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Forex Forum Archive for 12/11/2018

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Livingston nh 22:15 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

"Ten days after Canadian authorities detained a Chinese tech executive that the U.S. wants extradited, China reportedly has detained a former Canadian diplomat ó ratcheting up tensions in this diplomatic row."

PAY ATTENTION

Livingston nh 22:01 GMT December 11, 2018
PM May Departure Could Be Imminent

this woman is delusional -- her tour of Europe looks like Salzburg Revisited // CB nailed it with his Albion reference - history didn't start yesterday

Amman wfakhoury 21:52 GMT December 11, 2018
GBPUSD 12505

Add buy if decline 12460-50 area tp 12500

Amman wfakhoury 21:45 GMT December 11, 2018
GBPUSD 12505
Reply   
12505 consolidation level any decline will return to it


The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

GVI Trader john 21:13 GMT December 11, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 12 December 2018

Late Tuesday
10s 2.879%
CO $51.89
DJ -53

GVI Forex Blog 20:58 GMT December 11, 2018
PM May Departure Could Be Imminent
Reply   

John M. Bland, MBA, co-founder, Global-View.com


U.K. political Situation In Disarray As of a week ago, the U.K. Parliament was scheduled to vote on Tuesday December 11 on whether to proceed with the Brexit deal negotiated with the EU with PM May. Her deal apparently had no chance of passage in the Parliament as her ruling coalition does not have the necessary votes to push her program through... MORE

PM May Departure Could Be Imminent

GVI Forex 20:35 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

15:31 (UK) Senior govt source: expect confidence vote imminently - Buzzfeed
- Chairman of the 1922 Committee Graham Brady has reportedly asked to meet with PM May on Wednesday - Source TradeTheNews.com

**NOTE: earlier reports have indicated that Conservative Party members believed they were close to the required 48 l

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 20:29 GMT December 11, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 12 December 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1326
Pivot Point: 1.1344

This Week: 1.1306-1.1443
Tue: 1.1306-1.1400
Mon: 1.1351-1.1443

Fri: 1.1361-1.1423
Thu: 1.1322-1.1361
Wed: 1.1317-1.1361

20-day avg: 1.1361
50-day avg: 1.1410
100-day avg: 1.1510
200-day avg: 1.1731

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 72% (68%).

GVI Forex Blog 20:20 GMT December 11, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 11 Decebber 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 11 Decebber 2018

PAR 20:11 GMT December 11, 2018
BREXIT
Reply   
Looks like this will.be May's last trip.to Europe as pm .
Maybe she wants to retire in Italy after her best deal ?

GVI Forex Blog 19:20 GMT December 11, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 12 December 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 12 Dec 2018
A 13:30 US- CPI
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 13 Dec 2018
AA 7:30 CH- SNB Decision
AA 12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 23:50 JP- Tankan Survey
Fri 14 Dec 2018
AAll Day Flash PMIs
AA 13:30 US- Retail Sales
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production


Wednesday Trading Checklist 12 December 2018

GVI 19:14 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

BBC reporter tweets that Conservatives are sounding more confident about reaching threshold for a leadership challenge against PM May, and pressure is mounting to set a Brexit vote before Christmas break - "..senior tories are sounding more and more confident the threshold has been reached - more to the point a Remainer MP has just told me they will submit a letter too if there is not vote on deal by Christmas" - Source TradeTheNews.com

dc CB 16:40 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

When she was Chief ChairWarmer, and thot she'd be there for another 8 years (of course Hillary will be elected), Gammy assured us all that there wud be no crisis "in my lifetime"

Ooops Trump got in, she got tossed, and now sees a disaster in The Making. And of course it's Trump's fault.

Yellen warns of another potential financial crisis: ĎGigantic holes in the systemí

GVI Forex 16:30 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

GBPUSD may have popped on this, another exmple opf headline roulette

11:11 (UK) UK BBC Politcal Editor Laura Kuenssberg tweets: And although it might be changing fast, was told pretty reliably an hour ago the level hadnít been reached yet to trigger a vote "Meanwhile... PMís spokesperson points out biz in Parliament set out until December 20th , in response to rumours about Parliament packing up early"

- Source TradeTheNews.com

PAR 16:20 GMT December 11, 2018
BREXIT
Reply   
May travelling through Europe to find more info for her new book
" Brexit and my best deal "

GVI Trader john 16:13 GMT December 11, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 11 December 2018

10s 2.857%
DJ +142
$52.40

Mixed Risk Message

GVI Trader john 16:13 GMT December 11, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 11 December 2018

10s 2.857%
DJ +142
$52.40

Mixed Risk Message

dc CB 16:11 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

"Iím staying out of it - itís basically like trying to pick a roller coaster as your commuter," says Loh, who oversees an artificial intelligence-driven hedge fund he jointly set up with former JPMorgan Chase & Co. FX option trader, Atsuo Ogaki.
"Itís so headline driven and everyone feels theyíre entitled to give their opinion. So do I really want to be open to the vagaries of someoneís trading opinion right now? Not really.Ē

"It's A Horrible Mess": Disgusted Traders Refuse To Trade The British Pound Any More

ZeroHedge

NY JM 16:07 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Another example of news algos reacting to keywords in headlines.

Cape May JB 16:06 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

the 48 letters story has been reported several times recently.

GVI Forex 16:03 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

GBPUSD drops on but still holding 1.25+

Sky News reporting UK Tory MPs have the 48 letters needed to trigger a leadership no confidence vote.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:38 GMT December 11, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
EURUSD 1.1342

Key Amazing Trader support is at 1.1305-20. Back above 1.1350 would be needed to neutralize the risk. Low so far 1.1335

The Amazing Trader gives you trading opportunities in all types of markets.

Amazing Trader Reviews

Livingston nh 13:34 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

PPI, a modest confirmation of recent ISM/Markit PMIs

GVI Trader john 13:32 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

PPI hotter than expected.

GVI Trader john 13:31 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. PPI November 2018



NEWS ALERT
Final Demand: +0.10% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. +0.60% (r. ) prev.
Core: +0.30% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.50% (r. ) prev.


RELEASE: Producer Price Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Livingston nh 13:00 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

The REFERENDUM wasn't about economic dissatisfaction - it was socio political / negotiations dragged because of the TRADE worries -- it ran afoul at the very end of touchy feely issues (aka principles) -- BOTH sides need to compromise and turn all of Ireland into a Free Trade Zone so Irish ports are ex/im between EU and UK

MAY makes the offer and THE EU rejects it BUT does Vradakar see the advantage -- the EU principles in the way are not based on the GFA

GVI Trader john 12:30 GMT December 11, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 11 December 2018

10s 2.886%
DJ +303
CO $51.77

Risk-On

london red 12:08 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

there is no solution if you want to stay true to the GFA. it means staying in the eu in some form.

GVI Forex 11:58 GMT December 11, 2018
US-China
Reply   
06:46 (CN) Reportedly China said to move on U.S. car tariff cut President Trump tweeted following meeting with President Xi on G20 summit - China to cut its trade-war tariff on US imported from 40% to 15% with proposal submitted to Govt

- Source TradeTheNews.com

NY JM 11:56 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

So what do you suggest is the solution? If the backstop was a simple solution they would have resolved it a long time ago.

london red 11:41 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

they cant change the backstop and fix it with a time limit since it will lead to a border in irish sea if no FTA done in time. thats not acceptable for all sides.

NY JM 11:28 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

One base case view I read is that improving the backstop by making it finite rather than indefinite would eventually see parliament vote for the WA.

london red 11:04 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

the WA may or may not eventually get thru, but the point is that the MP's have a meaninful vote on whatever the PM gets from Brussels. If they decide to vote against the package in front of them, they can vote to revoke article 50, given the ECJ ruling. The vast majority of MP's are remainers and because of this, will default to revoking article 50, if there is a no deal on the table. I really cannot see us getting to a no deal now, unless the MP's grow a conscience and act in the spirit of the referendum. It would of course mean political suicide to vote aginst the way of the referendum and keep the UK in the EU, but for many it will be a price worth paying, as most will be able to line up city jobs for themselves.

NY JM 10:55 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

red. Are you saying the WA will eventually be passed as is or will changes be needed to get it through Parliament.?

The former suggests UK MPs will be blink while the latter suggests the EU will need to bend.

london red 10:09 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

cable. 125 barrier, res by 12660/65 and 127. may set to meet with eu tomo afternoon.

GVI Forex Blog 10:08 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: German ZEW Survey Mixed in December 2018
Reply   
German December 2018 ZEW Survey data mixed vs. forecasts.

BREAKING NEWS: German ZEW Survey Mixed in December 2018

london red 10:05 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

funds are buying sterling as the plan has always been that the vote doesnt get thru on the first occasion, but eventually the MP's vote thru the WA, so buying dips makes sense for that strat. if it doesnt play out that way and there is no deal (now physically unlikely) then its a losing strat, but after yest ecj ruling and the MP's meaningful vote, the chances of a no deal are close to zero.

GVI Trader john 10:02 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

ZEW mixed

GVI Trader john 10:01 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

German ZEW Survey December 2018



NEWS ALERT

Current Situation: 45.3 vs. 55.3 exp. vs. 58.3 prev.
Expectations: -17.5 vs. -28.0 exp. vs. -24.1 prev.





TTN: Live News Special Offer

UK JY 09:55 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

GBP may also be up on defence as a desperate May heads to Brussels looking for a way out of the mess she created.

GVI Trader john 09:52 GMT December 11, 2018
For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1380
Pivot Point: 1.1398

This Week: 1.1351-1.1443
Tue: 1.1351-1.1387
Mon: 1.1351-1.1443

Fri: 1.1361-1.1423
Thu: 1.1322-1.1361
Wed: 1.1317-1.1361

20-day avg: 1.1353
50-day avg: 1.1419
100-day avg: 1.1517
200-day avg: 1.1741

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 68% (70%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.868% +2.3bp
DE: 0.261% +1.0
GB: 1.230% +1.8
JP: 0.050% +0.6

DAX: +78
Implied Open
DJ: +20
SP: -2.4



See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI Forex Blog 09:42 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Employment Data Mixed in September/October 2018
Reply   

U.K.
Data mixed. U.K. Claimant Count higher (lower=better). The unemployment rate 4.10%. Headline Average Weekly Earnings +3.30%.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Employment Data Mixed in September/October 2018

GVI Trader john 09:35 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

u.K. Average yearnings beat estimates.

GVI Trader john 09:34 GMT December 11, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.K. Employment Oct/Nov 2018




-- NEWS ALERT --

Claimant Count (000): +21.9 vs. +13.2 exp. v. +20.2 (r 23.2) prev.
ILO Rate:4.10% vs. 4.10% exp. 4.10% prev.
earnings: 3.30% vs. 3.00% exp. vs. 3.00% (r) prev.
earnings x-bonus: 3.30% vs. 3.20% exp. vs. 3.20% (r) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Belgrade Knez 09:29 GMT December 11, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 11 December 2018

--------------------
Breaking: GBP/USD jumps above 1.2600 as Ireland's Coveney opens door to new Irish backstop declaration
--------------------

Dubai MA 09:24 GMT December 11, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 11 December 2018

Why is gbpusd higjer?

GVI Forex Blog 09:09 GMT December 11, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 11 December 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 11 Dec 2018
AA 09:30 GB- Employment
A 10:00 DE- ZEW Survey
A 13:30 US- PPI
Wed 12 Dec 2018
A 13:30 US- CPI
AA 15:00 US- Powell Testimony
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 13 Dec 2018
AA 7:30 CH- SNB Decision
AA 12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 23:50 JP- Tankan Survey
Fri 14 Dec 2018
AAll Day Flash PMIs
AA 13:30 US- Retail Sales
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production


Tuesday Trading Checklist 11 December 2018

PAR 08:55 GMT December 11, 2018
Deutsche Bank
Reply   
Oops! Yield on Deutsche Bank Coco Bond jumps above 12%, highest since 2016.

What is ECB doing ?

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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