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Forex Forum Archive for 11/14/2018

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GVI Forex Jay Meisler 23:05 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

We hope you have been tuning in to our breaking news on Brexit and other key events. We appreciate feedback whenever possible.

GVI 22:21 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

Brexiteers say there will be enough letters by 'lunch tomorrow' to force confidence vote against PM May - ITV's Peston - ITV's Peston tweets: "Tory Brexiters become angrier and angrier as they wade through 585 pages of the Withdrawal Agreement.

“This is a worse capitulation than we feared” said one. They tell me there will be enough letters in with Brady of ‘22 C’ttee by lunch tomorrow to force vote of confidence!"

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 21:55 GMT November 14, 2018
Thursday Trading Strategies 15 November

DJ -205
10s 3.125%
$56.17

GVI Trader john 21:49 GMT November 14, 2018
Thursday Trading Strategies 15 November

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1336
Pivot Point: 1.1315

This Week: 1.1216-1.1347
Wed: 1.1263-1.1347
Tue: 1.1216-1.1258
Mon: 1.1236-1.1331

Fri: 1.1330-1.1369



20-day avg: 1.1386
50-day avg: 1.1523
100-day avg: 1.1568
200-day avg: 1.1822

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 76% (80%).

dc CB 21:27 GMT November 14, 2018
Widow Maker

beats trading off the Mouth Movements of Missey May

Missey May Missey May
how many pounds did your friends make today
First I'll say, Then I'll say
Wouldn't you like to know, by the way
Missey May Missey May
screwed some more again today.

Good Morning NattyGas SHORTS!!

dc CB 21:20 GMT November 14, 2018
Widow Maker
Reply   


dec NatGas hit 4.929 today, Jan 2019 hit 4.96.
Whot Happened ???
Chart abv - NOAA Official Nov-Dec-Jan "Forecast Temps" -- out Oct 18.
oooops.


and just to keep this post Brexit(London based)
"Somebody got murdered, Someone's dead forever..." The Clash.

WeatherBell

GVI Forex Blog 20:15 GMT November 14, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 14 November 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 14 November 2018

GVI 19:49 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

EU commission releases draft Brexit withdrawal agreement - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex 19:23 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

14:22 (UK) PM May: collective decision of the cabinet is to support the Brexit deal - There are difficult days ahead and this deal will come under intense scrutiny, as it should- Confirms she will make a statement to Parliament tomorrow - Source TradeTheNews.com

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 19:18 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

PM May reportedly has secured Cabinet support for Brexit deal, at least for now - UK's Telegraph - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 19:06 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

DJ -343 unrelated...

GVI Trader john 19:05 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

Red Thanks!

london red 19:03 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

ERG headed by Rees-Mogg totals 60 MPs fwiw. May set to make a short statement then address Parliament tomorrow - its possible she could fall on her sword.

GVI Trader john 19:01 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

Reportedly Brexiteers close to the 48 MP letters needed to vote for a change in Tory leadership.

- wire service

GVI 18:47 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

Cabinet meeting reportedly finishing up - press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 18:32 GMT November 14, 2018
Thursday Trading Strategies 15 November
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 15 Nov 2018
A 01:30 AU- Employment
AA 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 16 Nov 2018
AA 10:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 14:15 US- Ind Prod/Cap Util


Thursday Trading Strategies 15 November

GVI Trader john 18:29 GMT November 14, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 14 November 2018

DJ -195
10s 3.114%
$56.65

GVI Trader john 18:23 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

We gather the Cabinet meeting continues...

NY JM 18:14 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

I would not be surprised if the BOE was in behind the scenes given a disorderly market.

GVI Forex 18:11 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

GBP down on this

13:10 (UK) BBC's Kuenssberg: "Senior Tory tells me Brexiteer anger so high that seems likely there will be a call for no confidence vote tomorrow"

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex 17:49 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

GBPUSD popped up on this. More stupid headline trading.'

12:47 (UK) No 10 has indicated there will be a short statement after cabinet meeting - Sky News

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 17:48 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

No 10 has indicated there will be a short statement after cabinet meeting - Sky News

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:39 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

GBPUSD smacked on this

12:37 (UK) UK PM May will not deliver ement to media on Wednesday evening - UK police minister

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Also Sky News reportedly indicated there is no unilateral way for the UK to exit the deal (customs union) in the text

London Brexiteer 17:30 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

That one is an uh-oh headline.

GVI Forex 17:27 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

These headlines mean little until the cabinet meeting ends but GBPUSD has slipped following this latest one

12:23 (UK) As many as 10 ministers entered Brexit cabinet meeting planning to tell May they do not support some parts of deal; said they'd tell her to go back and secure changes - Buzzfeed UK reporter

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Kl Fs 17:00 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

Meanwhile bitcoin going to zero

GVI Forex 16:43 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News


11:43 (UK) Cabinet meeting reportedly is being extended, could run until 7pm local time (14:00ET) - UK press - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex 15:50 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

GBP spiking higher

May to make an announcement in front of 10 Downing Street in about an hour.

Price action suggests market taking it as a positive sign

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:38 GMT November 14, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
For those trading today, it has again been a revolving door in and out of EURGBP driving the price action in EURUSD and GBPUSD.

You can see how by signing up for our

The Amazing Trader

GVI Forex 15:13 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

CAD and MXN slip on this

10:11 (US) House Ways and Means Trade Subcommittee Ranking Member Pascrell (D-NJ): the new USMCA trade deal can't pass as is

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 15:11 GMT November 14, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 14 November 2018

3.164%
132
$57.40

Risk on day?

london red 15:11 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

Looks like another resignation. Mundell.
Remember its whether this can get through Parliament. all cabinet members control packets of MPs. May can only afford a handful of dropped votes as has a wafer thin majority together with DUP.

Boston BR 15:00 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

wtf day in eurusd.

UK JY 14:54 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

Red, dead or alive? At 1.2999 it looks alive.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:18 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

We call this stupid trading. GBP may have dropped on this.

09:15 (UK) One govt minister says two ministers, Mordaunt and McVey, will resign the cabinet - UK's Telegraph

** NOTE: 11/13 (UK) Five pivotal senior ministers reportedly back UK Prime Min May's draft Brexit proposal; Raab, Hunt, Javid, Gove and Cox support the plan; Leadsom and Grayling also- McVey and Mordaunt do not support the plan

- Source TradeTheNews.com

london red 14:17 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

cabinet members mordaunt and mcvey resigning. deal looks dead

Dubai MA 14:14 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

I don't want to keep asking but relying on news from here.

Any Brexit news out?

Livingston nh 13:58 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

jm - just a delay, some clarifications, devils and details // you have more faith than I do (Boehner, TARP etc)

NY JM 13:52 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

nh, Cabinet has no choice but to vote on this as May cannot go back to the negotiating table.

Livingston nh 13:48 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

In desperate search for a CAN - most politicians would prefer to avoid a Decisive Vote unless there is a SAFE majority at home SO a delay of some sort is likely // the variety of players and interests makes this endgame so interesting -- the EU national vs Brussels, the UK party and regional differences

Who said a 'no deal better than a bad deal' ?? Tick tick tick

GVI Forex Blog 13:40 GMT November 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. CPI In October 2018 Softer
Reply   

U.S. CPI Chart
U.S. CPI in October 2018 easier than expected.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. CPI In October 2018 Softer

GVI Trader john 13:35 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

U.S. CPI October 2018



ALERT
Headline:
m/m: +0.30% vs. +0.30% exp. v +0.10% pre
y/y: +2.50% vs. +2.50% exp. v +2.30% pre
Core:
y/y: +2.10% vs. +2.20% exp. v +2.20% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI 13:26 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

Labour Party (opposition) said to likely vote against the Brexit deal - financial press **Reminder: earlier Labour Leader Corbyn stated that the Brexit deal breached the govt own red line

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 13:06 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

Govt spokesperson: Today's Cabinet meeting will last as long as it needs to; do not expect a free vote - To discuss withdrawal agreement and future political declaration- If agreement moves ahead then draft text to be published

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 12:40 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

Weekly PM question time in House of Commons: expresses confidence in getting a Brexit deal; negotiating a good deal that protects jobs and the integrity of the UK - Need backstop as an insurance policy but must be temporary - want an independent trade policy after Brexit - Cabinet to look at Brexit draft; determine next steps; PM to make statement after Cabinet agreement - Labour party intends to frustrate Brexit - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:24 GMT November 14, 2018
Question: Will the Cabinet Vote in Favor of the Brexit Plan<

I will start.

Close call but too big to fail tilts odds in favor of a yes. As Red pointed out a vote in Parliament is then needed, which would likely temper any reaction although GBPUSD would initially move higher. .

If the vote fails, then there is a black hole on the downside.

As most of you have noticed, market turns illiquid around Brexit headlines as algos pull their bids or offers. So keep this in mind...

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:55 GMT November 14, 2018
Question: Will the Cabinet Vote in Favor of the Brexit Plan<
Reply   
...
Entry: Target: Stop:

Please post your opinion as this is the key for today.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:51 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

There seems to be some chatter about DUP support for the plan. Whatever the case or the headline, GBPUSD has just moved higher.

GVI Forex 11:28 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

This is from Bloomberg and highlights the dilemma May faces

Her fundamental problem is the draft deal gives neither side of the Brexit debate exactly what it wants. Brexiteers are angry the agreement looks set to keep the U.K. in the EU’s customs and trade orbit indefinitely, unless a better idea turns up in the next two years. Remainers welcome continued close ties to the bloc but lament the loss of influence on its rules.

Mtl JP 11:27 GMT November 14, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 14 November 2018

global economy slowing
oil demand projected to be either steady/somewhat down
world supply glut of crude

london red 11:27 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

shud be clear that none of the uk factions can vote for this. the only question is does cabinet have the balls to kick it into touch and not allow it to go to Parliament where it will undoubtedly fail.

GVI Trader john 11:08 GMT November 14, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 14 November 2018

10s 3.136%
DJ +56
Crude $55.98

UK JK 11:05 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

Here is a simple question. Where has the AG been for the past year and a half that he is bringing up the legality of the backstop now? The entire process has been a fiasco or better yet a shite show.

GVI Forex 10:43 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

Brexit headline roulette continues. GBP falls, only news we have seen is

05:41 (UK) Attorney General said to have raised significant concerns about customs backstop -Telegraf political tweet

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 10:07 GMT November 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. GDP Unrevised For 3Q18
Reply   
Eurozone Preliminary 3Q18 GDP y/y 1.70% yr/yr. Unrevised.

Eurozone GDP Chart

BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. GDP Unrevised For 3Q18

GVI Trader john 10:00 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

EZ 3Q18 GDP 2018



NEWS ALERT

mo/mo 0.20% vs. 0.20% exp. vs. 0.20% prev.
yr/yr 1.70% vs. 1.70% exp. vs. 1.70% prev.





TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI 09:56 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

ECB's Knot (Netherlands): Reiterates Council view that impact of economic slowdown not enough to change outlook; resilience of region is much higher - CNBC - Not seeing much of contagion from Italy at this time - Pertinent that Italy complies with fiscal rules - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 09:39 GMT November 14, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. CPI A bit softer than expected In October 2018
Reply   

U.K. CPI and RPIX chart

U.K. Headline October 2018 y/y CPI in line to softer +2.40% rise. RPIX +3.20% y/y.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. CPI A bit softer than expected In October 2018

GVI Trader john 09:31 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

CPI data a bit softer than expected.

GVI Trader john 09:31 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

U.K. CPI October 2018

U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

CPI m/m: +0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
CPI y/y: +2.40% vs. +2.50% exp. vs. +2.40% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trader john 09:25 GMT November 14, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 14 November 2018

UK cabinet meeting starts at 14:00 GMT today and is expected to go on for about three hours.

GVI Trader john 09:13 GMT November 14, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 14 November 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1286
Pivot Point: 1.1269

This Week: 1.1216-1.1331
Wed: 1.1276-1.1322
Tue: 1.1216-1.1258
Mon: 1.1236-1.1331

Fri: 1.1330-1.1369
Thu: 1.1352-1.1447
Wed: 1.1395-1.1499


20-day avg: 1.1410
50-day avg: 1.1535
100-day avg: 1.1575
200-day avg: 1.1832

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 80% (84%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.142% -0.7bp
DE: 0.389% -0.9
GB: 1.489% -0.8
JP: 0.109% -1.0

DAX: -140
Implied Open
DJ: -63
SP: -11.4



See the Amazing Trader Live!

GVI Forex Blog 08:40 GMT November 14, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 14 November 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 14 Nov 2018
AA 09:30 GB- CPI
AA 09:30 EZ- GDP
AA 13:30 US- CPI
Thu 15 Nov 2018
A 01:30 AU- Employment
AA 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 16 Nov 2018
AA 10:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 14:15 US- Ind Prod/Cap Util


Wednesday Trading Checklist 14 November 2018

GVI 08:32 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News

Northern Ireland DUP Leader Foster: Will be looking at PM May's text agreement; cannot agree to a deal that leaves Northern Ireland adrift from the rest of the UK - Regulatory alignment would mean divergence from the rest of the UK
- Source TradeTheNews.com

kl shawn 07:32 GMT November 14, 2018
GBPUSD

PAR, you still keep the hope for eurjpy 132?

dc CB 00:51 GMT November 14, 2018
Braking NUZ

dc CB 17:57 GMT
Just elected 29yo Leftist New Star of the Democrat Party...
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
✔@Ocasio2018
Amazon is a billion-dollar company. The idea that it will receive hundreds of millions of dollars in tax breaks.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Now THAT is Presidential CandyDate Material.
Jeffy Boy gets it from the "right"?(Trump) and from the Leftest Lefty. AND dey R both Correct. woooo Jeffy boy call up your attack dogs at the BezosPost...Bobby Woodward---get on that Cortez...dig up some Dirt on her...just like you did on The Donald.
Call up that NYTimes..tell to SHUT HER UP!!! LMAO....:)))))))
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++




NY Taxpayers To Pay $61,000 Per Amazon HQ2 Job

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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