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Forex Forum Archive for 10/18/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Jay 23:03 GMT October 18, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

If you would like a copy of my latest video, how to use crosses (i.e. eurgbp) to trade spot (eurusd and gbpusd), send me an EMAIL

dc CB 21:18 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

Perhaps Bezos has refrained from issuing a statement due to a lucrative deal to set up data centers in Saudi Arabia - a plan announced last year.

It announced plans a year ago for the opening of a Middle East division based in Bahrain, an island nation that neighbors Saudi Arabia. Since May, Amazon has had a job post up for a "Head of Public Policy AWS Saudi Arabia" based in Bahrain. Part of the candidate's role is to "help further advance Amazon as a leading cloud platform provider in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia." The position requires fluency in Arabic, and one of the top objectives is to "develop, lead and implement Saudi Arabia government affairs advocacy objectives and policy/political priorities" for AWS.

Amazon also has an office in Riyadh for Souq.com, the Middle Eastern e-commerce company that it acquired last year for $580 million. -CNBC

Is This Why Jeff Bezos Has Kept Quiet On WaPo Employee Khashoggi's Disappearance?

dc CB 21:05 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

nh
consider the source. The BezosPost. Owned by Jeff(the 21st Century's - Wm Randolf Hearst)Bezos.(take a quess as to why I bought it...best deal if my life. Let's me stir the pot from the pit of the fire)
Democracy Dies in Darkness-----'cpt that we all live in a Representative REPUBLIC.

GVI Trader john 20:45 GMT October 18, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 19 October 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


NEUTRAL

Spot EURUSD: 1.1464
Pivot Point: 1.1481

This Week: 1.1452-1.1621
Thu: 1.1452-1.1527
Wed: 1.1507-1.1580
Tue: 1.1566-1.1621
Mon: 1.1541-1.1606

20-day avg: 1.1588
50-day avg: 1.1582
100-day avg: 1.1625
200-day avg: 1.1913

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 82% (82%).

dc CB 20:30 GMT October 18, 2018
Rally towards elections?!

Regarding the coming slew of polling that shows: one side vs the other side. AI Dumb and Dumber ALGOs trading off the Head(fake)Lines. Keep this in Mind: How Wud U answer a question from a compete stranger (pollster) asking --- R U Voting Republican on Nov 6?????
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++=

University of Mississippi Professor James Thomas says that simply harassing Republicans in restaurants isn’t enough, leftists should put their “whole damn fingers” in senators’ meals, because they “don’t deserve civility.”

James Thomas, an Assistant Professor at Ole Miss, tweeted from his account @Insurgent_Prof, calling for the abandonment of civility by contaminating GOP senators’ meals in restaurants, or redistributing the meals to other patrons.
Briebart NUZ
____________________________________________

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) told a gathering at the 92nd Street Y in New York on Sunday that there may have to be “collateral damage” to those Americans who do not agree with the Democratic Party agenda.

Livingston nh 20:19 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

CB - do you think anybody really cares about a washpo reporter? A Botched Interrogation resulting in a "missing" person - media should start to use the term "murdered journalist" just to see who objects

Oil Oil everywhere

Mtl JP 20:15 GMT October 18, 2018
Dow Futures



u mean like this ?

I use a scalper robot that tries to ride piggyback an acceleration of volatility of priceaction

haifa ac 20:13 GMT October 18, 2018
Rally towards elections?!
Reply   
Tmw should determine if we are going to rally towards Nov 6 to save Trump or not.

Livingston nh 20:13 GMT October 18, 2018
Dow Futures

Par - close before OPEX Friday -- SPX was saved from a close below 200 dma by last minute surge in volume // tomorrow's first hour may be crazy

PAR 20:05 GMT October 18, 2018
Dow Futures
Reply   
A second after the cash market closes Dow futures jump 100 points higher . Cash should close later or futures should close earlier .

A licence to steal . HFT making risk free.money like never seen before .
Normal investors are toast .

PAR 19:43 GMT October 18, 2018
USDJPY

Add more long USDJPY 112.25.

dc CB 19:19 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

nh
The Dumb and Dumber trade still trending down.
cheers

DnD

GVI Forex Blog 19:14 GMT October 18, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 11 October 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 11 October 2018

Mtl JP 19:13 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

look at what the cat dragged out ...
Greenspan says Fed should use ‘earmuffs’ to tune out Trump
and that he s concerned about stagflation ... at his age

why cant it be fun , why worry with a few days left to live ?

PAR 18:50 GMT October 18, 2018
USDJPY
Reply   
Added more long USDJPY 112.15 .

Livingston nh 17:42 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

SPX - turnaround Tuesday's opening gap is down @2750 - the Hair on Fire types should be making an appearance again soon

Mtl JP 17:27 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

This may need a new tempertantrum from President Trump
DJ -380 or -1.48% while 10-yr at only 3.169%

yo donald... jerome wants your donkey
before "u r fired" him

Mtl JP 17:22 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

weird gumflap from quarles:
Job of the Fed is to remain independent from the administration

just a headline I saw so maybe it s twisted from what he originally said

Mtl JP 17:09 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

GBP S2 at 1.3045 off its Pivot,
now also poof

50dma at 1.3009

GVI Forex Blog 16:53 GMT October 18, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 19 October 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium


Fri 19 OCt 2018
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/ Retail Sales
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium



Mon 22 Oct 2018
No Major Data
Tue 23 Oct 2018
No Major Data
Wed 24 Oct 2018
AAll Day Flash PMIs
A 12:30 US- Productivity
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 25 Oct 2018
A 08:00 DE- IFO Survey
AA 11:45 EZ- European Central Bank Decision
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
AA 18:00 US- Beige Book
Fri 26 Oct 2018
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 19 October 2018

Mtl JP 16:17 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

... "seeks to continue constructive dialogue"...
such a canadian thing: "lets sit down , have a tea and some biscuits and talk about it"

GVI 16:13 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

EU Commission responds to Italy draft budget plan: points to "particularly serious" non-compliance; says Italy plans "unprecedented" deviation from budget rules - Asks Italy for clarifications; seeks to continue constructive dialogue with Italy- Says Italy govt spending growth planned for next year is 2.7% while max allowed under EU rules is 0.1%

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 16:09 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

gbp... hello 1.305-ish
took a while to bag

Mtl JP 15:03 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

The potentially good thing about Barnier / May negotiating is that IF teresa can hold her own against the grudge-holding, arch federalist and ex-gaulist "cretin des alpes" barnier is that these two will continue to offer good trading opportinities to exploit.

GVI 14:57 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Prime Min May: we're committed to resolve Brexit issues as quickly as possible; there will be more difficult moments in the final stages of talks - I'm convinced we will secure a good Brexit agreement

- Prime Min May spokesperson: extension of Brexit transition period is not a formal proposal but an idea that we'll discuss with the EU; it's an idea ministers have been talking about for weeks

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 14:48 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

A lot of Happy Talk about an "extension" BUT does anyone know if this needs Parliament vote ?? I'm not sure May could get this through

Mtl JP 14:47 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

short while ago merkel gushed about how good a job barnier is doing dancing w/teresa brexit tango

Mtl JP 14:42 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

I have a LOVE / HATE relationship with Nigel

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:29 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Alert: UK PM May is about to hold a press conference.

lkwd jj 14:28 GMT October 18, 2018
euro
Reply   
looks like old line support here at 1.1475 holding...for now

Mtl JP 14:26 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

dont like euro slinking back up to 1.1490 +
but that is just me
maybe its that nasty brother JUBB

Mtl JP 14:20 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

GBP 78-75 minor Sup zone
letsee if it so

Paris ib 14:13 GMT October 18, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche

' That’s Trump-speak for “we want a weaker dollar.” '

Do they want a weaker dollar?

Paris ib 14:05 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

The Germans and the Europhiles in general do not want the UK leaving and if it does leave they want to make thing difficult. If they don't the queue to leave would get out of control. There is not a lot of support for the 'European project' at the grass roots levels anywhere in Europe (except maybe Brussels). This is about the European Project's survival (which personally I think is under threat in the longer term).

Livingston nh 14:03 GMT October 18, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche

For nearly 40 years there has been a general misunderstanding of the nature and role of the US treasury market - when the 2 yr gets to 3% (December?) it will be barely at a positive yield so where is the potential for crisis?

In whatever model you use plug in the "debt" on the monetary side rather than the fiscal side

GVI 14:01 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Germany Chancellor Merkel: EU27 have a very high level of unity regarding Brexit; time is of the essence on Brexit talks - EU leaders will be ready to meet when more progress has been made - EU leaders agreed that its time to move ahead with 'more Europe', including banking union and a roadmap for the future - There has been no breakthroughs on Brexit or Ireland; neither more optimistic or pessimistic on Brexit deal after summit- Onus is on all sides to find Brexit solution

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 14:00 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Leading Indicators September 2018

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
+0.50% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -0.20% (r) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Paris ib 13:56 GMT October 18, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche

JP tic toc indeed. Timing is everything. But into this explosive recipe we also have geo-politics and Trump. You couldn't make this up.

Another note from a doom and gloomer :-)

Mtl JP 13:49 GMT October 18, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche

ib US structural debt and the timing of when players are going to take note of it (by charging more for their loans to munchkin) is a burning issue with me and, as I have noticed, also some bank players judging from their missives. tic toc

Paris ib 13:41 GMT October 18, 2018
Bond Market Avalanche

2 year U.S. Government bond yields set to test (and break 3 percent). 'They' can dress this up as good news (growth, inflation, yada, yada, yada) but what it really means is that one of the most heavily indebted nations in the world will have to pony up MORE in interest rate payments going forward. The crux of the matter, as always, is: WILL the U.S.'s foreign creditors continue to hoover up all that Government paper.... of which there is more and more each year? Rolling over short term money (4 trillion a year) and relying on foreigners to keep lending you that money is NOT a given. There comes a point when you have pushed the envelope all the way. Are we there yet? No idea. :-)

Public Debt and Foreign Holders

Mtl JP 13:40 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

IF GBP can push thru 1.3093
hello 1.305-ish

Mtl JP 13:28 GMT October 18, 2018
Braking NUZ

looks like President Trump may be reading GV...

..."I must, in the strongest of terms, ask Mexico to stop this onslaught - and if unable to do so I will call up the U.S. Military and CLOSE OUR SOUTHERN BORDER!.." in ref 23:34 honduran caravan

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:17 GMT October 18, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

If you would like a copy of my latest video, how to use crosses (i.e. eurgbp) to trade spot (eurusd and gbpusd), send me an EMAIL

GVI 12:58 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Fed's Bullard (dove, non-voter): central bank's current policy is about right for the economy

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 12:48 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

USDJPY 112.48
this pair seems to get little attention on the forum (except from PAR)
not sure why, it is decent trader

Bottom Line
YEN can be FX's canary in the coal mine
when it comes to market spooking
as it runs home to mammy when it feels scared
by visuals of stox dumping for example

Res 1 112.66
Pivot 112.34
Sup 1 112.17
Pivot Points by the pros at Global-View.com

GVI Forex Blog 12:40 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Steady
Reply   
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims steady.

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Chart
<Click on chart for over seventeen-year history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Steady

Mtl JP 12:38 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

EURO 1.1507
puppy remains Sell on Rallies
while under 1.1531 Pivot and 1.1550
Needs to dump under 1.1490 to open 1.145x

GVI Trader john 12:32 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Philly Fed better than expected but unchanged m/m.

GVI Trader john 12:31 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

US Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT

210K vs. 210K exp vs. 214K (r. 215K) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



---------

U.S. Philly Fed Index October 2018



NEWS ALERT

+22.2 vs. +21.0 exp. vs. +22.3 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:12 GMT October 18, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

See my prior post for the logic of how we use the Amazing Trader to trade.

Our automated algo currently being beta tested sold at 1.15209 using the logic shown in my prior post.

The Amazing Trader

HK [email protected] 12:11 GMT October 18, 2018
Eur, not a currency to Long for.
Reply   
.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:08 GMT October 18, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
EURUSD 1.1519

Came within 2 pips of AT's target at 1,1479.

On upside, above 1.1547 would be needed to reverse the risk to 1.1575. Layers of resistance ahead of it at 1.1527/37/44/

Current AT directional risk indicator shows potential for a top or at least a pause with supports at 1.1515 and 1.1509, latter is most important as there is a void below it.

We will show you how to think and trade like our algo.

The Amazing Trader

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:02 GMT October 18, 2018
Will eurusd close the day above or below 1.15?

Thus turned out to be a good question for the day, which is still young. Feel free to comment.

GVI Trader john 09:43 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

EARLIER: Australia September 2018 Employment data mixed forecasts. Headline +5.6K, but Full-time Employment up 20.3K. Unemployment rate down to 5.00%.
Australia Employment data chart

GVI Forex Blog 08:43 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Miss In September 2018
Reply   
U.K. Retail Sales chart September 2018 U.K. Retail Sales Data miss m/m street estimates.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Miss In September 2018

GVI Trader john 08:33 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Big miss in Retail Sales.

GVI Trader john 08:32 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.K. Retail Sales September 2018




-- NEWS ALERT --

mm: -0.80% v -0.40% exp. vs. +0.30% (r +0.40%) prev.
x-fuel & autos
mm: -0.80% v -0.40% exp. vs. +0.30% (r +0.50%) prev.

RELEASE: UK Retail Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john 08:12 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


NEUTRAL

Spot EURUSD: 1.1510
Pivot Point: 1.1531

This Week: 1.1507-1.1621
Thu: 1.1482-1.1516
Wed: 1.1507-1.1580
Tue: 1.1566-1.1621
Mon: 1.1541-1.1606

Fri: 1.1534-1.1610

20-day avg: 1.1604
50-day avg: 1.1584
100-day avg: 1.1627
200-day avg: 1.1917

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 82% (78%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.165% +0.9bp
DE: 0.476% -1.1
GB: 1.593% -1.1
JP: 0.147% -0.7

DAX: +66
Implied Open
DJ: +10
SP: -1.1



See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI Forex Blog 07:56 GMT October 18, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium


Thu 18 Oct 2018
A 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 19 OCt 2018
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/ Retail Sales


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium



Mon 22 Oct 2018
No Major Data
Tue 23 Oct 2018
No Major Data
Wed 24 Oct 2018
AAll Day Flash PMIs
A 12:30 US- Productivity
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 25 Oct 2018
A 08:00 DE- IFO Survey
AA 11:45 EZ- European Central Bank Decision
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
AA 18:00 US- Beige Book
Fri 26 Oct 2018
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Thursday Trading Checklist 18 October 2018

GVI 07:53 GMT October 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

PM May: Have made good progress on future partnership but issues remain on the Irish backstop - comments ahead of EU Summit
- Option to extend implementation period for a few months (option not expected to be used)
- Expects implementation period to end at the end of 2020

- Source TradeTheNews.com

PAR 07:40 GMT October 18, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Long 1.1490. Stop 1.1390. Target open .

PAR 07:15 GMT October 18, 2018
USDJPY
Reply   
Add to long USDJPY at 112.50. Target at least 115,00.

USDCNY moving to 7.000 and above.

Short USDRUB , could move to 60,00

We'll see.

london red 06:24 GMT October 18, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 17 October 2018

mkt continues to be inclined to buying sterling dips with view to a +ve end to brexit talks. today likely soft retail sales are keeping buyers away but strong sup by 13040 and 12994 should see buyers emerge.

dc CB 03:13 GMT October 18, 2018
Braking NUZ

Julian, Julian

Leaked Files Confirm Julian Assange Plan To Move To Moscow

dc CB 03:12 GMT October 18, 2018
Braking NUZ

OMG---he was a Rooski after all.
Well bowl me over, don't cha
jus like that TRAYTOR
ya know, that White Guy...the trayTor
sims...errrrr.singlary..... YOU KNOW...The Guy... the Traytor.
just bowl me over

Pooooooor pooooooor Hillary
She got robbed by the Rooskies

VOTE DEMO on NOV 6.
Brng Hr bak into the White(gotta change that)HOUSE 2020.
HRC-R-US

jkt abel 02:25 GMT October 18, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 17 October 2018

tell that to TRY, mamma mia...erdogan is king ;)

Mtl JP 01:54 GMT October 18, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 17 October 2018



re 20:09 watch that yuan
slipping further into the toilet

yoohoo munchkin...
when u gonna grow a pair
puppy heading for 7+

Mtl JP 01:44 GMT October 18, 2018
Winners and Losers

Winners and Losers
----------------------
The Future of Battery Production for Electric Vehicles
..."global capacity for battery cell production will exceed market demand by approximately 40% in 2021"...

Interesting article saying the Chinese will shoot themselves again in the foot. The expected capacity for high power cells for the automotive industry will overshoot demand by 40% just as Elon just announced he bought the land to build his 3rd giga battery factory...

Odds are high that musk is trying to run a ponzi scheme on the Chinese to fund his desperately short of cash north American operations

clink for link

Mtl JP 01:18 GMT October 18, 2018
EURUSD 1.15

FG 23:28
1) FX players are typically discreet types
2) a player, I hazard a guess, would look very VERY unfavorably at his bank/dealer to divulge his name let alone his position

gv tried this thing they called "In the Circle"

I have very strong reservation that knowing "Who is there a buyer" would be worth anything anyway, coz if that player got a whiff that someone breached their confidentiality and trust they just might pull their trade and do who knows what next.

Cagey business this FX, and based on trader/dealer trust.
gl

HK [email protected] 01:03 GMT October 18, 2018
Euro; Well baked recipe for bearish disaster.
Reply   


.
And gold goes with it too.

HK [email protected] 00:33 GMT October 18, 2018
Will eurusd close the day above or below 1.15?

.
Once Euro will break below 1.1490, likely it will close below 1.1500.
The American STOX will likely head higher at weekend, which also support a stronger USD.

Mtl JP 00:31 GMT October 18, 2018
Will eurusd close the day above or below 1.15?



AT's euro 1.15 daily opinion

GVI Forex 00:18 GMT October 18, 2018
Will eurusd close the day above or below 1.15?
Reply   
Question for today -- above or below 1.15?

Post your opinion

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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