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Forex Forum Archive for 11/16/2018

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GVI Trader john 20:41 GMT November 16, 2018
Commitment Of Traders Report For 13 November 2018 Data
Reply   
For Amazing Traders monitoring levels on stops for trading strategies...
COT report position highlights:


EURUSD shorts flatening

USDJPY longs narrowing slowly

GBPUSD shorts narrowing

USDCAD positions flat

AUDUSD shorts narrowing


EURUSD Commitment of Traders Chart




USDJPY Commitment of Traders Chart




GBPUSD Commitment of Traders Chart




USDCAD Commitment of Traders Chart




AUDUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

GVI Forex Blog 20:04 GMT November 16, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 16 November 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 16 November 2018

GVI Trader john 18:39 GMT November 16, 2018
Friday Trading Outlook For 16 November 2018

3.074%
+57

GVI 18:22 GMT November 16, 2018
Friday Trading Outlook For 16 November 2018


Brexit: Irish foreign Min says if it looks like we are heading towards a no deal Brexit, will need direct discussions on how to avoid a hard border



GVI Trader john 18:18 GMT November 16, 2018
Friday Trading Outlook For 16 November 2018

Fed talkers have been too focused on policy "neutrality" today. Its just like them to get locked into a tightening mode too late. I'd like to see them pause for a while and simply observe the current state of the economy for a while before making their next move.

They could even announce that is what they are doing. Markets would accept a little clarity for once.

GVI Trader john 18:09 GMT November 16, 2018
Friday Trading Outlook For 16 November 2018

DJ +109
10s 3.077%

GVI Trader john 18:06 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1082 vs. 1081 (+1) prev.
Oil: 888 vs. 886 (+2) prev.
Canada: 197 vs. 196 (+1) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trader john 18:04 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1082 vs. 1081 (+1) prev.
Oil: 888 vs. 886 (+2) prev.
Canada: 197 vs. 196 (+1) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex 17:46 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

Trump says china’s list of trade proposals is pretty complete

GVI Forex 17:39 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

Stocks pop on this

Trump says China wants to make a deal on trade, but it is not acceptable yet

GVI 16:42 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

New York Fed Nowcast: cuts Q4 forecast to 2.6% from 2.7% prior - News from this week's data releases decreased the nowcast for 2018:Q4 by 0.1 percentage point.- Negative surprises from industrial production and capacity utilization data were only partially offset by a positive surprise from retail sales data. - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 16:30 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

UK PM May Polictal spokesman: PM wil lspeak about her Brexit daeal with grassroots Conservative Party organisers in Conf call later on Friday - Source TradeTheNews.com

HK [email protected] 15:35 GMT November 16, 2018
Gold just pops out of channel, or to 1250?

.
Indeed a pop and squeeze.
Meanwhile, market makers reverse the Dow to positive.

london red 15:04 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

irish pm: not much room to renegotiate, could unravel whole thing

london red 14:47 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

uk banking starting to pick up and reflect less likely of may falling and a possible change in deal terms (until eu shots it down)

GVI Trader john 14:38 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization October 2018




ALERT
Ind Production: +0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.30% (r +0.20%) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 78.4% vs. 78.3% exp. vs. 78.10% (r78.5%) prev.

RELEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization



TTN: Live News Special Offer

HK [email protected] 14:15 GMT November 16, 2018
Gold just pops out of channel, or to 1250?

.
On the net: Buying for safe haven. Some feel unsafe:(

london red 14:01 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

euro. res by 11430 if clarida comments run a few more stops over 114

london red 13:18 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

expect the eu to fire back quickly and, i suspect, will rebuff any changes.

GVI 13:11 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

Brexiteers ministers said to aim to change wording of backstop exit mechanism to stop it binding UK in customs union indefinitely - financial press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 13:07 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

Tory chief whip Julian Smith said to have cancelled briefing with lawmakers on the Brexit deal today (Friday) - financial press - Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 12:23 GMT November 16, 2018
Friday Trading Outlook For 16 November 2018

risk to some opportunity to others
-
via RTRS:

UK's Fox says no-deal Brexit still a risk - CNBC

GVI Trader john 11:24 GMT November 16, 2018
Friday Trading Outlook For 16 November 2018

DJ -90
10s 3.114%
CO $57.55

Mtl JP 11:23 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

In her open radio call-in with citizenry I thought I had heard Theresa say that she does not bet on things political.

Wanna be betting on the GBP ?
It is said that high potential rewards come with high risk.

london red 10:48 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

these are moderate to harder brexiteers that are staying so it does send a signal that any vote on may is unlikely to reach the 160 required. it does look like this is going to be over before it began but the same cant be said for the vote on the deal. its hard to say where they go from here as the eu is playing hard ball and saying no negotiation to terms. if we get closer to the vote and there still has been no movement towards getting it passed, will the eu change its stance with the threat of no deal? i think they see that MP's are more afraid of no deal than they are, so probably no.

GVI Trader john 10:43 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

Red- thanks for your ongoing help on this. All rather arcane for me!

london red 10:42 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

gove fox and leadsom are said to be staying.

london red 10:35 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

if not now then when. they have to strike while there is momentum. also the vote on the deal is set to take place in december, which would then be too late to do the vote of confidence given a leadership race would take a few weeks taking us very close to the march 29th exit day.

Amman wfakhoury 10:34 GMT November 16, 2018
GBPUSD 12780 and 12730

12786 is the consolidation level when price above it .

GVI Trader john 10:31 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

Red Why would they hold a vote if they are not certain to win (148 votes lined up)?

GVI Trader john 10:29 GMT November 16, 2018
Friday Trading Outlook For 16 November 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1335
Pivot Point: 1.1327

This Week: 1.1216-1.1368
Fri: 1.1322-1.1368
Thu: 1.1271-1.1362
Wed: 1.1263-1.1347
Tue: 1.1216-1.1258

20-day avg: 1.1380
50-day avg: 1.1517
100-day avg: 1.1566
200-day avg: 1.1818

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 74% (76%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.114% +2.9bp
DE: 0.388% +1.6
GB: 1.387% +3.1
JP: 0.104% -0.6

DAX: +55
Implied Open
DJ: -55
SP: -7.9



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london red 10:28 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

its just about official now, vote likely to take place tuesday

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:26 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

There is still not confirmation but there is speculation that the 48 votes for a leadership vote have been received. There is talk that a no confidence party vote on May could come on Tuesday.

If true, today is all about headlines and weekend risk should keep the market thin and jumpy.

GVI Forex Blog 10:08 GMT November 16, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Final HICP Unrevised In October 2018
Reply   
EZ final October 2018 HICP (CPI) unrevised.

final Eurozone HICP Chart

BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Final HICP Unrevised In October 2018

GVI Trader john 10:01 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

No changes

GVI Trader john 10:00 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

Eurozone final HICP (CPI) October 2018





ALERT
Headline
yy: +2.20% vs. +2.20% exp. vs. +2.20% prev.
CORE
yy: +1.10% vs. +1.10% exp. vs. +1.10% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john 09:59 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

Correction HICP seen at 2.20% vs 2.20%

london red 09:48 GMT November 16, 2018
GBPUSD 12780 and 12730

maybe it could be the eu isnt ready to do that until the withdrawal agreement is finalised. gove saying he isnt resigning behind latest blip in sterling.

GVI 09:47 GMT November 16, 2018
Breaking News

Reportedly Michael Gove to remain Environment Minister in PM May's Government - press - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Jay 09:47 GMT November 16, 2018
GBPUSD 12780 and 12730

Tks Red. Please continue to keep us updated.

I saw a headline that Davis said a free trade deal could be negotiated in 4 months time.

GVI Forex Blog 09:34 GMT November 16, 2018
Friday Trading Outlook For 16 November 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 16 Nov 2018
AA 10:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 14:15 US- Ind Prod/Cap Util


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 19 Nov 2018
No Major Data
Tue 20 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
Wed 21 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Durable Goods
A 15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 22 Nov 2018
AA US Holiday
Fri 23 Nov 2018
AA JP- Holiday
AA All Day Flash PMIs
A 13:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


Friday Trading Outlook For 16 November 2018

Amman wfakhoury 09:30 GMT November 16, 2018
GBPUSD 12780 and 12730

scalp to 12783 for this hour

london red 09:26 GMT November 16, 2018
GBPUSD 12780 and 12730

said to be no free vote on brexit deal ie MP's are obliged to vote with government policy. this could sway a few to vote against may but will it be enough from 48 to 160 is a lot of votes required.

Amman wfakhoury 09:25 GMT November 16, 2018
GBPUSD 12780 and 12730



I start my scalp selling GBPUSD

london red 09:22 GMT November 16, 2018
GBPUSD 12780 and 12730

not clear yet on when but whips have been informed so a matter of time. still needs a lot of movement to top may as they have only just got to the 48 barrier which triggers a vote. they need 160 in the vote to topple may. that a long way to go yet. the problem for the antagonists is that a leadership battle eats valuable time and could lead to a no deal brexit, something that the majority of MP's are against. So while they may not believe in May, the risk of a no deal may be enough to keep at least half of them on side.

Amman wfakhoury 09:18 GMT November 16, 2018
GBPUSD 12780 and 12730

Make big profit today by scalp sell till 12730

Belgrade Knez 09:09 GMT November 16, 2018
GBPUSD 12780 and 12730


london red

when will voting take place please?

london red 09:07 GMT November 16, 2018
GBPUSD 12780 and 12730

enough votes to trigger vote of no confidence in May. however from 48 to 160 MP's is a tough ask. probably fade ahead of vote. take profit after she survives.

Amman wfakhoury 09:04 GMT November 16, 2018
GBPUSD 12780 and 12730

In just few mins 12780 reached from 12820.

Amman wfakhoury 08:54 GMT November 16, 2018
GBPUSD 12780 and 12730
Reply   
GBPUSD will visit again 12780 then 12730 as it keeps below 12880


The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

PAR 06:12 GMT November 16, 2018
BREXIT
Reply   
How not to.negotiate a deal.

Two year negotiations to come up with 600 pages of stupidities.

Another waste of taxpayers money.by incompetent European bureaucrats.

Europe s specialiy is making simple things complicated.
Barnier should go.. What a mess

Sydney ACC 05:23 GMT November 16, 2018
You Gov Poll
Reply   
A rapid turnaround YouGov study undertaken yesterday asked the British public how they felt about the Prime Minister’s deal.

The poll asked 3154 British adults their opinion on the latest Brexit developments.

The agreement has not been accepted by the British public polls show.

Four in ten (42 percent) of Britons oppose the deal, whilst only 19 percent are in favour of it.

The remaining 39 percent answered, “don’t know”.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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