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Forex Forum Archive for 11/27/2018

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Syd 23:16 GMT November 27, 2018
This Could Be the Next Currency to Fall…
Reply   
1. US getting tough on Chinese trade
2. Chinese Yuan is hovering below the key 7.00 per dollar level
3. Iron Ore prices are crashing – at 4 month lows now
4. Strong demand for US dollars
5. AUD/USD trading below 20 and 100-day SMA

5 Reasons Why AUD Could Be Next Currency to Fall

dc CB 22:38 GMT November 27, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 28 November 2018

Boing----

TRUMP SAYS HE IS “NOT EVEN A LITTLE BIT HAPPY” WITH FED CHAIR POWELL -WASHINGTON POST INTERVIEW

GVI Trader john 22:35 GMT November 27, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 28 November 2018

12:00 p.m.

Speech -- Chairman Jerome H. Powell

Watch Live

The Federal Reserve's Framework for Monitoring Financial Stability

At The Economic Club of New York Signature Luncheon, New York, New York

GVI Trader john 22:04 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

This suggests to me that May has been told in no uncertain terms that her "Withdrawal Agreement" will not be approved as written. By permitting amendments, it is possible that SOMETHING can be passed. However I doubt the EU will be happy with it.

GVI 21:58 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

PM May said to have backed down in Brexit disagreement with Parliament, will allow Parliament to amend the Brexit deal motion - press which would allow the Brexit deal to be amended before vote on Dec 11th

- Source TradeTheNews.com

dc CB 21:39 GMT November 27, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 28 November 2018

API
Crude: +3.453MM
Gasoline: -2.620MM
Distillates: +1.185MM
Cushing:+1.302 MM

GVI Forex Blog 20:31 GMT November 27, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 27 November 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 27 November 2018

GVI 19:39 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Hearing reports from congressman currently at Walter Reed Medical that he's been told there is an active shooter on the premises

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 19:02 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

White House National Sec Adviser Bolton: Pres Trump has no plans to meet with Saudi Crown Prince MbS at G20 meeting - press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 18:18 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

White House Adviser Kudlow: Pres Trump and China Pres Xi to meet for dinner on Saturday;

still divided on matters including IP theft - press -

- Trump means what he says; he may raise tariffs on China goods if there's no further through in talks

- Disappointed in China's response so far on trade issues; can't find much change in their approach

- Not sure whether the G20 will result in a joint communique; if we don't get one, there'd be no tears shed

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 18:09 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

eur 1.1280/75 = S

I am biased.
that today it will hold

haifa ac 18:08 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

"Stick that up your ass, haifa ac!"

Ahh that beautiful holidays spirit--bless your soul.

london red 18:01 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

short squeeze only if they recover to 11315 on close, otherwise 11186 looks favourite

Jkt Abel 17:45 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Stick that up your ass, haifa ac!

haifa ac 17:40 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

"Euro short squeeze coming..."

To a theater near you?!

GVI Trader john 17:33 GMT November 27, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 27 November 2018

10s 3.066%
DJ -88
CO $50.52

Risk-Off

Jkt Abel 17:31 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Euro short squeeze coming...

GVI Forex Blog 17:07 GMT November 27, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 28 November 2018
Reply   

AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 28 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- GDP
A 15:00 US- New Homes Sales
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 29 Nov 2018
A 09:00 DE- Employment
A 13:30 US- PCE Deflator
A 15:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
A 19:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
Fri 30 Nov 2018
A 07:00 DE- Retail Sales
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP


Wednesday Trading Checklist 28 November 2018

Amazing Trader Reviews 15:49 GMT November 27, 2018 Reply   

'Amazing Trader Review'

london red 15:30 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

euro res by 11314/15 thats the pivot for next swing. bears need to push on from here else a technical squeeze a big risk.

GVI 15:25 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Ireland PM Varadkar: 'no Brexit' deal is unlikely - Source TradeTheNews.com

UK JY 15:24 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

It doesn't hold together. if Trump was going to impose 25% tariffs then US stocks would not be higher. Only eurusd is lower but off its lows.

GVI 15:20 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

EU spokesperson: Trade Min Malmstrom has no planned meetings with US Trade Rep Lighthizer

** NOTE: Earlier: (EU) Reportedly US President Trump to impose 25% tax on European carmakers next week after G20 meeting - German press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 15:01 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Conference Board Survey November 2018




NEWS ALERT
135.7 vs. 135.7 exp. vs. 137.9 (r ) prev.

RELEASE: Consumer Confidence Data



TTN: Live News Special Offer


UK JY 14:50 GMT November 27, 2018
News Matters
Reply   
That is an understatement in the current environment.

Well that latest headline caught the eurusd longs flat footed.

GVI 14:39 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Reportedly US President Trump to impose 25% tax on European carmakers next week after G20 meeting - German press - Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 14:08 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

john more important is how players digest and react to the FED
THAT is where you or I either win or lose in our betting on player reactionary digestion of FED's pablum - not weather the FED is dogmatik or pragmatik

GVI Trader john 14:03 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Sounds like a more "pragmatic" rather than "dogmatic" Fed, which is a breath of fresh air. They are leaving the door open to different policy paths depending on which direction the data are pointing.

GVI Trader john 14:00 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Case Shiller-20 September 2018

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+5.15% vs. +5.30% exp. vs. +5.55% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 13:55 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

The so-what is
that it is dollar supporting

gl trading today guys n gals

GVI 13:51 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Clarida:
Gradual rate hikes appropriate as data shows way to neutral policy

- Need to be more data dependent as policy moves toward 'neutral'; policy is not on a pre-set course

- Policy rate currently just below Fed's longer-run neutral estimates

- Risks are less skewed to the downside then they were 3 years ago

- Proximity to neutral policy a matter of judgement - Recent weakness in business investment bears attention

- Market based gauges of future prices show inflation may be running below 2%

- Fed balance sheet should be as small as possible while still achieving objectives

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 13:51 GMT November 27, 2018
BITCOIN??
Reply   
CNBC and other media have spent a lot of time past couple of weeks on BITCOIN as if it's something important // Beanie Babies !!

GVI Trader john 13:48 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Clarida VERY mildly dovish. I feel he is pre-saging Powell's comments tomorrow. He used the term "data-dependent". Suggests the upcoming Fed policy strategy.

GVI 13:29 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Fed Vice Chair Clarida (moderate, voter): Policy rate currently just below Fed's longer-run neutral estimates - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:18 GMT November 27, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

GBPUSD 1.2765

Bounce off an intra-day double bottom faces Amazing Trader resistance at 1.2768, 1.2774, 1.2786 (most important).

Amazing Trader Reviews

GVI Trader john 12:49 GMT November 27, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 27 November 2018

DJ -125
10s 3.061%
CO $51.59

Developing Risk-Off?

london red 12:35 GMT November 27, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 27 November 2018

nfp and ism over the next few weeks (for months of novermber december) will make or break current fed policy given that q1 tends to be a soft quarter so we know what we can expect there already.

Livingston nh 12:30 GMT November 27, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 27 November 2018

Fed must be careful not to encourage PAUSE talk yet -- one of the common stox themes has been "repricing" based on slower earnings (multiple) leading to slower rate hikes // Price hikes in service and goods are more reliable inflation makers than wages -- companies will raise prices as input costs rise (see ISM comments, tariffs, etc) rather than take a prolonged earnings hit // Fed has to wait and see or a u turn will be VERY bad

Livingston nh 12:10 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

The Talk has begun in the UK (was yesterday a holiday?) - two weeks of this and then the EU gets to weigh in - Is this REALLY the "only deal possible"? - Will the notorious CAN KICKERS stay the Course? // More likely the EU's Cunning Plan has always been the implementation of the ever popular "New Referendum until you get it right" strategy

1.25 CABLE and 1.11 EUR on the Radar

Mtl JP 12:00 GMT November 27, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 27 November 2018

and so w/that it still propagates the idea that FED yak is one thing with which it can - like an orchestra conductor - order player sentiment with perceptions about effect of cost of and access to money: lower cost / easy(ier) access = stock uP

GVI Trader john 11:54 GMT November 27, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 27 November 2018

Early levels

DJ -84
10s 3.059%
CO $51.79

Mixed Risk

GVI Trader john 11:49 GMT November 27, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 27 November 2018

Fed Vice Chair Clarida to speak at 13:30 GMT. Fed Chair, Vice Chair and NY Fed President effectively run things. Anything he says should reflect the current thinking of Powell.

Focus is if the central bank has turned more dovish and whether such a change might have implications for the December FOMC and future actions in the new year. Watch the 10-yr note for bond market interpretations if he says anything of consequence.

GVI 11:27 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Earlier

Northern Ireland DUP leader Foster: Cannot support PM May's deal, backstop must go

- Problem is political declarations not binding

- May's visit likely to be waste of time, May is not going to get this deal though

- Offensive to say DUP might be bluffing

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:05 GMT November 27, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
I posted this last night on the GVI Forex/Amazing Trader Forum and could have also used 1.1325 as stops were run voernight below 1.1321-25

Tuesday Trading Checklist
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 01:51 GMT 11/27/2018 - My Profile
EURD

If 1.1321 gives way AT shows a risk for 1.1252-63

Amazing Trader Reviews

GVI Trader john 11:05 GMT November 27, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 27 November 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1315
Pivot Point: 1.1346

Last Week: Mon: 1.1305-1.1384
Tue: 1.1305-1.1344
Mon: 1.1326-1.1384

Fri: 1.1332-1.1421
Thu: 1.1364-1.1433
Wed: 1.1364-1.1425

20-day avg: 1.1365
50-day avg: 1.1483
100-day avg: 1.1547
200-day avg: 1.1782

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 80% (76%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.059% -1.3bp
DE: 0.350% -1.2
GB: 1.385% -2.8
JP: 0.092% -0.2

DAX: -18
Implied Open
DJ: -80
SP: -9.2



See the Amazing Trader Live!


Belgrade Knez 10:56 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

london red

thank you.

london red 10:54 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

daily. but some will use hourly close if seen to get into trade. a failure to close under this level day after a foray below will lead to a bounce so they must make it stick if goes down.

GVI Trader john 10:39 GMT November 27, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 27 November 2018

AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 27 Nov 2018
A 15:00 US- CB Cons Confidence
Wed 28 Nov 2018
A 13:30 US- GDP
A 15:00 US- New Homes Sales
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 29 Nov 2018
A 09:00 DE- Employment
A 13:30 US- PCE Deflator
A 15:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
A 19:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
Fri 30 Nov 2018
A 07:00 DE- Retail Sales
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP


Belgrade Knez 09:45 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

london red 09:26 GMT 11/27/2018
euro. key on close 11300/11315. closing below tgts sub 112

red, is that closing on daily, hourly ....., please?

london red 09:26 GMT November 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

euro. key on close 11300/11315. closing below tgts sub 112

london red 09:25 GMT November 27, 2018
gbpusd

1.27. cable feeling pressure from comments over night from trump also facing the reality that may deal at this stage close to 100 votes short of whats reqd to push thru.

Dubai MA 09:24 GMT November 27, 2018
gbpusd
Reply   
Any ideas for next gbpusd support?

USA ET 00:17 GMT November 27, 2018
Dead cat bounce?
Reply   
Looking at weaker commodity currencies tells me the stock market rally on Monday was likely a dead cat bounce.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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