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Forex Forum Archive for 11/30/2018

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Livingston nh 21:45 GMT November 30, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Down. FX: USD Up & EUR Down

SPX closed above 40 dma and right @ 200 dma -- the 100 dma (~2820) has capped the last 2 rallies// 10 yr yield under 3% -- Santa Jay may rue Weds early next year if he has to be the Grinch
____
As an aside - yesterday's New Claims data was all over yesterday's and this morning's media "hair on fire" folks -- the unseasoned stat showed claims actually declined around 8k BUT the seasoning baked in 17k decline hence the 'Jump' in New Claims (SEASONING is backward statistical)


GVI Trader john 20:46 GMT November 30, 2018
Commitment Of Traders Report For 27 November 2018 Data
Reply   
For Amazing Traders monitoring levels on stops for trading strategies...
COT report position highlights:


EURUSD shorts higher

USDJPY longs flattening

GBPUSD shorts narrowing

USDCAD positions flat

AUDUSD shorts narrowing


EURUSD Commitment of Traders Chart




USDJPY Commitment of Traders Chart




GBPUSD Commitment of Traders Chart




USDCAD Commitment of Traders Chart




AUDUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

GVI Forex Blog 20:06 GMT November 30, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 30 November 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 30 November 2018

Bali Sja 18:06 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Out now for +30 pips. Have a great weekend

GVI Trader john 18:05 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1076 vs. 1079 (-3) prev.
Oil: 887 vs. 885
(-3) prev.
Canada: N/a vs. 204 () prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Bali Sja 16:43 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Short cable 1.2776

Bali Sja 16:13 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Cluster of intraday resistance for cable 1.2760-80,anyone selling?

GVI 16:00 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Russia officials said to believe current oil industry dynamics are working well signaling super-OPEC support is fading - press - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 14:49 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Big Beat on Chicago PMI volatile series.

GVI Trader john 14:49 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Chicago PMI November 2018



NEWS ALERT
66.4 vs. 58.5 exp. vs. 58.4 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john 14:03 GMT November 30, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 November 2018

DJ -21
10s 3.015%
CO $50.68

Mixed Risk


Livingston nh 13:16 GMT November 30, 2018
EUR
Reply   
How much more can DB absorb before a FAIL? Any thots on effect, if any?

Singapore Td 13:09 GMT November 30, 2018
Brexit Odds

Sell cable 1.2764, stop for this 1.2795

Livingston nh 12:54 GMT November 30, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 November 2018

2/10 [email protected] -- dec rate hike might put this in the teens - Fed self inflicted wound

Bali Sja 12:53 GMT November 30, 2018
Brexit Odds

Cable will be put under 1.30, no deal

NY JM 12:26 GMT November 30, 2018
Brexit Odds
Reply   
Are any of the UK betting sites making book on the UK Dec 11 parliament vote on Brexit?

Mtl JP 11:59 GMT November 30, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 November 2018

Asian stoks uP
Europeans lightly down
US looking to open DOwn slightly
-
Crude off about $0.70
-
Canada GDP out at 8:30am
- expectation is for FLAT

GVI Trader john 11:49 GMT November 30, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 November 2018

10s 3.015%
DJ -81
CO $50.75

Mixed Risk-Off early

CAD GDP due on the NY Open

GVI Trader john 11:39 GMT November 30, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 November 2018

I gather that major U.S stock indices are virtually unchanged for the month of November (at current levels). If we end around here, Monthend USD equity hedge adjustments should be minimal.

london red 11:39 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

for euros. uk payments to eu made at end of month. also draws specs due to this

EU AH 11:36 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

red, demand for what?

london red 11:22 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

watch the fixes today. demand may increase into them and tail off afterwards. eu fix 13:15gmt london 16gmt

manila tom 11:07 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

the only play with cable seems to be sell rallies
whatever pops will be followed by sharp drops very quick
and thus eurgbp buy dips game too

UK JY 10:44 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

It is eurgbp buying hitting gbp. May be month end flow.

GVI Trader john 10:19 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

CO $50.87

GVI 10:18 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Russia Energy Min Novak: OPEC and non-Opec members to reach an agreement on oil for 2019
- Will have an agreed position in Dec
- All OPEC, Non-OPEC deal members should comply to deal with no exceptions

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 10:17 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Delayed EURUSD HICP reaction.

GVI Trader john 10:16 GMT November 30, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 November 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1358
Pivot Point: 1.1351

This Week: 1.1267-1.1401
Fri: 1.1358-1.1400
Thu: 1.1348-1.1401
Wed: 1.1267-1.1387
Tue: 1.1277-1.1344
Mon: 1.1326-1.1384


20-day avg: 1.1364
50-day avg: 1.1462
100-day avg: 1.1536
200-day avg: 1.1768

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 80% (82%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.017% -1.8bp
DE: 0.315% -0.7
GB: 1.348% -1.6
JP: 0.085% -4.1

DAX: -75
Implied Open
DJ: -44
SP: -8.7



See the Amazing Trader Live!

GVI Forex Blog 10:08 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Flash HICP Misses Estimates in November 2018
Reply   
EZ flash November 2018 core HICP (CPI) misses estimates. Final data usually sees minor changes.

BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Flash HICP Misses Estimates in November 2018

manila tom 10:03 GMT November 30, 2018
SELL cable

closed cable short 1.2753, great stuff!

GVI Trader john 10:03 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

HICP Core remains soft.

GVI Trader john 10:01 GMT November 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) November 2018





ALERT
Headline
yy: +2.00% vs. +2.10% exp. vs. +2.20% prev.
CORE
yy: +1.00% vs. +1.10% exp. vs. +1.1% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 09:41 GMT November 30, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 November 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 30 Nov 2018
A 07:00 DE- Retail Sales
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 3 Dec 2018
A All Day Final Mfg PMIs
Tue 4 Dec 2018
A 04:30 AU- Reserve Bank Decision
Wed 5 Dec 2018
A All Day Final SVC PMIs
A 04:30 AU- CPI
A 13:15 US- ADP Jobs
A 13:30 US- Productivity
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
B 19:00 US- Beige Book
Thu 6 Dec 2018
AA 12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 7 Dec 2018
A 10:00 EZ- GDP
AA 13:30 US- Employment/Trade
A 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


Friday Trading Checklist For 28 November 2018

manila tom 09:32 GMT November 30, 2018
SELL cable
Reply   
going short 1.2790, adding if 1.2810-20 seen, stop 1.2869

jkt abel 08:57 GMT November 30, 2018
EURUSD

another short squeeze day....painful bottoms

london red 08:40 GMT November 30, 2018
EURUSD

sup by 11360/70. worth a long there with a tight stop tgt 11390/11410

PAR 07:24 GMT November 30, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Long 1.1390. Stop 1.1290.

manila tom 05:27 GMT November 30, 2018
sell cable

i'll see if 12795 will cap again and will join selling cable

dc CB 02:18 GMT November 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Outlook 29 November 2018

Season 3 of The Apprentice: The White House.
premiers Jan 20, 2019.
New Cast of House Members.
The Power had shifted as we saw in the Season Two Finale.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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