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Forex Forum Archive for 12/07/2018

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GVI 21:29 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Labour party lining up rebel Tories for no confidence vote against PM May if the Brexit vote fails in Parliament - UK Times

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 21:10 GMT December 7, 2018
Friday Trading Strategy 7 December 2018

Late Friday
10s 2.854%
DJ -558
CO $52.55

GVI Forex Blog 20:39 GMT December 7, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 7 December 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 7 December 2018

Mtl JP 20:04 GMT December 7, 2018
Friday Trading Strategy 7 December 2018

Stupid or not ... only thing that matters is that you - and preferably me - are getting rich/er.

Sanctimony, morality, indignation are sentients to be exploited for ruthless profits.

PAR 19:39 GMT December 7, 2018
AAPL
Reply   
AAPL = GE

PAR 19:36 GMT December 7, 2018
Friday Trading Strategy 7 December 2018

Bullard repeating same story over.and over again.

US banks need higher rates . Look.at bank shares after these stupid comments .

Mtl JP 19:31 GMT December 7, 2018
Friday Trading Strategy 7 December 2018

BULLARD SAYS
----------------
02:29 Bullard says market volatility is tied to worries about growth slowdown in 2019 MarketWatch
02:29 Bullard says there is risk yield curve could invert in December if Fed hikes interest rates MarketWatch
02:29 Bullard says Fed could learn more about what's troubling markets if it held off rate hike MarketWatch
02:29 Fed's Bullard says central bank should not hike interest rates in December MarketWatch

PAR 19:24 GMT December 7, 2018
HUAWEI vs APPLE
Reply   
HUAWEI invests in new technology.

APPLE invests in stock buy backs, financial engineering and political
lobbying.

GVI Trader john 19:11 GMT December 7, 2018
Equities Mixed. 10-yr Yields Down. FX: EUR And USD Mixed. WTI Up

DJ -547
CO $52.96
10s 2.861%

GVI Trader john 18:06 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1075 vs. 1076 (-1) prev.
Oil: 877 vs. 887 (-10) prev.
Canada: 186 vs. 199 (-13) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI 18:01 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Largest US banks said to consider challenging Volcker rule regulations based on verbiage in bill passed by Congress in May - Yahoo Finance - "A few double negatives buried in legislative text may have inadvertently freed nearly all U.S. banks from a regulation known as the Volcker Rule, which sought to curb risky behavior in response to the 2008 financial crisis."- "Under the “or” interpretation, an institution would in theory only need to meet one of those standards to get an exemption, meaning that banks above $10 billion could still be freed from the regulation as long as their trading assets and liabilities are below 5% of their total assets."

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 17:47 GMT December 7, 2018
Equities Mixed. 10-yr Yields Down. FX: EUR And USD Mixed. WTI Up

About two months ago I said the Fed should hike in December and then pause. I am impressed that they must have read what I wrote and have taken my advice. Suggests that the Powell Fed is smarter than the previous bunch!

Have you also noted that they have started speaking with a coordinated voice rather that what pops into their little heads on any given day? Even central bankers can learn. I never would have thought it.

Mtl JP 17:38 GMT December 7, 2018
Equities Mixed. 10-yr Yields Down. FX: EUR And USD Mixed. WTI Up

john are u still screaming that the Fed Should Take A Breather On Policy Tightening Before It's Too Late ??

Mtl JP 17:24 GMT December 7, 2018
Friday Trading Strategy 7 December 2018

oh oh ow -- a deluge :
12:15 Brainard says Fed should impose capital buffers on banks, says interest-rate path 'appropriate' MarketWatch
12:15 Brainard: Domestic economic momentum has been strong MarketWatch
12:15 Brainard: May be prudent to ask large banks to fortify their capital buffers MarketWatch
12:15 Brainard: Policy path 'increasingly will depend on how the outlook evolves' MarketWatch
12:15 Brainard: Fed's 'gradual' rate rise approach remains appropriate MarketWatch

Mtl JP 17:22 GMT December 7, 2018
Friday Trading Strategy 7 December 2018

according to brainyard: gradual rate hikes remain appropriate in 'near term'

GVI Trader john 16:28 GMT December 7, 2018
Equities Mixed. 10-yr Yields Down. FX: EUR And USD Mixed. WTI Up

DJ -423
10s 2.888%
CO 53.91

GVI Trader john 15:30 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EIA U.S. Natural Gas

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) -63 vs: -64 expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer


PAR 15:29 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Data Weak In November 2018

Ralph Acampora CMT


@Ralph_Acampora
60m60 minutes ago
More
Thursday's intraday reversal was indeed impressive, especially after retesting recent lows (support levels). But, the real challenge lies ahead - any rally(s) must break resistance - and their is lots of it over head. Any failed rally from current levels will be ominous.

GVI Forex Blog 15:13 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University Of Michigan Preliminary Data For December 2018 Beat Estimates
Reply   
Preliminary December 2018 Michigan Survey beat expectations. Data revision in two weeks.

University of Michigan Sentiment Survey chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University Of Michigan Preliminary Data For December 2018 Beat Estimates

PAR 15:04 GMT December 7, 2018
BRENT
Reply   
BRENT up 5 % . Pauvre Macron .

GVI Trader john 15:02 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index December, 2018



NEWS ALERT
97.5 vs. 97.1 exp. vs. 97.5 prev


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:48 GMT December 7, 2018
Friday Trading Strategy 7 December 2018

For those still trading, look at EURGBP (firmer) for the source of EURUSD demand and softer/lagging GBPUSD.

GVI Trader john 14:28 GMT December 7, 2018
Friday Trading Strategy 7 December 2018

10s 2.894%
CO $53.80
DJ -26
Mixed Risk

PAR 14:26 GMT December 7, 2018
Trump unaware of important info ?
Reply   
Meanwhile, Huawei's Meng Wanzhou is set to appear in a Vancouver court today for a bail hearing as she awaits possible extradition to the U.S. on allegations of evading sanctions on Iran. Separately, a White House official told Reuters that President Trump did not know about the request for Meng's extradition before he met with Chinese President Xi Jinping at the G20 summit.

PAR 14:10 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Data Weak In November 2018

A horrible end to a horrible week . Everybody in USA is employed .

They need more Mexican , Colombian , Venezuelean immigrants .

Companies find no workers , a tough time .

GVI Forex Blog 14:06 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Data Weak In November 2018
Reply   


Novembr 2018 U.S. payroll employment beats street estimates. Dowward October Revision. Average Hourly Earnings 0.2% (3.10% y/y)


Click on chart for more than 10-yr history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Data Weak In November 2018

GVI Forex Blog 13:57 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Data Beat in November 2018
Reply   
Beat expectations, full-time employment up in November 2018.

BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Data Beat in November 2018

GVI Trader john 13:47 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

10s 2.908%

GVI Trader john 13:45 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

CO $54.01

GVI Trader john 13:40 GMT December 7, 2018
Canada EMPLOYMENT November 2018



NEWS ALERT

Jobs: +94.1K vs. +10.0K exp. vs. +63.3K prev.
Full-Time +89.9K vs. n/a exp. vs. +33.9 exp
Rate: 5.60% vs. 5.80% exp. vs. 5.80% prev.



RELEASE: StatCan Monthly Employment Report





TTN: Live News Special Offer

KL MetalGury 13:38 GMT December 7, 2018
GBPUSD NFP signal

Molto bene!

GVI Trader john 13:38 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Employment November 2018







ALERT

NFP Jobs:
+155K vs. +200K exp. vs. +250K (r +237K ) prev.
Rate: 3.70% vs. 3.70% exp. vs. 3.70% prev.

Avg earnings: +0.20% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.
BLS: Employment Situation Summary


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trader john 13:07 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

CO $52.20

GVI 13:03 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

OPEC AND IRAN SAID TO AGREE ON OUTPUT DEAL - press - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 12:58 GMT December 7, 2018
Friday Trading Strategy 7 December 2018

10s 2.897%
DJ -172
CO $51.82

Mild Risk-Off

Amman wfakhoury 12:17 GMT December 7, 2018
GBPUSD NFP signal

You can add buy if price declined around 12745 or below

Amman wfakhoury 12:11 GMT December 7, 2018
GBPUSD NFP signal

GBPUSD
Buy now 12770 for 12810 and more if keeps above 12800.
any decline below 12772 will return to it.
Good luck ..make good money for week end. and to buy one of my product
https://inktale.com/wasef-m-fakhoury

The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

Amman wfakhoury 12:00 GMT December 7, 2018
GBPUSD NFP signal
Reply   
movement 60-70 pips

GVI 11:32 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Chatter that talks are deadlocked due to Iran. They will not accept a "symbolic production cut.

GVI 11:30 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

OPEC Delegate: Iran will not accept a symbolic production cut - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 10:27 GMT December 7, 2018
Friday Trading Strategy 7 December 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1380
Pivot Point: 1.1349

This Week: 1.1317-1.1418
Fri: 1.1361-1.1383
Thu: 1.1322-1.1361
Wed: 1.1317-1.1361
Tue: 1.1319=1.1418

20-day avg: 1.1349
50-day avg: 1.1423
100-day avg: 1.1520
200-day avg: 1.1745

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 70% (76%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.879% +4.6bp
DE: 0.246% +1.6
GB: 1.259% +2.8
JP: 0.061% +0.2

DAX: +99
Implied Open
DJ: -149
SP: -16.0



See the Amazing Trader Live!

UK JY 10:08 GMT December 7, 2018
Brexit

and eurgbp keeps trading on both sides of .89

GVI Forex Blog 10:08 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: EZ Final 3Q18 GDP Revised Down Sightly
Reply   
Eurozone Final 3Q18 GDP y/y 1.60% yr/yr. Unrevised.

Eurozone GDP Chart

BREAKING NEWS: EZ Final 3Q18 GDP Revised Down Sightly

GVI Trader john 10:01 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EZ 3Q18 GDP 2018



NEWS ALERT

mo/mo 0.20% vs. 0.20% exp. vs. 0.20% prev.
yr/yr 1.60% vs. 1.70% exp. vs. 1.70% prev.





TTN: Live News Special Offer

UK JY 09:48 GMT December 7, 2018
Brexit
Reply   
No debate today

There is talk May could delay vote rather than face defeat

Brexit vote will be the focus after us nfp fireworks

gbpusd stays in 1.27-1.28

UK JY 09:48 GMT December 7, 2018
Brexit
Reply   
No debate today

There is talk May could delay vote rather than face defeat

Brexit vote will be the focus after us nfp fireworks

gbpusd stays in 1.27-1.28

GVI Forex Blog 09:38 GMT December 7, 2018
Friday Trading Strategy 7 December 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

A 10:00 EZ- GDP
AA 13:30 US/CA- Employment
A 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


Friday Trading Strategy 7 December 2018

GVI 09:34 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

) Saudi Oil Min: No confident of a production cut deal being reached today - Source TradeTheNews.com

Amman wfakhoury 09:27 GMT December 7, 2018
GBPUSD 12736
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 12:12 GMT 12/06/2018
Now 12755.
12736 consolidation level will be reached again.
Scalp sell when its above..and scalp buy when its below 12736
____________________
price @ 12736 as the above signal


The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

bali sja 08:14 GMT December 7, 2018
Macron

are they smart enough to prosecute him?
or they just want money..

PAR 08:12 GMT December 7, 2018
Macron
Reply   
Macron trying to divide protest movement by offering a € 1000 tax free to a limited number of them .

This is not economic policy this is bribe.

PAR 07:09 GMT December 7, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Long from 1.1390 . Target 1.1600. Stop reverse 1.1345. Target 1.1190.

Mtl JP 06:56 GMT December 7, 2018
Smart Money

Winners and Losers
---------------------
nh - hooray !!! (see anything that could go wrong ?)
chinese company saving human life on the planet by mitigating its overheating with

Electric cars cheaper than gas ones by 2020, says Chinese battery supplier

Livingston nh 02:09 GMT December 7, 2018
Smart Money
Reply   
Smart Money (book talkers) are all on sell side - USD not getting any benefit because smart money says Fed is on hold // if the Fed panics at this low level the economy will be a thing of Beauty when it explodes

Livingston nh 02:03 GMT December 7, 2018
jp 2820 is the breakpoint -- the averages follow the daily so buy and wait until 2820 -- see where avgs are

Mtl JP 01:58 GMT December 7, 2018
Question?



re suggest buying US stox
thks. I do not like 50day under 200day

Livingston nh 01:52 GMT December 7, 2018
Yield curve
Reply   
Another guy on CNBC talking about yield curve Armageddon - get a clue, read the paper before you cite it --- it isn't a cause it's an effect ( and 3mo bill not the 2yr)

Livingston nh 01:45 GMT December 7, 2018
Question?

The problem w/ the economic crap is folks think it is science and it ain't - if it was physics you might end up on your ceiling when you awake

YEN - RAISE RATES until money stays home -- o no!

EUR has no benchmark rate so it is a cork floating on a sea of dollars

Mtl JP 01:37 GMT December 7, 2018
Question?

I did not see the SOMETIMES option in your Y/N type of Qtn.
I would not have replied as I am interested more in in/out (y/n) trading than an economic dissertation. (not the vocation of this forum as I see it)
-
EURUSD s-t: undecided/bullish
– in narrow range.
- momentum is wishi washi in narrow range around mid 1.13 likely to hang around for a bit.
- a low is likely in around 1.12.
- things should take off some above 1.1435+

Livingston nh 01:30 GMT December 7, 2018
Question?

A little further - EXPERTS have been suggesting BUY EM because of undervaluation and a lower USD // maybe not - RATES RATES RATES

Livingston nh 01:25 GMT December 7, 2018
Question?

JP - the answer to all of the above is SOMETIMES // I would suggest buying US stox and selling 10 yr

Mtl JP 01:22 GMT December 7, 2018
Question?

Is inflation Good or Bad for a currency?
Bad. It reduces the value - the utility - of money.

Does a weak Currency foster inflation?
IF you mean price inflation: yes.

Does Trade for a country with an absolute advantage create inflation in the Domestic economy?
R u alluding to China ? --- haha --- absolute advantage comes from low-labour cost production.

So ... now that u know...
have a trade sugg'stn: _____ ? tia

Livingston nh 01:16 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Powell screwed up when he referenced an unknowable (R*) and said we were far away -- he tried to reverse by saying we were close to an unknowable (R*) -- nobody is willing or able to give the "market" a NUMBER

Meanwhile the economy chugs along

Livingston nh 01:03 GMT December 7, 2018
Question?
Reply   
Is inflation Good or Bad for a currency? Does a weak Currency foster inflation? Does Trade for a country with an absolute advantage create inflation in the Domestic economy?

Seems OPEC is screwed -- China is being screwed? -- Russia seems to be playing to its strength notwithstanding inflation and Japan is reluctant to inflate

Mtl JP 00:55 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Jerome is likely thinking that the - US10YY that reached 2.87, the lowest since Sep - needs correcting.

Possibly thinks that he needs to raise rates to weed out the inefficient, make capital investment/amortisation a priority vs. letting PE firms do self dealing deals by issuing junk bonds from their victims.
This does nothing to prepare for the next wave.

Mtl JP 00:49 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

6.88
-----
The yuan is down 5.5% against the dollar this year, on track for its biggest loss against the U.S. currency since 2016. One dollar recently purchased 6.88 offshore yuan CNHUSD, +0.0465%, compared with around 6.30 this summer.
- marketwatch

Mtl JP 00:42 GMT December 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

USDCAD 1.3388
-
1.3380 s/t support

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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