Mtl JP 20:36 GMT October 4, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 5 October 2018
USDCAD 1.2920
puppy finally filled its GAP
next obvious Qtn is: where next?
Res1 1.2965
Pivot 1.2906
Sup 1 1.2874
20dma 1.2952
200dma 1.2865
I am currently biased South
Livingston nh 19:01 GMT October 4, 2018
Weekly OKR in Nasdaq
SPX bounced off 40 dma (been above since early July) -- Nyse new 52 wk/lo was 273 yesterday and is over 400 today// market internals have been diverging from price for past two weeks
Q3 Earnings start and GOOD news comes early -- mid term worries and higher yields likely to rsist any bounce back in stox
haifa ac 18:56 GMT October 4, 2018
Weekly OKR in Nasdaq
A drop to 6500 ( monthly 21 MA) which is another 1000 points from here would be a natural reaction and will hurt a few blind longs.
london red 18:14 GMT October 4, 2018
Weekly OKR in Nasdaq
mkt isnt allowed to fall enough to make it significant...reversion to mean is the best one can ask for...btfd
GVI Forex Blog 17:44 GMT October 4, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 5 October 2018
Reply
GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Fri 5 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 CA/US- Employment
A 12:30 CA/US- Trade
GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Mon 8 Oct 2018
A 00:00 CA/US- Holiday
Tue 9 Oct 2018
No Major Data
Wed 10 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- GDP/Output
A 12:30 US- PPI
Thu 11 Oct 2018
AA 12:30 US- CPI
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 15:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 12 Oct 2018
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
Friday Trading Checklist For 5 October 2018
GVI 17:10 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
Janus Capital's Bill Gross: "10-year German Bunds are only 50bps higher than their absolute lows in June 2016. U.S. 10-year is 170 bps higher over same time period. Once ECB QE stops (soon), which one is overvalued? (Bunds!)" - Source TradeTheNews.com
Mtl JP 16:58 GMT October 4, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 4 October 2018
FED WATCHERS
-----------------
That wishi-washi "may" again as some (economists) would like others (traders) to believe that
"Bond markets may have overreacted to Powell’s ‘long way from neutral’ remark, economists say"
I submit that what the piece claims , namely that "the bond market selloff had started well before Powell spoke. While investors wanted to pin the blame on the Fed, it was misplaced." is wrong.
Furthermore "blaming" jerome is wrong use of English language: the word should be "credit" instead. BUT I grant that “This shows why the Fed staff is wary about the Fed chairman answering questions,” (Roberto Perli) and agree that often GV is correct in assigning A-risk to FED chair's yak as it can offer juicy trading opps. It also goes to show that one does not need to be an economist but more a savvy master of english and of communications to be an effective chair.
Economists say Powell comment just a reiteration of dot plot
SaaR KaL 16:20 GMT October 4, 2018
I am Buying EURUSD
Might see 1.18+ in a couple of weeks
Mtl JP 16:17 GMT October 4, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 4 October 2018
USDCAD 1.2915
"intuitively estimate" (tool borrowed from jerome)
I ll start a short usdcad at 1.1915, add 1.2920 if seen and
Q is stop... 1.2950 seems a lot
Mtl JP 15:45 GMT October 4, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 4 October 2018
Kids... what do you think of
"Bond-market bloodbath likely to hit mortgage rates soon — another test for the housing market" - marketwatch
Trade ideas what to
- sell _
- buy _ ?
Mtl JP 15:06 GMT October 4, 2018
Amazing Trader Says
Aggressor eh ?
"what does not maim or kill you disappoints me" tag is available for license
at no charge *v*
Mtl JP 14:59 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
red 13:32 excellent entry nose
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:57 GMT October 4, 2018
Amazing Trader Says
We have added an AT Aggressor Approach to our program and if you are interested in more details, send me an EMAIL
Mtl JP 14:53 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
The unfortunate part about a hard brexit is that it will not cause the EU to dis-integrate. That puppy may get get its jaw dislocated or back broken, but it will continue to twist and crawl but die it will not.
Not next week not next year.
GVI 14:41 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
Austria FM Loeger: talks seem to be on track for a hard Brexit; Irish govt is speaking of a 'seismic shock' from Brexit - Source TradeTheNews.com
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:28 GMT October 4, 2018
Amazing Trader Says
EURUSD high 1.1542. See my previous post in this thread (click on the title)
GVI Trader john 14:22 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
Canada Ivey PMI sharply weaker in September 2018. It is always hard to trust the Ivey PMI.
dc CB 14:05 GMT October 4, 2018
Crude
nh
hope you sold some of that DUMB
dc CB 14:01 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
come on baby
let's do the twist
come on baby
the Bernanke twist
never get's old
just do as you're told
do the twist
a round and a round we go
who's sellin' it, buyin' it
nobody knows
worked for us bsck then
so we're doin' it again
The Bernanke Twist, do the twist,
Euro Jumps On Report ECB Considering "Twist-Like" Operation
GVI 13:52 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
ECB's Nowotny (Austria): dangers linked to Brexit are underestimated; there's danger a hard Brexit is becoming more relevant - Source TradeTheNews.com
GVI 13:52 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
ECB's Nowotny (Austria): dangers linked to Brexit are underestimated; there's danger a hard Brexit is becoming more relevant - Source TradeTheNews.com
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:49 GMT October 4, 2018
Amazing Trader Says
HOD so far 1.1527, 1 pip shy of the AT resistance band posted in this thread. 1,1528 is also 50% of 1.1593-1.1463
key res is at 1.1546 to put the price action in perspective. (1.1543 = 61.8%)
The Amazing Trader
london red 13:32 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
euro fade 11534 stop 11596 tgt 11435. if seen of course as not there yet.
haifa ac 13:32 GMT October 4, 2018
Will Trump win Nobel Peace Prize tmw?
Reply
18 republican senators proposed his candidacy
331 are competing ...216 persons and 115 organizations
leading candidate is former president of Catalonia (Fudjamonn?!)
GVI 13:25 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
Russia Energy Min Novak: Can't rule out oil reaching $100/bbl
- Source TradeTheNews.com
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:42 GMT October 4, 2018
Amazing Trader Says
Reply
EURGBP .8847
This cross continues to drive fx today and is testing key AT support at .8847. This suggests using the magic .8850 level as a bias indicator with next key support at .8795-10
GBPUSD leading and dragging EURUSD with a lag.
All trading levels and patterns can be seen live on the Amazing Trader
The Amazing Trader
Mtl JP 12:38 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
as expected player reaction: nil
lets see if quarles can be juiced for few pips in little over half an hour at 9:15
GVI Trader john 12:20 GMT October 4, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 4 October 2018
Re weekly Jobless, I've heard there could be an slight uptick due to the hurricane in the Carolina's. This is NOT my forecast, I don't have one, just passing on what I hear.
london red 12:08 GMT October 4, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 4 October 2018
adp has set up tomorrows jobs number but wages most imp. euro firmer on positive brexit risk but any rebound likely to run out of steam by 11530-50 while a brexit related spike unlikely to surpass 11594 prev high. mkt set to close week below 115 so fading rallies makes sense.
Mtl JP 12:04 GMT October 4, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 4 October 2018
At bottom of hour
gv A-risk rated US jobless claims number (210k vs 214k)
I wont be looking to trade it,
it is unlikely to register on players' radar
Mtl JP 12:00 GMT October 4, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 4 October 2018
Footnote: the alleged bond king Gross' fund, according to morningstar, was down over 40% ytd at end of august.
With just 4 months left in order to just make up the loss and break even Bill needs to make a 67% return on his end-of-august remaining capital.
Mtl JP 11:50 GMT October 4, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 4 October 2018
Another verbs in past tense "essplainer" :
“Euroland, Japanese previous buyers of 10yr Treasurys have been priced out of market due to changes in hedge costs,” - opined , too late obviously, Bill Gross
Mtl JP 11:21 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
Jay 10:01 - euro 1.1596 ... on which platty OR
wishful thinking freudian slip ?
UK JY 10:25 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
Thanks ACC. I just checked and the FT story was out hours ago. It is probably the reason the gbp turned bid.
Sydney ACC 10:13 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
FT reports Irish government backs May's plan for a customs union raising hopes for of breakthrough in Brexit talks
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:01 GMT October 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
GBPUSD 1.2979
No news that we saw to account for the sudden GBPUSD spike but assume there might have been some Brexit related headline. Key AT res is at 1.3023 and 1.30 is the obvious bias setter.
EURUSD 1.1496
EURUSD followed with a lag as EURGBP slipped, held a test of 1.1505, yesterday's late breakdown level. 1.15 the obvious bias setter as well.
Key levels and trading patterns all shown on the Amazing Trader
The Amazing Trader
Mtl JP 09:51 GMT October 4, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 4 October 2018
haven't had the opp to use the term of late but
consequences from cretins' policies = trade opportunities
what would we do without 'em... eh ?
GVI Trader john 09:39 GMT October 4, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 4 October 2018
The bond vigilantes appear to have awoken from a long slumber. The U.S. ten year has popped higher and rates in key markets abroad are up substantially as well. As a result, equities are nervous.
My guess is that the Fed will be nervous about the pace of the rate adjustment, and the White House will be unhappy about the higher USD. Don't be surprised if the Prez sends out a tweet about the strong USD very shortly. Also sanctions on Iran have created a temporary oil shortage and that will start to be felt in energy prices globally. Policy actions have consequences.
GVI Forex Blog 09:00 GMT October 4, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 4 October 2018
Reply
GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Thu 4 Oct 2018
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
14:00 US= Factory Orders
Fri 5 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 CA/US- Employment
A 12:30 CA/US- Trade
GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Mon 8 Oct 2018
A 00:00 CA/US- Holiday
Tue 9 Oct 2018
No Major Data
Wed 10 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- GDP/Output
A 12:30 US- PPI
Thu 11 Oct 2018
AA 12:30 US- CPI
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 15:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 12 Oct 2018
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
Thursday Trading Checklist 4 October 2018
Mtl JP 08:54 GMT October 4, 2018
Crude
Anecdote:
WTI 76.33
WCS 29.41
------------
at $46 difference canadian producers keep on producing with either little market demand and/or high input costs including that of distribution.
raises questions about justin pretty hair and sox trudeau's pipeline, by the time IF ever it is expanded to try to peddle canadian crap, IF asians will even want it even a $1/bbl
Mtl JP 08:41 GMT October 4, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 4 October 2018
Early observations
euro's attempt to regain 1.15 repulsed on 1rst approach
at 1.2967 GBP slightly uP right on 50dma atm)
usdcad 1.2885 on top 200dma 1.2863
SaaR KaL 05:54 GMT October 4, 2018
EURUSD
Reply
EURUSD Seems Like Bullish now
USDJPY seems Bearish
Dillon AL 01:20 GMT October 4, 2018
Winners and Losers
methinks he takes himself too seriously
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