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Forex Forum Archive for 10/29/2018

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Mtl JP 23:58 GMT October 29, 2018
Braking NUZ

dc CB funny that u pin up that Kunstler thinggie.
In my neck of the woods here both in local and in national media (especially federal govvy funded CBC) one hears nothing but indignation at President Trump and who he allegedly is, what he stands for (and not) and how everything bad is pinnable on him especially the apparent social polarization. Every time I listen to canadian MSM, one thing insta-flashes thru my mind: President Trump is not here to point out to canadian public how one sided the MSM reporting here is as he has demonstratively perceived and understood the importance of who holds the mike last (or the on/off button to it). I am wondering at and watching a new splinter politician now here running around if he too will realize the power of using such comm tool as twitter that purges the MSM message interpreters and offers control over the microphone. Max Bernier has splintered from the old established Conservative Party to spawn a new federal party. Already, as a conservative and a libertarian he is getting smeared / tagged - especially by the CBC reporters - as "just as Donald Trump" and similar pre-emptives. The attempt is flagrant and leaves me thinking of the left in 2016 how it totally missed how an un-losable lost and unwinnable won the election.

dc CB 23:43 GMT October 29, 2018
Braking NUZ



What it's really all about, Alfie.

dc CB 23:22 GMT October 29, 2018
Braking NUZ
Reply   
This must all Peak in 7 days - Nov 5.
OR NOT.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
One of the strange side effects of an epic American political hysteria is this strange ADD-like inability of the public to focus on anything for more than a few moments, even the most arresting atrocities.
Reason has been discarded by the wayside just as a super-drunk person will shed his clothing even on a freezing night.
Total culture war now beats a path toward all-out civil war, with the looming mid-term election as a fulcrum of history.

IF....the Dems don’t prevail, and don’t manage to get their hands on the machinery of congress — then what?
For one thing, a lot of people get indicted....

These midterm election may bring the moment when the Democratic Party finally blows up, at least enough to sweep away the current coterie of desperate idiots running it.

Midterms Will Mark A Shift From "Total Culture War" To "All-Out Civil War"

haifa ac 21:12 GMT October 29, 2018
AI predicts Berkshire Hathaway holdings at risk from hedge funds
Reply   
A new study of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett's investment business, by a UK-based fintech company that analyses how artificial intelligence technology affects markets, has estimated that more than $10bn worth of the company’s holdings are potentially vulnerable to activity by short-selling hedge funds.

https://www.fnlondon.com/articles/ai-predicts-berkshire-hathaway-holdings-at-risk-from-hedge-funds-20181029

PAR 20:36 GMT October 29, 2018
PPT
Reply   
Mega PPT buying into the close. PPT keeps buying after close and most likely also overnight .

GVI Trader john 20:08 GMT October 29, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 29 October 2018

Late Monday
DJ -245
10s 2.083%

london red 20:02 GMT October 29, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018

nvidia similarly tested lt channel at 179/80, also briefly beat but strong rally soon after. best hourly tail since the top. here also a tradeable rally as long as lows hold.

GVI Trader john 20:01 GMT October 29, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 29 October 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1392
Pivot Point: 1.1390

Last Week: 1.1316-1.1461
Mon: 1.1361-1.1461

Fri: 1.1336-1.1413
Thu: 1.1356-1.1432
Wed: 1.1380-1.1476
Tue: 1.1439-1.1493

20-day avg: 1.1494
50-day avg: 1.1587
100-day avg: 1.1604
200-day avg: 1.1884

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 72% (74%).

london red 19:59 GMT October 29, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018

close around 2660 would be a good save and allow further holding of longs

Mtl JP 19:57 GMT October 29, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018

john so the FED and jerome get a pause from being the culprit ?

london red 19:52 GMT October 29, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018

this wave of downside may be exhausted. we went under a lt trendline at 2616 but quickly back up. poss to see 2725/30 so a tradeable rally if long hourly tail can be confirmed.

london red 19:33 GMT October 29, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018

also uk budget and digital tax on uk derived revenues by tech giants. hits the likes of amazon and facebook

GVI Trader john 19:27 GMT October 29, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018

DJ -332

trigger was threat for new China tariffs

lkwd jj 19:21 GMT October 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

15 min bar to close above 2616 cash ? or hourly ? 2625 low in cash as of now.

london red 19:15 GMT October 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

2616 cash. if holds they rally. if not then 2576

GVI Forex Blog 19:09 GMT October 29, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 29 October 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 29 October 2018

GVI 18:17 GMT October 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

US said to implement next round of China tariffs if Trump talks with Xi fail (expected to meet at G20 on Nov 30th) - press - Additional $257B to be targeted by new US list - Source TradeTheNews.com

lkwd jj 17:55 GMT October 29, 2018
euro

im leaning long , as long as equities are dropping...if they stabilize euro can fall but not far. usd has topped out for the short term...long from 1.1390.

GVI Forex Blog 17:48 GMT October 29, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 30 Oct 2018
A 08:55 DE- Jobless
A 10:00 EZ- GDP
A 12:30 US- CB- Consumer Confidence
Wed 31 Oct 2018
A All Day Flash PMIs
A 01:30 AU- CPI
AA 03:00 JP- Bank Of Japan Decision
A 09:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:15 US- ADP Jobs
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 1 Nov 2018
A All Day Final Mfg PMIs
AA 12:00 Bank Of England Decision
A 12:30 US- Productivity
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 2 Nov 2018
A All Day Final Service PMIs
AA 12:30 US/CA- Employment
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018

PAR 16:54 GMT October 29, 2018
euro

Italian yield rise again as it looks unlikely Italy will change the 2.4 % deficit for 2019 , breaking all its promises and Eurozone rules .

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:34 GMT October 29, 2018
euro

jj, EURUSD is being driven currently by EURGBP, so beware being short when it is too low and long when it is near the top of the range. Use your AT charts for trading patterns and levels.

The Amazing Trader

lkwd jj 15:43 GMT October 29, 2018
euro
Reply   
euro long below 1.14 looking for 1.1421 then 32 then 1.1448 before it decides to retest 1.13...again

PAR 15:31 GMT October 29, 2018
Ideas.

Taking profit on Italian bonds . Italian debt will be restructured I guess ?

Jkt Abel 15:02 GMT October 29, 2018
usdjpy

PPT in action to save stocks. Safe to buy?

lkwd jj 14:58 GMT October 29, 2018
usdjpy

correct stop is above 112.88.

lkwd jj 14:54 GMT October 29, 2018
usdjpy
Reply   
right at a AT downtrend line. 112.46 might be good short vs stop at 66/67

Singapore Trader 14:54 GMT October 29, 2018
Question
Reply   
Can someone explain why commodity currencies are weaker if mood is risk on?

GVI Trader john 14:23 GMT October 29, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 29 October 2018

+301
3.109%

GVI 14:14 GMT October 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Italy govt reportedly to submit new budget law to Parliament by Tuesday

- Source TradeTheNews.com

PAR 13:05 GMT October 29, 2018
CHINA
Reply   
China saves the world by cutting taxes on cars ?

GVI Forex Blog 12:45 GMT October 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Core PCE Deflator Still At Target In September 2018
Reply   
U.S. September 2018 Core PCE Deflator remains at its L-T target level. Fed Targets the core PCE Deflator at 2.00%.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Core PCE Deflator Still At Target In September 2018

GVI Trader john 12:32 GMT October 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
Reply   
U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator September, 2018



ALERT
Personal Income +0.20% vs. +0.40% exp v +0.30% prev.
Personal Spending +0.40% vs. +0.4% exp v +0.30%
Core PCE Defl +2.00% vs. +2.00% exp. vs. +2.20% prev.


RELEASE: Personal Income



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI 12:25 GMT October 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

GERMAN CHANCELLOR MERKEL CONFIRMS SHE WILL NOT SEEK RE-ELECTION OF CDU; LAST TERM AS CHANCELLOR - Source TradeTheNews.com

PAR 12:24 GMT October 29, 2018
MERKEL

Europe autos stocks surge w/ VW up >6% and Daimler up >5% on report #China's regulator to halve car purchase tax.

Livingston nh 12:13 GMT October 29, 2018
MERKEL

Blood in the water in German politics - Will the SPD bail out of the coalition? The EU has elections in the Spring // Who lasts longer, Merkel or May?

GVI Trader john 12:10 GMT October 29, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 29 October 2018

10's 3.094%
DJ +216

Risk on?

PAR 11:52 GMT October 29, 2018
Ideas.

Buy more USDJPY .

PAR 11:08 GMT October 29, 2018
MERKEL
Reply   
German shares up over 2 % on Merkel .

PAR 10:54 GMT October 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Even as Merkel loses she wins and stays in power . Strange country Germany ?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:52 GMT October 29, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
EURUSD 1.1400

AT shows key res level at 1.1421 blocking 1.1432, which will be the ultimate determinant whether risk stays on downside and away from 1.15.

The Amazing Trader

london red 10:30 GMT October 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

she is stepping down as chairman but stays on as chancellor so it buys some time for the grand coalition

GVI Forex 10:26 GMT October 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

This came out earlier and appears to have been the trigger for the EURUSD rebound

05:03 (DE) German Chancellor Merkel may not run for re-election as the head of the CDU party head but wants to remain as Chancellor - financial press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

PAR 10:22 GMT October 29, 2018
Question of the Day: Has EURUSD Bottomed for Now?

Yes . As Merkel stays in power and rating agencies stop downgrading Italy there is no more bad news .

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:17 GMT October 29, 2018
Question of the Day: Has EURUSD Bottomed for Now?
Reply   
...
Entry: Target: Stop:

Please post your view

GVI Trader john 10:13 GMT October 29, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 29 October 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1381
Pivot Point: 1.1408

Last Week: 1.1336-1.1550
Mon: 1.1361-1.1413

Fri: 1.1336-1.1413
Thu: 1.1356-1.1432
Wed: 1.1380-1.1476
Tue: 1.1439-1.1493
Mon: 1.1456-1.1550

20-day avg: 1.1503
50-day avg: 1.1588
100-day avg: 1.1608
200-day avg: 1.1889

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 74% (80%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.079% +0.9%
DE: 0.380% +3.4
GB: 1.398% +2.3
JP: 0.109% -0.6

DAX: +282
Implied Open
DJ: +132
SP: +21.4



See the Amazing Trader Live!


PAR 10:08 GMT October 29, 2018
Equities
Reply   
Looking for a happy end to a difficult month . Trump will not go to midterm elections with declining stock markets ?

GVI Forex Blog 09:47 GMT October 29, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 29 October 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium


Mon 29 Oct 2018
A 12:30 US- PCE Deflator
Tue 30 Oct 2018
A 08:55 DE- Jobless
A 10:00 EZ- GDP
A 12:30 US- CB- Consumer Confidence
Wed 31 Oct 2018
A All Day Flash PMIs
A 01:30 AU- CPI
AA 03:00 JP- Bank Of Japan Decision
A 09:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:15 US- ADP Jobs
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 1 Nov 2018
A All Day Final Mfg PMIs
AA 12:00 Bank Of England Decision
A 12:30 US- Productivity
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 2 Nov 2018
A All Day Final Service PMIs
AA 12:30 US/CA- Employment
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Monday Trading Checklist 29 October 2018

london red 08:46 GMT October 29, 2018
Ideas.

plenty going on this week in the eurgbp sphere with merkel uk budget and brexit, so a short trade with a tight stop. fade 8904 stop 8922. tgt 8882 then 8860.

haifa ac 07:59 GMT October 29, 2018
USDCHF
Reply   
Interesting position
If we close the month here-- it will be the highest monthly close in a year. This currency has a tendency to weaken in the last 3 months of the year (have no idea why).
we are in month 45 of a very prolonged range--it looks like they will try to get the stops above the high of the range -103.50...(will this be a breakout for a much higher price, something like the 2010 high of 1.17, or a bull trap--only Trump knows)

PAR 07:56 GMT October 29, 2018
Ideas.

Merkel loses less than expected , ECB buys even more Italian bonds and European stocks reverse losses . Everybody happy .

PAR 07:53 GMT October 29, 2018
Ideas.
Reply   
Long EURUSD ,long USDJPY and long Italian bonds .

haifa ac 07:44 GMT October 29, 2018
Is this a trend?!
Reply   
Bolsonaro, Duterte, Netanyahu, Some of the Shiekhs in The Arab world.....
all join Trump on the right side.
Is this a trend?!

Should have some economic (market related) implications.

dc CB 00:33 GMT October 29, 2018
Winners and Losers

8:20 p.m. Orson Welles interviewed the day after War of the Worlds broadcast
(in Today's interpretation===mind U Well's was 22yo nad had just managed to frighten the entire world===== "Have U not shame? U scared the pantaloons off GrandMa! How dare U be so CONvincing!...CENSOR TOO REAL CENSOR)

8:30 p.m. Dragnet
“The Big Mail” Program #153 (NBC, Original air date May 15, 1952) (Running time 26:42)

9 p.m. War of the Worlds
“The Mercury Theatre” (CBS, Original air date October 30, 1938) (Running time 59:34)

10 p.m. Interview with Orson Welles and HG Wells
(Radio KTSA San Antonio, Original air date October 28, 1940) (Running time 7:45)

On The Web (everywhere) Happy Halloween.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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