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Forex Forum Archive for 10/30/2018

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Syd 21:28 GMT October 30, 2018
Will the Bank of England Rescue GBP?
Reply   
Its time to turn your focus to the British pound because tomorrow, the Bank of England will release its Quarterly Inflation Report in conjunction with a monetary policy announcement.

Will the Bank of England Rescue GBP?

dc CB 20:46 GMT October 30, 2018
Braking NUZ



Battle of the Billionaires - Tues Edition
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Traveling at a sluggish pace of 10 miles per day, the migrant caravan probably wouldn't arrive at the nearest US border crossing at McAllen, Texas until February, according to one observer, who debunked claims widely circulated by the media that the caravan would arrive before the Nov. 6 midterm election.

But as it turns out, the organizations that have been aiding the caravan since it first formed in Honduras nearly three weeks ago have already accounted for this. And to help ensure that images of border patrol agents arresting families and separating small children from their parents are flashing across cable news in the days and hours before the polls open, these groups are employing a new tactic: Busing.

That's right. As Fox News report on Tuesday showed, migrants traveling with the caravan are being loaded on to chartered buses and transported to the next stop on the trail to the US, having refused Mexico's offer of asylum, shelter and jobs should they opt to stay in the country. Fox News reporter Griff Jenkins revealed that multiple professional buses have lined up to board the migrants, as footage from the report showed

"Organized Busing Operation"

dc CB 20:45 GMT October 30, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 31 October 2018

API
Crude +5.69MM
Cushing +14.4MM
Gasoline -3.5MM
Distillate -3.1MM

GVI Trader john 20:20 GMT October 30, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 31 October 2018

Late Tuesday 10s 3.117%
DJ +431

GVI Trader john 20:11 GMT October 30, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 31 October 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1343
Pivot Point: 1.1357

This Week: 1.1341-1.1461
Tue: 1.1341-1.1388
Mon: 1.1361-1.1461

Fri: 1.1336-1.1413
Thu: 1.1356-1.1432
Wed: 1.1380-1.1476

20-day avg: 1.1484
50-day avg: 1.1582
100-day avg: 1.1600
200-day avg: 1.1879

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 74% (72%).

dc CB 20:04 GMT October 30, 2018
S&P

YM 300pts in 90mins. 2:30-4:00

PAR 19:57 GMT October 30, 2018
S&P
Reply   
What a wonderful day .

GVI 19:39 GMT October 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

BOC Gov Poloz sounding hawkish.

GVI 19:39 GMT October 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Bank of Canada (BOC) Gov Poloz: appropriate pace of increases will depend on our assessment at each fixed announcement date of how the outlook for inflation and related risks are evolving

- Even with last week’s increase in the policy rate to 1.75 per cent, monetary policy remains stimulative

- The policy rate today is still negative in real terms, that is, once you adjust for inflation

- Our estimate of neutral is in a range—currently 2 ½ to 3 ½ per cent. The policy rate will need to rise to neutral to achieve our inflation target

- In particular, we will continue to take into account how the economy is adjusting to higher interest rates, given the elevated level of household debt, and whether strong consumer confidence builds on solid job and income growth and leads to greater-than-expected consumption.

- We will also pay close attention to global trade policy developments and their implications for the inflation outlook. Again, this risk is two-sided.

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 19:05 GMT October 30, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 30 October 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 30 October 2018

PAR 18:59 GMT October 30, 2018
TRUMP
Reply   
Trump has been a gods gift for the US stock market and he wants to keep it that way .

lkwd jj 18:36 GMT October 30, 2018
euro

stopped out at 44

PAR 18:08 GMT October 30, 2018
s&p

Looks like we could see massive buying into the close as Trump sees the stock market as an opinion poll for the.republicans .

Trump and Mnuchin have inside in economic data before the public and can easily manipulate markets . Remember Trumps tweet on good unemployment

GVI Forex Blog 18:02 GMT October 30, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 31 October 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 31 Oct 2018
A 01:30 AU- CPI
AA 03:00 JP- Bank Of Japan Decision
A 09:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:15 US- ADP Jobs
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 1 Nov 2018
A All Day Final Mfg PMIs
AA 12:00 Bank Of England Decision
A 12:30 US- Productivity
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 2 Nov 2018
A All Day Final Mfg PMIs
AA 12:30 US/CA- Employment
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Wednesday Trading Checklist 31 October 2018

lkwd jj 17:35 GMT October 30, 2018
s&p
Reply   
typically when big rallies go to the wayside intraday,(especially after what happened on mon) theres a swoon down as everybody who's long from yesterdays close is under water. im only referring to the buy and holders , not the traders ....

lkwd jj 17:08 GMT October 30, 2018
euro
Reply   
chance for a long @50 with a tight stop below 45, based off AT. dont know if im reading that right but looks like it has a chance.

Mtl JP 17:06 GMT October 30, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018

USDCAD
October 30, 2018
Appearance – Stephen S. Poloz, Governor, and Carolyn A. Wilkins, Senior Deputy Governor
House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance, Ottawa, ON
15:30 (ET)
--
These boob-say twins are going to explain (haha) to politicians what they are up to with their recent interest rate hike, how they are - according to them - prudently guiding the economy around and how in-debt-strung out canadians are being calmly not only stabilized but also gently weaned down. It is outrageously good bet to expect to hear how good the BoC under poloz and wilkins is at its job, what-ever it is other than "using its monetary policy framework to keep inflation low and stable."

Mtl JP 16:32 GMT October 30, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018

Advice / suggestions from the MSM peanut gallery

If you weren’t yet worried about the stock market, you should be now

Livingston nh 16:11 GMT October 30, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018

A turnaround Tuesday move in Stox - but no help from Treasurys as yields stay too low to signal a confident market

AUD/USD poked above the declining 21 dma // 55 ema ~1.72 hasn't closed above since June - a sell point up there

Mtl JP 15:42 GMT October 30, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018

what contrast ...
"Most traders and their strategies/approach to the market are not aligned with fast markets.

However, I certainly welcome volatility with open arms. Suits me well." - zeus March 21, 2018

GVI 15:39 GMT October 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

S&P analysis: risk of no-deal Brexit has increased enough to become a relevant sovereign rating consideration - Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 15:39 GMT October 30, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018

lol now cramer is having a tiff... "This market is reminiscent of the worst crashes I’ve ever seen" rofl

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:06 GMT October 30, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

EURGBP .8921

Trying for a breakout above .8917. If the breakout holds, next AT res is at .8945 with several layers through the key level at ,8995.

This cross is creating a tug-of-war between EURUSD and GBPUSD with the broader USD trend limiting the EURUSD upside.

Full picture and how to trade in this type of market can be seen on the

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 15:01 GMT October 30, 2018
"Americans are the most confident in the economy in 18 years despite stock slump" - MSM
-
Jay / Prudently opportunistic trader keeps on open mind about politics, not partisan.

President Trump is only superficially peddling "the economy", unlike bill clinton who w/could not resist to boast about the economy and then lose to the reps for the next 20yrs.

GVI Trader john 14:01 GMT October 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Conference Board Survey October 2018




NEWS ALERT
137.9 vs. 130.4 exp. vs. 138.4(r ) prev.

RELEASE: Consumer Confidence Data



TTN: Live News Special Offer



PAR 13:48 GMT October 30, 2018
S & P
Reply   
Huge buying at the opening . Whaw !

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:45 GMT October 30, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

EURGBP .8908

EURGBP tested the AT .8917 target, helping GBPUSD bounce (but still below 1.2785).

Another amazing level for an amazing program.

The Amazing Trader

haifa ac 13:30 GMT October 30, 2018
AMZN should be a bellwether today
Reply   
It reached 25% reaction yesterday and normally that should stop a first decline--so the close today will tell a lot.

GVI Trader john 13:06 GMT October 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Case Shiller-20 August 2018

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
5.50% vs. 5.80% exp. vs. +5.90% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

HK [email protected] 13:01 GMT October 30, 2018
TRUMP: L'marché boursier c'est moi !!!

.
At last the Rep. will win both houses. Damn all those statistics.

PAR 12:36 GMT October 30, 2018
TRUMP - HALLOWEEN 2018
Reply   
TRUMP

The Stock Market is up massively since the Election, but is now taking a little pause - people want to see what happens with the Midterms. If you want your Stocks to go down, I strongly suggest voting Democrat. They like the Venezuela financial model, High Taxes & Open Borders!

Livingston nh 11:41 GMT October 30, 2018
Question: Do the US mid=term election results matter for the USD

The House typically adjusts the most in a mid-term if democrats take control two things of market interest will happen -- the TAX CUT II will not occur and the Speaker of the House will change // if Pelosi there will be a "here we go AGAIN" reaction w/ a loss of confidence, if a new leader emerges there will be a split in the Dems w/ changes in the Committee Chairmen, the unknown - either is not good for markets

Senate is more important because of the Nominee confirmations and the ongoing legal battles/investigations/trade

BUT the principal USD driver will be the rate hikes and
inflation -- outside of Congress control

PAR 11:35 GMT October 30, 2018
TRUMP
Reply   
Trump says he ‘will make a great deal with China’ on trade, but has more tariffs at the ready

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:28 GMT October 30, 2018
Question: Do the US mid=term election results matter for the
Reply   
...
Entry: Target: Stop:

Please post your view as markets could start to focus on the implications of the mid-term election outcome.

PAR 11:25 GMT October 30, 2018
ITALY
Reply   
Italian 10 year yields 3.45 compared to 3.25 yesterday . Just facts .

UK JY 11:09 GMT October 30, 2018
Steven Mnuchin

All I am saying is there is a difference between speculating that something occurred and stating it as fact.

Livingston nh 11:07 GMT October 30, 2018
Braking NUZ

cb - thanx for the link to Whalen article // Powell as a Prisoner of History is an interesting idea -- based on yesterday's Stox action President Trump's criticism of the Fed rate hikes seems a deflection from the prime culprit, the President

PAR 10:53 GMT October 30, 2018
Steven Mnuchin

Reality no longer exist in Trumps "Fake News " world . Look at the Saudi stories .

Just see what happens and make money .

Mtl JP 10:44 GMT October 30, 2018
Steven Mnuchin

JY that is pretty low esteem of gv's audience... proposing a leveling by lowest common denominator to protect one dumbass *,,*

UK JY 10:28 GMT October 30, 2018
Steven Mnuchin

PAR, you should add a disclaimer that your posts reflect your alternate reality as someone may take what you say as fact.

PAR 10:21 GMT October 30, 2018
Steven Mnuchin

PPT buying at the close , before the opening and coordinated with Trumps tweets and speeches .

PAR 10:19 GMT October 30, 2018
ITALY
Reply   
Italian yield rise sharply as Italian government confirms huge increase in budget deficit .

PAR 10:17 GMT October 30, 2018
Steven Mnuchin
Reply   
Looks like Mnuchin - as head of PPT - was ordered by Trump to support the US stock market into the midterm elections .

Hence the strange buying spree every time the market looks to going to have a bad close .

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:15 GMT October 30, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

GBPUSD 1.2859

Break of AT 1.2785 support (target cited last week) exposes major AT support at 1.2660 if the break holds. At a minimum, 1.28+ would need to be renewed to ease the risk.

The Amazing Trader always gives levels and patterns to trade in all market conditions

The Amazing Trader

GVI Trader john 10:03 GMT October 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EZ 3Q18 GDP 2018



NEWS ALERT

mo/mo 0.20% vs. 0.40% exp. vs. 0.40% prev.
yr/yr 1.70% vs. 1.80% exp. vs. 2.10% prev.





TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john 09:45 GMT October 30, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018



For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1370
Pivot Point: 1.1390

Last Week: 1.1358-1.1461
Tue: 1.1358-1.1388
Mon: 1.1361-1.1461

Fri: 1.1336-1.1413
Thu: 1.1356-1.1432
Wed: 1.1380-1.1476

20-day avg: 1.1494
50-day avg: 1.1587
100-day avg: 1.1604
200-day avg: 1.1884

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 72% (74%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.117% +0.2%
DE: 0.403% +0.9
GB: 1.418% +0.3
JP: 0.119% +0.8

DAX: +282
Implied Open
DJ: +67
SP: +6.2



See the Amazing Trader Live!

GVI Jay 09:26 GMT October 30, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
EURGBP .8910

Getting close to AT's next target (cited here several times) at .8917

The Amazing Trader

GVI Forex Blog 09:01 GMT October 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: German Unemployment Data Matches For October 2018
Reply   
German October 2018 Jobless data in line. (lower is better). Unemployment rate steady.

BREAKING NEWS: German Unemployment Data Matches For October 2018

GVI Trader john 08:56 GMT October 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

German Unemployment October 2018




NEWS ALERT
Rate: 5.10%vs. 5.10% exp. vs. 5.10% prev.
Change: -11K vs. -13K exp. vs. -23K (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 08:40 GMT October 30, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium



Tue 30 Oct 2018
A 08:55 DE- Jobless
A 10:00 EZ- GDP
A 12:30 US- CB- Consumer Confidence
Wed 31 Oct 2018
A All Day Flash PMIs
A 01:30 AU- CPI
AA 03:00 JP- Bank Of Japan Decision
A 09:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:15 US- ADP Jobs
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 1 Nov 2018
A All Day Final Mfg PMIs
AA 12:00 Bank Of England Decision
A 12:30 US- Productivity
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 2 Nov 2018
A All Day Final Service PMIs
AA 12:30 US/CA- Employment
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Tuesday Trading Checklist 30 October 2018

PAR 07:49 GMT October 30, 2018
USDJPY
Reply   
Take profit on long USDJPY .

Syd 06:59 GMT October 30, 2018
Sydney in the grips of the city's steepest downturn in house prices for 25 years
Reply   
Expectations prices will plummet to 12 per cent before becoming steady
Last time Sydney experienced a decline in property prices was from 2004-2006
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6324945/Sydney-grips-steepest-downturn-house-prices-25-years-warnings-worse.html

Syd 06:56 GMT October 30, 2018
Sydney in the grips of the city's steepest downturn in house prices for 25 years - and experts say i
Reply   
Forecasts released this week predict house prices to fall another 3 per cent before bottoming out in 2019-20 at a peak-to-trough fall of 11 per cent, the publication reported.

lkwd jj 03:09 GMT October 30, 2018
Braking NUZ

those 15 min 200 pt runs are nuts. you would think theres some news event causing it when all it really is , is a bunch of algos going nuts.

Dillon AL 00:45 GMT October 30, 2018
Braking NUZ

"Don't Worry Be Happy" by Bobby McFerrin? Here's a little song I wrote You might want to sing it note for note Don't worry, be happy. In every life we have some trouble But when you worry you make it double Don't worry, be happy. Don't...

dc CB 00:28 GMT October 30, 2018
Braking NUZ

jp
as noted in my endless posts: imho Trump is a major threat. he's the guy who called BS on the entire game. That's why U see this Media Frenzy. They are Paid by the very people who profit from the system that Trump is calling out. AND he's not a member of that Club that George Carlin jokes about.

"This will not stand" is the battle cry ON BOTH SIDES.
There is no MAAD(Mutually Assured Distruction) in this stand off restraining either side. Balls to the Wall kids. Thro everything we have at him, make more up and thro that too.
Check the polls check the polls...but who in their right mind on either side would admit to a political position In Public.

Try and catch one of those 200pt dow futures 15min runs a couple of times a day and Don't Worry. Be Happy. (who was that guy with that song...how quickly they forget)

dc CB 00:01 GMT October 30, 2018
Braking NUZ



The Road by Cormac McCarthy----------the One We set YOU on.
Cheer and Good Luck
Yrs with our best.
Ben and Gammy
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Christopher Whalen via TheInstitutionalRiskAnalyst.com,

The greatest threat to the central bank’s existence is the tendency of Fed governors and economists to pursue abstract economic theories that make no sense in real world terms and often do more harm than good.
For example, our best guess is that the 10-year Treasury bond, in the absence of QE2-3 and Operation Twist, should be yielding well-over 4 percent today.

Powell Is A "Prisoner Of History": Volcker Bashes Bernanke & Yellen

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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