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Forex Forum Archive for 01/19/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Amazing Trader (AT) 22:18 GMT January 19, 2018
Breaking News

White House Chief of Staff Kelly is making calls to GOP leaders after meeting between Trump and Schumer, indicating a deal may be in the works - CNBC

- Source TradeTheNews.com

dc CB 21:31 GMT January 19, 2018
Commitment Of Traders Report for 16 January 2018 Data

big Spec Long not giving up, added

CL COT

dc CB 21:29 GMT January 19, 2018
Commitment Of Traders Report for 16 January 2018 Data

short covering

Nat Gas

AT Amazing Trader john bland 20:51 GMT January 19, 2018
Commitment Of Traders Report for 16 January 2018 Data
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details




GVI Forex Blog 20:08 GMT January 19, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 19 January 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 19 January 2018

dc CB 18:37 GMT January 19, 2018
The Memo
Reply   
A Real Big Deal.
____________________________________________
The four-page document, circulated to the full House yesterday, is said to detail egregious abuses of surveillance by the FBI, DOJ and Obama administration against the Trump campaign during and after the 2016 US presidential election.

The facts contained in the Republican majority-authored report is said to be "jaw-dropping and demand full transparency," according to Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL), while the top ranking Democrat on the House Intel Committee, Adam Schiff (D-CA) dismissed the memo as "profoundly misleading" talking points drafted by Republican staffers.

House Conservatives Want Bombshell Memo Released As Part Of Shutdown Talks

AT Amazing Trader john bland 18:04 GMT January 19, 2018
Breaking News

Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 936 vs. 939 (-3) prev.
Oil: 747 vs. 752 (-5) prev.

Canada:
Total 325 vs. 278 (=47)


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 17:45 GMT January 19, 2018
Missing from that missive about poloz hiking rates in canada is that the .25point hike means $20/month more for every $50K tranche of outstanding mortgage.

Ex.: 400K/50 = 8 x $20 = $160 more after-tax out of pocket, each month.

On the other hand (the good side of rising rates) is that savers get tiny bit more (taxable) income and higher interest rate friendly stocks go up in price as well as prospect of yielding higher dividend.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 17:22 GMT January 19, 2018
Dovish Bank of Canada Policy Tightening. ECB Meeting Thursday Could Be Revealing



John M. Bland, MBA, co-founder, Global-View.com




Bank Of Canada Raises Rates As was widely expected, the Bank of Canada raised its target rate for overnight funds to 1.25% by 25bps from 1.00%. In his press conference afterwards, Bank of Canada Governor Poloz said that the rate rise “'validates” data we have seen and that it was not a “no brainer”. Furthermore he said "Today we have more room than we did a year ago; with economy in such good health, we are confident we can continue to build on this".... MORE >>>

�Dovish� Bank of Canada Policy Tightening. ECB Meeting Thursday Could Be Revealing

SaaR KaL 17:08 GMT January 19, 2018
Traders Life line
Reply   
Every day

FX Life

dc CB 17:04 GMT January 19, 2018
Trading Basics - Volatility

JP, I believe that pic is from wayback when he was Governor of New Jersey. HRC is fairly young.
Corzine: Co-Head of Goldman Sachs, US Senator-New Jersey, Governor of NJ, Head of MF Global. I think that is the timeline.

Mtl JP 16:55 GMT January 19, 2018
Trading Basics - Volatility

CB ... hmm no guards visible in that pic around a stinker whose fame to claim $40 billion loss to his MF Global and ... $1.2 billion worth of missing client funds. Did he make those folks round ?
-
Top hour FOMC gang member Quarles yaks, fwiw.

dc CB 16:21 GMT January 19, 2018
Trading Basics - Volatility

Being connected is more important than making winning trades.
He's back! (guess the statute of limitations has passed... isn't it 7 years?)

8 years after he took the helm at MF Global in March 2010 (imploding the firm the next year, leaving more than $1 billion of customer money missing, in the eighth-largest bankruptcy in U.S. history)

Jon Corzine's New Hedge Fund Is Betting On Trump-Triggered Trades

SaaR KaL 16:19 GMT January 19, 2018
NZDUSD Longs
Reply   
0.7323 0.7264
0.7338 0.7249

wants > .74 in a week or 2

lkwd jj 16:14 GMT January 19, 2018
markets
Reply   
hard to find clear direction in fx so with nothing to wrap my hands around ill stay clear and keep powder dry. good weekend to all !

SaaR KaL 16:14 GMT January 19, 2018
USDCAD Shorts
Reply   
1.2451 1.2375
1.2470 1.2356

expecting lower than 1.2340 next week

Mtl JP 15:23 GMT January 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Preliminary Data for January 2018 MIss

apparently UofM experts not yet using block-chain technology
one could think they are still using TRS-80 and fax

AT Amazing Trader john bland 15:10 GMT January 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Preliminary Data for January 2018 MIss

This series has been weak for over a year...

GVI Forex Blog 15:09 GMT January 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Preliminary Data for January 2018 MIss
Reply   
Preliminary January 2018 Michigan Survey misses expectations once again. Data revision in two weeks.
University of Michigan Sentiment Survey chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Preliminary Data for January 2018 MIss

SaaR KaL 15:08 GMT January 19, 2018
Longs cable
Reply   
1.3999 1.3864

AT Amazing Trader john bland 15:00 GMT January 19, 2018
Breaking News

Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index January, 2018




NEWS ALERT
94.4 vs. 97.00 exp. vs. 95.90 prev


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Amman wfakhoury 14:37 GMT January 19, 2018
GOLD 1333 mag
Reply   
Gold 1333 mag level ..sell above it buy below it ..tp 1333


The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

Mtl JP 14:32 GMT January 19, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 19 January 2018

Time to start to think of preparing for
19/01/18 15:00 AA US prelim U of Mich con: 97 pre: 95.9
on gv's Forex Calendar

AT Amazing Trader john bland 14:04 GMT January 19, 2018
Breaking News

looks like a government shutdown is increasingly inevitable. Lets see if the markets care any more?

SaaR KaL 14:03 GMT January 19, 2018
EurUSD <1.2277 i am bullish
Reply   
with 50 pip dips

Amazing Trader (AT) 14:02 GMT January 19, 2018
Breaking News

(US) Fox News reporter: GOP sources say they preparing for shutdown lasting a few days into next week; sources say GOP will not give in on DACA

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 14:01 GMT January 19, 2018
Evaluate Your Trading

Hola Jay Meisler 12:37

a) - which pair - or instrument - do you consider as barometer of risk ?

b) - which pair - or instrument - do you think the market considers as barometer of risk ?

PAR 13:57 GMT January 19, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Sell EURUSD 1.2225 on stop.

Livingston nh 13:57 GMT January 19, 2018
FED

JP - ?? yen - the "hope" that BoJ QE fervor is fading? - the TIC from the other day? - the general disfavor of USD this week?

To me NK is weighing on the USD/JPY and that is continuing

GVI Forex Blog 13:53 GMT January 19, 2018
GVI Data Calendar For 22 January 2018
Reply   

Forex Data Calendar For Traders

January 19, 2018 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for January 22, 2018

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • Americas: No Major Data

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Tue 23 Jan 2018
03:30 JP- Bank of Japan
10:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 24 Jan 2018
All Day Flash PMIs
09:30 GB- Employment
15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 25 Jan 2018
00:00 AU- Holiday
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
23:30 JP- Core CPI
Fri 26 Jan 2018
09:30 GB- GDP
13:30 CA- Retail Sales & CPI
13:30 US- Durable Goods & GDP

GVI Data Calendar For 22 January 2018

Mtl JP 13:48 GMT January 19, 2018
FED

nh in light of "US yields continue their relentless march higher, with 10-year the latest part of the curve to try and push through the range highs set back in December 2016 around 2.60-2.64%." what, do u postulate, is driving usdyen ?

Livingston nh 13:44 GMT January 19, 2018
FED
Reply   
The glaciers at Davos move faster than the Fed's QE balance sheet reduction - last night's monetary release is SAME Old Same OLD

The BIG Washington news isn't a "shutdown" ( been there done that) BUT the John Williams, SF Fed head, and HIGH Priest of the Unknowable R*, is being floated as the VICE CHAIR of the Fed -- President Trump is hardly a disruptor

On USD and rates - the 10 yr yield above 2.60 and slowly expanding the spread against Bunds - now 212, above 218 should hit the EUR and CHF

Israel Dil 13:14 GMT January 19, 2018
Very Bullish Gold.. from but not today

$1390+++ that's the next station for gold

Israel Dil 12:52 GMT January 19, 2018
Very Bullish Gold.. from but not today

come on @RF & JP, don't stop. to watch you two crows fighting is better way to enter the weekend. go go go crows!

Amazing Trader (AT) Jay Meisler 12:37 GMT January 19, 2018
Evaluate Your Trading
Reply   


I created a self-trading evaluation questionnaire for myself that I think would be beneficial for everyone as it will get you thinking about your trading and area you should focus on toe refine it. I found the exercise useful and assume you will feel the same way.

Self-Trading Evaluation

Mtl JP 11:46 GMT January 19, 2018
Very Bullish Gold.. from but not today

[email protected] "may" -- is that a strategy that makes 10% per month ?

PAR 11:36 GMT January 19, 2018
TRUMP
Reply   
Trump is planning a $100,000-per-couple anniversary party at Mar-A-Lago a day after the government is slated to shut down

https://t.co/raLFqEF5BG #p2 #ctl

HK [email protected] 11:20 GMT January 19, 2018
Very Bullish Gold.. from but not today

.
I didn't know that I am in a companion of prophets like you(Mtl JP ) who know absolutley the future moves of currencies.

Mtl JP 11:17 GMT January 19, 2018
Very Bullish Gold.. from but not today

"may" ... or may not
duh

HK [email protected] 11:12 GMT January 19, 2018
Very Bullish Gold.. from but not today

.

Some indicators are pointing to a situation that gold has formed some support and base, which means it may continue it's ascend from here.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 11:00 GMT January 19, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 19 January 2018

DAX +133
DJ +90
SP +8.5

10-yr 2.630% +1.90bp

Paris ib 10:57 GMT January 19, 2018
Capital Flight, Debt Crisis and the USD
Reply   
Debt crises happen when you have a roll-over problem. Short duration, massive debt and a reliance on foreign creditors makes for a very ugly scenario.

The U.S. is NOT immune to a debt crisis, particularly when it is tearing itself apart over the Trump Presidency, which has to be one of the dumbest things I have ever seen happen. You don't like it? You vote him out at the next election. You don't go into all-out self-immolation mode. THAT is merely stupid.

What does a debt crisis look like? Spike in interest rates. Credit dries up entirely. The USD gets hit. The economy tanks.

The Idea Starts to Take Hold

Mtl JP 10:42 GMT January 19, 2018
Trading Basics - Volatility

dc CB 01:59 - tks for the ref *,^

AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:38 GMT January 19, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 19 January 2018



CHART: Markets testing their ranges ahead of the weekend.



AT charts often foretell market momentum shifts. AT support (red) and resistance (blue) levels can change before sentiment. New or disappearing lines signal where the winds of change are blowing.

GVI Forex Blog 10:36 GMT January 19, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 19 January 2018
Reply   

See the Amazing Trader Live


EUR symbolRanges:

Likely Stop levels:
Stops above HOD and below LOD. Focus is on the downside at the moment.
Other levels--
Ranges:
This Week: 1.2324-1.2164
Fri: 1.2296-1.2231
Thu: 1.2218-1.2164

Key Market Profiles--
10-yr & Stocks
Equities: Mixed
U.S. 10-yr Yield at 2.631%, +2.0bp
2.63% 2017 high pivotal

Remaining Calendar Today:
US- University of Michigan prelim data

Friday Trading Checklist For 19 January 2018

SaaR KaL 10:28 GMT January 19, 2018
AUDNZD correction is starting
Reply   
Below 1.0850 is ok

above 1.0983
is good

Mtl JP 10:11 GMT January 19, 2018
EUROPEAN BANKS NPL

PAR it may be good for you to be leery and un-trusting of "authorities" ... but only if you take self-protecting untangling action

Mtl JP 15:34 GMT November 16, 2017

Remebering that when YOU deposit money into a bank, YOUR deposit is a in the LIABILITIES column of the bank's book.

IF you are a schlepp like me (i.e NOT a member of european prince-hood) and have a european bank account fwiw and fyi:

‘covered deposits and claims under investor compensation schemes should be replaced by limited discretionary exemptions to be granted by the competent authority in order to retain a degree of flexibility.’ ... “…during a transitional period, depositors should have access to an appropriate amount of their covered deposits to cover the cost of living within five working days of a request.”

In other words... poof goes your 100,000 euro "deposit protection" scheme.


BUT you have to act before vs after they make their "limited discretionary exemptions" as whining ain't gonna cut it.

U r forewarned. Your move.

SaaR KaL 10:06 GMT January 19, 2018
Very Bullish Gold.. from but not today
Reply   
will buy below 1320.23

heading to more than 1360 IMO

PAR 10:03 GMT January 19, 2018
EUROPEAN BANKS NPL
Reply   
#Europe's banks continue to suffer from non-performing loans worth almost one trillion euros. But who should bear the brunt?

https://t.co/aVzyxNRYOn via @welt

Mtl JP 10:01 GMT January 19, 2018
Breaking News

red's ... channel line by 13955 and big barrier by 1.40 ...
appears to be the s/t play *O*

SaaR KaL 09:56 GMT January 19, 2018
GBPJPY < 154.64 bullish
Reply   
> 155.28 on way but will reverse from this

Mtl JP 09:50 GMT January 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Miss in December 2017

r u trading off Am/Trdr signals atm ?

SaaR KaL 09:47 GMT January 19, 2018
Cable Below 1.3944 --> Bullish
Reply   
1.3990 is on way

Mtl JP 09:46 GMT January 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Miss in December 2017



john.... dump ---- rebound ---- dump...
faster than you can type and post

SaaR KaL 09:42 GMT January 19, 2018
Oil...very Bullish now
Reply   
I am Long till 66

AT Amazing Trader john bland 09:41 GMT January 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Miss in December 2017

GBPUSD and EURUSD rebound quickly following UK data miss. Post-Brexit high for GBPUSD.

Mtl JP 09:39 GMT January 19, 2018
Breaking News

and so here we are back to dumping the usd 3 minutes later

GVI Forex Blog 09:38 GMT January 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Miss in December 2017
Reply   
U.K. Retail Sales chart December 2017 U.K. Retail Sales Data miss street estimates. Previous data marked slightly lower.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Miss in December 2017

london red 09:35 GMT January 19, 2018
Breaking News

that after a weak dec 2016 result, its quite bad whether you look at m/m or y/y. but still, cable will be supported while euro and yen firm as its a dollar move. channel line by 13955 and big barrier by 1.40 may hold up for a while but ultimately fate tied to euro and while that goes up cable will too. brexit will have its go later this year and cable will lose out heavily vs euro and usd, but they arent ready to seperate the two yet.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 09:33 GMT January 19, 2018
Breaking News

U.K. retail Sales miss.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 09:31 GMT January 19, 2018
Breaking News

U.K. Retail Sales December 2017

U.K. Charts




-- NEWS ALERT --

mm: -1.50% v -0.90% exp. vs. +1.10% (r +1.00% ) prev.
x-fuel & autos
mm:-1.60% v -0.90% exp. vs. +1.20% (r +1.10%) prev.

RELEASE: UK Retail Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 09:27 GMT January 19, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 19 January 2018

London red any words of wisdom about 1.34 ahead of ret sales release >
tia!

GVI Forex Blog 09:12 GMT January 19, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 19 January 2018
Reply   


Trading Ideas for 19 January 2018

Upgrade Your Trading. Try The Amazing Trader

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Fri 19 Jan 2018
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
15:00 US- University of Michigan (prelim) Survey

Tue 23 Jan 2018
03:30 JP- Bank of Japan
10:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 24 Jan 2018
All Day Flash PMIs
09:30 GB- Employment
15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 25 Jan 2018
00:00 AU- Holiday 09:00 DE- IFO Survey
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
23:30 JP- Core CPI
Fri 26 Jan 2018
09:30 GB- GDP
13:30 CA- Retail Sales & CPI
13:30 US- Durable Goods & GDP

PROSPECTIVE Trading Opportunities

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium-to-High Fri--08:30 GMT-- GB- Retail Sales

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium-to-High Fri--15:00 GMT-- US preliminaru University of Michigan Survey


  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com




    Friday Trading Checklist For 19 January 2018

Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 09:06 GMT January 19, 2018
What is the Forex Sweet Spot?

The “Sweet Spot” is a term I came up with to describe what I see as the ideal and “safest” time to trade.

What I found is there is little chance of a correction or reversal when in the “Sweet Spot” and thus a time when you should be trading with the market on your side.

What is the Forex Sweet Spot?

PAR 08:53 GMT January 19, 2018
Berlusconi
Reply   
Berlusconi's centre-right party Forza Italia (FI) has entered into a pre-election coalition with the Northern League (Lega) and post-Facist Brothers of Italy (FDI). Although Berlusconi himself is barred from holding public office, the latest polls show that this coalition has a chance of winning power in the Italian ...

nw kw 02:13 GMT January 19, 2018
Trading Basics - Volatility

swiss in QQQ tek. not short yet.

nw kw 02:09 GMT January 19, 2018
Trading Basics - Volatility

cad banks sell for credit union a long. s&p loaded for swing trading from volatility. over priced lumber stomped troper.

dc CB 01:59 GMT January 19, 2018
Trading Basics - Volatility



PS as posted last nite

dc CB 01:56 GMT January 19, 2018
Trading Basics - Volatility

The SEC knows NOT to get into something that Way Way Over their heads.

This is about their speed.
As told by Michael Lewis in the NYT Magazine, in 2001.

Jonathan Lebed's Extracurricular Activities

Mtl JP 01:51 GMT January 19, 2018
Trading Basics - Volatility

In order to make money from trading you need to have price movement. In order to have price movement you need volatility. Volatility is cyclical. Without it, moving averages, momentum indicators, overbought/oversold indicators, support and resistance lines etc are essentially useless.

Volatility is the fuel that drives the engine!


'twas to be expected .... not everyone is a fan of volatility

SEC shoots down idea of bitcoin ETFs, citing volatility

dc CB 01:28 GMT January 19, 2018
Breaking News

AT Amazing Trader john bland 16:45 GMT
Ive been through at least two shutdowns. Only non-essential services close.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Sen. Dianne Feinstein, D-Calif., cautioned Thursday that “people die, accidents happen” when the government shuts down, as it is poised to partially shut down Friday night if Congress doesn’t pass a government spending bill. It was her second shift in position on the bill in just one day.

“Shutting down the government is a very serious thing. People die, accidents happen,” Feinstein told CNN. “You don’t know. Necessary functions can cease. There is no specific list you can look at and make a judgment: ‘Well everything is going to be just fine.’ You can’t make that judgment. So, I think it’s a last resort. And I’m really hopeful we don’t get to it.”

'People will die'

dc CB 00:56 GMT January 19, 2018
TRUMP

this was linked on a ZeroHedge post today.
Books on Tape..in his own words.
amusing

Donald Trump on Revenge.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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