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Forex Forum Archive for 01/25/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 23:11 GMT January 25, 2018
Trump

da Oval 2017

Trump's first season

dc CB 22:41 GMT January 25, 2018
Trump

heard playin' really LOUD in the Presidential Suite tonite in Davos

Munchkin v Trump

Livingston nh 22:20 GMT January 25, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 26 January 2018

John - Draghi was boxed in today because of this quarterly crap - his staff report is in March when they get projections * DOTS in US

These guys are clueless bureacrats awaiting confirmation by the Minions

Israel Dil 22:17 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

AFP news agency @AFP

#BREAKING Afrin official urges Syria to intervene to stop Turkish planes overhead

_______________
- Syria/Russia deploying S400 there and Turkey is into deep never ending nightmare. can't see any positive impact on TRY

AT Amazing Trader john bland 22:14 GMT January 25, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 26 January 2018

nh- interesting point. For some stupid reason we are now locked in on quarterly opportunities to change rates. I've heard a number of times that all meetings are live. So far they all have been dead!

They should change rates at an off date meeting when it doesn't matter much. You don't want to change rates at an off meeting date the first time amid a lot of drama.

Livingston nh 22:03 GMT January 25, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 26 January 2018

John - that 90% for a March hike -- sometimes (Volcker?) the outgoing guy on a handover cuts the new guy some slack if a hike is warranted - G'span didn't flinch and Bernanke kept the 1/4 point moves

Tallinn viies 21:48 GMT January 25, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
what a day. monthly trading range now finally done. over 600 points is enough for january. went short euros at 1,2532. turned around and went long at 1,2474 for smll bounce. then all systems droped down. no internet,nothing. got stoped out at 1,2424.
turned again long now at 1,2392. stop at 1,2342. target 1,2492.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 21:48 GMT January 25, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 26 January 2018

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--

EUR symbol The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy.
Odds for one 25bp rate hike on March 21, 2018 are 90% (88%).

EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: Positive
This Week: 1.2538-1.2213
Spot EURUSD: 1.2409
Pivot Point: 1.2437

20-day avg: 1.2144
50-day avg: 1.1956
100-day avg: 1.1869
200-day avg: 1.1635

Israel Dil 21:45 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

enough red, next.... keep this kind of conversation to your wife, no other reason for a female to see you as attractive.

Livingston nh 21:42 GMT January 25, 2018
usd

EOD charts look like the old "intervention" charts - see if ASIA runs with a reversal theme (aussie and SGD)

Israel Dil 21:39 GMT January 25, 2018
Trump

this TrumpMunchino gonna move the markets many more times. Duarte's mouth looks as coins compared to those large bills. I am checking again and again trump's transcript from today about the Israeli-Palestinian never ending conflict, the man talks like extreme right Israelis.


london red 21:37 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

stating a fib after time doesnt confirm anything fwiw. while ur 98% is bs. nobody of any intelligence or basic understanding of the fx market would make such a daft comment. u may admit u made it up but if u cant see how daft it (98% come on) was then there isnt much hope. now u wont be able to see that so there is no point me continuing on with it is there.

Livingston nh 21:30 GMT January 25, 2018
Trump
Reply   
See if Trump plays the Good Cop/ Bad Cop in his speech - Draghi, LaGarde and most of the OW&B folks were "shocked" at Mnuchin comments - of course, he didn't realize what he was saying (if you believe THAT I have a deed to a Bridge in Brooklyn you can get cheap)

Guys like Soros et al better look around the table to see if they can spot the RUBE

Israel Dil 21:30 GMT January 25, 2018
usd

gc de

I think a but not sure that you may have a point

Israel Dil 21:27 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

you funny boy red

when all winning trades doesn't count and you attach yourself to information no one able to confirm or not. I must admit the surprisingly HK @RF got the point better than anyone ;-)))

no bs. Truly nor. .. 13800-14400 cable range for a while :-)))

gc dd 21:24 GMT January 25, 2018
usd

usdyen is not so obvious as euryen and gbpyen and audyen are all very high and Yen is not as it was before... it could be just 108-110 for a while

eur 1.2480/90 and GBP 1.4210-50 are going to be tough in the short term as corrective activity can set in

london red 21:17 GMT January 25, 2018
usd

id go as far as 12488 the top of the bar. as for profit taking its whats folks were expecting pre draghi, just mnuchin outgunned until trump corrected. think ud be hard pushed to not find willing profit takers 125/126 in any case. trumps comments just forced them into it. think you will have willing buyers 120/121/122.
CB yen 10915/07 was being watched yest, i guess now needs to hold now that retaken.

Livingston nh 21:13 GMT January 25, 2018
usd

re: Mnuchin - sometimes stating the obvious pushes the last buyers/sellers into a one way move -- maybe the Bell has rung // and my Johnny one note song on oil continues - products are building

gc dd 21:10 GMT January 25, 2018
usd

I am looking at the myfxbook of alot of the momentum/BO trading styles -- they all bought early in the session got stopped and now have gone short at the lows ..... EUR and GBP with stops around 1.2440 and 1.4200

you would imagine those are going to get done before the downside comes back into play ... seems bit hard to bet against Trump as he just always seems to get his way.

london red 21:08 GMT January 25, 2018
usd

*110

london red 21:08 GMT January 25, 2018
usd

some v lrg 109,90/100's were done earlier this wk on a monday expiry. while aussie has a 3 yard 79er on monday also. for now a bit far out but still 2 days to go if correction gains legs.

london red 21:05 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

now u know thats not the point. is it mr 98%? thats where im calling your bs. of the day.

dc CB 21:01 GMT January 25, 2018
usd

in the quiet hour, it will be interesting to watch the USD/JPY for the typical move by the BOJ push the Yen lower. Eyes on 110, for a clue to a Dead Cat or not.

Israel Dil 20:29 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

oh ya.. that drop with cable was off 78.6% of the 15015-11945 range... bs too? :-)))

Dil

GVI Forex Blog 20:28 GMT January 25, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 24 January 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 24 January 2018

Israel Dil 20:24 GMT January 25, 2018
usd

maybe... maybe not

lkwd jj 20:19 GMT January 25, 2018
usd
Reply   
Dead cat bounce !

Israel Dil 20:19 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

grow up red, don't let your mother's and wife's risk tolerance to rule you :-)))

cable trade above 23.6% of 13470-14330 range after briefly printing under. I guess that answers your other BS about losses. .. RED :-)))

Dil

london red 20:01 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

more riddles. im quite happy with my reality not sure why it matters to u. how many figs lost on the way up?
back in the real world. a few fibs 12300/06/11 and prev highs 12297/12324

dc CB 19:56 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Davos
SOROS: TRUMP MOVEMENT A TEMPORARY PHENOMENON, TO VANISH BY 2020
SOROS: CONSIDERS TRUMP ADMINISTRATION A DANGER TO THE WORLD
Soros: I expect a Democratic landslide in 2018
SOROS: OPEN SOCIETIES ENDANGERED IN U.S. AND EUROPE

Israel Dil 19:43 GMT January 25, 2018
gold

jj - $15 taken for some

Israel Dil 19:39 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

red.... relax !

that 14140 scalp was good for 2 figures... so get into non self employed state (your reality) very fast again. we talk dogs later :-))))

london red 19:37 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

yest john, mnuchin dismissed short term. thats what shocked everyone. cos the us nevers comments aside from strong dollar policy. im not entirely sure mnuchin wanted correcting by trump cos as u say, mnuchin had another go earlier today. if u asked anyone where they were going to take profit on eurusd at the start of year they would tell u 125/125, so folks were a bit nervous here anyway. as i said before plenty of fresh risk in mkt today on breach of 125, these are now live possies from 120/121/122 and need dealing with. easiest to take profit whilst hedging results in same action to mkt.

austin mw 19:36 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

John - keep in mind that the treasury announces its quarterly refunding schedule next week and will be needing close to a trillion $ and with China & Japan buying fewer, the Fed is no longer hoarding, the last thing Trump and Mnuchin need is a falling USD.

london red 19:32 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

me bitter? why? just canned nearly half a fig on the downside. i dont like riddles for the sake of it. and besides your 98% is bs. hey every dog has its day, i guess you just got called up. enjoy.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 19:31 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Very strange. I listened to everything that Mnuchin said very closely today, at least twice. His comments could not have been clearer. They were not out of context. I also saw the Trump "clarification". He did not correct anything. They must have gotten some strong push back on the weak USD strategy. Not looking good on this one...

Israel Dil 19:25 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

RED

14140 scalp also imaginary in your real world, ah?

Dil

Israel Dil 19:23 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

red... you sound bitter, take a shot of whiskey with jp :-)))

Dil

Israel Dil 19:21 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

strong dollar and import tariffs on solar panels and washing machines... may means loads of Chinese banging their heads against the wall in place of celebrating their new year :-)))

Dil

london red 19:19 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

yes fake news. 98% of it at least. what has the president got to do with an imaginary 98% short usd position. a bunch of folks got tapped in when the 125 broke so its a good op for them to take profit from the knockins, ask q's later.

PAR 19:14 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Fake news everywhere with the Trump creepshow ?

Israel Dil 19:14 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

market shown 98% the evidence

london red 19:13 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

that fact he said mnuchin comments taken out of context suggests they didnt want mkt to dwell on first part of mnuchins comment of short term indifference to dollar moves.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 19:10 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Hardly different from what Mnuchin said

Amazing Trader (AT) 19:07 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Pres Trump: the Dollar will strengthen as the economy does; ultimately I want to see a strong dollar; Mnuchin comments this week were out of context - CNBC interview excerpts

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Israel Dil 19:06 GMT January 25, 2018
petro dollars
Reply   
while the markets take action because Trump's yakking

perro dollar investment trends

london red 19:06 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

mkt moving on trump comments that mnuchin comments taken out of context

Amazing Trader (AT) 18:51 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

ECB sources: ECB council divided about next move as the rise of the Euro complicates the forecasts - press -

Some want to remove the easing bias in March; others prefer June for next policy adjustment - Others are more hesitant and want to fully reassess at the next meeting

- Source TradeTheNews.com

london red 18:11 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

some minor sup for usdjpy here by 10850, but now below wkly cloud base. prev low of 10732 in danger as is 38.2% fib (75/126) at 10667.

dc CB 18:08 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Auction done:
7Y high yield 2.565%, WI 2.577%

Israel Dil 17:46 GMT January 25, 2018
America First . Dollar last .

jp you are not the type I let to lick my arse, one less fantasy for you to live for :-)))

Dil

GVI Forex Blog 17:31 GMT January 25, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 26 January 2018
Reply   


Trading Ideas for 26 January 2018

Upgrade Your Trading. Try The Amazing Trader

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Fri 26 Jan 2018
00:00 AU Holiday
09:30 GB- GDP
13:30 CA- Retail Sales & CPI
13:30 US- Durable Goods & GDP

PROSPECTIVE Trading Opportunities

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium-to-High Fri-- 09:30 GMT-- GB- GDP

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium-to-High Fri-- 13:30 GMT-- CA- CPI

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium-to-High Fri-- 13:30 GMT-- US- Durable Goods

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium-to-High Fri-- 13:30 GMT-- US- GDP


  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

    Friday Trading Checklist For 26 January 2018

Mtl JP 17:29 GMT January 25, 2018
America First . Dollar last .

Dil still looking for the source ?
I am feeling magnanimous atm so u get a break: forget it.

Israel Dil 17:10 GMT January 25, 2018
America First . Dollar last .

since ages weekly close with strong USD bias... :-)))

Dil

Mtl JP 17:08 GMT January 25, 2018
America First . Dollar last .

Earlier this a.m. global-view gave draghi only a few hours "...to figure out a way to deflect this change in U.S. dollar policy."

So draghi the cavalier tried: “The exchange rate has moved in part because of endogenous reasons, namely the improvement in the economy, in part due to exogenous reasons that have to do with communication. But not by the ECB, but by someone else. This someone else’s communication doesn’t comply with the agreed terms of references.” (bbrg)

What are "the agreed terms of references"? ..."We will refrain from competitive devaluations, and will not target our exchange rates for competitive purposes."... - IMFC 0ct 2017

And so draghi failed publicly, embarrassingly and miserably as eurdlr "continued its advance as Draghi spoke Thursday, topping the $1.25 level." in a resonating slap hear across the FX trading world.

Odds are draghi , back in his den, is putting ice on the sting as he is caressing a vengent slap scheme of his own at a most opportune time. This just can not go un-answered.

brampton hj 17:06 GMT January 25, 2018
euro test
Reply   
test

lkwd jj 16:41 GMT January 25, 2018
America First . Dollar last .

lower dollar is to help companies export , like japan and china currently. he wants usa to be a choice too. more manufacturing = more jobs=higher standard of living=strong economy.

lkwd jj 16:39 GMT January 25, 2018
Years ago...

need good imagination to see cup and handle. maybe line chart would be clearer, but its there.
-----------------
nice

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 16:38 GMT January 25, 2018
America First . Dollar last .

PAR, that has never worked in the past.

PAR 16:33 GMT January 25, 2018
America First . Dollar last .
Reply   
Trump makes it simple . A lower dollar will lower the US trade deficit which is good for the USA .

HK [email protected] 15:56 GMT January 25, 2018
Years ago...
Reply   
.
I made a nice prediction for the cup&Handle formation, long B4 it was completed.
The Handle remained an active support line forming a triple bottom base, from which prices were catapulted to the upper boundary of the wedge seen in the graph.

1.6243 is the target for the wedge formation Let's see how many months will it take:(

HK [email protected] 15:49 GMT January 25, 2018
TODAY look what happened.
Reply   


.

HK [email protected] 15:49 GMT January 25, 2018
Few months ago I presented this chart
Reply   


.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 15:30 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

EIA U.S. Natural Gas

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) -288 vs: -270 expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer



Israel Dil 15:30 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: 200DMA line area Stop:

1.15-1.25 range it is :-)))

Mtl JP 15:28 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Dil no need to feel sorry - other than for yourself maybe
just tell the source
it does not get any simpler: the source

HK [email protected] 15:25 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

.
Why 98% hmmm?
Because 98% of forex traders are losing their money against the banks:(

Israel Dil 15:23 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

oops, sorry jp for touching old man's hesitations; -)))

shot of whiskey and you back to your comfort zone

Dil

Mtl JP 15:20 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

cmon Dil - out with the source
and also exactly how more than "more than 98%"
and don't worry: I won't use it to trade against you.

HK [email protected] 15:20 GMT January 25, 2018
Trump is great just great!!!



.

HK [email protected] 15:17 GMT January 25, 2018
Trump is great just great!!!
Reply   
.
He is like a great religious leader . Hahaha
Now a statesman:

statesmen. 1. a person who is experienced in the art of government or versed in the administration of government affairs. 2. a person who exhibits great wisdom and ability in directing the affairs of a government or in dealing with important public issues.

Israel Dil 15:16 GMT January 25, 2018
TRUMP

yup, Davos shows as evidence to the followers of the matrix theory :-)))

check out about how serious the Chinese are about cloning.

Dil

GVI Forex Blog 15:16 GMT January 25, 2018
GVI Data Calendar For 25 January 2018
Reply   

Forex Data Calendar For Traders

January 25, 2018 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for January 26, 2018

  • Far East: AU- Holiday
  • Europe: GB- GDP
  • Americas: CA- CPI, US- Durable Goods, GDP, Rig Count, COT Report

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

23:30 JP- Core CPI
Fri 26 Jan 2018
00:00 AU- Holiday
09:30 GB- GDP
13:30 CA- CPI
13:30 US- Durable Goods & GDP

GVI Data Calendar For 25 January 2018

GVI Forex Blog 15:12 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales For December 2018 Miss
Reply   
December 2017 New Homes Sales. Running out of steam? Previous data revised down.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. New Homes Sales For December 2018 Miss

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 15:11 GMT January 25, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   


For those using the AT, we have been using the shortest time frame charts (1 minute) during the volatility, Look at this chart where I put a check mark to show the support line that contained the EURUSD retracement.

This is just another example of the flexibility of AT across time frames.

Israel Dil 15:09 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

John - weak/weakening US housing market goes hand in hand with stronger USD... historically at least :-)))

TRUMP 15:07 GMT January 25, 2018
TRUMP

Everybody in Davos wants on the picture with Trump . He is like a great religious leader .

Israel Dil 15:06 GMT January 25, 2018
gold

jj - I sold into the spike

lkwd jj 15:06 GMT January 25, 2018
gold
Reply   
muted reaction to usd weakness today, then again it , up $16 on wed.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 15:05 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Big miss in New Homes Sales

Israel Dil 15:04 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

hey jp - you too old to grow own balls, try sewing :-)))

Dil

NY JM 15:04 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Red, those #s have been that way through the recent dollar slide so not just today.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 15:04 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. New Home Sales December, 2017



ALERT
625K vs. 675K exp. vs. 733K (r 689K ) prev.


New Residential Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Israel Dil 15:02 GMT January 25, 2018
TRUMP

IF his lawyer allows him... :-)))

that "if the lawyer to allow me" remark from Trump is the signal to selloff the crashing style for stocks.

Dil

AT Amazing Trader john bland 15:01 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Leading Indicators January 2018

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
+0.60% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.40% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 15:01 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

hey Dil... c my 14:32

london red 14:58 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

have between 60-70% net short euro, again around 2/3 net long. this is a mix of retail clients across a few firms but to be honest they are all v similar ie 2/3 clients net long usd.

PAR 14:58 GMT January 25, 2018
TRUMP
Reply   
Trump having the time of his life .

Israel Dil 14:57 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

JM - do you believe in those #'s ?

Dil

NY JM 14:52 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

If you believe these #s

SSI shows 70% short eurusd, 62% short gbpusd, 69% long usdjpy

Israel Dil 14:42 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

thoughts in their nature appear as wrong from time to time RED :-)))

Dil

Israel Dil 14:41 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: Target: 1.4140 Stop:

that's the scalp part :-)))

Dil

london red 14:39 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

think its far more than 2% which is why its not been bouncing.

Israel Dil 14:36 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

that's the 2% red

Dil

london red 14:35 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

long usd that is.

london red 14:35 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

dont think yen futures traders would agree with you. they have been add long all the way down!

Mtl JP 14:32 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

source n proof :_

Israel Dil 14:30 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

more than 98% of traders are USD short now...

Dil

Amazing Trader (AT) 14:29 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

SNB's Jordan: do not believe that we are facing a currency war; have no comment on US Treasury Sec Mnuchin's FX comments - Should not be focused on daily volatility in exchange rates do not look at specific exchange rates when setting policy - Reiterates view that SNB continues to be willing to intervene in FX markets if necessary - Source TradeTheNews.com

london red 14:18 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI

he is trying his best to shift the move on to things over then inflation but seems a lot of dip buyers abv 125. maybe below 125 the enthusiasm pops as bit. 1 yard of 125 at top of hour will draw.

london red 14:15 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI

euro hasnt really followed spreads for some time and historically is well capable of avoiding spread moves for sometimes well over a year. the fact that the 10yr yield (bund) is going up in itself is encouraging euros buyers. as well as of course the change in us policy.

london red 14:10 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI

on breaking 125 barrier a number of folks have turned long due to knock in which can be down from as low as 1.20, with some higher up 121/122/123. there is opportunity to take profit which may hamper upside and thats probably whats happening now.

Livingston nh 14:09 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI

Riddle me this - bunds are getting hit again and the Treasury/Bund spread has dropped 13 pips threatening the 200 lvl -- EUR/USD 2 day move of 200 pips???

london red 14:02 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI

a yard of 125 at the cut today but hourly close abv 125 will keep 126 barrier in play. some res expect at 12550/60

GVI Forex Blog 13:54 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Retail Sales Mixed In November 2017
Reply   
Canada: Retail Sales for November 2017 mixed.

BREAKING NEWS: Canada Retail Sales Mixed In November 2017

PAR 13:46 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI

I am not watching Draghi . I am watching Trump . Draghi is finished .

GVI Forex Blog 13:42 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Falls
Reply   
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims rebound.

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Chart
<Click on chart for over seventeen-year history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Falls

london red 13:39 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI

draghi mentions downside linked to fx mkts but shrugged off. if q&a doesnt reveal any fx dovishness then can try 125 option barrier. v lrg but plenty of knock ins at that level, so could spike thru to 12550 and quickly back down as folks take profits.

Livingston nh 13:32 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI

EUR/GBP testing new lows, weaker against the scandies and PLN and HUF so maybe the USD not a big concern YET especially w/ Brent and NG prices

BUT Draghi needs INFLATION at some point

AT Amazing Trader john bland 13:31 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Retail Sales November 2017

Canada Charts





NEWS ALERT
Retail Sales
Headline:
+0.20% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +1.50% prev. (r. +1.60%)
X-Autos:+1.60% vs. +0.80% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer

AT Amazing Trader john bland 13:30 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

US Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT

233K vs. 235K exp vs. 220K (r.216K ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 13:25 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI

would be worth asking draghi the following question. was he surprised by mnuchins comments regarding the dollar and have they created a potential headwind for european inflation going forward?

Mtl JP 13:24 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI

PAR 12:52 if that is so pray tell what will you be doing / watching / listening during draghi's blather ?

london red 13:21 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI

eoeuro. ahead of draghi eod straddle dwn to 65 pips now.

Livingston nh 13:00 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

John - agree w/ the fixed currency concept but markets haven't made the distinction yet// Asian stox (esp. HK) took a goodly hit after being strong most of the month

See if we start to see a race to the bottom again -- very little reaction in the Treasury mkt and I still don't know why bunds took such a big hit yesterday

the Riyal might get poked around ahead of Aramco

PAR 12:52 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI

Basically ECB and Draghi have become irrelevant in this new Trump era .

Trump will decide where the markets go . Not Draghi .

AT Amazing Trader john bland 12:46 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

No ECB changes in key rates, as universally expected.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 12:45 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

European Central Bank (ECB) January 25, 2018





NEWS ALERT

Refi Rate Steady at 0.00%
Marginal Lending Rate steady at 0.25%
Deposit Rate steady At -0.40%

Asset Purchases (QE) per mo unchanged at 30bn

Press Release: ECB Decision



TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 12:44 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI

euro. lrg barrier by 125 plus 125 126 options. eod straddle around 80 pips so initial flash high/low. fading 125/12550 seems sensible. buyback 121/122

PAR 12:37 GMT January 25, 2018
US STOCK MARKETS
Reply   
US markets to open sharply higher as analysts raise price targets on most stocks . Trump tax plan seen a huge plus for the USA .

Amazing Trader (AT) Jay Meisler 11:54 GMT January 25, 2018
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Dillon AL 15:21 GMT 01/24/2018 - My Profile
Jay that is a very generous offer.

Folks if you do not take advantage of this free access and the very genuine support Jay will offer.

Having been a member of GVI for more years than I care to remember Jay's offer is done because HE WANTS YOU TO BE SUCCESSFUL.

The FX market can be very brutal and ANY help even for seasoned traders should always be welcomed.

If it s not for you then take the offer and abandon it After all What do you have to lose?

Reply

Mtl JP 11:36 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Unlike Trump, Xi Jinping - who had better things to do than go to Davos - is not at the world forum, like Make China great again: Communist Party seeks to seize ‘historic’ moment to reshape world order.

So for the short/term headlines are likely to be monopolized by Trump.

But if earlier snippets by Xinhua are worth anything "leaders in Davos are faced with “two fundamentally different outlooks” regarding the state of the world: One is Trump’s “America First” policy, and the other is “the Xi-style collaborative approach.” One approach would put “a bullet in the head” of globalization, while the other would put a better compass in its hands, argued Xinhua. “The right choice is the latter,” it said.

Cue Epic Chinese War Music

PAR 11:34 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI

Draghi to help European stock markets .

PAR 11:04 GMT January 25, 2018
AAPL - Cheque is in the mail
Reply   
The eye-popping $38 billion tax bill that Apple Inc. said it plans to pay on its mammoth pile of accumulated foreign earnings will probably hit federal coffers in an eight-year trickle, not a one-time torrent.

The special, cut-rate “repatriation” tax that Congress imposed on multinationals like Apple gives them as long as eight years to pay the new levy -- with no interest or penalties. That drawn-out schedule puts the biggest bills off until later years, meaning Apple’s first repatriation payment would probably be much closer to $3 billion, according to tax experts.

AT Amazing Trader john bland 11:00 GMT January 25, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 25 January 2018

DAX -11
DJ +46
SP +5.8

10-yr 2.641% -0.2bp

Mtl JP 10:56 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

so u expect draghi to figure something out in the next 2-1/2 hours...

and some crack in USD confidence -- like the Chinese making some oblique reference about the size of the mountain of munchkin's crap paper they still hold ?

Amazing Trader (AT) Jay Meisler 10:56 GMT January 25, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   


Amazing Opportunity for you while it lasts so suggest acting now:

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Amazing Trader Update:
Here is your key AT level in real-time: 1.2433. If it holds, it will indicate the potential start of a down ladder on a 1 hour chart that would need to break 1.2384 (and then 1.2377) to confirm a shift and break of the UP ladder.

kl fs 10:52 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

avalanche is just starting, watchout for tsunami in stock markets soon, followed by bond market
cryptos anyone?

PAR 10:49 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Since Trump became president the US dollar has dropped 15 % nothing new under the sun . Republican governments mean a weak dollar and big deficits . We have been there in the past .

AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:44 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

We have to consider now if this USD policy change will change the policy calculus of ECB today, especially if the EURUSD heads for 1.30 or 1.35.

Odds are Draghi will be more cautious today than he would have been several days ago. He will have to figure out a way to deflect this change in U.S. dollar policy.

The U.S. is not going to change from this policy unless U.S. markets start to react. Keep a close eye on stocks and bonds for any signs of a crack in USD confidence.

SaaR KaL 10:37 GMT January 25, 2018
CRUDE

I want to long it so bad...but will wait till < 64 today
(Staying disciplined)
I think 70 is very likely in Feb

PAR 10:36 GMT January 25, 2018
FRANCE
Reply   
It is not up to France alone to decide the future of Europe . Macron is president of France not of Europe . He may express an opinion and that's it .

AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:36 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

One problem we have is that you cannot trust most of the announcers. They usually are not paid to think. They work from scripts. The guy running this panel knew what he was talking about and quizzed Mnuchin in detail and got him to ADMIT that this marks a change in policy. There is little doubt that a weaker USD is not a concern for the Treasury Secretary, but I reiterate that I believe Mnuchin's comments are being mostly directed at those with fixed exchange rates.

PAR 10:28 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI
Reply   
As always central planning seems to be going horrible wrong .

The unbearable consequences of QE and NIRP that Draghi intended.
.
Rich Italians got Super rich Italians . Italian government debt keeps hitting new highs as rates drop .

SaaR KaL 10:23 GMT January 25, 2018
Jan/25/2018 Positions
Reply   
Now doing this
AUD/JPY 89.73 87.16 Buy
EUR/CAD 1.5464 1.5196 Buy
EUR/JPY 137.13 134.69 Buy
NAS100 7,087 6,830 Buy
EUR/AUD 1.5488 1.5191 Sell
GBP/AUD 1.7728 1.7328 Sell

SaaR KaL 10:19 GMT January 25, 2018
BTC/USD Bullish Feb/2018
Reply   
will buy near 8,000 to 7,658
Tgt 18,000 + (22,000)

AT Amazing Trader john bland 10:18 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Mnuchin in yet another USD comment on a panel LIVE in Davos. We are not concerned about the current value of the USD. U.S. supports freely floating exchange rates...

Every comment by him or his spokespeople in the past two days have been perfectly consistent. As I listened to Mnuchin, I think his comments are being directed at countries such as China, not Europe.

Now that his comments have been completely clarified, the ball is in Draghi's court to deflect.

SaaR KaL 10:14 GMT January 25, 2018
GBPAUD South < 1.7200
Reply   
I doubt goes higher than 1.7727
these days

Mtl JP 10:11 GMT January 25, 2018
CRUDE

Brent at $71
16:09 GMT January 23, 2018
CRUDE: Reply
higher crude will excite the pro-inflationists
"hooray higher prices" !
--
more moRE !

Mtl JP 09:56 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

in the interest of not just transparent but complete reporting ---
re discuss trade gap:
“I discussed a possible trip of mine to China later this year to review with them the sanctions as well as various different opportunities over there,” munchkin according to bbrg reporting

"sanctions" --> on NK , a chinese proxy. and US warships parading in Sea of China
"various different opportunities over there" - haha, not chinese hoard of munchkin's crap paper

"If a person is important,people will line up to visit him even if he lives in a remote mountain village..If a person is not important,nobody will visit him even if he lives in the centre of a busy town"..(Chinese proveb)"... - shangahi bc 2006



Amazing Trader (AT) 09:37 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Earlier Fresh Mnuchin comments today in Davos

Treasury Sec Mnuchin: Earlier comments on USD was consistent and quite clear; believes in free currencies (markets determine the rates) - comments from Davos - Long-term USD level is determined by economic strength - Do not want to enter trade wars - Has a very good and open dialogue with China; discussed possible trip[ to China later in 2018- Discussed reducing the trade gap with China
- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 09:32 GMT January 25, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 25 January 2018
Reply   

See the Amazing Trader Live


EUR symbolRanges:

Likely Stop levels:
Stops above HOD and below LOD. Principal USD focus is on the downside at the moment.
Other levels--
Ranges:
This Week: 1.2460-1.2213
Thu: 1.2460-1.2384
Wed: 1.2357-1.2292

Key Market Profiles--
10-yr & Stocks
Equities: Mixed
U.S. 10-yr Yield at 2.637%, -0.8bp
2.63% pivotal

Remaining Calendar Today:
US- ECB, CA- Retail Sales, US- Weekly Jobless, Advance Trade, New Homes Sales, 7-yr Auction


AT charts often presage market momentum shifts. AT support (red) and resistance (blue) levels can change before sentiment.

Thursday Trading Checklist For 25 January 2018

GVI Forex Blog 09:09 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey For January 2018 Strong
Reply   
German January 2018 IFO Survey headline data strong vs. forecasts. Expectations miss.

BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey For January 2018 Strong

AT Amazing Trader john bland 09:05 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Strong IFO data

AT Amazing Trader john bland 09:01 GMT January 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey January 2018



NEWS ALERT

Climate: 117.6 vs. 117.0 exp. vs. 117.2 prev.
Current: 127.7 vs. 125.3 exp. vs. 125.4 prev.
Expectations: 108.4 vs. 109.2 exp. vs. 109.5 prev.


IFO Climate Survey



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 08:54 GMT January 25, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 25 January 2018
Reply   


Trading Ideas for 25 January 2018

Upgrade Your Trading. Try The Amazing Trader

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Wed 24 Jan 2018
All Day Flash PMIs
09:30 GB- Employment
15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 25 Jan 2018
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
23:30 JP- Core CPI
Fri 26 Jan 2018
00:00 AU Holiday
09:30 GB- GDP
13:30 CA- Retail Sales & CPI
13:30 US- Durable Goods & GDP

PROSPECTIVE Trading Opportunities

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium-to-High Thu-- 09:00 GMT-- DE IFO Survey

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: High Thu--12:45 and 13:30 GMT-- ECB announcement and Press Conference

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium-to-High Thu-- 15:00 GMT-- CA- Retail Sales

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Thu-- 13:30 GMT-- US- Weekly Jobless

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Thu-- 15:00 GMT-- US- New Homes Sales


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium-to-High Fri-- 09:30 GMT-- GB- GDP

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium-to-High Fri-- 13:30 GMT-- CA- CPI

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium-to-High Fri-- 13:30 GMT-- US- Durable Goods

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium-to-High Fri-- 13:30 GMT-- US- GDP

  • Thursday Trading Checklist For 25 January 2018

SaaR KaL 08:24 GMT January 25, 2018
EURUSD Feb/2018
Reply   
My range is
High 1.2450 to 1.2550
Low is 1.2130 to 1.2030

PAR 07:43 GMT January 25, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI
Reply   
Darghi will continue his Ponzi scheme. Lower for longer till he's gone and someone else will have to clean up his terrible legacy .

PAR 07:39 GMT January 25, 2018
MACRON
Reply   
Macron bubble has popped at #wef18. Macron disappointed while Merkel beat w/ Davos speech!


https://t.co/0kPmIJhUnG via @welt

SaaR KaL 04:32 GMT January 25, 2018
Cable Year Reversal---> 1.200 by Dec/2018
Reply   
Folks I think The reversal is very near
Not sure but i think it is near 1.4500
It is a big dive year for cable...it wants a re visit to 1.2 by dec/2018

Amazing Trader Jay Meisler 01:17 GMT January 25, 2018
Only Available to Global-View Members


Contact me for details on how you can get Amazing Trader access for one year at no charge

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Dillon AL 15:21 GMT 01/24/2018 - My Profile
Jay that is a very generous offer.

Folks if you do not take advantage of this free access and the very genuine support Jay will offer.

Having been a member of GVI for more years than I care to remember Jay's offer is done because HE WANTS YOU TO BE SUCCESSFUL.

The FX market can be very brutal and ANY help even for seasoned traders should always be welcomed.

If it s not for you then take the offer and abandon it After all What do you have to lose?

Reply

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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