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Forex Forum Archive for 12/10/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Trader john 21:30 GMT December 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 11 December 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1412
Pivot Point: 1.1398

Last Week: 1.1351-1.1443
Mon: 1.1351-1.1443

Fri: 1.1361-1.1423
Thu: 1.1322-1.1361
Wed: 1.1317-1.1361
Tue: 1.1319-1.1418

20-day avg: 1.1353
50-day avg: 1.1419
100-day avg: 1.1517
200-day avg: 1.1741

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 68% (70%).

GVI Trader john 21:09 GMT December 10, 2018
Commitment Of Traders Report For 4 December 2018 Data
Reply   
For Amazing Traders monitoring levels on stops for trading strategies...
COT report position highlights:


EURUSD shorts larger

USDJPY longs flattening

GBPUSD shorts narrowing

USDCAD positions flat

AUDUSD shorts narrowing


EURUSD Commitment of Traders Chart




USDJPY Commitment of Traders Chart




GBPUSD Commitment of Traders Chart




USDCAD Commitment of Traders Chart




AUDUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

GVI Forex Blog 20:41 GMT December 10, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 10 December 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 10 December 2018

dc CB 19:19 GMT December 10, 2018
fwiw

Perfide Albion

london red 19:12 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

double top s&p, they tried to go lower but so far a failed break as rebounded to create a long tail on daily candle. if they hold it into close could see a towel throwing rally to 2700 with 48hrs, maybe 2800 this week before turning lower again. its a tradeable rally where you can buy some of the beaten dwn names.

GVI Forex Blog 19:03 GMT December 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 11 December 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 11 Dec 2018
AA GB- Brexit Vote
AA 09:30 GB- Employment
A 10:00 DE- ZEW Survey
A 13:30 US- PPI
Wed 12 Dec 2018
A 13:30 US- CPI
AA 15:00 US- Powell Testimony
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 13 Dec 2018
AA 7:30 CH- SNB Decision
AA 12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 23:50 JP- Tankan Survey
Fri 14 Dec 2018
AAll Day Flash PMIs
AA 13:30 US- Retail Sales
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production


Tuesday Trading Checklist 11 December 2018

GVI 18:55 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EU's Tusk: decided to call European Council on Brexit Art. 50 on Thurs; We will not renegotiate the deal, including the backstop, but we are ready to discuss how to facilitate UK ratification - As time is running out, we will also discuss our preparedness for a no-deal scenario - Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 18:43 GMT December 10, 2018
fwiw
Reply   
from a tweet (P. Waugh) re tomorrow in Parliament

"Laughter as Andrea Leadsom announces what will replace the Brexit meaningful vote debate tomorrw: "consideration of Lords amendments to the Ivory Bill".
----------
Monty Python is alive and well

PAR 17:36 GMT December 10, 2018
Deutsche Bank
Reply   
The end is near . As usual ECB regulator sleeping at the steering wheel . DB needs more capital .

COCO.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:40 GMT December 10, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

EURUSD 1.1367

Amazing Trader target support hit dead on at 1.1357.

Why we call it

The Amazing Trader

Fukuoka joyya 16:31 GMT December 10, 2018
long gbp!
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.20/1.05 Target: Stop:

leaving some orders here long term...ths baby about to crash gbp short some eurgbp also.....stay short stox.....

happy trade

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:17 GMT December 10, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

EURUSD 1.1357 is a key Amazing Trader support (low 1.1359)

GBPUSD 1.25 area is obvious support but also an Amazing Trader level (1.2498)

The Amazing Trader

GVI Forex 15:55 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

PM May spoke, GBP collapsed. Gilt yields off sharply, flight to safety.

GVI Forex 15:26 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Alert: TTN reporting PM May to speak in 5 minutes. Earlier it was report she was due to speak at 16:30 GMT

GVI Trader john 15:07 GMT December 10, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 10 December 2018

DJ -180
10s 2.845%
CO $51.72

GVI Trader john 15:01 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

October 2018 JOLTS Survey



ALERT

vs. 7.079 mn exp vs. 7.010 mn (r 6.950) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:18 GMT December 10, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

EURGBP high so far .9047, just shy of the next Amazing Trader at .9052. EURUSD has lost some of its cross related bid subsequently.

Contact me of you want to learn how to use crosses like EURGBP to trad spot (e.g. EURUSD and GBUSD)

The Amazing Trader

UK JY 14:11 GMT December 10, 2018
ftse

nh, Judging by the gbp odds do not seem very high.

Livingston nh 14:00 GMT December 10, 2018
ftse

JY -what chance that PM can't the vote delayed?

UK JY 13:50 GMT December 10, 2018
ftse

Weaker currency + less chance of rate hike is positive for equities.

Livingston nh 13:38 GMT December 10, 2018
ftse
Reply   
FTSE turns positive on Hope the UK will use a Mulligan // Has the last two years just been part of PM's cunning plan?

GVI Trader john 13:26 GMT December 10, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 10 December 2018

DJ +59
10s 2.852%
CO $52.05

Mild Risk ON

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:17 GMT December 10, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
EURGBP .9013

Breakout above .8995 now needs to hold to expose next Amazing Trader targets at ..9052 and .9098 (most important).

Suggests .90 sets tone going forwards.

Impact on spot fx: Tug-of-war between EURUSD and GBPUSD.

GVI Forex 12:11 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

07:03 (UK) PM May said to make oral statement to House of Commons at 11:30 ET (16:30 GMT) - financial press

- Title of the statement is "exiting the European Union"- labour official
- Brexit sec Barclay and House of Commons Leader Leadsom to also speak

- Source TradeTheNews.com

london red 12:11 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

problem is MP's will not allow uk to leave without a deal. they will go as far as revoking article 50 which the ecj said today can be done unilaterally. the majority of MP's are for staying in the EU and they are quite capable of doing such a number on the voting public. it would be political suicide, but they will do it anyway. i was expecting a no deal all along but i find it really difficult now to see a no deal scenario happening, unless the eu was to taking returning on present terms off the table, something it probably cannot do given the ecj ruling today. MP's just don't want no deal and will put absolutely anything else forward from their meaningful vote.

USA Trader 12:06 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Markets hate uncertainty and this is what we have right now.

EU can't give the UK a sweetheart deal as it would encourage others to leave

Irish-NI border issue is unsolvable,

Both UK and major EU leaders are in weakened political positions.

Conclusion: There is little room for compromise.

Hard Brexit may be on the only solution and amrkets need to factor in this risk.

london red 11:59 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

now that vote pulled, according to ministers, may is going to go back to the eu, on which the onus is to offer something to avoid a repeat of present situation. there is a high risk play on the table, where the eu could do nothing, knowing that parliament will not allow a no deal exit, preferring to extend article 50 or revoke it completely, with a second referendum on the table. it is however political suicide. but it wouldnt be the eu's suicide, so they could well play hardball again.

GVI Trader john 11:50 GMT December 10, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 10 December 2018

US:
10s 2.854%
DJ -82
CO $51.92

GVI Trader john 11:48 GMT December 10, 2018
the unthinkable..fow now

Gilt 10-yr 1.226% vs.1.248% earlier UK flight to safety?

Livingston nh 11:48 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

John - it does seem that way - JY asked about this possibility last week // The FUBAR that PM has made out of Brexit would suggest a much lower Pound

GVI 11:30 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

PM MAY SAID TO CANCEL PLANNED TUESDAY'S MEANINGFUL VOTE IN PARLIAMENT - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 11:22 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

UK Government Spokesperson: Confident on winning parlimanetary vote on Brexit deal; still going ahead Tuesday, Dec 11 - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 11:04 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

It smells to me like the BOE must be trying to defend 1.2700. Thoughts?

GVI Trader john 10:52 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

GBP weaker.

GVI 10:50 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

PM May to meet with Cabinet officials over the next thirty minutes to decide whether meaningful vote should go ahead as planned - financial press - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 10:49 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Reportedly May's cabinet is meeting right now to decide if there will be a Brexit vote tomorrow. Presumably they are counting votes? not much point in voting of she is going to lose?

GVI 10:46 GMT December 10, 2018
the unthinkable..fow now

The European Court of Justice issued a ruling today that the UK can unilaterally revoke Article 50, in effect stopping its withdrawal from the EU.

Possible but not probable?

bali sja 10:32 GMT December 10, 2018
the unthinkable..fow now
Reply   
chance of reverse brexit i.e. brentry, anyone?

GVI Trader john 09:49 GMT December 10, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 10 December 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1412
Pivot Point: 1.1398

Last Week: 1.1317-1.1423
Mon: 1.1391-1.1442

Fri: 1.1361-1.1423
Thu: 1.1322-1.1361
Wed: 1.1317-1.1361
Tue: 1.1319-1.1418

20-day avg: 1.1353
50-day avg: 1.1419
100-day avg: 1.1517
200-day avg: 1.1741

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 70% (70%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.859% -3.5bp
DE: 0.251% -0.6
GB: 1.248% -2.2
JP: 0.042% -2.2

DAX: -85
Implied Open
DJ: -55
SP: -6.3



See the Amazing Trader Live! <

GVI Trader john 09:35 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

UK Output/trade October 2018




-- NEWS ALERT --

Industrial: -0.60% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. 0.00% (r) prev.
Manufacturing: -0.90% vs. +0.00% exp. vs. +0.20% prev (r -0.10%)
Visible Trade
Total: -9.8 vs. -10.0 exp. vs. -9.7 (r -10.7) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 09:10 GMT December 10, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 10 December 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 10 Dec 2018
AA 09:30 GB- GDP
AA 09:30 GB- Industrial/Mfg Output/Trade
Tue 11 Dec 2018
AA GB- Brexit Vote
AA 09:30 GB- Employment
A 10:00 DE- ZEW Survey
A 13:30 US- PPI
Wed 12 Dec 2018
A 13:30 US- CPI
AA 15:00 US- Powell Testimony
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 13 Dec 2018
AA 7:30 CH- SNB Decision
AA 12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 23:50 JP- Tankan Survey
Fri 14 Dec 2018
AAll Day Flash PMIs
AA 13:30 US- Retail Sales
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production


Monday Trading Checklist 10 December 2018

Dillon AL 06:08 GMT December 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

CBK at the bottom of a 52 week range and DBK at an all time low

Yes that would make perfect sense to merge two basket cases
and therefore create the conditions for both entities to literally disappear down the plughole to then find that The BUBA has to launch a lifeboat

The merger idea is the most senseless concoction

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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