 GMT January 11, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018

1.2058
puppy's Pivot Res 2 at 1.2064
srce.: gv chartpoints

AT Amazing Trader john bland 14:42 GMT January 11, 2018
SPECIAL UPDATE: Post ECB Minutes Bund Yields Up, EUR Up, USD Mostly Down



UPDATED :German 10yr and 2yr yield charts

dc CB 14:31 GMT January 11, 2018
Trump as President

dc CB 02:25 GMT January 11, 2018
Trump as President: Reply
if you've been paying any attention to this, it will make sense.
If you haven't, never mind.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Feinstein: "I just got pressured"
**********************************************
Feinstein, 84, expressed regret on Wednesday for keeping Sen. Grassley in the dark, and suggested it was because of a “bad cold.”

“The one regret I have is that I should have spoke with Senator Grassley before,” she told NBC News.
“And I don’t make an excuse but I’ve had a bad cold and maybe that slowed down my mental facilities [sic] a little bit.”

AT Amazing Trader john bland 14:25 GMT January 11, 2018
SPECIAL UPDATE: Post ECB Minutes Bund Yields Up, EUR Up, USD Mostly Down

Re table below most 10-yr yields were lower on the day earlier.

lkwd jj 14:22 GMT January 11, 2018
usdjpy
Reply   
next leg down to start in next 24hours .monday is US holiday so markets will be slow but fx is open on sunday night through europe close. headsup so you dont have headache come tue morning....

AT Amazing Trader john bland 14:08 GMT January 11, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018

2.566% +1.3bp

Mtl JP 13:50 GMT January 11, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018

re "P.S. don't forget NAFTA and USDCAD..."

a journalist reports:

...."Canada launched a broad attack against American trade practices in an international complaint about the superpower's use of punitive duties, eliciting a caustic counter-swipe from the Trump administration when the document was made public Wednesday.

"(This is an) ill-advised attack," U.S. trade czar Robert Lighthizer said. "Canada's claims are unfounded and could only lower U.S. confidence that Canada is committed to mutually beneficial trade."

Two weeks from now, the unstated backdrop to the dispute will be squarely in the foreground."...

Despite NAFTA jitters, Canada launches trade broadside against U.S.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 13:49 GMT January 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Higher

They are blaming the jump in U.S. Initial Jobless Claims on the recent extremely cold weather in most the U.S east of the Rockies.

AT Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 13:45 GMT January 11, 2018
Amazing Trader Trade of the Day
Reply   
This is a new feature we will be trying out when we see a high odds setup using the Amazing Trader. There is no set time for it and depends on what AT charts are showing. Access to this new feature is available to subscribers and also those on trial

Get Access Now

GVI Forex Blog 13:41 GMT January 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Higher
Reply   
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims higher.

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Chart
<Click on chart for over seventeen-year history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Higher

AT Amazing Trader john bland 13:31 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

U.S. PPI November 2017



NEWS ALERT
Final Demand: -0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.40% (r. ) prev.
Core: -0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.30% (r. ) prev.


RELEASE: Producer Price Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer

AT Amazing Trader john bland 13:30 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

US Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT

261K vs. 245K exp vs. 250K (r. ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

AT Amazing Trader john bland 13:26 GMT January 11, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018

Markets could react to PPI shortly, but it is not as important as CPI (Friday) or Core PCE Deflator

AT Amazing Trader john bland 13:02 GMT January 11, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018

Fundamentally lots of moving parts. Japan and ECB QE waning, China "warning" to Trump over trade. German political questions. Also sustainability of U.S. equity rally.

P.S. don't forget NAFTA and USDCAD...

AT Amazing Trader john bland 12:58 GMT January 11, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018

EURUSD resistance 1.2006 (tested), and 1.2018. Then 1.2051 and 1.2090, based on the longer term AT charts.

Tallinn viies 12:52 GMT January 11, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
closing euro long at 1,2006.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 12:39 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

You have to suspect that the abrupt EURGBP spike a half an hour ago came out of an ECB leak? Trade was in EURGBP rather than EURUSD to cover their tracks??

Thoughts??

AT Amazing Trader john bland 12:35 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

Usually ECB Minutes are a yawner, but not this time. Sounds like they are signalling an earlier than expected move away from QE...

Amazing Trader (AT) 12:33 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

ECB ACCOUNT OF THE MONETARY POLICY MEETING (DEC MINUTES): Could consider shift in guidance from early 2018 - Some comfort in wage dynamics but inflation is a concern

- Source TradeTheNews.com

AT Amazing Trader john bland 11:58 GMT January 11, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018

Mixed Risk
DAX -18
DJ +19
SP +2.3

10-yr 2.542% -1.1bp

Mtl JP 11:58 GMT January 11, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018



I have been using AT now for a while. Don’t get me wrong – I have my own robots that I use to trade. As I have mentioned many times previously , I have been very highly inspired by some posts by gc sf (s)he made in 2015. So I dont use AT exclusively. But I am always open to new ideas about trading methods or tactics given the fast dynamics of the trading space.
Sometimes my robot trumps AT and vice versa.
Sometimes I am successful: I even make some money too.

Jay claims as a fame his ability to directionally pick low-risk high odds levels. I think that is an interesting claim. And tells that he had that ability coded into a proprietary algo. Lets say it is so. As far as taking up a trial: that is a personal decision. Maybe seeing is believing. The investment in that is free of $$ charge, the only investment for the looksee is one's time is how I see it.

Seems fair to me: I put up some of my time and get to observe the algo at play and to try out how it works and maybe improve my trading loss/win ratio.

-

Some Pivots ahead of us session:
eurdlr 1.1967
usdjpy 111.79
gbpusd 1.3520
usdcad 1.2515
srce.: gv chartpoints

AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:44 GMT January 11, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche

Even if this story blows over, it has awakened investors in bonds to their risks and probably opened up the forex markets for us.

Mtl JP 10:39 GMT January 11, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche

and also to market players about "cretins"
an appreciation for being or not "In The Circle"
and about cross correlations' time and depth sensitivity parameters

Paris ib 10:37 GMT January 11, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche

This is going to be an interesting ping pong game. Trump, the negotiator, will no doubt be in his element.

Bloomberg doubles down

AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:31 GMT January 11, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche

I don't doubt for a minute that the Bloomberg quotes yesterday were accurate. By denying the statements the government can say we never said that, but a clear message has been sent to Trump.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:28 GMT January 11, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018



AT charts often foretell market momentum shifts. AT support (red) and resistance (blue) levels can change before sentiment. New or disappearing lines signal where the winds of change are blowing.

GVI Forex Blog 10:26 GMT January 11, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018
Reply   

See the Amazing Trader Live


EUR symbolRanges:

Thu: 1.1971-1.1929
Wed: 1.1955-1.1923

This Week: 1.2053-1.1915
Stops above HOD and below LOD. Stops should be heavily skewed to the downside. 1.2000 line still psychologically pivotal.

10-yr & Stocks
Equities: Lower
U.S. 10-yr Yield at 2.540%, -1.8bp
2.40% to 2.50% now the range

Remaining Calendar Today:
US- Weekly Jobless, PPI, Nat Gas, 30-yr Auction


Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018

GVI Forex Blog 10:01 GMT January 11, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018
Reply   


Trading Ideas for 11 January 2018

Upgrade Your Trading. Try The Amazing Trader

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Thu 11 Jan 2018
13:30 US- PPI & Weekly Jobless
Fri 12 Jan 2018
13:30 US- CPI & Retail Sales


PROSPECTIVE Trading Opportunities

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH-Medium Wed -- 09:30 GMT-- GB- Output & Trade
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium- Wed -- 15:30 GMT-- US- EIA Crude
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH-Medium Thu -- 13:30 GMT-- US- Weekly Jobless & PPI
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Fri -- 13:30 GMT-- US- CPI & Retail Sales

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

    Thursday Trading Checklist For 11 January 2018

Paris ib 08:36 GMT January 11, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche

"Bloomberg will have to come up with something different on the next slow news day."

Fake News

Malaysia 08:24 GMT January 11, 2018
USDCAD
Reply   
Sell USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

USDCAD current price 1.2552
You can sell this below 1.2545 to target price 1.2505

Paris ib 07:23 GMT January 11, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche

You couldn't make this up. 'Fake News'.... calling this 'Fake News' is like endorsing Donald Trump indirectly.

Well played. :-)

Mtl JP 06:57 GMT January 11, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche

and the So What is....
10yr 2.54% -0.016
Last Updated: Jan 11, 2018 1:52 a.m. EST

dc CB 04:17 GMT January 11, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche

dc CB 18:11 GMT January 10, 2018
Bill Gross this Bill Gross that....All NUZ is Fake.
You've been punked. LOL
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Less than 24 hours after Bloomberg headlines rang around the world proclaiming China would "slow purchases" of US Treasuries, China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange, SAFE, pushes back on the report, saying it is "fake news."

"Fake News"

dc CB 03:16 GMT January 11, 2018
Trump as President

Sr Network Security Engineer Reveals Twitter Ready to Give Trump’s Private DMs to DOJ

Project Veritas Video

dc CB 02:25 GMT January 11, 2018
Trump as President

if you've been paying any attention to this, it will make sense.
If you haven't, never mind.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Feinstein: "I just got pressured"
Reporter: "Who pressured you?"
Feinstein: "I wasn't pressured"

When asked why she released the Fusion GPS transcripts on Tuesday without first informing Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley (R-IA) ahead of time.

Feinstein Makes Startling Admission: "I Got Pressured" To Release Fusion Transcripts

Israel Dil 02:05 GMT January 11, 2018
usdjpy

Huh?

what's your story, do you try to sell gold or uranium?

because fx trading you didn't talk :-)))

Dil

Brakpan VP 01:46 GMT January 11, 2018
usdjpy

Usuaaly the USD/JPY tends to have a big positive correlation with the USD/CHF and USD/CAD currency pairs since they all use the U.S. dollar as the base currency.

dc CB 00:51 GMT January 11, 2018
Breaking News

dc CB 19:23 GMT January 10, 2018
it's just an ALGO Trigger NUZ story.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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