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Forex Forum Archive for 11/20/2018

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dc CB 23:03 GMT November 20, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 21 November 2018

The Whether(or not) Forecasters at the WaPo have at last decided that It's Gonna Be Cold.
So having missed the FOREcast Biggly, they now pile on the Hysteria and Hyperbole in an attempt to make it like they are on top of it.

Kinda like the WaPo did when Trump won the election....LOL

Meanwhile Obama Sez: ""...the reason we don't [invest in climate change policies] is because we are still confused, blind, shrouded with hate, anger, racism - mommy issues..." LMAO

Northeast U.S. faces most abnormally cold weather on the planet on Thanksgiving

GVI Trader john 22:49 GMT November 20, 2018
Tuesday Trading Outlook 20 November 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1369
Pivot Point: 1.1398

This Week: 1.1358-1.1472
Tue: 1.1358-1.1472
Mon: 1.1394-1.1465

Fri: 1.1263-1.1420
Thu: 1.1271-1.1362
Wed: 1.1263-1.1347

20-day avg: 1.1369
50-day avg: 1.1507
100-day avg: 1.1559
200-day avg: 1.1803

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 70% (72%).

dc CB 21:35 GMT November 20, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 21 November 2018

API
crude: -1.545MM
gasoline: +0.706MM
distillates: -1.832MM
cushing: +0.398MM

GVI Forex Blog 20:24 GMT November 20, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 20 November 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 20 November 2018

GVI Forex Blog 19:12 GMT November 20, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 21 November 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 21 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Durable Goods
A 15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 22 Nov 2018
AA US Holiday
Fri 23 Nov 2018
AA JP- Holiday
AA All Day Flash PMIs
A 13:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


Wednesday Trading Checklist 21 November 2018

Bali Sja 18:34 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

Usd is still king, interest rates rule! Yield yield yield

london red 18:19 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

wti. we did a lrg inverse shs on the break of 51/52 bucks. the neckline from this is currently around 47 bucks. if 51/52 doesnt halt slide we could see 47 before a bounce.

haifa ac 16:45 GMT November 20, 2018
NVDA islikelya buy here
Reply   
around 153
daily 200 MA is near

GVI Forex 16:33 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

GBPUSD just took a hiot on this

11:28 (UK) Ireland Foreign Min Coveney: Brexit text will not be reopened; withdrawal agreement is not a draft text, it is 'the text'

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 15:41 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

Reportedly German concerned that UK may try to reopen Brexit deal negotiations - press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex 15:16 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

GBPUSD took a hit on this

10:15 (UK) Northern Ireland DUP Dep Leader Dodds: 'stubborn determination' by PM May to offer binary choice of this deal or no deal is not in the UK's interests; it's time to work for a better deal - Brexit deal will not pass in parliament - DUP will continue to use our influence for the good of everyone in the UK; govt will require our support to pass domestic agenda

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 15:14 GMT November 20, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed

-575
3.039%

Singapore SC 15:12 GMT November 20, 2018
EUR

Where are all the trade calls? A$ joining the risk off party.

London ET 15:03 GMT November 20, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed

Where is PAR when stocks are going down?

GVI 15:02 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

Atlanta Fed cuts Q4 GDP forecast to 2.5% from 2.8% prior

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 15:02 GMT November 20, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed

John - feels like capitulation day in STOX (8 to 1 A/D and 12 to 1 pos /neg volume) -- 10 yr yield has to pop higher next few days to confirm the end of correction

Livingston nh 14:50 GMT November 20, 2018
EUR
Reply   
Brexit shifts to headline comments from EU and away from the UK -- 1.1375 EUR/USD is the 4 hr 55 EMA and the daily 21 MA so the key breakpoint on a comment

GVI Trader john 14:47 GMT November 20, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed

10s 3.054%
-398

Post U.S. equity opens
10-yr yield holding...

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:40 GMT November 20, 2018
Users tell us why you need the Amazing Trader

Users tell us why you need the Amazing Trader:

They say it tells you whether you should be a buyer or seller, what levels the market is targeting, where to place your stop and where to take profits.

Contact me by EMAIL for your free trial or to subscribe with special pre-holiday pricing.

Regards,

Jay Meisler

GVI 14:19 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

White House Econ Adviser Kudlow: Pres Trump's pro-growth policies will not be overturned by the new Congress - Fox Business interview - The US economy is roaring - Stock market corrections come and go - Reiterates Pres Trump believes China wants a trade deal and Trump is optimistic about trade talks- Very detailed talks are going on with China at all levels

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 13:48 GMT November 20, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed

10s 3.048%
DJ -330

GVI Forex Blog 13:42 GMT November 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Housing Starts And Permits Mixed in October 2018
Reply   

Housing Starts and Permits mixed in October 2018.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Housing Starts And Permits Mixed in October 2018

GVI Trader john 13:32 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

Data dead on forecasts.

GVI Trader john 13:31 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

U.S. House Starts & Permits (000) October 2018




NEWS ALERT
Starts: 1.228 vs. 1.230 exp. vs. 1.200 (r 1.210) prev.
Permits: 1.263 vs. 1.260 exp. vs. 1.270 (r )prev.


New Residential Construction



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john 12:54 GMT November 20, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

DJ -255
10s 3.041%

GVI Jay 12:35 GMT November 20, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
Risk is generally on side where stops are lying and the Amazing Trader shows you where. We are always wary of 3rd tests and this time saw stops run below EURUSD low of the day.

To put it in perspective below 1.1393 would be needed for an outside day. Standing the way are Amazing Trader supports at 1.1412=15, 1.1400-03.Meanwhile 1.1420 becomes pivotal.

The Amazing Trader

GVI Trader john 12:31 GMT November 20, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed

10s 3.050%
DJ -190

Risk- off

london red 12:12 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

what the eu fears most is a no deal. it will be less painful than in the case of the uk, but the uk will have an easier time coming out of it given the floating currency. but i digress. the issue is no deal has always been off the table, hence the eu's heavy no compromise appraoch when negotiating. the nearer we get to march 2019, the more chance that this approach gets reversed and the eu becomes more willing. that might not be compromising on its 4 pillars but certainly a proper kicking of the can, on terms the uk can accept.

Mtl JP 11:54 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

of course he does, carney is a globalist
UK's national interest is, to him, secondary

GVI Jay 11:44 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

This may have been a factor in GBP (but again failed above 1.2880)

From earlier

Sterling gains as BOE's Carney backs PM May's Brexit deal

Mtl JP 11:34 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

theresa trying to go over barnier's head

GVI 11:07 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

PM May to head to Brussels to meet EU's Juncker for Brexit talks on Wed, Nov 21st - financial press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:02 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

red, clearly a eurgbp flow. I heard 2nd hand that Carney said something about intervening in GBP weakness if Brexit deal fell through or something like that.

Offsets from EURGBP are weighing on EURUSD but still above 1.1420..

Sydney ACC 10:55 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

Aussie and Kiwi incurred similar falls.

Aussie dropped from 0,7297 to 0.7251

Kiwi drop was less severe nevertheless it declined from 0.6864 to 0.6847

I don't think think the volatility can be isolated just to EUR/GBP cross trading.

There were significant falls in most equity indices at the same time.

Simple explanation might just be panic selling.

london red 10:47 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

italy germany spread has increased as well as eu decision on italy budget tomorrow. seems a few folks viewed little bounce of late as over and faded morning rally. large expiries at 115 today may also be making their presence felt.

GVI Trader john 10:40 GMT November 20, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed

Weak day globally in equities following lead of U.S. Monday. Recently, "risk-off" trade has been a weight on EURUSD. Hard to believe that the yield on the U.S. 10-yr note is back in range of 3.00%. Last 3.048%. Falling 10-yr yields positive for USD if its on a flight to safety, but its bad if its on fears of an economic slowdown in the States. We are seeing a little bit of each today.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:37 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

I just got an email asking if there is any news in the EURUSD and why it fell off a cliff. No news I have seen but it appears EUR cross selling has been a factor (note EURGBP is at its day low) in a market thinning out for the extended US break.

I had to look at an Amazing Trader one minute chart for a signal as other time frames were straight lines down. On the downside, it should be limited as long as it stays above 1.1420.

Check your AT charts for key levels.

The Amazing Trader

GVI Trader john 10:29 GMT November 20, 2018
Tuesday Trading Outlook 20 November 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
POSITIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1433
Pivot Point: 1.1438

This Week: 1.1394-1.1472
Tue: 1.1422-1.1472
Mon: 1.1394-1.1465

Fri: 1.1263-1.1420
Thu: 1.1271-1.1362
Wed: 1.1263-1.1347

20-day avg: 1.1375
50-day avg: 1.1511
100-day avg: 1.1562
200-day avg: 1.1809

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 70% (72%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.045% -2.3bp
DE: 0.358% -1.7
GB: 1.383% +0.5
JP: 0.102% +0.6

DAX: -134
Implied Open
DJ: -125
SP: -16.7



See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI Forex Blog 09:57 GMT November 20, 2018
Tuesday Trading Outlook 20 November 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 20 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
Wed 21 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Durable Goods
A 15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 22 Nov 2018
AA US Holiday
Fri 23 Nov 2018
AA JP- Holiday
AA All Day Flash PMIs
A 13:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


Tuesday Trading Outlook 20 November 2018

GVI Jay 09:42 GMT November 20, 2018
Users tell us why you need the Amazing Trader

Users tell us why you need the Amazing Trader:

They say it tells you whether you should be a buyer or seller, what levels the market is targeting, where to place your stop and where to take profits.

Contact me by EMAIL for your free trial or to subscribe with special pre-holiday pricing.

Regards,

Jay Meisler

Amman wfakhoury 08:41 GMT November 20, 2018
GBPUSD ready to move big

no close above 12880 no buy..we are still in sell as my previous signal.

Amman wfakhoury 08:33 GMT November 20, 2018
GBPUSD ready to move big



Invite you to buy my book for your children

Amman wfakhoury 08:18 GMT November 20, 2018
GBPUSD ready to move big

the close one hour bar above 12880 ..will buy to continue the big move

london red 08:01 GMT November 20, 2018
GBPUSD ready to move big

abv 12875/80 can run some stops.

PAR 07:37 GMT November 20, 2018
BREXIT
Reply   
Rebels of UK PM May’s Tory party seemed to have failed to collect the necessary 48 votes to call for a no-confidence vote, keeping May in place (for now). Today, she will visit Brussels to discuss the direction of future trade.

nw kw 06:34 GMT November 20, 2018
gold

few munts ago gov. restoking for ngas was soft, pit, reported then.// but trough the north hear not cold so when it hits gas to moon

http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.html

Amman wfakhoury 06:24 GMT November 20, 2018
GBPUSD ready to move big
Reply   
Take care

dc CB 04:35 GMT November 20, 2018
.lert AAAlert lert lert

and if U think this a North American problem, U ain't been SubScribing to the Real NUZ
Europe-----Brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

Oh yeh it's lack of SunSpots...WhoCudaSeenThat....the guy who wasn't crucified for claiming "it's not Warming"

Oh Wait--- A Poem or Song

Missey May Missey May
What SCAM will U Run today
Getting OLD I must say
Missey May Missey May
Ice on Your Rolls
and it isn't even Boxing Day

dc CB 04:23 GMT November 20, 2018
.lert AAAlert lert lert
Reply   
To all my Subscribers
BUY NAT GAS NOW LMAO

According to new weather models, the US mid-Atlantic and Northeast regions are expected to experience the coldest/earliest temperatures to the start of any winter season on record.

Weather Prediction Center: "Highs 20-35 degrees below normal"

(But wait...Weather Models? Warm Winter? wait...this is too Stupd to be considered STUPID (aka Blindsided/BlackSwan/Din't See It Comin')

After Gold/Silver, Oil, Stocks, Bonds...whots left to LIE/Manipulate about

THE Weather Man
Manny I Pulation
never thot U'd find me here...anywhere a rigged profit
Cheers
And enjoy the Cheap Gasoline as U Pump that petro product into the Heating device.

Manny for Eva.

Weather Models Forecast Coldest Thanksgiving On Record In Northeast

dc CB 00:56 GMT November 20, 2018
Breaking News

GVI Trader john 15:02 GMT
More weak news from the housing sector.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Not exactly a foward looking group.

Whot about all those who lost their homes in the past 6 months due to Natural Disasters ----North/South Carolina, Virginia, Florida, and currently Super Hi End houses burning in California.
And Yes my dears, many, many of those people have a lot of money plus Insurance.

dc CB 00:18 GMT November 20, 2018
Not a normal week

WaPO...brrrrrrr

of course not a peep about how WRONG the US "Climate Prediction" Short Range models were ----NOAA. That wud dent the FaithBased ---Climate Change(our Computer Models) tell us is the cause for All That Our Models Did Not SEE Coming.
(AKA Trust what we SEZ about the ECONomy---same programmers-LOL)

Humans are the Cause 'cause out Computer Model SEZ it's so.
Doubt ---we have a crucifix, just cleaned, ready for U.

Coldest Thanksgiving in decades possible in Washington from Arctic blast

HK [email protected] 00:16 GMT November 20, 2018
gold
Reply   
.
Gold:
Short term bullish price action, but under cast by longer time frame bearish trend.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
What happens with Bitcoin, though is a different kind of instrument, may unnerve other sectors which seem more safe.
Billions are lost in Bitcoin, so will that affect other instruments too?
Or just amuse other investors?

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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