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Forex Forum Archive for 11/09/2018

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dc CB 22:57 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

the gods are angry .... and this is not a joke.
Prime RE in Los Angeles it burning

tweet CBS Los Angeles

Mtl JP 22:17 GMT November 9, 2018
Winners and Losers

The Federal Reserve said it will start publishing a semiannual report on financial stability. The report, the first of which will come on Nov. 28, will include a summary of the central bank's framework for assessing the resilience of the U.S. financial system and a discussion of key indicators related to the main financial stability vulnerabilities: asset valuations, borrowing by businesses and households, leverage in the financial sector, and funding risks. The Fed said the report will complement the annual report of the Financial Stability Oversight Council. The Fed said the annual review of whether to activate the countercyclical capital buffer will be conducted in January.

Fed to start publishing new semiannual review of financial stability

GVI 21:51 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Reportedly UK and EU negotiators are working on a mechanism to review in July 2020 whether the backstop will need to be activated - Buzzfeed

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 20:59 GMT November 9, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 9 November 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 9 November 2018

GVI Trader john 20:48 GMT November 9, 2018
Commitment Of Traders Report For 6 November 2018
Reply   
For Amazing Traders monitoring levels on stops for trading strategies...
COT report position highlights:


EURUSD shorts building

USDJPY longs narrowing slowly

GBPUSD shorts rebouning

USDCAD positions flat

AUDUSD shorts steady


EURUSD Commitment of Traders Chart




USDJPY Commitment of Traders Chart




GBPUSD Commitment of Traders Chart




USDCAD Commitment of Traders Chart




AUDUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

dc CB 20:41 GMT November 9, 2018
QTs for Nov.

and a kicker for next week????

Bloomberg reporter Saijel Kishan writing that following the second worst month of the decade for the hedge fund industry, many are bracing for an industry D-Day: Nov. 15.
That, as Kishan explains, is the deadline for investors to put managers on notice to get some - or all - of their money at year end.

""Investors can cash out of most hedge funds quarterly after giving 45 days notice. Withdrawal schedules can vary, as do notice periods. Firms can also levy penalties on clients who want to bail outside of agreed schedules, while investors can cancel redemption plans if they change their minds.""

Hedge Funds Brace For A November 15 Bloodbath

PAR 20:30 GMT November 9, 2018
Man of the year 2018

Macron is Trump copycat but doesn't have any empathy with the French people . His popularity is at 26 % .

dc CB 20:14 GMT November 9, 2018
Man of the year 2018

PAR, Trump is on his way to Paris

dc CB 20:13 GMT November 9, 2018
QTs for Nov.
Reply   
next week 15th --- click on the T-Notes and Bond TAB
Also note that other one on Nov 30.

Quantitative Tightening===aka Not Rolling into new issues.

https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/soma/sysopen_accholdings.html#tabs-3

SOMA

PAR 20:10 GMT November 9, 2018
Man of the year 2018

Mnuchin ordering PPT to buy at and after the close . Very efficient.

haifa ac 20:02 GMT November 9, 2018
Braking NUZ

As they say: D.S.A

Divided States of America

dc CB 19:33 GMT November 9, 2018
Braking NUZ
Reply   
and you thot the Election was done. But just like Brexit (as in U guys won and said Leave, but nah WE don't accept that), In the USA: U......etc.

Tweets today:
Donald J. Trump
✔@realDonaldTrump
You mean they are just now finding votes in Florida and Georgia Ė but the Election was on Tuesday? Letís blame the Russians and demand an immediate apology from President Putin!
10:58 AM - Nov 9, 2018

Donald J. Trump
✔@realDonaldTrump
As soon as Democrats sent their best Election stealing lawyer, Marc Elias, to Broward County they miraculously started finding Democrat votes. Donít worry, Florida - I am sending much better lawyers to expose the FRAUD!
11:52 AM - Nov 9, 2018

Trump Hints At Federal Investigation As Dems Gain Ground

GVI Trader john 19:01 GMT November 9, 2018
Weekly Reversal in Nasdaq?

10s 3.186%
DJ -258

Risk-Of into weekend

haifa ac 18:50 GMT November 9, 2018
Weekly Reversal in Nasdaq?
Reply   
Here we come

GVI Trader john 18:04 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1081 vs. 1067 (+14) prev.
Oil: 886 vs. 874 (+12) prev.
Canada: 196 vs. 198 (-2) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI 17:39 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Northern Ireland DUP Leader Foster: Cannot support the Brexit deal; this isn't about withdrawing support from the Tories

**NOTE: earlier: DUP Brexit Spokesman Wilson: Won't support current Brexit proposals; PM May is breaching her promises

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 16:43 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Government spokesperson: No plans for another Brexit Vote
-- wire service

GVI Forex 15:56 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

GBPUSD slipped (and EURGBP firmed) after this came out

10:51 (UK) Junior Transport Min Jo Johnson resigns, says Brexit divorce deal will be 'terrible mistake' - press
- Believes what's being proposed on Brexit won't be anything like was promised two years ago
- Says UK on brink of biggest crisis since WWII

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 15:42 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University Of Michigan Preliminary Data For November 2018 Beat Estimates
Reply   
Preliminary November 2018 Michigan Survey beat expectations. Data revision in two weeks.
University of Michigan Sentiment Survey chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University Of Michigan Preliminary Data For November 2018 Beat Estimates

GVI Trader john 15:02 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

data beats expectations, however weaker.

GVI Trader john 15:01 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index November, 2018



NEWS ALERT
98.3 vs. 97.9 exp. vs. 98.6 prev


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Belgrade Knez 13:58 GMT November 9, 2018
EU NY cut
Reply   

nearly 11 bln expiry today at NY cut in EU between 1.1340-1.1410 ..... if all to be filled, price need to be around 1.1370/80 at the time......as per my understanding .... please correct me if I am wrong.

GVI Trader john 13:45 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

10s 3.221%

GVI Trader john 13:39 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Hot number for PPI.

GVI Trader john 13:38 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. PPI October 2018



NEWS ALERT
Final Demand: +0.60% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.20% (r. ) prev.
Core: +0.50% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.20% (r. ) prev.


RELEASE: Producer Price Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john 13:17 GMT November 9, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 9 November 2018

$59.90
3.213%
-86

looking for direction

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:29 GMT November 9, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

EURUSD 1.1345

Amazing Trader top of its resistance band at 1.1357 (see prior post) held like a rock.

The Amazing Trader

GVI Trader john 11:53 GMT November 9, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 9 November 2018

CO $59.80
10s 3.213%
DJ -122

risk-off early.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:53 GMT November 9, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
EURGBP .8719

Failure to test .8680 (key Amazing Trader target) with a 2-day low around .8690 (slightly higher low today) has seen a bounce back above .8700.

Key levels are at yesterday's .8738 high and the Amazing Trader resistance cited yesterday at .8746.

With risk of weekend Brexit news coming out, hard to see too much follow through on the upside but for now the bounce has given EURUSD some support (layers of day resistance from 1.1349-57) while weighing on GBPUSD (1.30 holds the key)

The Amazing Trader

PAR 10:37 GMT November 9, 2018
US INFLATION
Reply   
Looks like US inflation could come in much lower than expected . ( economists always look at the wrong things )

Making Trump very angry again . This time not a the media but at the FED . Trump is so much smarter than Powell and also has so much more debt .

london red 10:33 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

eurgbp has been making lower lows each day into evening after an early minor rally which stayed below prev days high. key downside at 8696 and 8692. topside 8725 initially

PAR 10:05 GMT November 9, 2018
Man of the year 2018
Reply   
Mnuchin and the PPT ?

GVI Trader john 09:53 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

GBP stabilizes about unchanged after improving initially on the data. Focus now back on BREXIT amid concerns about the current May plan.

GVI Forex Blog 09:48 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. GDP For 3Q18 Improves
Reply   
U.K. 3Q18 GDP yy better and in line with estimates. U.K. GDP chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. GDP For 3Q18 Improves

GVI Trader john 09:40 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

nice call Red on fading any GBP weakness

GVI Trader john 09:39 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

slew of UK data generally in line

GVI Trader john 09:38 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

UK Output/trade October 2018




-- NEWS ALERT --

Industrial: 0.00% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. +0.20% (r) prev.
Manufacturing: +0.20% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. -0.20% prev (r -0.10%)
Visible Trade
Total: -9.7 vs. -11.4 exp. vs. -11.2 (r -11.7) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john 09:36 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

UK GDP-- 3Q18




-- NEWS ALERT --


Q/Q: +0.60% vs. +0.60 vs. +0.40% prev.
Y/Y: +1.50% vs. +1.50% vs. +1.20% Prev

RELEASE: U.K. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 09:32 GMT November 9, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 9 November 2018

worth fading any gbp weakness

london red 09:32 GMT November 9, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 9 November 2018

uk q3 business inv y/y -1.2% v soft.

GVI Trader john 09:09 GMT November 9, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 9 November 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEGATIVE-NEUTRAL
Spot EURUSD: 1.1335
Pivot Point: 1.1388

This Week: 1.1330-1.1499
Fri: 1.1330-1.1369
Thu: 1.1352-1.1447
Wed: 1.1395-1.1499
Tue: 1.1391-1.1438
Mon: 1.1353-1.1424

20-day avg: 1.1439
50-day avg: 1.1548
100-day avg: 1.1582
200-day avg: 1.1843

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 84% (80%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.208% -0.9bp
DE: 0.426% -2.9
GB: 1.531% -3.3
JP: 0.121% -0.4

DAX: -102
Implied Open
DJ: -67
SP: -11.3



See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI Forex Blog 08:52 GMT November 9, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 9 November 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 9 Nov 2018
AA 09:30 GB- GDP
AA 09:30 GB- Industrial/Mfg Output
AA 12:30 US- PPI
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan



GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 12 Nov 2018
AA CA/US Holiday
Tue 13 Nov 2018
AA 09:30 GB- Employment
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 14 Nov 2018
AA 09:30 GB- CPI
AA 09:30 EZ- GDP
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 15 Nov 2018
A 01:30 AU- Employment
AA 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 16 Nov 2018
AA 10:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 14:15 US- Ind Prod/Cap Util


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 9 November 2018

PAR 08:21 GMT November 9, 2018
ECB DRAGHI=PONZI=MAFIA

Draghi will only raise rates if the market forces him to raise rates .

Collapse of Euro, collapse of German banks , collapse of the ECB , the Netherlands leaving the Euro and asking their money back from the ECB ?

PAR 07:35 GMT November 9, 2018
ECB DRAGHI=PONZI=MAFIA
Reply   
ECB should stop manipulating Italian interest rates in order for Italians to understand what the problem is . Now they have the best of both worlds , low interest rates and mega and increasing debt . Something has to give .

london red 07:34 GMT November 9, 2018
BREXIT

eu relationship is economic cost but good friday agreement breakdown would be human cost as almost certain return to violence. thats why uk cannot fold on this issue.

london red 07:32 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

cable. 12975/80 12920. again mkt likely to buy those dips if seen today. uk data due london am may offer op.

PAR 07:31 GMT November 9, 2018
BREXIT
Reply   
Biggest problem is that the UK is NOT UNITED and there is nothing Europe can do about it . Somewhere there has to be a border , not a wall .

A border is not the end of the world if you want to be separated from Europe.
It exists with Switzerland and other countries which are not member of Europe .

london red 07:18 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

eurgbp res by 8715/25/46. with may cabinet meet over wknd, mkt likely to fade rallies. but significant option related buying at 8696 (1.15 gbpeur)

Mtl JP 03:33 GMT November 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

re dc CB 20:35 In potentially groundbreaking news
and "Saudi Arabia ... .. ... its massive oil output" in particular
-
1) potential(ly) is one of the biggest burdens around. There is massive chasm between "potential" and realization.

2) news: one can bet that "news" is really no news at all and is probably many months old already if not not much more. To those that it really matters anyway.

3) "its massive output" - exactly what is meant by "output"; exactly how massive is it; what is the maximum output capacity (trying to find out without getting head chopped off); is it independently and un-encumbered-ly verifiable ?

Qtn.: are the saudi's benevolent ? what is in it for them to let this cat outta da bag now - it only an evaluation (haha) afterall; would they publish it IF it showed a dis-advantage to them ? would the "top government-funded think tank" dare conclude nega-effect ? love that "top" category, nothing less than top. Naturally.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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