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Forex Forum Archive for 10/14/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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dc CB 23:02 GMT October 14, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 15 October 2018

Bigger than Brexit -- remember remember the 6th of November.
At stake: run out the Clock, it will all never be known V WTF were they doing behind the scenes.
This week in Congressional Hearings - the Want to Know side.

The Money Honey

Sydney ACC 22:57 GMT October 14, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 15 October 2018

Financial Times report four hours ago:

Brexit talks reached a dramatic stand-off in Brussels on Sunday night, after Theresa May warned that a draft treaty to take Britain out of the EU was a “non-starter” and risked tearing her government apart.

Mrs May despatched Dominic Raab, her Brexit secretary, to Brussels to make clear that she could not sign up to the current terms for Britain’s exit at a European Council meeting on Wednesday.

Mr Raab returned home after tense talks with Michel Barnier, the EU chief negotiator, lasting only an hour; no further talks are scheduled ahead of the summit, raising the prospect of a complete breakdown in the Brexit process.

EU leaders may conclude there is not sufficient progress to justify proceeding to a special Brexit summit in November to seal a deal, leaving talks in limbo and Britain heading towards an economically damaging “no deal” exit next March.

A joint Brexit department and Number 10 statement said that despite “real progress in a number of key areas”, “unresolved issues” remained following talks between Mr Raab and Mr Barnier. The UK is “still committed to making progress” at Wednesday’s EU summit.

On a day of high drama, EU and British negotiators in Brussels sketched out the outline of an exit treaty. However, Mr Raab arrived late in the afternoon for talks with Mr Barnier to confirm that it would not fly at Westminster.

Mtl JP 21:01 GMT October 14, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 15 October 2018

GBP opens GAP Down 1.3080

Mtl JP 20:58 GMT October 14, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 15 October 2018

GBP 1,3152
Expecting an Opening GAP

GVI 20:57 GMT October 14, 2018
Gbpusd gaps lower

Smaller gaps elsewhere

Mtl JP 20:20 GMT October 14, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 15 October 2018

Some Friday Closes
EURDLR 1.1558
GBDPUSD 1.3152
USDCHF 0.9915
USDYEN 112.21
NZDUSD .06509
AUDUSD .7115
USDCAD 1.3022
GOLD 1217.81
DLRX 94.91

dc CB 20:12 GMT October 14, 2018
That other $21Tr
Dr. Mark Skidmore - $21 Trillion “Missing” Money Huge Implications for Dollar

USA Watchdog

GVI Trader 19:52 GMT October 14, 2018
Angela Merkel's Bavarian allies suffer worst election result since 1950 -- Telegraph
ngela Merkel’s Bavarian allies became the latest European party to be caught up in the political upheaval sweeping the continent as they suffered historic losses in regional elections on Sunday.

The Christian Social Union (CSU), which has ruled Bavaria for more than 60 years, recorded its worst result since 1950 and will be forced to find a coalition partner if it is to remain in power.

But for once it was not the populist Right that inflicted the heaviest wounds, but the centre-Left in the form of the Green Party which more than doubled its vote.

The results will send shockwaves through Mrs Merkel’s already fragile coalition government, and add to growing calls within her own party for the veteran chancellor to stand down.

Angela Merkel's Bavarian allies suffer worst election result since 1950

dc CB 19:23 GMT October 14, 2018
For AI-- good read
machines programmed to find a pattern within the noise of the market will always do so... even when there is no actual pattern at all.

“You can have one little pin drop that can basically make you lose over 20 years of returns

A favorite "strategy" of machine learning algos has been to buy the dip: for the past decade, BTFD has been the one risk-on strategy that worked without fail.

"Everyone’s buying the dips," Koulajian says. "There are all these people who have learned to basically suppress the vol." Of course, the reason buying the dip works is because everyone believes buying the dip works, i.e., correlation has become causation......................the relentless bull market that made such strategies work so well was driven by central bank liquidity—and that’s being pulled away now.

But the biggest test of just how "artificial" the artificial intelligence in machine learning is, will come when buying the dip - the one strategy that has so far always been profitable - no longer works. It is how the machines respond and adapt to a brave new world without correlation, or causation, backstops that will determine whether a mathematical representation of reality can ultimately outsmart reality itself.

Perils Of Trade With Machine Learning:

dc CB 19:04 GMT October 14, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 15 October 2018

Canada will fully legalize adult marijuana use Wednesday, October 17

Bruce Linton - whose company recently shipped cannabis from Canada to the United States using a yet-undisclosed "DEA-approved partner," told CNBC's Jim Cramer that the "back-of-the-envelope math" pencils out - between therapeutic cannabinoid treatments to a cultural shift from alcohol and tobacco to recreational pot use.

"We disrupt alcohol potentially, cigarettes potentially, in terms of smoking cessation," he told Cramer. "We really disrupt pharmaceutical, because whether or not you're geriatric care, you're dealing with arthritic conditions, you're someone who can't sleep, you're going through an oncology treatment, I think you're going to find cannabinoid therapies really hit there."

Cannabis Set To Disrupt $500 Billion Market Amid DEA Approvals And Canadian Legalization

Mtl JP 18:39 GMT October 14, 2018
Brexit Headlines

GBP 1.3152
Instead of watching
I am putting in a short GBP
to try to catch a potential GAP down

GVI Trader john 16:38 GMT October 14, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 15 October 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!



Spot EURUSD: 1.1559
Pivot Point: 1.1568

This Week: 1.1432-1.1610
Fri: 1.1534-1.1610
Thu: 1.1520-1.1599
Wed: 1.1480-1.1516
Tue: 1.1432-1.1503

20-day avg: 1.1621
50-day avg: 1.1586
100-day avg: 1.1628
200-day avg: 1.1923

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 78% (76%).

GVI 16:00 GMT October 14, 2018
Brexit Headlines

Watch GBP at the opening to see if thetd are fresh no deal Brexit concerns

PAR 14:50 GMT October 14, 2018
Draghi to Rome: Don't expect an ECB rescue if budget talks fail

Investors are worried that the Italian government may take a gamble that running foul of EU budget rules won't incur serious penalties, and that, if things do turn worse for Italian financial markets, they''ll be able to lean on the ECB for support.



Draghi should not try to influence Italian politicians .

Draghi really thinks he can do whatever he wants .

GVI Forex Blog 12:56 GMT October 14, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 15 October 2018

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 15 Oct 2018
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
Tue 16 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
Wed 17 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
Thu 18 Oct 2018
A 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 19 OCt 2018
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/ Retail Sales

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner,

Monday Trading Checklist 15 October 2018

GVI Forex 11:55 GMT October 14, 2018
Brexit Headlines
David Davis calls on ministers to rebel against Brexit deal

EU leaders line up 'no-deal' emergency Brexit summit for November

Revealed: leaked emails show DUP ready for no-deal Brexit

haifa ac 09:01 GMT October 14, 2018
Fed Should Take A Breather On Policy Tightening Before It's Too Late

How nice to have a biss out of this BIS.


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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