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Forex Forum Archive for 11/12/2018

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Livingston nh 23:51 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

Understand that NOBODY wants a Deal --- once you KNOW this the currencies in question have to collapse

Livingston nh 23:46 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

WHY NOT put the border at Waterford? - so simple to solve if you stop using UK border as the issue

Livingston nh 23:38 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

DUP is irrelevant and they know it -- UK will chuck them if needed // simple Game Theory is not available

GVI Forex 23:32 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

17:58 (UK) DUP's Robinson: it sounds like PM May is in the right place regarding Brexit; the mood is better but there's still work left to do - Ireland press interview

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex 23:32 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

17:58 (UK) DUP's Robinson: it sounds like PM May is in the right place regarding Brexit; the mood is better but there's still work left to do - Ireland press interview

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 23:23 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

Nobody going anywhere w/ this stupid Malaysian scam - GS has more clout than the 3rd world

dc CB 23:19 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News



long way to go to take out the Trump rally from Nov 2016

Livingston nh 23:18 GMT November 12, 2018
Fed

The dreaded inflation "expectations" are anecdotally based -not market based (contrary to what the Fed "observes") - I use PAPER based coffee containers (once the imprinted metal/plastic gets a paper cover the price rises) // the 10 yr at 5.5% in 2020 AD

Dillon AL 22:43 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

CB your GS chart showed a nice H&S tgt achieved at 225 so clearly 200 is going to be some sort of physcho level

dc CB 22:42 GMT November 12, 2018
Fed

CPI --- food

anecdote: sunday at the supermarket - every "fresh orange juice" company has changed the size of their containers for the what used to be 1/2 gal, recently 59oz and now 52oz... same price.
Significant in that these companies had to design the container to look exactly like the larger old one AND retool their package machines. all in all a big expense --- Rather than simply raising the actual price --- which might upset the shopper.

Gee just like the FED has done with the USD over the many years.

Livingston nh 22:30 GMT November 12, 2018
Fed

OH - one more thing - ignore all the silly Tax Cut effect of a drop in oil price - population makes decisions on longer term issues

Livingston nh 22:14 GMT November 12, 2018
Fed
Reply   
Folks have talked about the Bear market in oil --not a Bear Market until a 56 handle -- if we get there the Fed might start to notice // otherwise buckle up -- Weds may have CPI core running above 3% (PCE is irrelevant to economy)

dc CB 21:21 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

Brexit --- the stall will run thru the time it takes to Take Out Trump. anyone paying attention to the sheitshow that is the Election can see that. Once Trump is done...even if it takes 2 more years...Brexit will just die and no one will be around to care.

Livingston nh 21:15 GMT November 12, 2018
End Of Year For Hedge Funds (HF) At Hand

yeah, Mutual Funds bonus time

Livingston nh 21:14 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

Hahha - the negotiators are working hard because they don't have a clue // neither side thinks it has the leverage so they dance around --- " As someday it may happen that a victim must be found, I have a little list" -- ya gotta have a list

dc CB 21:13 GMT November 12, 2018
End Of Year For Hedge Funds (HF) At Hand

I posted that on Friday --- In additon Nov 15 And Nov 30 are YUGE QT days.

GVI Trader john 21:11 GMT November 12, 2018
End Of Year For Hedge Funds (HF) At Hand
Reply   
I heard a short while ago that many who want to exit Hedge Funds by year end must declare 45 days in advance (Thursday November 15). After what has been another difficult year for HF, we hear many managers are holding their breath. This year could see a lot of liquidations into year end as cash must be raised.

Any thoughts or comments??

dc CB 21:11 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News



as a reminder, in the last CRISIS - and thank you very much Barrack-I'll Make the Bankers Pay!!!! - Obama, Goldman turned itself into a "bank" and started taking on depositors, thus putting Other People in addtion to the usual Other People's Money, AT RISK.

Livingston nh 21:06 GMT November 12, 2018
Monday Trading Strategy 12 November 2018

Starting to look at post Brexit referendum lows (2016 AD) for both EUR AND GBP

GVI 21:05 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

Prime Min May: both sides are working hard to reach Brexit deal but significant issues remain; talks are now reaching their 'end game' - Govt won't accept a deal at any cost- Negotiators are working extremely hard and through the night- Talks are immensely difficult - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 21:04 GMT November 12, 2018
Monday Trading Strategy 12 November 2018

Late Monday DJIA -595
Crude $59.15
Bonds closed for Veterans Day

GVI Trader john 20:40 GMT November 12, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 November 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1241
Pivot Point: 1.1269

This Week: 1.1236-1.1331
Mon: 1.1236-1.1331

Fri: 1.1330-1.1369
Thu: 1.1352-1.1447
Wed: 1.1395-1.1499


20-day avg: 1.1410
50-day avg: 1.1535
100-day avg: 1.1575
200-day avg: 1.1832

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 80% (84%).

dc CB 20:37 GMT November 12, 2018
Crude
Reply   
the word from the Bada Bing Club crushed it.
Donald J. Trump
✔@realDonaldTrump
Hopefully, Saudi Arabia and OPEC will not be cutting oil production. Oil prices should be much lower based on supply!
25.7K
1:21 PM - Nov 12, 2018

GVI Forex Blog 20:20 GMT November 12, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 November 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 November 2018

GVI Trader john 20:08 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

DJ -515

dc CB 20:01 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

Exclusive photo

doing god's work

GVI Trader john 19:40 GMT November 12, 2018
Monday Trading Strategy 12 November 2018

-480

dc CB 18:08 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News



Stuff other than Brexit ---- trade Da NUZ.

Bloomberg reports, Malaysian Finance Minister Lim Guan Eng said the nation is seeking a full refund of all the fees it paid to Goldman Sachs for arranging billions of dollars of deals for troubled state fund 1MDB.

haifa ac 17:00 GMT November 12, 2018
Iran cut off SWIFT
Reply   
BREAKING: #Iran's central bank disconnected from #SWIFT messaging – US treasury https://on.rt.com/9if0

that should hurt badly.

haifa ac 16:31 GMT November 12, 2018
100 rockets fall in Israel
Reply   
May escalate for a while.

Livingston nh 16:29 GMT November 12, 2018
Monday Trading Strategy 12 November 2018

Maybe pencil in the SPX gap @2685

GVI Trader john 16:20 GMT November 12, 2018
Monday Trading Strategy 12 November 2018

-407

GVI Forex Blog 16:11 GMT November 12, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 13 November 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 13 Nov 2018
AA 09:30 GB- Employment
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 14 Nov 2018
AA 09:30 GB- CPI
AA 09:30 EZ- GDP
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 15 Nov 2018
A 01:30 AU- Employment
AA 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 16 Nov 2018
AA 10:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 14:15 US- Ind Prod/Cap Util


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Tuesday Trading Checklist 13 November 2018

GVI 16:00 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

Prime Min May spokesperson: Report earlier in Financial Times on EU's Barnier should be treated with skepticism; negotiations are ongoing

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 15:46 GMT November 12, 2018
Monday Trading Strategy 12 November 2018

-270

GVI Trader john 15:09 GMT November 12, 2018
Monday Trading Strategy 12 November 2018

DJ -240

GVI Forex 15:03 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

09:59 (UK) Germany Fin Min Scholz: doing everything we can to get Brexit deal; hard Brexit would be worst option for Britain

- On Italy, no one is demanding austerity; we just want caution
- Hopeful for good solution on Italy budget

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 15:02 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

Germany Fin Min Scholz: doing everything we can to get Brexit deal; hard Brexit would be worst option for Britain - On Italy, no one is demanding austerity; we just want caution- Hopeful for good solution on Italy budget

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex 14:35 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News - Brexit

Brexit headline whipsaw: GBPUSD dips but still above 1.29

09:31 (UK) EU's Barnier reportedly tells EU27 parameters of a Brexit agreement has been clarified; discussion to resume today

** NOTE: Earlier: (UK) EU Brexit Negotiator Barnier: Told EU27 ministers that a Brexit deal has not been reached yet; efforts continue
- Council of Europe Statement - Some key issues remain under discussions , in particular a solution to avoid a hard border between Ireland and Northern Ireland
- Follow up: EU official: Have yet to set a date for EU Leader Summit; need more clarity from UK before fixing a summit date

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:16 GMT November 12, 2018
Gaps

EURGBP has filled its gap while GBPUSD gap is still open to 1.2857 (I use gaps vs highs or lows, not vs. end iof week closing prices. Open to discussion which one to use).

haifa ac 14:03 GMT November 12, 2018
LAME DUCK congress
Reply   
Congress braces for high-drama lame duck
Congress is returning to Washington this week for an end-of-the-year session that’s expected to be filled with high-stakes legislative flights and plenty of drama.

Lawmakers will be forced to juggle several crucial deadlines on must-pass pieces of legislation and unravel thorny policy fights, while also navigating political battles over leadership and a potential Cabinet shakeup.

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/416037-congress-braces-for-high-drama-lame-duck

Don't see how that can be good for the market--we may get a healthy correction.

london red 13:58 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

use any euro rally to 113 to fade with stop over 11360...tomorrow is italy budget crunch time and with italy holding firm, it wont be pretty. big tgt 11186 for many.

london red 13:54 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

its not what the eu is ready to do but what the uk gov can get thru parliament...

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:53 GMT November 12, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

As warned earlier

In any case, watch out for Brexit headlines as the UK PM May must be getting desperate in her bid to find a way to secure a deal.

GVI Forex 13:50 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

GBPUSD spikes huigher on this

08:48 (UK) Reportedly EU negotiator Barner has said main elements of Brexit treaty text is ready to present to the UK cabinet on Tuesday - press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 13:28 GMT November 12, 2018
Monday Trading Strategy 12 November 2018

DJ -88
U.S. Bond Market Closed

Livingston nh 12:36 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

Jay - both sides are reduced to arguing principles w/ only the Irish having an interest in the outcome -- economics/politics usually trumps principles because everything has a PRICE

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:30 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

nh, it is like trying to fit a square peg in round hole. There is no solution I can see for the Irish border issue unless May caves in or the EU blinks as all the backstop means is kiucking the can down the road.

Livingston nh 12:25 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News

Brexit is now a game of Chicken w/ both sides staring at the cliff's edge -- based on past performance whatever it takes is likely to see the Irish positions tossed in front of the BUS (patience on both sides grows thin)

GVI Forex 11:31 GMT November 12, 2018
Breaking News
Reply   
06:28 (UK) Govt spokesperson: Will have a Cabinet when there is something to discuss; Brexit negotiations are ongoing

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:48 GMT November 12, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

Obvious targets are at 1.28 and 1.12 to see whether options are being defended there. In any case, each of these levels will dictate the tone going forward

Amazing Trader shows a risk on the downside for 1.2660 and 1.1075-1.1105.

In any case, watch out for Brexit headlines as the UK PM May must be getting desperate in her bid to find a way to secure a deal.

Meanwhile, GBPUSD is leading as a risk of a no deal or hard Brexit gets factored back in.

In any case, watch out for Brexit headlines as the UK PM May must be getting desperate in her bid to find a way to secure a deal.

The Amazing Trader

GVI Forex Blog 10:43 GMT November 12, 2018
Monday Trading Strategy 12 November 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 12 Nov 2018
AA CA/US Holiday
Tue 13 Nov 2018
AA 09:30 GB- Employment
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 14 Nov 2018
AA 09:30 GB- CPI
AA 09:30 EZ- GDP
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 15 Nov 2018
A 01:30 AU- Employment
AA 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 16 Nov 2018
AA 10:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 14:15 US- Ind Prod/Cap Util


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Monday Trading Strategy 12 November 2018

GVI Jay 10:15 GMT November 12, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
Waking up pleasantly to see the dollar trading higher as the Amazing Trader showed a directional risk that way last night and this worked out nicely.

Meanwhile, I hope the quiet means everyone is enjoying the US holiday and managing profitable positions. However markets rarely move this way when everyone has it right as can be seen by (in this case) long GBPUSD and EURUSD positions getting stopped out.

Market likely to stay bearish as long as EURUSD stays below 1.13 and GBPUSD 1,29.

Key targets on the downside to be posted later.

The Amazing Trader

Shanghai R 09:47 GMT November 12, 2018
Traders

SHANGHAI (Reuters) - Sterling fell on Monday, helping to boost the dollar to a 16-month high, amid mounting doubts over whether Prime Minister Theresa May can come up with a Brexit deal that would win the backing of the European Union and her own party.

Dubai MA 09:43 GMT November 12, 2018
Traders

Can someone post next supports in eurusd gbpusd. tia

Phoenix Sun 02:03 GMT November 12, 2018
Traders
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.1360 Target: Open Stop: 1.1375

Trade idea.

Singapore 00:18 GMT November 12, 2018
Gaps

Will it fill the gap?

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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