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Forex Forum Archive for 11/15/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 23:25 GMT November 15, 2018
Braking NUZ

YouCan'tMakeThisStuffUp
The NEW NEW acroNYMN
YCMTSU
The reason for the early season Sno----lack of SunSpots!!!!???
EXperts now say. Wot happened to ClimateChange???

OK so whot to "sunspots" translate into Financial EXpert's reason for why you lost all your money...as opposed to The WorldWide Ponzi Blew Up.

GVI 22:11 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

Conservative Party power sharing alliance with DUP is reportedly over unless PM May is replaced - UK's Telegraph

- Source TradeTheNews.com

dc CB 21:43 GMT November 15, 2018
Braking NUZ
Reply   
read this headline and the story...subtitute Financial and Stocks and Bonds and Currency and Conflict for weather words and scare your portfolio to the point of liquidation.
Weather (with all those computer models and really smart phDs) "cudn' saw it comin"....Insert --- the Wizards at the FED plus CBs worldwide.
To quote an often used popular phrase from The Game of Thrones series............Winter is Coming. To the World

WashPost

dc CB 20:49 GMT November 15, 2018
Widow Maker

Jugglin' running chainsaws

Nat Gas Price Swings Prompt "Emergency Action" By CME

dc CB 20:44 GMT November 15, 2018
Widow Maker



What????
more widows? or More profits!


NOAA --- this out Today

GVI Forex Blog 20:18 GMT November 15, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 15 November 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 15 November 2018

dc CB 20:15 GMT November 15, 2018
Widow Maker

Brrrrrrrrrrrr

winter Weatherbell 10-31

Kl Fs 19:50 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

Euro and cable bottomed short term?

dc CB 19:39 GMT November 15, 2018
Tech FYI
Reply   
Win 10 nightmares con't.

Steer clear of the rereleased Windows 10 October 2018 Update, IT pro warns. Meanwhile, Microsoft promises fix for buggy mapped drives at some point next year.

Windows 10 1809's new rollout

PAR 19:02 GMT November 15, 2018
GBPUSD / Risk On
Reply   
Taking profit on short GBPUSD . We ll see.

Long S &P as technical gurus are getting bearish again .

ECB to engage in stealth QE . Draghi is mafia .

london red 18:32 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

on the plus side for her nobody really can come in and push any other line of policy since they are so fragmented. unless you were to go for no deal hard brexit, which they are afraid to do, I cant see the EU moving an inch, since they have no reason to do so with no deal off the table.

GVI 18:31 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

Equity markets rally following FT publishing article summarizing renewed efforts by US and China to engage in trade talks ahead of the G20 meeting at month's end

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 18:17 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

I'm trying to figure out the end game of the PM. She is clearly trying to hang onto the job, but how does she "win"?

london red 18:05 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

apparently not enough letters to call a vote of no confidence

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:04 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

red, sounds like the nail in May's political coffin.

london red 18:02 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

second time hes played the power game and once again he's lost. gove wanted a norway type deal and hoped to take raabs place and renegotiate deal. may has folded on that and he is now likely to go.

GVI Forex 17:58 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

GBPUSD down on thsi

12:56 (UK) Environment Min Gove reportedly expected to tender resignation tonight - UK's Times

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 17:48 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

There's nothing new here - PM dodged the Gove question - she is standing by the Aggregate Deal (the Whole) and her opposition is standing by their individual interests (the Parts) // So is the Whole greater than the Sum of its Parts ??

Nobody wants a Deal

GVI 17:39 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

UK PM May: Approach is to put national interest first; Does not judge harshly on colleagues who reach a different conclusion - If we not move forward with draft Brexit agreement, cannot know what will follow - Will put forward deal to the EU then bring back for vote in the House of Commons - Lawmakers will need to look at the deal, will be held to account by their constituents - Intends to see this through (implies she would fight a leadership challenge, would not step aside) - Nobody has produced any alternative proposal for Brexit - Does share some concerns about the Ireland backstop; realistically there's no deal that can be agreed with the EU that doesn't involve a backstop - Source TradeTheNews.com

haifa ac 17:27 GMT November 15, 2018
Market feeds onbottom pickers

AMZN is 5 dollars from closing the gap (1541)
today low so far is 1546.5

GVI 17:05 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

No-confidence vote on PM May has not reached 48-vote threshold; leadership vote has reportedly not been triggered ahead of PM May's press conference - press

** NOTE: (UK) Reportedly some UK MPs expect a 'no confidence' vote on PM May on Monday - press - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 16:41 GMT November 15, 2018
Friday Trading Strategy For 16 November 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 16 Nov 2018
AA 10:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 14:15 US- Ind Prod/Cap Util


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 19 Nov 2018
No Major Data
Tue 20 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
Wed 21 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Durable Goods
A 15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 22 Nov 2018
AA US Holiday
Fri 23 Nov 2018
AA JP- Holiday
AA All Day Flash PMIs
A 13:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


Friday Trading Strategy For 16 November 2018

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:33 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News


CNBC saying PM May will be making an announcement at 17:00 GMT.. TTN reported earlier that it would be a press conference.

GVI Forex Blog 16:32 GMT November 15, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: Australia Employment Data Beats In October 2018
Reply   
EARLIER: Australia October 2018 Employment data up vs. forecasts. Headline +19.9K. Full-time Employment up 42.3K. Unemployment rate 5.10% vs. 5.00%.

Australia Employment data chart

BREAKING NEWS: Australia Employment Data Beats In October 2018

GVI Trader john 16:01 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: 10.300 vs. 3.000 exp vs. +5.800 prev.
Distillates: -3.600 vs. -1.600 exp vs. -3.500 prev.
Gasoline: -1.400 vs. -1.400 exp vs. +1.900 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex 15:56 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

10:55 (UK) Reportedly some UK MPs expect a 'no confidence' vote on PM May on Monday - press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 15:43 GMT November 15, 2018
Thursday Trading Outlook 15 November 2018

Risk-off session
10s 3.090%
DJ -261

Hedge Fund withdrawal notification date?

GVI Forex 15:37 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News


PM May to hold a press conference at 17:00 GMT

haifa ac 15:33 GMT November 15, 2018
Market feeds onbottom pickers

6720-6500--next220 points in the Nasdaq will be crucial. If the 6500 holds we may have a thanks giving rally.

GVI Trader john 15:30 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

EIA U.S. Natural Gas

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) +39 vs: +33 expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex Blog 15:10 GMT November 15, 2018
U.K. PM May Hangs On By A Thread. Fed Chair Powell Less Hawkish
Reply   

John M. Bland, MBA, co-founder, Global-View.com

Brexit Dominating Trade I hesitated to write this as the U.K. Brexit situation seems to change by the minute. It appears that PM May’s Brexit plan is dead on arrival. It would surprise me if her current plan can get through the Parliament. By trying to please everyone, the plan has pleased no one. The Brexiteers want a clean break with the EU, while the Remainers want to maintain a relationship with the EU. There is not much room for compromise on this issue... MORE

U.K. PM May Hangs On By A Thread. Fed Chair Powell Less Hawkish

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:09 GMT November 15, 2018
Market feeds onbottom pickers

Test for stocks, especially FANG, will come tomorrow after the deadline for hedge fund withdrawal requests passes. We will then see how much of the selling recently has been due to hedge funds raising cash.

haifa ac 15:01 GMT November 15, 2018
Market feeds onbottom pickers
Reply   
Talking Nasdaq and s&p. Look at the intraday sharp rallies which just lure bottom pickers to kill them slowly and methodically. Most likely this will end with some selling climax.
beautiful work

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:53 GMT November 15, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
...
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBPUSD 1.2790

To suggest a low is in GBPUSD would need to firmly take out Amazing Trader resistance at 1.2840. Otherwise focus stays downside with 1.28 to set its tone going forward, risk for 1.2660 if established firmly below it.

So far low of the day has been at 1.2750.

The Amazing Trader

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:27 GMT November 15, 2018
Trading

SC. It is hard to place a reasonable stop in this type of market so you have to be selective until you are comfortable with your risk. .

With that said, I didn't intend to make a plug for the Amazing Trader but I can't resist as our program is invaluable in this type (or any type for that matter) market..

COntact me or click below

The Amazing Trader

london red 14:19 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

nh the cabinet doesn't vote, its against its rule, it forms an opionion based on dialogue. as for the draft, it must pass through Parliament as thats also the law that was passed earlier - to give Parliament a meaningful vote.

Singapore SC 14:05 GMT November 15, 2018
Trading
Reply   
Can someone give me training in playing video games. I need it to trade this market.

GVI Forex Blog 14:02 GMT November 15, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Low
Reply   
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims steady.

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Chart
<Click on chart for over seventeen-year history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Low

GVI Forex Blog 13:47 GMT November 15, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Retail Sales Beat in October 2018
Reply   

U.S. Retail Sales
U.S. Advance Retail Sales in October 2018 beats. Some previous data revised down.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Retail Sales Beat in October 2018

GVI Trader john 13:36 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

US Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT

216K vs. 214K exp vs. 214K (r. ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer






---------------

U.S. Philly Fed Index November 2018



NEWS ALERT

+12.9 vs. +20.00 exp. vs. +22.2 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer



+++++

Empire PMI October, 2018



NEWS ALERT
23.3 vs. 19.0 exp. vs. 21.1 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


++++++++


U.S. Import Prices September 2018



NEWS ALERT
+0.50% vs. n/a exp. vs +0.50% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trader john 13:33 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

U.S. Retail Sales October 2018



ALERT
Headline: +0.80% vs. +0.60% exp. vs. +0.10% (r -0.10% ) prev.
Core (x-a): +0.70^ vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -0.10% (r ) prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 13:27 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

JY - Does PM MAY need to call a vote on this draft? She didn't have a vote in Cabinet yesterday - delay gives the unholy alliance in the City time to weigh in again - will the EU fudge a bit further?

UK JY 13:22 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

May should step down now or drag it out to the parliament vote, which does not look good.

GVI Trader john 13:21 GMT November 15, 2018
Thursday Trading Outlook 15 November 2018

10s 3.099%
DJ -37

UK JY 13:19 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

One way or another she is gone.

Market is repricing GBP risk from a hard Brexit.

haifa ac 12:51 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

"Is May effectively out?"
Absolutely.
look at your calendar, it is November.

Livingston nh 12:50 GMT November 15, 2018
THERESA May’s job hangs by a thread today as she was hit by a wave of resignations over her Brexit p

"Mr Raab said he couldn’t support the PM’s Brexit deal because it breaks the promises she made to the country..." - so the minister in charge of Brexit deal quits because HE didn't force a BETTER deal
__
PLAN is hanging by a thread - from the beginning it was obvious that disruption would force changes in the UK BUT why prolong the Agony -- all the domestic interests have "RED LINES" so the negatives get more play when the CRUNCH VOTE comes
___
EUR leg of EUR/GBP will get a turn in the ducking stool

GVI Trader john 12:29 GMT November 15, 2018
Question: How low will GBPUSD fall on a hard Brexit?

I would expect it will not come to a vote. If there is a vote, she has already lost.

london red 12:22 GMT November 15, 2018
Question: How low will GBPUSD fall on a hard Brexit?

the ERG are meeting in half an hour probaably to decide on whether to call a vote of no confidence in May. They need 48 leters to do that, but will need about 160 in the vote to topple May. Im not sure they are there, as itsone thing not supporting the withdrawal agreement, but another to cast your leader adrift. As things stand May is likely to win the vote, ensuring she cannot be called to another for 12 months.

GVI Trader john 12:16 GMT November 15, 2018
Question: How low will GBPUSD fall on a hard Brexit?

Im thinking more like just below 1.2500 unless they drag out May's departure for too long. She's a dead woman walking. The Tory leadership needs to take her into a room and tell her quietly its time to move on. The last thing they need now is more of a public spectacle. Her departure would have to precede a hard Brexit decision by a new leader. I'm not sure who would want to take her place.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:14 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

Note, EURGBP high was ,8851 (last .8812), held and retreated. See below for why we call it the Amazing Trader
Breaking News
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:33 GMT 11/15/2018 - My Profile


EURGBP .8841

Amazing Trader shows next target at .8850 as long as it stays above ,.8800 with several layers of resistance from .8932-.8994 beyond High so far ,8844

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:13 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

Note, EURGBP high was ,8851 (last .8812), held and retreated. See below for why we call it the Amazing Trader
Breaking News
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:33 GMT 11/15/2018 - My Profile

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:42 GMT November 15, 2018
Question: How low will GBPUSD fall on a hard Brexit?
Reply   
...
Entry: Target: Stop:

Post you view. Here are some choices:

1.25
1.20
1.15
1.10
Other




GVI 11:30 GMT November 15, 2018
THERESA May’s job hangs by a thread today as she was hit by a wave of resignations over her Brexit p
Reply   
The bombshell resignations come after Mrs May revealed details of the deal she’s thrashed out with Brussels – which would leave Britain tied to the EU for years and could break up the UK by forcing Northern Ireland into a different legal regime.


Mr Raab said he couldn’t support the PM’s Brexit deal because it breaks the promises she made to the country...

thesun.co.uk

THERESA May’s job hangs by a thread today as she was hit by a wave of resignations over her Brexit plan.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:54 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

This was posted yesterday and I would not be surprised if the BOE is in trying to prevent a free fall.

NY JM 18:14 GMT November 14, 2018
Breaking News: Reply

I would not be surprised if the BOE was in behind the scenes given a disorderly market.

GVI 10:42 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

PM May: Will bring Brexit deal to Parliament; vote against will bring us back to square one

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:33 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

GBPUSD 1.2767

Amazing Trader shows next target at 1,2660 as long as GBPUSD trades below 1.2826 (although 1.28 will be pivotal in setting its tone).

EURGBP .8841

Amazing Trader shows next target at .8850 as long as it stays above ,.8800 with several layers of resistance from .8932-.8994 beyond High so far ,8844

All displayed in real-time on the

The Amazing Trader

GVI Trader john 09:51 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

U.S. 10-yr 3.092%
DJ -15

U.S. watching the political turmoil in GB

Also Powell last night was starting to express some concerns about the slowing global economy and its impact on the U.S.

GVI Trader john 09:47 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

10-y Gilt 1.395%
flight to safety

FTSE trades inversely with the GBP.

Mtl JP 09:41 GMT November 15, 2018
Thursday Trading Outlook 15 November 2018

PM May's Brexit deal appears to be unraveling AS IT SHOULD.
Her proposed Brexit deal would tie UK to EU rules for practically ever.

Bottom Line
May's proposed brexit deal is NOT what the citizenry voted for with its YES to Brexit and "lets get shot of the EU"

GVI Forex Blog 09:41 GMT November 15, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Miss In October 2018
Reply   
U.K. Retail Sales chart September 2018 U.K. Retail Sales Data miss m/m street estimates.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Miss In October 2018

GVI Trader john 09:33 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

U.K. Retail Sales miss but previous data revised up.

GVI Trader john 09:32 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

U.K. Retail Sales October 2018




-- NEWS ALERT --

x-fuel & autos
mm: -0.40% v +0.20% exp. vs. -0.80% (r -0.30% ) prev.
Headline
mm: -0.50% v +0.10% exp. vs. -0.80% (r -0.4%) prev.

RELEASE: UK Retail Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer

NYC Chris 09:29 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

Is May effectively out?

If Brexit deal is dead, any guesses on where GBPUSD bottoms?

GVI Trader john 09:16 GMT November 15, 2018
Thursday Trading Outlook 15 November 2018

Post-Raab resignation
10yr gilt 1.4120%
GBPUSD last 1.2875

PM May's Brexit deal appears to be unraveling.

U.K. retail sales data due shortly.

GVI Trader john 09:09 GMT November 15, 2018
Thursday Trading Outlook 15 November 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1315
Pivot Point: 1.1315

This Week: 1.1216-1.1352
Thu: 1.1370-1.1352
Wed: 1.1263-1.1347
Tue: 1.1216-1.1258
Mon: 1.1236-1.1331

Fri: 1.1330-1.1369

20-day avg: 1.1386
50-day avg: 1.1523
100-day avg: 1.1568
200-day avg: 1.1822

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 76% (80%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.118% -4.6bp
DE: 0.383% -3.0
GB: 1.444% -5.5
JP: 0.109% -0.1

DAX: -34
Implied Open
DJ: +1
SP: +3.5


GVI 08:59 GMT November 15, 2018
Breaking News

BREXIT MIN RAAB RESIGNS; cannot support indefinite backstop arrangement

- Cannot reconcile terms of proposed deal with promises made in out manifesto letter

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 08:43 GMT November 15, 2018
Thursday Trading Outlook 15 November 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 15 Nov 2018
A 01:30 AU- Employment
AA 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 16 Nov 2018
AA 10:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 14:15 US- Ind Prod/Cap Util


Thursday Trading Outlook 15 November 2018

haifa ac 04:46 GMT November 15, 2018
market feels weak
Reply   
night session in both Nasdaq and S&P feel like sellers are confident.
we can have a weak day today. butwe are not so far from a moderate rally (corrective,in nature, after October OKR!)

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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